Oscar Preview: Precursor Winners & Losers, Week 11

As the precursor awards continue unabated until Oscar night, I’m going to be providing a weekly update highlighting the films that have won and lost momentum through the precursor awards (and in some cases other outside influences).

With so little from the past week to talk about (the Chicago Independent Film Critics nominations and the SAG awards), there isn’t much this week in terms of winners and losers. Just two.

But, before we get into this week’s winners and losers, let’s take a look at what’s coming up this week:

Week 12

Thursday, Jan. 31 – Casting Society (Awards) (Official)
Friday, Feb. 1 – Cinema Editors (Awards) (Official)
Saturday, Feb. 2 – Chicago Independent Critics (Awards) (Official)
Saturday, Feb. 2 – Annie Awards (Awards) (Official)
Saturday, Feb. 2 – Art Directors (Awards) (Official)
Saturday, Feb. 2 – Directors Guild (Awards) (Official)
Monday, Feb. 4 – Nominees Lunch (Official)

Big Winners

Black Panther topped the Chicago Independent Film Critics nominations list and then turned around Sunday night and won both Best Cast and Best Stunt Ensemble at the Screen Actors Guild Award. It was the first film ever to win both awards, but it also represented a watershed mark for the superhero genre in general and black cinema in specific. This is also the first majority-black cast to win the Ensemble award, which is a momentous event. That said, the chances of this film carrying on to the Oscars is slim as it cannot win any other major award between now and the Oscars and the Academy is sure to pick something a bit more “serious.”

Big Losers

Vice didn’t get an ensemble nomination from SAG, but two of its number were selected as nominees: Christian Bale and Amy Adams. Both went into Sunday night as potential winners, but came out empty-handed. This injures Amy Adams’ chances at an Oscar, but it’s only a road bump for Bale who still has a solid chance at the Oscar. The big question now is how BAFTA supports the film. If either lose out there as well, then their Oscar chances might be permanently damaged.

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