Every week, we’ll take a look back in 5-year intervals at the box office past to explore how Oscar’s nominees were doing at the box office each weekend historically. All data is collected from Box Office Mojo. The first section under each year is the positioning of all Oscar nominees during that weekend at the box office (as well as a section looking at the inflation-adjusted numbers). The third section is an alphabetical list of those films and the categories in which they were nominated. And to start each week off, we’ll be looking at the films releasing over the weekend that have the best chance of getting Oscar nominations and specifying the categories where we think they have the best shots at this stage of the game. If you have any suggestions for more data you’d like to see, please let us know.

This Year: Potential Oscar Nominees Releasing This Weekend

Suburbicon (Wide)

Oscar Potential: Picture, Director, Actor (Matt Damon), Supporting Actor (Oscar Isaac), Supporting Actress (Julianne Moore), Original Screenplay, Film Editing, Cinematography.

The Divine Order (Limited)

Oscar Potential: Foreign Language Film.

Félicité (Limited)

Oscar Potential: Foreign Language Film.

Novitiate (Limited)

Oscar Potential: Supporting Actress (Melissa Leo).

The Square (Limited)

Oscar Potential: Foreign Language Film.

5 Years Ago: The Weekend of Oct. 26-28, 2012

Weekend Box Office:

1. Argo – $12,085,059 ($60,510,347 total) {week 3}
12. Frankenweenie – $2,456,350 ($31,798,757 total) {week 4}
19. Brave – $293,876 ($235,457,538 total) {week 19}
21. The Master – $258,270 ($15,208,652 total) {week 7}
22. ParaNorman – $243,502 ($54,933,032 total) {week 11}
23. The Sessions – $217,353 ($376,996 total) {week 2}
27. Searching for Sugar Man – $137,728 ($2,192,640 total) {week 14}
68. Moonrise Kingdom – $9,547 ($45,507,865 total) {week 23}
69. Beasts of the Southern Wild – $9,396 ($11,204,347 total) {week 18}
85. How to Survive a Plague – $2,979 ($118,490 total) {week 6}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

1. Argo – $12,403,886 ($62,106,726 total)
12. Frankenweenie – $2,521,153 ($32,637,669 total)
19. Brave – $301,629 ($241,669,357 total)
21. The Master – $265,084 ($15,609,885 total)
22. ParaNorman – $249,926 ($56,382,270 total)
23. The Sessions – $223,087 ($386,942 total)
27. Searching for Sugar Man – $141,362 ($2,250,486 total)
68. Moonrise Kingdom – $9,799 ($46,708,449 total)
69. Beasts of the Southern Wild – $9,644 ($11,499,939 total)
85. How to Survive a Plague – $3,058 ($121,616 total)

Oscar Details:

• Argo: Picture [O], Supporting Actor (Alan Arkin), Adapted Screenlay [O], Original Score, Film Editing [O], Sound Mixing, Sound Editing
• Beasts of the Southern Wild: Picture, Directing, Actress (Quvenzhane Wallis), Adapted Screenplay
• Brave: Animated Feature [O]
• Frankenweenie: Animated Feature
• How to Survive a Plague: Documentary Feature
• The Master: Actor (Joaquin Phoenix), Supporting Actor (Philip Seymour Hoffman), Supporting Actress (Amy Adams)
• Moonrise Kingdom: Original Screenplay
• ParaNorman: Animated Feature
• Searching for Sugar Man: Documentary Feature [O]
• The Sessions: Actress (Helen Hunt)

10 Years Ago: The Weekend of Ocy. 26-28, 2007

Weekend Box Office:

6. Michael Clayton – $4,924,374 ($28,668,168 total) {week 4}
7. Gone Baby Gone – $3,817,451 ($11,226,975 total) {week 2}
14. Across the Universe – $1,687,341 ($19,296,796 total) {week 7}
15. Elizabeth: The Golden Age – $1,651,340 ($14,058,975 total) {week 3}
16. Into the Wild – $1,596,037 ($8,963,944 total) {week 6}
19. Lars and the Real Girl – $926,675 ($1,330,732 total) {week 3}
22. The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford – $431,441 ($2,859,767 total) {week 6}
25. Ratatouille – $295,692 ($205,292,872 total) {week 18}
26. Transformers – $291,507 ($318,759,914 total) {week 17}
27. The Bourne Ultimatum – $268,995 ($226,474,905 total) {week 13}
28. 3:10 to Yuma – $263,555 ($53,197,505 total) {week 8}
36. Eastern Promises – $141,458 ($17,114,882 total) {week 7}
58. In the Valley of Elah – $39,938 ($6,662,308 total) {week 7}
73. Once – $13,031 ($9,354,959 total) {week 24}
90. La Vie en Rose – $5,108 ($10,069,060 total) {week 22}
119. No End in Sight – $1,022 ($1,430,185 total) {week 14}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

