The nominees have just been announced. When the IPA first broke away from the Hollywood Foreign Press Association (they put on the Golden Globes for those who don’t know), the International Press Academy was concerned over the forced populism the Globes engendered each year by trying to name the biggest stars possible regardless of quality. The originally started out dividing all of the acting categories (including support) into Drama and Comedy/Musical. They eventually shifted the supporting awards back to singular categories and now they’ve done the same with all of their awards. Instead, they’ve picked ten nominees in most of the major categories.

and try as they might by picking movies like The Guard and Tyrannosaur, they managed to pick almost every Oscar contender out there for awards consideration. The Tree of Life, despite four major mentions, was ignored for the categories that it most needed: Best Picture and Best Director. The Help got a significant boost as it’s not generally a critic award-friendly film. Shame and Drive each got major boosts with these nominations. While few pay attention to the Satellite Awards as a precursor, looking at trends may give us an idea of what’s emerging as contenders through the awards season.

In addition to the nominees and/or winners listed below, this year, we’re giving you a quick background on each individual precursor including founding year, first awards year and a glimpse at how many predictions the group has gotten right in the last five years. This data can be found below.

Nomination Tallies

(8) Drive
(7) War Horse
(6) The Artist; The Descendants; Shame
(5) The Help; Hugo
(4) Albert Nobbs; Faust; The Guard; Moneyball; Super 8; The Tree of Life
(3) Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2; Midnight in Paris; Mozart’s Sister; The Muppets; Mysteries of Lisbon; Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy; Warrior; Water for Elephants

The Nominations

Best Picture

The Artist
The Descendants
Drive
The Help
Hugo
Midnight in Paris
Moneyball
Shame
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
War Horse

Best Animated or Mixed Media

The Adventures of Tintin
Kung Fu Panda 2
The Muppets
Puss in Boots
Rango
Rio

Best Director

The Artist – Michel Hazanavicius
The Descendants – Alexander Payne
Drive – Nicolas Winding Refn
The Guard – John Michael McDonagh
The Help – Tate Taylor
Hugo – Martin Scorsese
Midnight in Paris – Woody Allen
Shame – Steve McQueen
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy – Tomas Alfredson
War Horse – Steven Spielberg

Best Actor

George Clooney – The Descendants
Leonardo DiCaprio – J. Edgar
Michael Fassbender – Shame
Brendan Gleeson – The Guard
Ryan Gosling – Drive
Tom Hardy – Warrior
Woody Harrelson – Rampart
Gary Oldman – Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
Brad Pitt – Moneyball
Michael Shannon – Take Shelter

Best Actress

Glenn Close – Albert Nobbs
Olivia Colman – Tyrannosaur
Viola Davis – The Help
Vera Farmiga – Higher Ground
Elizabeth Olsen – Martha Marcy May Marlene
Meryl Streep – The Iron Lady
Charlize Theron – Young Adult
Emily Watson – Oranges and Sunshine
Michelle Williams – My Week with Marilyn
Michelle Yeoh – The Lady

Best Supporting Actor

Kenneth Branagh – My Week with Marilyn
Albert Brooks – Drive
Colin Farrell – Horrible Bosses
Jonah Hill – Moneyball
Viggo Mortensen – A Dangerous Method
Nick Nolte – Warrior
Christopher Plummer – Beginners
Andy Serkis – Rise of the Planet of the Apes
Christoph Waltz – Carnage
Hugo Weaving – Oranges and Sunshine

Best Supporting Actress

Jessica Chastain – The Tree of Life
Elle Fanning – Super 8
Lisa Feret – Mozart’s Sister
Judy Greer – The Descendants
Rachel McAdams – Midnight in Paris
Janet McTeer – Albert Nobbs
Carey Mulligan – Shame
Vanessa Redgrave – Coriolanus
Octavia Spencer – The Help
Kate Winslet – Carnage

