Contest: 86th Oscar Predictions

We’re getting started early this year. May to be precise. And we want you to join us. Literally.

This contest will be something unique in our history and has seldom been attempted elsewhere (at least that I’m familiar with). The winner of this year’s contest, to be announced in March of 2014, will get to be a Cinema Sight contributor for one year (starting May of 2014), culminating in the 87th Academy Awards coverage season and through the end of April 2015.

In addition to participating in prognosticating duties during the 87th awards, including but not limited to participation in monthly predictions lists and precursor analyses, you’ll also be part of our weekly Looking at the Weekend article and you’ll even get the opportunity to contribute a new article monthly on any topic (within reason and pre-discussion) and possibly even full-length film or television reviews. This is an unpaid position (everyone here is unpaid, but that’s beside the point) and after your participation has wrapped up in 2015, if we like what you’ve done, you could even become a permanent contributor here at Cinema Sight.

So, what do you have to do to win? Come out of the 86th Oscar season with the most points. Every month, on the first of the month, participants will be able to submit a list of five (or ten in the case of Best Picture) nomination predictions and one alternate in six Oscar categories (Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor, Best Actress, Best Supporting Actor and Best Supporting Actress) along with a forecast on the winner of each category. Each prediction that comes to fruition will be worth 100 points. Each month, you may submit a new list of predictions, but anything from prior lists that is not on your subsequent lists will be reduced in value to 50 points if it turns out to be accurate.

If you add one of your older, abandoned predictions back to your list at a later time, the previous predictions will still be worth 50 points, but all subsequent months predicting will earn you 100 points. Ties will be broken based on the number and frequency of predictions that go back farthest. If two tied competitors had predictions going back to May, the one with the most May-based, 100-point predictions would determine the winner.

On May 1, the first predictions post will appear. You’ll have two weeks to enter your predictions (predictions must be made no later than the 15th of each month). If you miss a month, your prior month’s predictions will automatically be duplicated the next month so you don’t have to miss out if something unforeseen occurs.

You will be able to submit nomination and winner predictions for May, June, July, August, September, October, November, December and January. Nominations will be announced on January 16. You will have one more opportunity to predict the winners of the Oscars based on the actual nominations slate. This call will be made on February 15, 2013 and you will have until February 28 to submit your final winner predictions in the specified 6 categories.

Still confused? Here’s a quick sample of how points will be assigned:

Larry places “Oz the Great and Powerful” into his May Best Picture slate. He leaves it on June, but Sam Raimi makes a stupid statement about the Academy having no taste for not nominating “The Evil Dead” and Larry moves his prediction out from his July list. In September, Raimi donates his entire fortune to the Academy museum, which leads Larry to put “Oz” back into his October predictions and leaves it there through his final predictions in January. “Oz” gets nominated for Best Picture. Larry gets 100 Points each for December, November and October. He gets no points for September, August or July because it wasn’t in his slate. He gets 50 points each for June and May because it was present, but had been removed. Thus, he receives 400 points alone from his “Oz the Great and Powerful” prediction.

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  1. 1. Best Picture-12 Years a Slave
    2. Best Director-Alfonso Quaron-Gravity
    3. Best Actor- Matthew McConaughey-Dallas Buyers Club
    4. Best Actress: Cate Blanchett-Blue Jasmine
    5. Best Supporting Actor-Jared Leto-Dallas Buyers Club
    & 6. Best Supporting Actress-Lupita Nyong’o-12 Years a Slave

  2. Actress in al laeding role: Emma Thompson, Meryl Streep, Berenice Bejo, Kate Winslet And Naomi Watts.

    1. This contest month has closed and you would need a full slate of nominees in the six categories to be eligible.

  3. PICTURE
    August: Osage County
    Blue Jasmine
    The Counselor
    Inside Llewellyn Davis
    The Monuments Men
    Rush
    Saving Mr. Banks
    The Wolf of Wall Street
    alt: Captain Phillips

    DIRECTOR
    George Clooney (The Monuments Men)
    Joel and Ethan Coen (Inside Llewellyn Davis)
    Ron Howard (Rush)
    Martin Scorsese (The Wolf of Wall Street)
    Ridley Scott (The Counselor)
    alt: John Lee Hancock (Saving Mr. Banks)

    ACTOR
    George Clooney (The Monuments Men)
    Leonardo DiCaprio (The Wolf of Wall Street)
    Michael Fassbender (The Counselor)
    Tom Hanks (Saving Mr. Banks)
    Oscar Isaac (Inside Llewellyn Davis)
    alt: Chris Hemsworth (Rush)

    ACTRESS
    Cate Blanchett (Blue Jasmine)
    Marion Cotillard (The Immigrant)
    Nicole Kidman (Grace of Monaco)
    Meryl Streep (August: Osage County)
    Emma Thompson (Saving Mr. Banks)
    alt: Carey Mulligan (Inside Llewellyn Davis)