6. Michael Clayton – $5,847,694 ($34,043,450 total)
7. Gone Baby Gone – $4,533,223 ($13,332,033 total)
14. Across the Universe – $2,003,717 ($22,914,945 total)
15. Elizabeth: The Golden Age – $1,960,966 ($16,695,033 total)
16. Into the Wild – $1,895,294 ($10,644,684 total)
19. Lars and the Real Girl – $1,100,427 ($1,580,244 total)
22. The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford – $512,336 ($3,395,973 total)
25. Ratatouille – $351,134 ($243,785,286 total)
26. Transformers – $346,165 ($378,527,398 total)
27. The Bourne Ultimatum – $319,432 ($268,938,950 total)
28. 3:10 to Yuma – $312,972 ($63,172,037 total)
36. Eastern Promises – $167,981 ($20,323,922 total)
58. In the Valley of Elah – $47,426 ($7,911,491 total)
73. Once – $15,474 ($11,109,014 total)
90. La Vie en Rose – $6,066 ($11,957,009 total)
119. No End in Sight – $1,214 ($1,698,345 total)

Oscar Details:

• 3:10 to Yuma: Original Score, Sound Mixing
• Across the Universe: Costume Design
• The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford: Supporting Actor (Casey Affleck), Cinematography
• The Bourne Ultimatum: Film Editing [O], Sound Mixing [O], Sound Editing [O]
• Eastern Promises: Actor (Viggo Mortensen)
• Elizabeth: The Golden Age: Actress (Cate Blanchett), Costume Design [O]
• Gone Baby Gone: Supporting Actress (Amy Ryan)
• In the Valley of Elah: Actor (Tommy Lee Jones)
• Into the Wild: Supporting Actor (Hal Holbrook), Editing
• Lars and the Real Girl: Original Screenplay
• Michael Clayton: Picture, Director, Actor (George Clooney), Supporting Actor (Tom Wilkinson), Supporting Actress (Tilda Swinton) [O], Original Screenplay, Original Score
• No End in Sight: Documentary Feature
• Once: Original Song [O]
• Ratatouille: Animated Feature [O], Original Screenplay, Original Score, Sound Mixing, Sound Editing
• Transformers: Sound Mixing, Sound Editing, Visual Effects
• La Vie en Rose: Actress (Marion Cotillard) [O], Costume Design, Makeup [O]

15 Years Ago: The Weekend of Oct. 25-27, 2002

Weekend Box Office:

5. My Big Fat Greek Wedding – $6,209,500 ($177,698,447 total) {week 28}
18. Bowling for Columbine – $1,077,129 ($2,498,319 total) {week 3}
22. Spirited Away – $415,924 ($3,997,219 total) {week 6}
28. Lilo & Stitch – $269,628 ($144,927,741 total) {week 19}
31. Frida – $205,996 ($205,996 total) {week 1}
41. Road to Perdition – $143,617 ($104,054,514 total) {week 16}
68. Minority Report – $24,756 ($132,014,112 total) {week 19}
79. Star Wars: Episode II – Attack of the Clones – $13,515 ($302,181,179 total) {week 24}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

5. My Big Fat Greek Wedding – $8,731,775 ($249,878,883 total)
18. Bowling for Columbine – $1,514,655 ($3,513,127 total)
22. Spirited Away – $584,871 ($5,620,874 total)
28. Lilo & Stitch – $379,150 ($203,796,841 total)
31. Frida – $289,671 ($289,671 total)
41. Road to Perdition – $201,954 ($146,321,064 total)
68. Minority Report – $34,812 ($185,637,744 total)
79. Star Wars: Episode II – Attack of the Clones – $19,005 ($424,926,030 total)

Oscar Details:

• Bowling for Columbine: Documentary Feature [O]
• Frida: Actress, Original Score [O], Original Song (“Burn It Blue”), Art Direction, Costume Design, Makeup [O]
• Lilo & Stitch: Animated Feature
• Minority Report: Sound Editing
• My Big Fat Greek Wedding: Original Screenplay
• Road to Perdition: Supporting Actor (Paul Newman), Original Score, Cinematography [O], Art Direction, Sound, Sound Editing
• Spirited Away: Animated Feature [O]
• Star Wars: Episode II – Attack of the Clones: Visual Effects

20 Years Ago: The Weekend of Oct. 24-26, 1997

Weekend Box Office:

5. Gattaca – $4,320,202 ($4,320,202 total) {week 1}
7. In & Out – $2,834,185 ($56,903,720 total) {week 6}
10. L.A. Confidential – $2,004,099 ($29,642,884 total) {week 6}
12. Boogie Nights – $1,807,702 ($3,300,228 total) {week 3}
14. The Full Monty – $1,656,761 ($24,656,016 total) {week 11}
999. Air Force One – $104,292 ($169,950,374 total) {week 14}
999. Men in Black – $200,870 ($244,337,321 total) {week 17}
999. The Sweet Hereafter – $75,455 ($244,784 total) {week 3}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

