Every week, we’ll take a look back in 5-year intervals at the box office past to explore how Oscar’s nominees were doing at the box office each weekend historically. All data is collected from Box Office Mojo. The first section under each year is the positioning of all Oscar nominees during that weekend at the box office (as well as a section looking at the inflation-adjusted numbers). The third section is an alphabetical list of those films and the categories in which they were nominated. And to start each week off, we’ll be looking at the films releasing over the weekend that have the best chance of getting Oscar nominations and specifying the categories where we think they have the best shots at this stage of the game. If you have any suggestions for more data you’d like to see, please let us know.

This Year: Potential Oscar Nominees Releasing This Weekend

Terminator: Dark Fate (Wide)

Oscar Potential: Sound Mixing, Sound Editing, Visual Effects.

5 Years Ago: The Weekend of Oct. 31-Nov. 2, 2014

Weekend Box Office:

2. Nightcrawler – $10,441,000 ($10,441,000 total) {week 1}
4. Gone Girl – $8,480,992 ($136,282,506 total) {week 5}
9. The Judge – $3,364,195 ($39,513,928 total) {week 4}
12. Birdman – $2,390,377 ($4,884,635 total) {week 3}
17. The Boxtrolls – $786,168 ($48,607,705 total) {week 6}
21. Guardians of the Galaxy – $563,687 ($329,390,224 total) {week 14}
23. Whiplash – $256,627 ($1,092,393 total) {week 4}
24. CitizenFour – $193,957 ($375,085 total) {week 2}
36. How to Train Your Dragon 2 – $89,109 ($176,706,379 total) {week 21}
41. Maleficent – $78,011 ($241,200,085 total) {week 23}
42. The Tale of the Princess Kaguya – $73,832 ($247,442 total) {week 3}
50. Dawn of the Planet of the Apes – $45,178 ($208,429,999 total) {week 17}
53. Boyhood – $34,887 ($23,860,413 total) {week 17}
58. Glen Campbell…I’ll Be Me – $27,930 ($137,495 total) {week 2}
77. Last Days in Vietnam – $7,600 ($408,700 total) {week 9}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

2. Nightcrawler – $11,680,629 ($11,680,629 total)
4. Gone Girl – $9,487,915 ($152,462,926 total)
9. The Judge – $3,763,616 ($44,205,300 total)
12. Birdman – $2,674,179 ($5,464,573 total)
17. The Boxtrolls – $879,507 ($54,378,754 total)
21. Guardians of the Galaxy – $630,612 ($368,497,754 total)
23. Whiplash – $287,096 ($1,222,090 total)
24. CitizenFour – $216,985 ($419,618 total)
36. How to Train Your Dragon 2 – $99,689 ($197,686,206 total)
41. Maleficent – $87,273 ($269,837,060 total)
42. The Tale of the Princess Kaguya – $82,598 ($276,820 total)
50. Dawn of the Planet of the Apes – $50,542 ($233,176,278 total)
53. Boyhood – $39,029 ($26,693,289 total)
58. Glen Campbell…I’ll Be Me – $31,246 ($153,819 total)
77. Last Days in Vietnam – $8,502 ($457,224 total)

Oscar Details:

• Birdman: Picture [O], Directing [O], Actor (Michael Keaton), Supporting Actor (Edward Norton), Supporting Actress (Emma Stone), Origianl Screenplay [O], Cinematography [O], Sound Mixing, Sound Editing
• The Boxtrolls: Animated Feature
• Boyhood: Picture, Directing, Supporting Actor (Ethan Hawke), Supporting Actress (Patricia Arquette) [O], Original Screenplay, Film Editing
• CitizenFour: Documentary Feature [O]
• Dawn of the Planet of the Apes: Visual Effects
• Glen Campbell…I’ll Be Me: Original Song (“I’m Not Gonna Miss You”)
• Gone Girl: Actress (Rosamund Pike)
• Guardians of the Galaxy: Makeup and Hairstyling, Visual Effects
• How to Train Your Dragon 2: Animated Feature
• The Judge: Supporting Actor (Robert Duvall)
• Last Days in Vietnam: Documentary Feature
• Maleficent: Costume Design
• Nightcrawler: Original Screenplay
• The Tale of the Princess Kaguya: Animated Feature
• Whiplash: Picture, Supporting Actor (J.K. Simmons) [O], Adapted Screenplay, Film Editing [O], Sound Mixing [O]

10 Years Ago: The Weekend of Oct. 30-Nov. 1, 2009

Weekend Box Office:

13. A Serious Man – $1,036,396 ($4,595,629 total) {week 5}
15. An Education – $467,376 ($1,537,993 total) {week 4}
20. Coco Before Chanel – $322,211 ($2,392,343 total) {week 6}
28. Bright Star – $132,684 ($4,121,818 total) {week 7}
31. Inglourious Basterds – $114,162 ($119,596,251 total) {week 11}
33. Julie & Julia – $106,529 ($93,486,212 total) {week 13}
38. District 9 – $82,319 ($115,646,235 total) {week 12}
51. Up – $46,268 ($292,979,556 total) {week 23}
79. Departures – $7,959 ($1,465,987 total) {week 23}
98. The Baader Meinhof Complex – $3,376 ($452,149 total) {week 11}
107. The Cove – $1,626 ($838,396 total) {week 14}
121. Food, Inc. – $444 ($4,410,116 total) {week 21}
124. Il Divo – $329 ($237,577 total) {week 27}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

13. A Serious Man – $1,263,021 ($5,600,540 total)
15. An Education – $569,576 ($1,874,301 total)
20. Coco Before Chanel – $392,668 ($2,915,469 total)
28. Bright Star – $161,698 ($5,023,122 total)
31. Inglourious Basterds – $139,125 ($145,747,965 total)
33. Julie & Julia – $129,823 ($113,928,530 total)
38. District 9 – $100,319 ($140,934,212 total)
51. Up – $56,385 ($357,044,419 total)
79. Departures – $9,699 ($1,786,549 total)
98. The Baader Meinhof Complex – $4,114 ($551,019 total)
107. The Cove – $1,982 ($1,021,725 total)
121. Food, Inc. – $541 ($5,374,461 total)
124. Il Divo – $401 ($289,527 total)

Oscar Details:

• The Baader Meinhof Complex: Foreign Language Film
• Bright Star: Costume Design
• Coco Before Chanel: Costume Design
• The Cove: Documentary Feature
• Departures: Foreign Language Film [O]
• District 9: Picture, Adapted Screenplay, Editing, Visual Effects
• Il Divo: Makeup
• An Education: Picture, Actress (Carey Mulligan), Adapted Screenplay
• Food, Inc.: Documentary Feature
• Inglourious Basterds: Picture, Director, Supporting Actor (Christoph Waltz) [O], Original Screenplay, Editing, Cinematography, Sound Mixing, Sound Editing
• Julie & Julia: Actress (Meryl Streep)
• A Serious Man: Picture, Original Screenplay
• Up: Picture, Animated Feature [O], Original Screenplay, Original Score [O], Sound Editing

15 Years Ago: The Weekend of Oct. 29-31, 2004

Weekend Box Office:

2. Ray – $20,039,730 ($20,039,730 total) {week 1}
4. Shark Tale – $7,502,096 ($146,859,079 total) {week 5}
14. The Motorcycle Diaries – $991,229 ($9,301,385 total) {week 6}
16. Sideways – $404,605 ($710,076 total) {week 2}
19. Being Julia – $305,324 ($793,947 total) {week 3}
20. Vera Drake – $297,553 ($788,198 total) {week 4}
28. Spider-Man 2 – $134,674 ($373,068,126 total) {week 18}
31. Hero – $85,667 ($53,242,836 total) {week 1}
32. I, Robot – $85,442 ($144,368,486 total) {week 16}
36. The Village – $71,140 ($114,034,203 total) {week 14}
46. Maria Full of Grace – $42,282 ($6,462,472 total) {week 16}
52. Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban – $31,662 ($249,358,727 total) {week 22}
64. Zelary – $18,079 ($223,072 total) {week 7}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

2. Ray – $29,494,868 ($29,494,868 total)
4. Shark Tale – $11,041,732 ($216,150,078 total)
14. The Motorcycle Diaries – $1,458,910 ($13,689,961 total)
16. Sideways – $595,506 ($1,045,104 total)
19. Being Julia – $449,382 ($1,168,547 total)
20. Vera Drake – $437,944 ($1,160,085 total)
28. Spider-Man 2 – $198,216 ($549,088,997 total)
31. Hero – $126,086 ($78,363,852 total)
32. I, Robot – $125,755 ($212,484,374 total)
36. The Village – $104,705 ($167,837,780 total)
46. Maria Full of Grace – $62,231 ($9,511,593 total)
52. Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban – $46,601 ($367,011,073 total)
64. Zelary – $26,609 ($328,322 total)