Best Original Screenplay

The Artist
The Guard
Mozart’s Sister
Shame
The Tree of Life
Tyrannosaur

Best Adapted Screenplay

The Adventures of Tintin
Albert Nobbs
The Descendants
The Help
Moneyball
War Horse

Best Original Score

Drive
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2
Soul Surfer
Super 8
War Horse
Water for Elephants

Best Original Song

“Bridge of Light” – Happy Feet Two
“Gathering Stories” – We Bought a Zoo
“Hello Hello” – Gnomeo and Juliet
“Lay Your Head Down” – Albert Nobbs
“Life Is a Happy Song” – The Muppets
“Man or Muppet” – The Muppets

Best Film Editing

The Guard
The Descendants
Drive
Shame
War Horse
Warrior

Best Cinematography

The Artist
Drive
Faust
Hugo
The Tree of Life
War Horse

Best Art Direction & Production Design

Anonymous
The Artist
Faust
Hugo
Mysteries of Lisbon
Water for Elephants

Best Costume Design

Anonymous
The Artist
Faust
Jane Eyre
Mysteries of Lisbon
Water for Elephants

Best Sound Mixing & Editing

Drive
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2
Super 8
The Tree of Life
Transformers: Dark of the Moon
War Horse

Best Visual Effects

Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2
Hugo
Rise of the Planet of the Apes
Super 8
Transformers: Dark of the Moon
War Horse

Best Foreign Language Film

13 Assassins
Las Acacias
Faust
The Kid With a Bike
Le Havre
Miss Bala
Mozart’s Sister
Mysteries of Lisbon
A Separation
The Turin House

Best Documentary

American: The Bill Hicks Story
Cave of Forgotten Dreams
The Interrupters
My Perestroika
One Lucky Elephant
Pina
Project Nim
Tabloid
Senna
Under Fire: Journalists in Combat

Satellite Awards Data

First Awards: 1996 (16)

Precursor Accuracy

KEY:

• Nominee was nominated for the corresponding Oscar
• Nominee was not nominated for a corresponding Oscar
• Total (2010-2009-2008-2007-2006)

Picture: 20 (5-5-4-2-4) N / 45 (12-7-8-9-9) I
Animated Feature: 12 (3-3-2-2-2) N / 20 (6-3-4-4-3) I
Director: 13 (3-2-4-1-3) N / 21 (7-4-2-5-3) I
Actor: 18 (4-4-4-2-4) N / 43 (11-7-8-10-7) I
Actress: 21 (5-2-5-4-5) N / 41 (10-9-7-8-7) I
Supporting Actor: 12 (3-2-4-2-1) N / 18 (5-3-2-3-5) I
Supporting Actress: 14 (2-3-1-4-4) N / 18 (6-2-6-2-2) I
Original Screenplay: 13 (3-3-2-3-2) N / 16 (4-2-4-2-4) I
Adapted Screenplay: 16 (3-4-4-3-2) N / 15 (5-1-2-3-4) I
Original Score: 12 (3-1-3-3-2) N / 20 (5-5-3-3-4) I
Original Song: 8 (1-3-2-0-2) N / 22 (5-3-4-6-4) I
Film Editing: 8 (1-2-2-2-1) N / 20 (5-4-3-4-4) I
Cinematography: 8 (1-1-2-3-1) N / 25 (7-5-4-3-6) I
Art Direction: 8 (2-1-3-0-2) N / 22 (5-5-3-6-3) I
Costume Design: 15 (2-3-3-3-4) N / 12 (3-2-3-3-1) I
Sound Mixing: 7 (1-1-2-1-2) N / 18 (6-5-4-5-3) I
Visual Effects: 9 (3-1-2-2-1) N / 21 (3-5-3-4-6) I
Foreign Film: 6 (2-1-1-0-2) N / 26 (5-5-5-7-4) I
Documentary: 9 (2-1-2-2-2) N / 26 (8-5-4-4-5) I