    SUPPORTING ACTOR
    Jean Dujardin (The Wolf of Wall Street)
    Colin Farrell (Saving Mr. Banks)
    Harrison Ford (42)
    John Goodman (Inside Llewellyn Davis)
    Jonah Hill (The Wolf of Wall Street)
    alt: Jeremy Renner (The Immigrant)

    SUPPORTING ACTRESS
    Amy Adams (American Hustle)
    Julia Roberts (August: Osage County)
    Octavia Spencer (Fruitvale Station)
    Sharon Stone (Fading Gigolo)
    Alfre Woodard (Twelve Years a Slave)
    alt: Julianne Moore (Carrie)

  4. I’m going to extend this contest until the end of the month to give more people an opportunity to participate. For those who already have, thank you. The two of you will be permitted to make adjustments to your predictions one time before the end of the month to give you the same opportunity (Cannes) that others might have.

  5. Thomas LaTourrette

    Will try to guess.

    BEST PICTURE
    42
    August: Osage County
    Blue Jasmine
    Captain Phillips
    The Counselor
    Foxcatcher
    Fruitvale Station
    Inside Llewellyn Davis
    The Monuments Men
    Nebraska
    Twelve Years a Slave
    The Wolf of Wall Street

    alt. The Counselor

    DIRECTOR
    George Clooney – The Monuments Men
    Paul Greengrass – Captain Phillips
    Alexander Payne – Nebraska
    Martin Scorsese – The Wolf of Wall Street
    John Wells – August: Osage County

    alt. Joel Coen, Ethan Coen – Inside Llewellyn Davis

    ACTOR
    Bruce Dern – Nebraska
    Leonardo Di Caprio – The Wolf of Wall Street
    Chiwetel Ejiofor – Twelve Years a Slave
    Tom Hanks – Captain Phillips
    Matthew McConaughey – Dallas Buyers Club

    alt. Chiwetel Ejiofor – Twelve Years a Slave

    ACTRESS
    Judi Dench – Philomena
    Nicole Kidman – Grace of Monaco
    Meryl Streep – August: Osage County
    Kate Winslet – Labor Day
    Naomi Watts – Diana

    alt. Emma Thompson – Saving Mr. Banks

    SUPPORTING ACTOR
    Benedict Cumberbatch – August: Osage County
    Oscar Isaac – Inside Llewellyn Davis
    Joaquin Phoenix – The Immigrant
    Mark Ruffalo – Foxcatcher
    Sam Shepard – August: Osage County

    alt. Michael Fassbender – Twelve Years a Slave

    SUPPORTING ACTRESS
    Cate Blanchett – The Monuments Men
    Marcia Gay Harden – Parkland
    Catherine Keener – Captain Phillips
    Margot Martindale – August: Osage County
    Octavia Spencer – Fruitvale Station

    alt. Julia Roberts – August: Osage County

  6. What the hell, i’ll give it a try

    BEST PICTURE
    American Hustle
    August: Osage County
    Before Midnight
    Blue Jasmine
    The Butler
    Captain Phillips
    The Counselor
    Gravity
    The Monuments Men
    The Wolf of Wall Street

    alt. Grace of Monaco

    DIRECTOR
    George Clooney – The Monuments Men
    Alfonso Cuaron – Gravity
    Martin Scorsese – The Wolf of Wall Street
    Ridley Scott – The Counselor
    John Wells – August: Osage County

    alt. Paul Greengrass – Captain Phillips

    ACTOR
    Leonardo Di Caprio – The Wolf of Wall Street
    Chiwetel Ejiofor – Twelve Years a Slave
    Michael Fassbender – The Counselor
    Tom Hanks – Captain Phillips
    Matthew McConaughey – Dallas Buyers Club

    alt. Bruce Dern – Nebraska

    ACTRESS
    Cate Blanchett – Blue Jasmine
    Jessica Chastaine – The Disappearance of Eleanor Rigby: Hers
    Marion Cotillard – The Immigrant
    Nicole Kidman – Grace of Monaco
    Meryl Streep – August: Osage County

    alt. Sandra Bullock – Gravity

    SUPPORTING ACTOR
    Chris Cooper – August: Osage County
    Bennedict Cumberbatch – August: Osage County
    Michael Fassbender – Twelve Years a Slave
    Brad Pitt – The Counselor
    Mark Ruffalo – Foxcatcher

    alt. Stacy Keach – Nebraska

    SUPPORTING ACTRESS
    Amy Adams – American Hustle
    Margot Martindale – August: Osage County
    Kristin Scott Thomas – Only God Forgives
    Oprah Winfrey – The Butler
    Jennifer Lawrence – American Hustle

    alt. Julia Roberts – August: Osage County

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