Every week, we’ll take a look back in 5-year intervals at the box office past to explore how Oscar’s nominees were doing at the box office each weekend historically. All data is collected from Box Office Mojo. The first section under each year is the positioning of all Oscar nominees during that weekend at the box office (as well as a section looking at the inflation-adjusted numbers). The third section is an alphabetical list of those films and the categories in which they were nominated. And to start each week off, we’ll be looking at the films releasing over the weekend that have the best chance of getting Oscar nominations and specifying the categories where we think they have the best shots at this stage of the game. If you have any suggestions for more data you’d like to see, please let us know.

This Year: Potential Oscar Nominees Releasing This Weekend

Hail, Caesar! (Wide)

Oscar Potential: Picture, Director, Supporting Actor (George Clooney, Channing Tatum), Original Screenplay, Original Score, Film Editing, Cinematography, Production Design, Costume Design.

5 Years Ago: The Weekend of Feb. 11-13, 2011

Weekend Box Office:

6. The King’s Speech – $7,230,790 ($93,675,761 total) {week 12}
9. True Grit – $3,785,344 ($160,355,029 total) {week 8}
13. The Fighter – $2,165,480 ($85,632,024 total) {week 10}
14. Black Swan – $2,122,555 ($99,337,220 total) {week 11}
16. Tangled – $813,849 ($193,304,696 total) {week 12}
18. Blue Valentine – $585,508 ($8,211,610 total) {week 7}
19. Biutiful – $580,245 ($2,263,341 total) {week 3}
20. 127 Hours – $559,094 ($16,845,896 total) {week 15}
21. Tron: Legacy – $554,476 ($169,753,832 total) {week 9}
23. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part I – $465,152 ($293,355,408 total) {week 13}
25. Another Year – $330,719 ($2,155,947 total) {week 7}
30. The Illusionist – $186,668 ($766,312 total) {week 7}
32. Barney’s Version – $281,953 ($1,236,854 total) {week 5}
34. Country Strong – $167,348 ($20,218,921 total) {week 8}
36. The Social Network – $134,791 ($96,619,124 total) {week 20}
40. Rabbit Hole – $86,217 ($1,875,936 total) {week 9}
43. The Way Back – $39,078 ($2,637,882 total) {week 4}
45. Inside Job – $26,861 ($3,932,976 total) {week 19}
50. Winter’s Bone – $19,256 ($6,395,005 total) {week 36}
65. Waste Land – $6,466 ($142,981 total) {week 16}
74. Dogtooth – $3,589 ($102,585 total) {week 34}
87. Animal Kingdom – $1,706 ($1,040,032 total) {week 27}
999. The Tempest – $613 ($276,200 total) {week 10}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

6. The King’s Speech – $7,449,629 ($96,510,841 total)
9. True Grit – $3,899,907 ($165,208,145 total)
13. The Fighter – $2,231,018 ($88,223,662 total)
14. Black Swan – $2,186,794 ($102,343,643 total)
16. Tangled – $838,480 ($199,155,027 total)
18. Blue Valentine – $603,228 ($8,460,133 total)
19. Biutiful – $597,806 ($2,331,841 total)
20. 127 Hours – $576,015 ($17,355,734 total)
21. Tron: Legacy – $571,257 ($174,891,401 total)
23. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part I – $479,230 ($302,233,756 total)
25. Another Year – $340,728 ($2,221,196 total)
30. The Illusionist – $192,317 ($789,504 total)
32. Barney’s Version – $290,486 ($1,274,287 total)
34. Country Strong – $172,413 ($20,830,843 total)
36. The Social Network – $138,870 ($99,543,284 total)
40. Rabbit Hole – $88,826 ($1,932,711 total)
43. The Way Back – $40,261 ($2,717,717 total)
45. Inside Job – $27,674 ($4,052,007 total)
50. Winter’s Bone – $19,839 ($6,588,549 total)
65. Waste Land – $6,662 ($147,308 total)
74. Dogtooth – $3,698 ($105,690 total)
87. Animal Kingdom – $1,758 ($1,071,508 total)
999. The Tempest – $632 ($284,559 total)

Oscar Details:

• 127 Hours: Picture, Actor (James Franco), Adapted Screenplay, Original Song (“If I Rise”), Editing
• Animal Kingdom: Supporting Actress (Jacki Weaver)
• Another Year: Original Screenplay
• Barney’s Version: Makeup
• Biutiful: Actor (Javier Bardem), Foreign Language Film
• Black Swan: Picture, Direcing, Actress (Natalie Portman) [O], Editing, Cinematography
• Blue Valentine: Actress (Michelle Williams)
• Country Strong: Original Song (“Coming Home”)
• Dogtooth: Foreign Language Film
• The Fighter: Picture, Directing, Supporting Actor (Christian Bale) [O], Supporting Actress (Amy Adams, Melissa Leo [O]), Original Screenplay, Editing
• Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part I: Art Direction, Visual Effects
• The Illusionist: Animated Feature
• Inside Job: Documentary Feature
• The King’s Speech: Picture [O], Directing [O], Actor (Colin Firth) [O], Supporting Actor (Geoffrey Rush), Supporting Actress (Helena Bonham Carter), Original Screenplay [O], Original Score, Editing, Cinematography, Art Direction, Costume Design, Sound Mixing
• Rabbit Hole: Actress (Nicole Kidman)
• The Social Network: Picture, Directing, Actor (Jesse Eisenberg), Adapted Screenplay [O], Original Score [O], Editing [O], Cinematography, Sound Mixing
• Tangled: Original Song (“I See the Light”)
• The Tempest: Costume Design
• Tron: Legacy: Sound Editing
• True Grit: Picture, Directing, Actor (Jeff Bridges), Supporting Actress (Hailee Steinfeld), Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Art Direction, Costume Design, Sound Mixing, Sound Editing
• Waste Land: Documentary Feature
• The Way Back: Makeup
• Winter’s Bone: Picture, Actress (Jennifer Lawrence), Supporting Actor (John Hawkes), Adapted Screenplay

10 Years Ago: The Weekend of Feb. 10-12, 2006

Weekend Box Office:

8. Brokeback Mountain – $4,025,031 ($66,460,791 total) {week 10}
12. The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe – $2,073,356 ($284,742,799 total) {week 10}
13. Walk the Line – $1,982,595 ($113,633,384 total) {week 13}
15. Match Point – $1,375,082 ($18,416,505 total) {week 7}
16. Capote – $1,267,007 ($20,129,191 total) {week 20}
19. Good Night, and Good Luck. – $872,018 ($28,190,802 total) {week 19}
20. Munich – $783,510 ($44,313,605 total) {week 8}
21. Mrs. Henderson Presents – $693,226 ($4,363,175 total) {week 10}
23. The New World – $626,159 ($11,304,718 total) {week 8}
24. King Kong – $535,595 ($215,699,910 total) {week 9}
27. Transamerica – $457,373 ($2,861,800 total) {week 11}
28. Memoirs of a Geisha – $341,929 ($56,070,640 total) {week 10}
32. Syriana – $275,787 ($48,723,888 total) {week 12}
40. Pride & Prejudice – $148,720 ($38,017,642 total) {week 14}
48. The Squid and the Whale – $87,847 ($6,910,842 total) {week 19}
56. Paradise Now – $23,453 ($1,255,977 total) {week 16}
71. Darwin’s Nightmare – $10,254 ($133,501 total) {week 28}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

8. Brokeback Mountain – $5,020,535 ($82,898,422 total)
12. The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe – $2,586,155 ($355,167,736 total)
13. Walk the Line – $2,472,947 ($141,738,129 total)
15. Match Point – $1,715,179 ($22,971,427 total)
16. Capote – $1,580,374 ($25,107,708 total)
19. Good Night, and Good Luck. – $1,087,693 ($35,163,184 total)
20. Munich – $977,294 ($55,273,611 total)
21. Mrs. Henderson Presents – $864,680 ($5,442,311 total)
23. The New World – $781,026 ($14,100,694 total)
24. King Kong – $668,063 ($269,048,590 total)
27. Transamerica – $570,494 ($3,569,604 total)
28. Memoirs of a Geisha – $426,498 ($69,938,493 total)
32. Syriana – $343,997 ($60,774,682 total)
40. Pride & Prejudice – $185,503 ($47,420,479 total)
48. The Squid and the Whale – $109,574 ($8,620,088 total)
56. Paradise Now – $29,254 ($1,566,616 total)
71. Darwin’s Nightmare – $12,790 ($166,520 total)

