Similar in structure and composition to the far more famous Golden Globes, the Satellite Awards have been around long enough to give us an idea of how prognosticative they can be. While their history of predicting the Oscars is mediocre, part of that can be attributed to their incredibly early announcements (preceding almost every other precursor group). That said, their list doesn’t appear to be too far off of conventional wisdom this year.

Doing better than expected: Black Panther. This was a film that some thought would struggle for Oscar recognition in Best Picture and Cinematography. It managed to pull in seven nominations, which is pretty hefty considering only three films received more citations.

Doing worse than expected: Mary Queen of Scots has the makings of a popular choice for Oscar voters, considering its subject matter and period. The film managed a paltry three nominations, including Best Picture, but missed out on an expected citation for star Saoirse Ronan.

Doing about as expected: Everyone else. A Star Is Born led while The Favourite, Roma, BlacKkKlansman, First Man, and If Beale Street Could Talk followed closely behind. Green Book picked up all the needed nominations, but was sparsely recognized. Where more could it have been nominated, though?

Nominations Tallies

(11) A Star Is Born
(9) The Favourite
(8) Roma
(7) Black Panther, BlacKkKlansman, First Man, If Beale Street Could Talk
(6) Mary Poppins Returns
(5) Green Book
(4) Boy Erased, Widows
(3) Can You Ever Forgive Me?, Eighth Grade, Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald, First Reformed, Leave No Trace, Mary Queen of Scots, Private War

The Nominations

Best Picture (Major)

Black Panther
First Man
Hereditary
If Beale Street Could Talk
Mary Queen of Scots
Widows

Best Picture (Independent)

BlacKkKlansman
Eighth Grade
First Reformed
Leave No Trace
Private Life
Private War

Best Picture (Comedy/Musical)

Crazy Rich Asians
The Favourite
Green Book
Mary Poppins Returns
Nico, 1988
A Star Is Born

Best Animated or Mixed Media

Incredibles 2
Isle of Dogs
Liz and the Blue Bird
Mirai
Ralph Breaks the Internet
Ruben Brandt, Collector

Best Director

BlacKkKlansman – Spike Lee
The Favourite – Yorgos Lanthimos
Green Book – Peter Farrelly
If Beale Street Could Talk – Barry Jenkins
Roma – Alfonso Cuaron
A Star Is Born – Bradley Cooper

Best Actor (Drama)

Willem Dafoe – At Eternity’s Gate
Ben Foster – Leave No Trace
Ryan Gosling – First Man
Ethan Hawke – First Reformed
Lucas Hedges – Boy Erased
Robert Redford – The Old Man & the Gun

Best Actress (Drama)

Yalitza Aparicio – Roma
Glenn Close – The Wife
Viola Davis – Widows
Nicole Kidman – Destroyer
Melissa McCarthy – Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Rosamund Pike – Private War

Best Actor (Comedy/Musical)

Bradley Cooper – A Star is Born
Rami Malek – Bohemian Rhapsody
Lin-Manuel Miranda – Mary Poppins Returns
Viggo Mortensen – Green Book
Nick Robinson – Love, Simon
John David Washington – BlacKkKlansman

Best Actress (Comedy/Musical)

Emily Blunt – Mary Poppins Returns
Olivia Colman – The Favourite
Trine Dyrholm – Nico, 1988
Elsie Fisher – Eighth Grade
Lady Gaga – A Star is Born
Constance Wu – Crazy Rich Asians

Best Supporting Actor

Mahershala Ali – Green Book
Timothée Chalamet – Beautiful Boy
Russell Crowe – Boy Erased
Adam Driver – BlacKkKlansman
Sam Elliott – A Star is Born
Richard E. Grant – Can You Ever Forgive Me?

Best Supporting Actress

Claire Foy – First Man
Nicole Kidman – Boy Erased
Regina King – If Beale Street Could Talk
Margot Robbie – Mary Queen of Scots
Emma Stone – The Favourite
Rachel Weisz – The Favourite

Best Original Screenplay

Eighth Grade
The Favourite
First Reformed
Green Book
A Quiet Place
Roma

Best Adapted Screenplay

BlacKkKlansman
The Death of Stalin
Can You Ever Forgive Me?
If Beale Street Could Talk
Leave No Trace
A Star Is Born

Best Original Score

BlacKkKlansman
Colette
First Man
If Beale Street Could Talk
Widows

Best Original Song

“All the Stars” – Black Panther
“Can You Imagine That?” – Mary Poppins Returns
“Requiem for a Private War” – Private War
“Revelation” – Boy Erased
“The Shallow” – A Star Is Born
“Strawberries & Cigarettes” – Love, Simon

Best Film Editing

BlacKkKlansman
First Man
If Beale Street Could Talk
Roma
A Star Is Born
Widows

Best Cinematography

Black Panther
Cold War
The Favourite
If Beale Street Could Talk
Roma
A Star Is Born

Best Art Direction & Production Design

Black Panther
Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald
The Favourite
First Man
Mary Poppins Returns
Roma

Best Costume Design

Black Panther
Colette
Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald
The Favourite
Mary Queen of Scots
A Star Is Born

Best Sound Mixing & Editing

Black Panther
First Man
Mary Poppins Returns
A Quiet Place
Roma
A Star Is Born

Best Visual Effects

Avengers: Infinity War
Black Panther
Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald
Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
Rampage
Ready Player One

Best International Film

The Cakemaker
Cold War
The Guilty
I Am Not a Witch
Roma
Shoplifters

Best Documentary

Crime + Punishment
Free Solo
Minding the Gap
RBG
Three Identical Strangers
Won’t You Be My Neighbor?

Special Achievement Awards

Auteur Award
Ryan Coogler

Ensemble, Motion Picture
The Favourite

Best First Feature
Rupert Everett – Happy Prince

Satellite Awards Data

First Awards: 1996 (23)