5. Gattaca – $7,689,771 ($7,689,771 total)
7. In & Out – $5,044,726 ($101,286,142 total)
10. L.A. Confidential – $3,567,209 ($52,763,042 total)
12. Boogie Nights – $3,217,631 ($5,874,262 total)
14. The Full Monty – $2,948,962 ($43,886,634 total)
999. Air Force One – $185,635 ($302,504,260 total)
999. Men in Black – $357,540 ($434,909,785 total)
999. The Sweet Hereafter – $134,307 ($435,705 total)

Oscar Details:

• Air Force One: Editing, Sound
• Boogie Nights: Supporting Actor (Burt Reynolds), Supporting Actress (Julianne Moore), Original Screenplay
• The Full Monty: Picture, Director, Original Screenplay, Original Musical or Comedy Score [O]
• Gattaca: Art Direction
• In & Out: Supporting Actress (Joan Cusack)
• L.A. Confidential: Picture, Director, Supporting Actress (Kim Basinger) [O], Adapted Screenplay [O], Original Dramatic Score, Editing, Cinematography, Art Direction, Sound
• Men in Black: Original Musical or Comedy Score, Art Direction, Makeup [O]
• The Sweet Hereafter: Director, Adapted Screenplay

25 Years Ago: The Weekend of Oct. 23-25, 1992

Weekend Box Office:

1. Under Siege – $9,024,560 ($42,581,109 total) {week 3}
2. The Last of the Mohicans – $4,450,251 ($49,808,895 total) {week 5}
9. A River Runs Through It – $1,586,359 ($2,643,407 total) {week 3}
13. Glengarry Glen Ross – $765,620 ($6,910,972 total) {week 4}
999. Unforgiven – $114,271 ($74,243,810 total) {week 12}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

1. Under Siege – $17,766,423 ($83,828,352 total)
2. The Last of the Mohicans – $8,761,097 ($98,057,511 total)
9. A River Runs Through It – $3,123,025 ($5,204,008 total)
13. Glengarry Glen Ross – $1,507,257 ($13,605,456 total)
999. Unforgiven – $224,962 ($146,161,910 total)

Oscar Details:

• Glengarry Glen Ross: Supporting Actor (Al Pacino)
• The Last of the Mohicans: Sound [O]
• A River Runs Through It: Adapted Screenplay, Original Score, Cinematography [O]
• Under Siege: Sound, Sound Effects
• Unforgiven: Picture [O], Director [O], Actor (Clint Eastwood), Supporting Actor (Gene Hackman) [O], Original Screenplay, Editing [O], Cinematography, Art Direction, Sound

30 Years Ago: The Weekend of Oct. 23-25, 1987

Weekend Box Office:

1. Fatal Attraction – $8,046,843 ($66,554,147 total) {week 6}
4. The Princess Bride – $3,264,935 ($13,566,422 total) {week 5}
6. Dirty Dancing – $1,785,660 ($37,229,977 total) {week 10}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

1. Fatal Attraction – $16,813,992 ($139,065,826 total)
4. The Princess Bride – $6,822,128 ($28,347,230 total)
6. Dirty Dancing – $3,731,162 ($77,792,561 total)

Oscar Details:

• Dirty Dancing: Original Song (“(I’ve Had) The Time of My Life”) [O]
• Fatal Attraction: Picture, Director, Actress (Glenn Close), Supporting Actress (Anne Archer), Adapted Screenplay, Editing
• The Princess Bride: Original Song (“Storybook Love”)

35 Years Ago: The Weekend of Oct. 22-24, 1982

Weekend Box Office:

4. An Officer and a Gentleman – $3,384,183 ($79,809,464 total) {week 13}
5. E.T. The Extra-Terrestrial – $3,243,210 ($274,838,082 total) {week 20}
6. My Favorite Year – $1,706,802 ($7,886,961 total) {week 3}
11. Rocky III – $325,481 ($117,957,690 total) {week 22}
12. Annie – $243,611 ($57,059,003 total) {week 18}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

4. An Officer and a Gentleman – $9,404,345 ($221,783,442 total)
5. E.T. The Extra-Terrestrial – $9,012,594 ($763,750,724 total)
6. My Favorite Year – $4,743,052 ($21,917,167 total)
11. Rocky III – $904,483 ($327,793,989 total)
12. Annie – $676,973 ($158,561,923 total)

Oscar Details:

• Annie: Original Song Score, Art Direction
• E.T. The Extra-Terrestrial: Picture, Director, Original Screenplay, Original Score [O], Editing, Cinematography, Sound [O], Sound Effects [O], Visual Effects [O]
• My Favorite Year: Actor (Peter O’Toole)
• An Officer and a Gentleman: Actress (Debra Winger), Supporting Actor (Louis Gossett Jr.) [O], Original Screenplay, Original Song (“Up Where We Belong”) [O], Original Score, Film Editing
• Rocky III: Original Song (“Eye of the Tiger”)