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Every week, we’ll take a look back in 5-year intervals at the box office past to explore how Oscar’s nominees were doing at the box office each weekend historically. The first section under each year is the positioning of all Oscar nominees during that weekend at the box office (as well as a section looking at the inflation-adjusted numbers). The third section is an alphabetical list of those films and the categories in which they were nominated. And to start each week off, we’ll be looking at the films releasing over the weekend that have the best chance of getting Oscar nominations and specifying the categories where we think they have the best shots at this stage of the game. If you have any suggestions for more data you’d like to see, please let us know.

This Year: Potential Oscar Nominees Releasing This Weekend

None

5 Years Ago: The Weekend of Jul. 1-3, 2016

Weekend Box Office:

  1. The Jungle Book (2016, 89th) – $643,046 ($359,477,644 total) {week 12}
  2. The Lobster (2016, 89th) – $311,813 ($8,055,749 total) {week 14}
  3. Zootopia (2016, 89th) – $167,968 ($340,719,787 total) {week 18}
  4. Life, Animated (2016, 89th) – $21,883 ($21,883 total) {week 1}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

  1. The Jungle Book (2016, 89th) – $680,960 ($380,672,280 total)
  2. The Lobster (2016, 89th) – $330,197 ($8,530,712 total)
  3. Zootopia (2016, 89th) – $177,871 ($360,808,468 total)
  4. Life, Animated (2016, 89th) – $23,173 ($23,173 total)

Oscar Details:

  • The Jungle Book (2016, 89th): Visual Effects [O]
  • Life, Animated (2016, 89th): Documentary Feature
  • The Lobster (2016, 89th): Original Screenplay
  • Zootopia (2016, 89th): Animated Feature [O]

10 Years Ago: The Weekend of Jul. 8-10, 2011

Weekend Box Office:

  1. Transformers: Dark of the Moon (2011, 84th) – $47,103,276 ($261,078,700 total) {week 2}
  2. Midnight in Paris (2011, 84th) – $2,634,785 ($38,579,052 total) {week 8}
  3. Bridesmaids (2011, 84th) – $2,628,285 ($158,142,030 total) {week 9}
  4. Kung Fu Panda 2 (2011, 84th) – $865,109 ($159,014,430 total) {week 7}
  5. The Tree of Life (2011, 84th) – $793,706 ($9,014,467 total) {week 7}
  6. Beginners (2011, 84th) – $553,422 ($3,250,749 total) {week 6}
  7. Rio (2011, 84th) – $413,317 ($141,282,076 total) {week 13}
  8. A Better Life (2011, 84th) – $330,296 ($559,550 total) {week 3}
  9. Incendies (2010, 83rd) – $35,703 ($1,809,673 total) {week 12}
  10. In a Better World (2010, 83rd) – $12,075 ($923,556 total) {week 15}
  11. Jane Eyre (2011, 84th) – $10,368 ($11,232,825 total) {week 18}
  12. If a Tree Falls (2011, 84th) – $1,323 ($25,546 total) {week 3}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

  1. Transformers: Dark of the Moon (2011, 84th) – $54,409,333 ($301,573,883 total)
  2. Midnight in Paris (2011, 84th) – $3,043,459 ($44,562,940 total)
  3. Bridesmaids (2011, 84th) – $3,035,951 ($182,670,996 total)
  4. Kung Fu Panda 2 (2011, 84th) – $999,294 ($183,678,711 total)
  5. The Tree of Life (2011, 84th) – $916,816 ($10,412,676 total)
  6. Beginners (2011, 84th) – $639,262 ($3,754,964 total)
  7. Rio (2011, 84th) – $477,425 ($163,195,942 total)
  8. A Better Life (2011, 84th) – $381,527 ($646,340 total)
  9. Incendies (2010, 83rd) – $41,241 ($2,090,366 total)
  10. In a Better World (2010, 83rd) – $13,948 ($1,066,806 total)
  11. Jane Eyre (2011, 84th) – $11,976 ($12,975,117 total)
  12. If a Tree Falls (2011, 84th) – $1,528 ($29,508 total)

Oscar Details:

  • Beginners (2011, 84th): Supporting Actor (Christopher Plummer) [O]
  • A Better Life (2011, 84th): Actor (Demian Bichir)
  • Bridesmaids (2011, 84th): Supporting Actress (Melissa McCarthy), Original Screenplay
  • If a Tree Falls (2011, 84th): Documentary Feature
  • In a Better World (2010, 83rd): Foreign Language Film [O]
  • Incendies (2010, 83rd): Foreign Language Film
  • Jane Eyre (2011, 84th): Costume Design
  • Kung Fu Panda 2 (2011, 84th): Animated Feature
  • Midnight in Paris (2011, 84th): Picture, Directing, Original Screenplay [O], Art Direction
  • Rio (2011, 84th): Original Song (“Real in Rio”)
  • Transformers: Dark of the Moon (2011, 84th): Sound Mixing, Sound Film Editing, Visual Effects
  • The Tree of Life (2011, 84th): Picture, Directing, Cinematography

15 Years Ago: The Weekend of Jul. 7-9, 2006

Weekend Box Office:

  1. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man’s Chest (2006, 79th) – $135,634,554 ($135,634,554 total) {week 1}
  2. Superman Returns (2006, 79th) – $21,815,243 ($141,642,667 total) {week 2}
  3. The Devil Wears Prada (2006, 79th) – $15,014,778 ($63,110,544 total) {week 2}
  4. Click (2006, 79th) – $11,921,513 ($105,842,811 total) {week 3}
  5. Cars (2006, 79th) – $10,734,082 ($205,908,484 total) {week 5}
  6. An Inconvenient Truth (2006, 79th) – $1,172,984 ($15,050,824 total) {week 7}
  7. Poseidon (2006, 79th) – $483,633 ($59,784,214 total) {week 9}
  8. Water (2006, 79th) – $80,577 ($2,849,976 total) {week 11}
  9. Sophie Scholl (2005, 78th) – $1,392 ($664,628 total) {week 21}
  10. Tsotsi (2005, 78th) – $763 ($2,912,363 total) {week 20}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

  1. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man’s Chest (2006, 79th) – $189,681,300 ($189,681,300 total)
  2. Superman Returns (2006, 79th) – $30,508,034 ($198,083,485 total)
  3. The Devil Wears Prada (2006, 79th) – $20,997,766 ($88,258,410 total)
  4. Click (2006, 79th) – $16,671,917 ($148,018,343 total)
  5. Cars (2006, 79th) – $15,011,327 ($287,957,514 total)
  6. An Inconvenient Truth (2006, 79th) – $1,640,387 ($21,048,175 total)
  7. Poseidon (2006, 79th) – $676,348 ($83,606,626 total)
  8. Water (2006, 79th) – $112,685 ($3,985,615 total)
  9. Sophie Scholl (2005, 78th) – $1,947 ($929,465 total)
  10. Tsotsi (2005, 78th) – $1,067 ($4,072,862 total)

Oscar Details:

  • Cars (2006, 79th): Animated Feature, Original Song (“Our Town”)
  • Click (2006, 79th): Makeup
  • The Devil Wears Prada (2006, 79th): Actress (Meryl Streep), Costume Design
  • An Inconvenient Truth (2006, 79th): Original Song (“I Need to Wake Up” [O]), Documentary Feature [O]
  • Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man’s Chest (2006, 79th): Art Direction, Sound Mixing, Sound Film Editing, Visual Effects [O]
  • Poseidon (2006, 79th): Visual Effects
  • Sophie Scholl (2005, 78th): Foreign Language Film
  • Superman Returns (2006, 79th): Visual Effects
  • Tsotsi (2005, 78th): Foreign Language Film [O]
  • Water (2006, 79th): Foreign Language Film

20 Years Ago: The Weekend of Jul. 6-8, 2001

Weekend Box Office:

  1. A.I. Artificial Intelligence (2001, 74th) – $14,037,488 ($59,573,204 total) {week 2}
  2. Shrek (2001, 74th) – $6,007,027 ($240,560,159 total) {week 8}
  3. Pearl Harbor (2001, 74th) – $3,242,099 ($186,599,845 total) {week 7}
  4. Moulin Rouge! (2001, 74th) – $1,352,672 ($50,951,493 total) {week 8}
  5. Sexy Beast (2001, 74th) – $736,683 ($3,088,225 total) {week 4}
  6. Memento (2001, 74th) – $490,136 ($21,372,479 total) {week 17}
  7. Bridget Jones’ Diary (2001, 74th) – $220,344 ($70,845,805 total) {week 13}
  8. Divided We Fall (2000, 73rd) – $59,173 ($314,769 total) {week 5}
  9. O Brother, Where Art Thou? (2000, 73rd) – $40,857 ($45,373,027 total) {week 29}
  10. Amores Perros (2000, 73rd) – $36,449 ($5,383,834 total) {week 15}
  11. Lagaan (2001, 74th) – $35,836 ($835,767 total) {week 4}
  12. Everybody Famous! (2000, 73rd) – $17,104 ($28,145 total) {week 1}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

