Every week, we’ll take a look back in 5-year intervals at the box office past to explore how Oscar’s nominees were doing at the box office each weekend historically. The first section under each year is the positioning of all Oscar nominees during that weekend at the box office (as well as a section looking at the inflation-adjusted numbers). The third section is an alphabetical list of those films and the categories in which they were nominated. And to start each week off, we’ll be looking at the films releasing over the weekend that have the best chance of getting Oscar nominations and specifying the categories where we think they have the best shots at this stage of the game. If you have any suggestions for more data you’d like to see, please let us know.

This Year: Potential Oscar Nominees Releasing This Weekend

The Last Duel (Wide)

Oscar Potential: Production Design, Costume Design, Makeup & Hairstyling.

5 Years Ago: The Weekend of Oct. 14-16, 2016

Weekend Box Office:

5. Deepwater Horizon (2016, 89th) – $6,407,716 ($49,393,048 total) {week 3}
9. Sully (2016, 89th) – $2,881,657 ($118,293,294 total) {week 6}
15. Suicide Squad (2016, 89th) – $716,073 ($323,676,752 total) {week 11}
25. A Man Called Ove (2016, 89th) – $200,960 ($432,719 total) {week 3}
28. Hell or High Water (2016, 89th) – $167,384 ($26,492,069 total) {week 10}
35. Kubo and the Two Strings (2016, 89th) – $114,785 ($47,346,434 total) {week 9}
41. Star Trek: Beyond (2016, 89th) – $80,536 ($158,804,470 total) {week 13}
47. Florence Foster Jenkins (2016, 89th) – $47,256 ($27,322,307 total) {week 10}
56. Captain Fantastic (2016, 89th) – $25,193 ($5,846,943 total) {week 15}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

5. Deepwater Horizon (2016, 89th) – $6,785,512 ($52,305,239 total)
9. Sully (2016, 89th) – $3,051,558 ($125,267,812 total)
15. Suicide Squad (2016, 89th) – $758,292 ($342,760,584 total)
25. A Man Called Ove (2016, 89th) – $212,809 ($458,232 total)
28. Hell or High Water (2016, 89th) – $177,253 ($28,054,029 total)
35. Kubo and the Two Strings (2016, 89th) – $121,553 ($50,137,958 total)
41. Star Trek: Beyond (2016, 89th) – $85,284 ($168,167,508 total)
47. Florence Foster Jenkins (2016, 89th) – $50,042 ($28,933,218 total)
56. Captain Fantastic (2016, 89th) – $26,678 ($6,191,676 total)

Oscar Details:

• Captain Fantastic (2016, 89th): Actor (Viggo Mortensen)
• Deepwater Horizon (2016, 89th): Sound Film Editing, Visual Effects
• Florence Foster Jenkins (2016, 89th): Actress (Meryl Streep), Costume Design
• Hell or High Water (2016, 89th): Picture, Supporting Actor (Jeff Bridges), Original Screenplay [O], Film Editing
• Kubo and the Two Strings (2016, 89th): Animated Feature, Visual Effects
• A Man Called Ove (2016, 89th): Makeup & Hairstyling, Foreign Language Film
• Star Trek: Beyond (2016, 89th): Makeup & Hairstyling
• Suicide Squad (2016, 89th): Makeup & Hairstyling [O]
• Sully (2016, 89th): Sound Film Editing

10 Years Ago: The Weekend of Oct. 21-23, 2011

Weekend Box Office:

2. Real Steel (2011, 84th) – $10,824,512 ($66,732,152 total) {week 3}
5. The Ides of March (2011, 84th) – $4,853,051 ($29,112,377 total) {week 3}
7. Moneyball (2011, 84th) – $3,981,852 ($63,640,746 total) {week 5}
17. The Help (2011, 84th) – $713,429 ($166,190,265 total) {week 11}
18. Drive (2011, 84th) – $608,534 ($33,188,983 total) {week 6}
20. Margin Call (2011, 84th) – $561,906 ($561,906 total) {week 1}
27. Rise of the Planet of the Apes (2011, 84th) – $237,066 ($175,631,265 total) {week 12}
29. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2 (2011, 84th) – $180,790 ($380,531,427 total) {week 15}
36. Midnight in Paris (2011, 84th) – $109,215 ($55,275,621 total) {week 23}
56. Warrior (2011, 84th) – $28,575 ($13,632,517 total) {week 7}
86. The Tree of Life (2011, 84th) – $6,147 ($13,303,319 total) {week 22}
104. Hell and Back Again (2011, 84th) – $2,326 ($15,890 total) {week 3}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