Oscar Details:

• Brokeback Mountain: Picture, Directing [O], Actor (Heath Ledger), Supporting Actor (Jake Gyllenhaal), Supporting Actress (Michelle Williams), Adapted Screenplay [O], Original Score [O], Cinematography
• Capote: Picture, Directing, Actor (Philip Seymour Hoffman) [O], Supporting Actress (Catherine Keener), Adapted Screenplay
• The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe: Makeup [O], Sound Mixing, Visual Effects
• Darwin’s Nightmare: Documentary Feature
• Good Night, and Good Luck.: Picture, Directing, Actor (David Strathairn), Original Screenplay, Cinematography, Art Direction
• King Kong: Art Direction, Sound Mixing [O], Sound Editing [O], Visual Effects [O]
• Match Point: Original Screenplay
• Memoirs of a Geisha: Original Score, Cinematography [O], Art Direction [O], Costume Design [O], Sound Mixing, Sound Editing
• Mrs. Henderson Presents: Actress (Judi Dench), Costume Design
• Munich: Picture, Directing, Adapted Screenplay, Original Score, Editing
• The New World: Cinematography
• Paradise Now: Foreign Language Film
• Pride & Prejudice: Actress (Keira Knightley), Original Score, Art Direction, Costume Design
• The Squid and the Whale: Original Screenplay
• Syriana: Supporting Actor (George Clooney) [O], Original Screenplay
• Transamerica: Actress (Felicity Huffman), Original Song (“Travelin’ Thru”)
• Walk the Line: Actor (Joaquin Phoenix), Actress (Reese Witherspoon) [O], Editing, Costume Design, Sound Mixing

15 Years Ago: The Weekend of Feb. 9-11, 2001

Weekend Box Office:

4. Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon – $5,404,223 ($60,335,388 total) {week 10}
5. Cast Away – $5,157,519 ($209,798,303 total) {week 8}
7. Traffic – $4,432,404 ($70,891,866 total) {week 7}
9. O Brother, Where Art Thou? – $3,095,782 ($21,086,088 total) {week 8}
10. Chocolat – $3,071,948 ($26,580,585 total) {week 9}
18. The Emperor’s New Groove – $1,330,561 ($83,498,624 total) {week 9}
23. Shadow of the Vampire – $549,792 ($5,628,409 total) {week 7}
26. Meet the Parents – $294,780 ($164,844,085 total) {week 19}
28. Malena – $260,611 ($2,122,254 total) {week 8}
29. You Can Count on Me – $241,917 ($6,354,622 total) {week 14}
30. 102 Dalmatians – $239,708 ($64,371,175 total) {week 12}
31. Before Night Falls – $212,875 ($1,398,907 total) {week 8}
33. Billy Elliot – $174,960 ($19,620,580 total) {week 18}
40. Dr. Seuss’ How the Grinch Stole Christmas – $97,980 ($259,806,995 total) {week 13}
46. Quills – $61,362 ($5,856,139 total) {week 12}
56. Requiem for a Dream – $30,602 ($3,329,328 total) {week 19}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

4. Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon – $7,800,795 ($87,091,894 total)
5. Cast Away – $7,444,687 ($302,836,066 total)
7. Traffic – $6,398,011 ($102,329,778 total)
9. O Brother, Where Art Thou? – $4,468,646 ($30,436,986 total)
10. Chocolat – $4,434,243 ($38,368,088 total)
18. The Emperor’s New Groove – $1,920,615 ($120,527,166 total)
23. Shadow of the Vampire – $793,604 ($8,124,400 total)
26. Meet the Parents – $425,504 ($237,946,321 total)
28. Malena – $376,182 ($3,063,395 total)
29. You Can Count on Me – $349,198 ($9,172,661 total)
30. 102 Dalmatians – $346,010 ($92,917,403 total)
31. Before Night Falls – $307,277 ($2,019,270 total)
33. Billy Elliot – $252,548 ($28,321,579 total)
40. Dr. Seuss’ How the Grinch Stole Christmas – $141,430 ($375,021,758 total)
46. Quills – $88,574 ($8,453,119 total)
56. Requiem for a Dream – $44,173 ($4,805,761 total)

Oscar Details:

• 102 Dalmatians: Costume Design
• Before Night Falls: Actor (Javier Bardem)
• Billy Elliot: Directing, Supporting Actress (Julie Walters), Original Screenplay
• Cast Away: Actor (Tom Hanks), Sound
• Chocolat: Picture, Actress (Juliette Binoche), Supporting Actress (Judi Dench), Adapted Screenplay, Original Score
• Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon: Picture, Directing, Adapted Screenplay, Original Song (“A Love Before Time”), Original Score [O], Editing, Cinematography [O], Art Direction [O], Costume Design, Foreign Language Film [O]
• Dr. Seuss’ How the Grinch Stole Christmas: Art Direction, Costume Design, Makeup [O]
• The Emperor’s New Groove: Original Song (“My Funny Friend and Me”)
• Malena: Original Score, Cinematography
• Meet the Parents: Original Song (“A Fool in Love”)
• O Brother, Where Art Thou?: Cinematography
• Quills: Actor (Geoffrey Rush), Art Direction, Costume Design
• Requiem for a Dream: Actress (Ellen Burstyn)
• Shadow of the Vampire: Supporting Actor (Willem Dafoe), Makeup
• Traffic: Picture, Directing [O], Supporting Actor (Benicio Del Toro) [O], Adapted Screenplay [O], Editing [O]
• You Can Count on Me: Actress (Laura Linney), Original Screenplay

20 Years Ago: The Weekend of Feb. 9-11, 1996

Weekend Box Office:

2. Mr. Holland’s Opus – $6,755,438 ($40,256,830 total) {week 7}
5. Leaving Las Vegas – $3,253,158 ($15,375,886 total) {week 16}
6. Dead Man Walking – $2,883,970 ($13,852,327 total) {week 7}
9. Sense and Sensibility – $2,403,775 ($24,283,897 total) {week 9}
11. 12 Monkeys – $1,706,465 ($51,815,424 total) {week 7}
16. Toy Story – $939,666 ($180,653,741 total) {week 12}
999. Babe – $202,875 ($58,143,235 total) {week 28}
999. The Postman (Il Postino) – $94,791 ($10,679,050 total) {week 35}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

2. Mr. Holland’s Opus – $12,486,862 ($74,411,380 total)
5. Leaving Las Vegas – $6,013,190 ($28,421,038 total)
6. Dead Man Walking – $5,330,777 ($25,604,867 total)
9. Sense and Sensibility – $4,443,177 ($44,886,751 total)
11. 12 Monkeys – $3,154,258 ($95,776,474 total)
16. Toy Story – $1,736,894 ($333,923,318 total)
999. Babe – $374,997 ($107,472,903 total)
999. The Postman (Il Postino) – $175,213 ($19,739,330 total)

Oscar Details:

• 12 Monkeys: Supporting Actor (Brad Pitt), Costume Design
• Babe: Picture, Directing, Supporting Actor (James Cromwell), Adapted Screenplay, Editing, Art Direction, Visual Effects [O]
• Dead Man Walking: Directing, Actor (Sean Penn), Actress (Susan Sarandon) [O], Original Song (“Dead Man Walkin’”)
• Leaving Las Vegas: Directing, Actor (Nicolas Cage) [O], Actress (Elisabeth Shue), Adapted Screenplay
• Mr. Holland’s Opus: Actor (Richard Dreyfuss)
• The Postman (Il Postino): Picture, Directing, Actor (Massimo Troisi), Adapted Screenplay, Original Dramatic Score [O]
• Sense and Sensibility: Picture, Actress (Emma Thompson), Supporting Actress (Kate Winslet), Adapted Screenplay [O], Original Dramatic Score, Cinematography, Costume Design
• Toy Story: Original Screenplay, Original Song (“You’ve Got a Friend in Me”), Original Musical or Comedy Score

25 Years Ago: The Weekend of Feb. 8-10, 1991

Weekend Box Office:

3. Home Alone – $6,001,085 ($221,181,762 total) {week 13}
5. Dances With Wolves – $3,905,835 ($103,912,717 total) {week 14}
6. Awakenings – $2,830,551 ($36,544,462 total) {week 8}
10. Green Card – $2,391,658 ($18,729,784 total) {week 8}
11. Hamlet – $1,812,050 ($13,458,232 total) {week 8}
12. The Grifters – $1,291,290 ($8,731,798 total) {week 10}
13. Edward Scissorhands – $923,514 ($48,901,636 total) {week 10}
14. The Godfather, Part III – $900,595 ($62,421,310 total) {week 8}
999. Ghost – $520,145 ($213,514,488 total) {week 31}
999. Good Fellas – $44,283 ($41,003,565 total) {week 21}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