Oscar Details:

• Being Julia: Actress (Annette Bening)
• Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban: Original Score, Visual Effects
• Hero: Foreign Language Film
• I, Robot: Visual Effects
• Maria Full of Grace: Actress (Catalina Sandino Moreno)
• The Motorcycle Diaries : Adapted Screenplay, Original Song (“Al Otro Lado del Rio”) [O]
• Ray: Picture, Director, Actor (Jamie Foxx) [O], Editing, Costume Design, Sound Mixing [O]
• Shark Tale: Animated Feature
• Sideways: Picture, Director, Supporting Actor (Thomas Haden Church), Supporting Actress (Virginia Madsen), Adapted Screenplay [O]
• Spider-Man 2: Sound Mixing, Sound Editing, Visual Effects [O]
• Vera Drake: Director, Actress (Imelda Staunton), Original Screenplay
• The Village : Original Score
• Zelary: Foreign Language Film

20 Years Ago: The Weekend of Oct. 29-31, 1999

Weekend Box Office:

4. American Beauty – $3,779,747 ($54,106,032 total) {week 7}
5. Music of the Heart – $3,653,281 ($3,653,281 total) {week 1}
7. Fight Club – $3,296,137 ($27,659,756 total) {week 3}
8. The Sixth Sense – $3,200,961 ($259,835,832 total) {week 13}
17. Being John Malkovich – $637,721 ($637,721 total) {week 1}
19. The Straight Story – $372,733 ($863,769 total) {week 3}
25. Boys Don’t Cry – $257,330 ($975,059 total) {week 4}
27. Star Wars: Episode I – The Phantom Menace – $222,596 ($427,607,869 total) {week 24}
40. Buena Vista Social Club – $99,028 ($6,230,440 total) {week 22}
48. The Red Violin – $62,037 ($9,877,822 total) {week 42}
54. Tarzan – $40,661 ($170,445,708 total) {week 20}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

4. American Beauty – $6,800,568 ($97,348,254 total)
5. Music of the Heart – $6,573,029 ($6,573,029 total)
7. Fight Club – $5,930,451 ($49,765,781 total)
8. The Sixth Sense – $5,759,209 ($467,499,902 total)
17. Being John Malkovich – $1,147,396 ($1,147,396 total)
19. The Straight Story – $670,626 ($1,554,104 total)
25. Boys Don’t Cry – $462,991 ($1,754,338 total)
27. Star Wars: Episode I – The Phantom Menace – $400,498 ($769,357,465 total)
40. Buena Vista Social Club – $178,172 ($11,209,886 total)
48. The Red Violin – $111,618 ($17,772,302 total)
54. Tarzan – $73,158 ($306,668,065 total)

Oscar Details:

• American Beauty: Picture [O], Director [O], Actor (Kevin Spacey) [O], Actress (Annette Bening), Original Screenplay, Original Score, Editing, Cinematography
• Being John Malkovich: Director, Supporting Actress (Catherine Keener), Original Screenplay
• Boys Don’t Cry: Actress (Hilary Swank) [O], Supporting Actress (Chloe Sevigny)
• Buena Vista Social Club: Documentary Feature
• Fight Club: Sound Effects
• Music of the Heart: Actress, Original Song (“Music of My Heart”)
• The Red Violin : Original Score [O]
• The Sixth Sense : Picture, Director, Supporting Actor (Haley Joel Osment), Supporting Actress (Toni Collette), Original Screenplay, Editing
• Star Wars: Episode I – The Phantom Menace: Sound, Sound Effects, Visual Effects
• The Straight Story : Actor (Richard Farnsworth)
• Tarzan: Original Song (“You’ll Be In My Heart”)

25 Years Ago: The Weekend of Nov. 4-6, 1994

Weekend Box Office:

2. Mary Shelley’s Frankenstein – $11,212,889 ($11,212,889 total) {week 1}
4. Pulp Fiction – $5,142,126 ($38,145,544 total) {week 4}
9. Forrest Gump – $1,976,494 ($288,920,473 total) {week 18}
11. Bullets Over Broadway – $1,393,709 ($2,275,553 total) {week 3}
14. The Shawshank Redemption – $1,201,378 ($14,210,084 total) {week 7}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

2. Mary Shelley’s Frankenstein – $24,518,135 ($24,518,135 total)
4. Pulp Fiction – $11,243,787 ($83,409,156 total)
9. Forrest Gump – $4,321,807 ($631,754,336 total)
11. Bullets Over Broadway – $3,047,488 ($4,975,731 total)
14. The Shawshank Redemption – $2,626,937 ($31,071,810 total)

