Looking at Film from Every Angle

76th Academy Awards (2003): Winner Predictions

AWARDS
10 3 1 – – – – – – – – – –	The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King Mystic River Boundin’ Capturing the Friedmans Chernobyl Heart Cold Mountain Finding Nemo Lost in Translation Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World Monster Seabiscuit The Barbarian Invasions Two Soldiers

Predictions are in the order I think they have a chance of winning the award (except the short film categories, which are unranked and each listed as “Toss Up”). I have added notations to each indicating how strong I think they are a contender.

LEGEND:
Winner Prediction (c-Win Pred Date Set) — Chance at Win —
Other Nominees — Chance at Win —

Best Picture

The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King – Peter Jackson, Barrie M. Osborne, Fran Walsh (c-8/2) — Even —

Mystic River – Clint Eastwood, Judie G. Hoyt, Robert Lorenz — 3:2 —
Lost in Translation – Sofia Coppola, Ross Katz — 3:1 —
Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World – Samuel Goldwyn Jr., Duncan Henderson, Peter Weir — 5:2 —
Seabiscuit – Kathleen Kennedy, Frank Marshall, Gary Ross, Jane Sindell — 10:1 —

Best Animated Feature

Finding Nemo – Andrew Stanton (c-8/2) — 1:2 —

The Triplets of Belleville – Sylvain Chomet — 3:2 —
Brother Bear – Chuck Williams — 20:1 —

Best Director

The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King – Peter Jackson (c-8/2) — 1:2 —

Mystic River – Clint Eastwood — 2:1 —
Lost in Translation – Sofia Coppola — 5:2 —
Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World – Peter Weir — 10:1 —
City of God – Fernando Meirelles — 7:1 —

Best Actor

Mystic River – Sean Penn (c-11/6) — Even —

Lost in Translation – Bill Murray — Even —
Pirates of the Caribbean – Johnny Depp — 3:2 —
House of Sand and Fog – Ben Kingsley — 3:1 —
Cold Mountain – Jude Law — 10:1 —

Best Actress

Monster – Charlize Theron (c-1/15) — Even —

Something’s Gotta Give – Diane Keaton — 3:2 —
21 Grams – Naomi Watts — 5:1 —
Whale Rider – Keisha Castle-Hughes — 7:1 —
In America – Samantha Morton — 10:1 —

Best Supporting Actor

Mystic River – Tim Robbins (c-1/27) — Even —

The Cooler – Alec Baldwin — 3:2 —
21 Grams – Benicio Del Toro — 3:1 —
In America – Djimon Hounsou — 10:1 —
The Last Samurai – Ken Watanabe — 10:1 —

Best Supporting Actress

Cold Mountain – Renee Zellweger [] (c-8/2) — Even —

Pieces of April – Patricia Clarkson — 2:1 —
House of Sand and Fog – Shohreh Aghdashloo — 2:1 —
Mystic River – Marcia Gay Harden — 5:2 —
Thirteen – Holly Hunter — 10:1 —

Best Original Screenplay

Lost in Translation – Sofia Coppola (c-11/6) — 1:2 —

In America – Jim Sheridan, Naomi Sheridan, Kristen Sheridan — 2:1 —
Finding Nemo – Andrew Stanton, Bob Peterson, David Reynolds — 3:2 —
The Barbarian Invasions – Denys Arcand — 7:1 —
Dirty Pretty Things – Steven Knight — 10:1 —

Best Adapted Screenplay

Mystic River – Brian Helgeland (c-11/6) — Even —

The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King – Fran Walsh, Philippa Boyens, Peter Jackson — 3:2 —
American Splendor – Shari Springer Berman, Robert Pulcini — 5:2 —
City of God – Braulio Mantovani — 4:1 —
Seabiscuit – Gary Ross — 7:1 —

Best Original Song

The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King – “Into the West” (c-8/2) — Even —

A Mighty Wind – “A Kiss at the End of the Rainbow” — 3:2 —
Cold Mountain – “You Will Be My Ain True Love” — 3:1 —
The Triplets of Belleville – “The Triplets of Belleville” — 4:1 —
Cold Mountain – “Scarlet Tide” — 7:1 —

Best Original Score

The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King – Howard Shore (c-1/27) — Even —

Big Fish – Danny Elfman — 3:2 —
Finding Nemo – Thomas Newman — 3:1 —
Cold Mountain – Gabriel Yared — 5:1 —
House of Sand and Fog – James Horner — 10:1 —

Best Editing

The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King – Jamie Selkirk (c-8/2) — Even —

City of God – Daniel Rezende — Even —
Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World – Lee Smith — 3:2 —
Cold Mountain – Walter Murch — 4:1 —
Seabiscuit – William Goldenberg — 7:1 —

Best Cinematography

Seabiscuit – John Schwartzman (c-1/27) — Even —

Girl with a Pearl Earring – Eduardo Serra — Even —
Cold Mountain – John Seale — 3:1 —
Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World – Russell Boyd — 4:1 —
City of God – Cesar Charlone — 5:1 —

Best Art Direction

The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King – Grant Major; Dan Henneh, Alan Lee (c-8/2) — Even —

Girl with a Pearl Earring – Ben Van Os; Cecile Heideman — Even —
Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World – William Sandell; Robert Gould — 2:1 —
The Last Samurai – Lilly Kilvert; Gretchen Rau — 4:1 —
Seabiscuit – Jeanine Oppewall; Leslie Pope — 7:1 —

Best Costume Design

The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King – Ngila Dickson, Richard Taylor (c-1/27) — Even —

Girl with a Pearl Earring – Dien van Straalen — Even —
The Last Samurai – Ngila Dickson — 3:1 —
Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World – Wendy Stiles — 4:1 —
Seabiscuit – Judianna Makovsky — 7:1 —

Best Makeup

The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King – Richard Taylor, Peter King (c-1/27) — Even —

Pirates of the Caribbean – Ve Neill, Martin Samuel — 3:2 —
Master and Commander: The Far Side of the World – Edouard Henriques III, Yolanda Toussieng — 4:1 —