2. Real Steel (2011, 84th) – $12,503,472 ($77,082,788 total)
5. The Ides of March (2011, 84th) – $5,605,794 ($33,627,916 total)
7. Moneyball (2011, 84th) – $4,599,466 ($73,511,883 total)
17. The Help (2011, 84th) – $824,087 ($191,967,570 total)
18. Drive (2011, 84th) – $702,922 ($38,336,833 total)
20. Margin Call (2011, 84th) – $649,062 ($649,062 total)
27. Rise of the Planet of the Apes (2011, 84th) – $273,837 ($202,872,937 total)
29. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2 (2011, 84th) – $208,832 ($439,554,587 total)
36. Midnight in Paris (2011, 84th) – $126,155 ($63,849,267 total)
56. Warrior (2011, 84th) – $33,007 ($15,747,018 total)
86. The Tree of Life (2011, 84th) – $7,100 ($15,366,759 total)
104. Hell and Back Again (2011, 84th) – $2,687 ($18,355 total)

Oscar Details:

• Drive (2011, 84th): Sound Film Editing
• Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 2 (2011, 84th): Art Direction, Makeup, Visual Effects
• Hell and Back Again (2011, 84th): Documentary Feature
• The Help (2011, 84th): Picture, Actress (Viola Davis), Supporting Actress (Jessica Chastain, Octavia Spencer [O])
• The Ides of March (2011, 84th): Adapted Screenplay
• Margin Call (2011, 84th): Original Screenplay
• Midnight in Paris (2011, 84th): Picture, Directing, Original Screenplay [O], Art Direction
• Moneyball (2011, 84th): Picture, Actor (Brad Pitt), Supporting Actor (Jonah Hill), Adapted Screenplay, Film Editing, Sound Mixing
• Real Steel (2011, 84th): Visual Effects
• Rise of the Planet of the Apes (2011, 84th): Visual Effects
• The Tree of Life (2011, 84th): Picture, Directing, Cinematography
• Warrior (2011, 84th): Supporting Actor (Nick Nolte)

15 Years Ago: The Weekend of Oct. 20-22, 2006

Weekend Box Office:

1. The Prestige (2006, 79th) – $14,801,808 ($14,801,808 total) {week 1}
2. The Departed (2006, 79th) – $13,462,256 ($76,935,185 total) {week 3}
3. Flags of Our Fathers (2006, 79th) – $10,245,190 ($10,245,190 total) {week 1}
8. Marie Antoinette (2006, 79th) – $5,361,050 ($5,361,050 total) {week 1}
16. The Queen (2006, 79th) – $151,081 ($3,768,588 total) {week 4}
19. The Illusionist (2006, 79th) – $754,633 ($37,466,817 total) {week 10}
20. Little Miss Sunshine (2006, 79th) – $541,716 ($57,209,137 total) {week 13}
21. The Last King of Scotland (2006, 79th) – $431,610 ($1,924,774 total) {week 4}
27. Little Children (2006, 79th) – $238,390 ($508,772 total) {week 3}
32. Monster House (2006, 79th) – $202,477 ($73,661,010 total) {week 14}
34. Superman Returns (2006, 79th) – $17,330 ($200,006,305 total) {week 17}
39. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man’s Chest (2006, 79th) – $119,883 ($421,243,455 total) {week 16}
43. The Devil Wears Prada (2006, 79th) – $81,129 ($124,450,077 total) {week 17}
47. Jesus Camp (2006, 79th) – $61,344 ($594,475 total) {week 6}
51. Half Nelson (2006, 79th) – $48,666 ($2,591,047 total) {week 11}
52. The Black Dahlia (2006, 79th) – $46,520 ($22,518,325 total) {week 6}
74. An Inconvenient Truth (2006, 79th) – $10,294 ($23,793,821 total) {week 22}
77. Deliver Us From Evil (2006, 79th) – $9,257 ($32,636 total) {week 2}
127. My Country, My Country (2006, 79th) – $356 ($32,854 total) {week 12}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