3. Home Alone – $11,645,811 ($429,229,215 total)
5. Dances With Wolves – $7,579,732 ($201,654,845 total)
6. Awakenings – $5,493,017 ($70,918,825 total)
10. Green Card – $4,641,294 ($36,347,348 total)
11. Hamlet – $3,516,496 ($26,117,282 total)
12. The Grifters – $2,505,900 ($16,945,081 total)
13. Edward Scissorhands – $1,792,188 ($94,899,374 total)
14. The Godfather, Part III – $1,747,710 ($121,135,891 total)
999. Ghost – $1,009,403 ($414,349,968 total)
999. Good Fellas – $85,936 ($79,572,239 total)

Oscar Details:

• Awakenings: Picture, Actor (Robert De Niro), Adapted Screenplay
• Dances With Wolves: Picture [O], Directing [O], Actor (Kevin Costner), Supporting Actor (Graham Greene), Supporting Actress (Mary McDonnell), Adapted Screenplay [O], Original Score [O], Editing [O], Cinematography [O], Art Direction, Costume Design, Sound [O]
• Edward Scissorhands: Makeup
• Ghost: Picture, Supporting Actress (Whoopi Goldberg) [O], Original Screenplay [O], Original Score, Editing
• The Godfather, Part III: Picture, Directing, Supporting Actor (Andy Garcia), Original Song, Editing, Cinematography, Art Direction
• Good Fellas: Picture, Directing, Supporting Actor (Joe Pesci), Supporting Actres (Lorraine Bracco), Adapted Screenplay, Editing
• Green Card: Original Screenplay
• The Grifters: Directing, Actress (Anjelica Huston), Supporting Actress (Annette Bening), Adapted Screenplay
• Hamlet: Art Direction, Costume Design
• Home Alone: Original Song (“Somewhere in My Memory”), Original Score

30 Years Ago: The Weekend of Feb. 7-9, 1986

Weekend Box Office:

2. The Color Purple – $5,330,126 ($45,889,128 total) {week 8}
3. Murphy’s Romance – $3,664,831 ($10,023,859 total) {week 7}
4. Out of Africa – $3,548,440 ($55,295,894 total) {week 8}
10. Hannah and Her Sisters – $1,265,826 ($1,265,826 total) {week 1}
999. Back to the Future – $594,510 ($199,200,140 total) {week 32}
999. The Kiss of the Spider Woman – $228,240 ($13,135,688 total) {week 29}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

2. The Color Purple – $11,737,771 ($101,055,034 total)
3. Murphy’s Romance – $8,070,531 ($22,074,105 total)
4. Out of Africa – $7,814,220 ($121,770,203 total)
10. Hannah and Her Sisters – $2,787,547 ($2,787,547 total)
999. Back to the Future – $1,309,204 ($438,669,850 total)
999. The Kiss of the Spider Woman – $502,620 ($28,926,839 total)

Oscar Details:

• Back to the Future: Original Screenplay, Original Song (“The Power of Love’), Sound, Sound Effects Editing [O]
• The Color Purple: Picture, Actress (Whoopi Goldberg), Supporting Actress (Margaret Avery, Oprah Winfrey), Adapted Screenplay, Original Song (“Miss Celie’s Blues (Sister)”)
• Hannah and Her Sisters: Picture, Director, Supporting Actor (Michael Caine) [O], Supporting Actress (Dianne Wiest) [O], Original Screenplay [O], Film Editing, Art Direction
• The Kiss of the Spider Woman: Picture, Directing, Actor (William Hurt) [O], Adapted Screenplay
• Murphy’s Romance: Actor (James Garner), Cinematography
• Out of Africa: Picture [O], Directing [O], Actress (Meryl Streep), Supporting Actor (Klaus Maria Brandauer), Adapted Screenplay [O], Original Score [O], Film Editing, Cinematography [O], Art Direction [O], Costume Design, Sound [O]