Oscar Details:

• Bullets Over Broadway: Director, Supporting Actor (Chazz Palminteri), Supporting Actress (Meg Tilly, Dianne Wiest [O]), Original Screenplay, Art Direction, Costume Design
• Forrest Gump: Picture [O], Director [O], Actor (Tom Hanks) [O], Supporting Actor (Gary Sinise), Adapted Screenplay [O], Original Score, Editing [O], Cinematography, Art Direction, Makeup, Sound, Sound Effects, Visual Effects [O]
• Mary Shelley’s Frankenstein: Makeup
• Pulp Fiction: Picture, Director, Actor (John Travolta), Supporting Actor (Samuel L. Jackson), Supporting Actress (Uma Thurman), Original Screenplay [O], Editing
• The Shawshank Redemption : Picture, Actor (Morgan Freeman), Adapted Screenplay, Original Score, Editing, Cinematography, Sound

30 Years Ago: The Weekend of Nov. 3-5, 1989

Weekend Box Office:

2. The Bear – $5,069,295 ($9,929,361 total) {week 2}
4. Crimes and Misdemeanors – $2,644,424 ($6,227,221 total) {week 4}
10. The Fabulous Baker Boys – $1,619,875 ($12,049,351 total) {week 4}
11. Black Rain – $1,565,656 ($40,892,166 total) {week 7}
14. Parenthood – $966,600 ($91,737,460 total) {week 14}
15. Batman – $826,415 ($250,003,913 total) {week 20}
16. Dad – $714,225 ($1,473,406 total) {week 2}
999. For All Mankind (Doc) – $33,777 ($38,510 total) {week 1}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

2. The Bear – $11,670,871 ($22,860,040 total)
4. Crimes and Misdemeanors – $6,088,170 ($14,336,725 total)
10. The Fabulous Baker Boys – $3,729,385 ($27,740,823 total)
11. Black Rain – $3,604,558 ($94,144,684 total)
14. Parenthood – $2,225,371 ($211,204,127 total)
15. Batman – $1,902,628 ($575,575,759 total)
16. Dad – $1,644,337 ($3,392,174 total)
999. For All Mankind (Doc) – $77,764 ($88,660 total)

Oscar Details:

• Batman: Art Direction [O]
• The Bear : Editing
• Black Rain: Sound, Sound Effects
• Crimes and Misdemeanors: Director, Supporting Actor (Martin Landau), Original Screenplay
• Dad: Makeup
• The Fabulous Baker Boys : Actress (Michelle Pfeiffer), Original Score, Editing, Cinematography
• For All Mankind (Doc):
• Parenthood: Supporting Actress (Dianne Wiest), Original Song (“I Love To See You Smile”)

35 Years Ago: The Weekend of Nov. 2-4, 1984

Weekend Box Office:

2. Places in the Heart – $2,532,800 ($19,679,440 total) {week 7}
5. A Soldier’s Story – $2,140,140 ($11,546,133 total) {week 8}
11. Ghostbusters – $1,058,105 ($214,191,229 total) {week 22}
13. Amadeus – $887,477 ($7,519,419 total) {week 7}
999. The Killing Fields – $32,181 ($32,181 total) {week 1}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

2. Places in the Heart – $6,889,819 ($53,532,762 total)
5. A Soldier’s Story – $5,821,690 ($31,408,231 total)
11. Ghostbusters – $2,878,298 ($582,651,141 total)
13. Amadeus – $2,414,149 ($20,454,610 total)
999. The Killing Fields – $87,540 ($87,540 total)

Oscar Details:

• Amadeus: Picture [O], Director [O], Actor (F. Murray Abraham [O], Tom Hulce), Adapted Screenplay [O], Editing, Cinematography, Art Direction [O], Costume Design [O], Makeup [O], Sound [O]
• Ghostbusters: Original Song (“Ghostbusters”), Visual Effects
• The Killing Fields : Picture, Director, Actor (Sam Waterston), Supporting Actor (Haing S. Ngor) [O], Adapted Screenplay, Editing [O], Cinematography [O]
• Places in the Heart: Picture, Director, Actress (Sally Field) [O], Supporting Actor (John Malkovich), Supporting Actress (Linsday Crouse), Original Screenplay [O], Costume Design
• A Soldier’s Story: Picture, Supporting Actor (Adolph Caesar), Adapted Screenplay