  1. A.I. Artificial Intelligence (2001, 74th) – $22,717,913 ($96,411,758 total)
  2. Shrek (2001, 74th) – $9,721,620 ($389,316,441 total)
  3. Pearl Harbor (2001, 74th) – $5,246,931 ($301,988,442 total)
  4. Moulin Rouge! (2001, 74th) – $2,189,130 ($82,458,600 total)
  5. Sexy Beast (2001, 74th) – $1,192,229 ($4,997,905 total)
  6. Memento (2001, 74th) – $793,224 ($34,588,676 total)
  7. Bridget Jones’ Diary (2001, 74th) – $356,599 ($114,655,048 total)
  8. Divided We Fall (2000, 73rd) – $95,764 ($509,414 total)
  9. O Brother, Where Art Thou? (2000, 73rd) – $66,122 ($73,430,553 total)
  10. Amores Perros (2000, 73rd) – $58,988 ($8,713,060 total)
  11. Lagaan (2001, 74th) – $57,996 ($1,352,584 total)
  12. Everybody Famous! (2000, 73rd) – $27,681 ($45,549 total)

Oscar Details:

  • A.I. Artificial Intelligence (2001, 74th): Original Score, Visual Effects
  • Amores Perros (2000, 73rd): Foreign Language Film
  • Bridget Jones’ Diary (2001, 74th): Actress (Renee Zellweger)
  • Divided We Fall (2000, 73rd): Foreign Language Film
  • Everybody Famous! (2000, 73rd): Foreign Language Film
  • Lagaan (2001, 74th): Foreign Language Film
  • Memento (2001, 74th): Original Screenplay, Film Editing
  • Moulin Rouge! (2001, 74th): Picture, Actress (Nicole Kidman), Film Editing, Cinematography, Art Direction [O], Costume Design [O], Makeup, Sound
  • O Brother, Where Art Thou? (2000, 73rd): Cinematography
  • Pearl Harbor (2001, 74th): Original Song (“There You’ll Be”), Sound, Sound Film Editing [O], Visual Effects
  • Sexy Beast (2001, 74th): Supporting Actor (Ben Kingsley)
  • Shrek (2001, 74th): Animated Feature [O], Adapted Screenplay

25 Years Ago: The Weekend of Jul. 5-7, 1996

Weekend Box Office:

  1. Independence Day (1996, 69th) – $50,228,264 ($96,102,252 total) {week 1}
  2. The Nutty Professor (1996, 69th) – $17,488,840 ($59,816,315 total) {week 2}
  3. The Hunchback of Notre Dame (1996, 69th) – $8,892,937 ($65,096,195 total) {week 3}
  4. Eraser (1996, 69th) – $8,790,009 ($70,872,789 total) {week 3}
  5. The Rock (1996, 69th) – $6,385,082 ($110,306,972 total) {week 5}
  6. Twister (1996, 69th) – $2,740,227 ($225,138,509 total) {week 9}
  7. Dragonheart (1996, 69th) – $869,220 ($45,683,715 total) {week 6}
  8. Lone Star (1996, 69th) – $600,247 ($1,687,584 total) {week 3}
  9. Toy Story (1995, 68th) – $186,018 ($190,991,145 total) {week 33}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

  1. Independence Day (1996, 69th) – $104,092,963 ($199,162,133 total)
  2. The Nutty Professor (1996, 69th) – $36,243,840 ($123,963,223 total)
  3. The Hunchback of Notre Dame (1996, 69th) – $18,429,707 ($134,905,237 total)
  4. Eraser (1996, 69th) – $18,216,399 ($146,876,640 total)
  5. The Rock (1996, 69th) – $13,232,432 ($228,599,969 total)
  6. Twister (1996, 69th) – $5,678,841 ($466,576,639 total)
  7. Dragonheart (1996, 69th) – $1,801,370 ($94,674,848 total)
  8. Lone Star (1996, 69th) – $1,243,951 ($3,497,346 total)
  9. Toy Story (1995, 68th) – $385,503 ($395,809,703 total)

Oscar Details:

  • Dragonheart (1996, 69th): Visual Effects
  • Eraser (1996, 69th): Sound Effects Film Editing
  • The Hunchback of Notre Dame (1996, 69th): Original Musical or Comedy Score
  • Independence Day (1996, 69th): Sound, Visual Effects [O]
  • Lone Star (1996, 69th): Original Screenplay
  • The Nutty Professor (1996, 69th): Makeup [O]
  • The Rock (1996, 69th): Sound
  • Toy Story (1995, 68th): Original Screenplay, Original Song (“You’ve Got a Friend in Me”), Original Musical or Comedy Score
  • Twister (1996, 69th): Sound, Visual Effects

30 Years Ago: The Weekend of Jul. 5-7, 1991

Weekend Box Office:

  1. Terminator 2: Judgment Day (1991, 64th) – $31,765,506 ($52,306,548 total) {week 1}
  2. Robin Hood: Prince of Thieves (1991, 64th) – $10,343,849 ($97,689,104 total) {week 4}
  3. City Slickers (1991, 64th) – $8,200,660 ($74,615,421 total) {week 5}
  4. Backdraft (1991, 64th) – $2,810,610 ($64,545,270 total) {week 7}
  5. Thelma & Louise (1991, 64th) – $2,045,721 ($32,506,805 total) {week 7}
  6. The Silence of the Lambs (1991, 64th) – $496,158 ($126,748,453 total) {week 21}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

  1. Terminator 2: Judgment Day (1991, 64th) – $69,114,498 ($113,807,121 total)
  2. Robin Hood: Prince of Thieves (1991, 64th) – $22,505,857 ($212,549,214 total)
  3. City Slickers (1991, 64th) – $17,842,766 ($162,346,142 total)
  4. Backdraft (1991, 64th) – $6,115,246 ($140,435,789 total)
  5. Thelma & Louise (1991, 64th) – $4,451,022 ($70,727,395 total)
  6. The Silence of the Lambs (1991, 64th) – $1,079,527 ($275,775,731 total)

Oscar Details:

  • Backdraft (1991, 64th): Sound, Sound Effects Film Editing, Visual Effects
  • City Slickers (1991, 64th): Supporting Actor (Jack Palance) [O]
  • Robin Hood: Prince of Thieves (1991, 64th): Original Song (“(Everything I Do) I Do It for You”)
  • The Silence of the Lambs (1991, 64th): Picture [O], Directing [O], Actor (Anthony Hopkins) [O], Actress (Jodie Foster) [O], Adapted Screenplay [O], Film Editing, Sound
  • Terminator 2: Judgment Day (1991, 64th): Film Editing, Cinematography, Makeup [O], Sound [O], Sound Effects [O], Visual Effects [O]
  • Thelma & Louise (1991, 64th): Directing, Actor (Geena Davis, Susan Sarandon), Original Screenplay [O], Film Editing, Cinematography

35 Years Ago: The Weekend of Jul. 4-6, 1986

Weekend Box Office:

  1. The Karate Kid Part II (1986, 59th) – $6,284,953 ($40,748,971 total) {week 3}
  2. Top Gun (1986, 59th) – $4,636,548 ($80,554,738 total) {week 8}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

  1. The Karate Kid Part II (1986, 59th) – $15,517,566 ($100,609,319 total)
  2. Top Gun (1986, 59th) – $11,447,650 ($198,889,865 total)

Oscar Details:

  • The Karate Kid Part II (1986, 59th): Original Song (“Glory of Love”)
  • Top Gun (1986, 59th): Original Song (“Take My Breath Away” [O]), Film Editing, Sound, Sound Effects

40 Years Ago: The Weekend of Jul. 3-5, 1981

Weekend Box Office:

  1. Raiders of the Lost Ark (1981, 54th) – $7,342,026 ($46,273,735 total) {week 4}
  2. For Your Eyes Only (1981, 54th) – $6,250,000 ($17,238,007 total) {week 2}
  3. The Great Muppet Caper (1981, 54th) – $3,050,733 ($8,641,040 total) {week 2}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

  1. Raiders of the Lost Ark (1981, 54th) – $24,191,712 ($152,470,292 total)
  2. For Your Eyes Only (1981, 54th) – $20,593,525 ($56,798,613 total)
  3. The Great Muppet Caper (1981, 54th) – $10,052,055 ($28,471,916 total)

Oscar Details:

  • For Your Eyes Only (1981, 54th): Original Song (“For Your Eyes Only”)
  • The Great Muppet Caper (1981, 54th): Original Song (“The First Time It Happens”)
  • Raiders of the Lost Ark (1981, 54th): Picture, Director, Original Score, Film Editing [O], Cinematography, Art Direction [O], Sound [O], Visual Effects [O], Special Achievement Award (Sound Effects Film Editing) [O]

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