1. The Prestige (2006, 79th) – $20,699,933 ($20,699,933 total)
2. The Departed (2006, 79th) – $18,826,605 ($107,591,801 total)
3. Flags of Our Fathers (2006, 79th) – $14,327,624 ($14,327,624 total)
8. Marie Antoinette (2006, 79th) – $7,497,285 ($7,497,285 total)
16. The Queen (2006, 79th) – $211,283 ($5,270,270 total)
19. The Illusionist (2006, 79th) – $1,055,334 ($52,396,343 total)
20. Little Miss Sunshine (2006, 79th) – $757,575 ($80,005,450 total)
21. The Last King of Scotland (2006, 79th) – $603,595 ($2,691,745 total)
27. Little Children (2006, 79th) – $333,382 ($711,504 total)
32. Monster House (2006, 79th) – $283,159 ($103,012,954 total)
34. Superman Returns (2006, 79th) – $24,236 ($279,703,474 total)
39. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man’s Chest (2006, 79th) – $167,653 ($589,097,717 total)
43. The Devil Wears Prada (2006, 79th) – $113,457 ($174,040,108 total)
47. Jesus Camp (2006, 79th) – $85,788 ($831,357 total)
51. Half Nelson (2006, 79th) – $68,058 ($3,623,510 total)
52. The Black Dahlia (2006, 79th) – $65,057 ($31,491,276 total)
74. An Inconvenient Truth (2006, 79th) – $14,396 ($33,275,023 total)
77. Deliver Us From Evil (2006, 79th) – $12,946 ($45,641 total)
127. My Country, My Country (2006, 79th) – $498 ($45,945 total)

Oscar Details:

• The Black Dahlia (2006, 79th): Cinematography
• Deliver Us From Evil (2006, 79th): Documentary Feature
• The Departed (2006, 79th): Picture [O], Director [O], Supporting Actor (Mark Wahlberg), Adapted Screenplay [O], Film Editing
• The Devil Wears Prada (2006, 79th): Actress (Meryl Streep), Costume Design
• Flags of Our Fathers (2006, 79th): Sound Mixing, Sound Film Editing
• Half Nelson (2006, 79th): Actor (Ryan Gosling)
• The Illusionist (2006, 79th): Cinematography
• An Inconvenient Truth (2006, 79th): Original Song (“I Need to Wake Up” [O]), Documentary Feature [O]
• Jesus Camp (2006, 79th): Documentary Feature
• The Last King of Scotland (2006, 79th): Actor (Forest Whitaker [O])
• Little Children (2006, 79th): Actress (Kate Winslet), Supporting Actor (Jackie Earle Haley), Adapted Screenplay
• Little Miss Sunshine (2006, 79th): Picture, Supporting Actor (Alan Arkin [O]), Supporting Actress (Abigail Breslin), Original Screenplay [O]
• Marie Antoinette (2006, 79th): Costume Design [O]
• Monster House (2006, 79th): Animated Feature
• My Country, My Country (2006, 79th): Documentary Feature
• Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man’s Chest (2006, 79th): Art Direction, Sound Mixing, Sound Film Editing, Visual Effects [O]
• The Prestige (2006, 79th): Cinematography, Art Direction
• The Queen (2006, 79th): Picture, Director, Actress (Helen Mirren [O]), Original Screenplay, Original Score, Costume Design
• Superman Returns (2006, 79th): Visual Effects

20 Years Ago: The Weekend of Oct. 19-21, 2001

Weekend Box Office:

3. Training Day (2001, 74th) – $9,325,443 ($57,283,521 total) {week 3}
15. Mulholland Drive (2001, 74th) – $960,558 ($1,859,343 total) {week 2}
20. Shrek (2001, 74th) – $271,870 ($266,636,479 total) {week 23}
34. Ghost World (2001, 74th) – $111,652 ($5,792,350 total) {week 14}
35. Pearl Harbor (2001, 74th) – $106,723 ($198,245,981 total) {week 22}
999. Moulin Rouge! (2001, 74th) – $15,009 ($56,689,748 total) {week 23}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

3. Training Day (2001, 74th) – $15,092,060 ($92,706,193 total)
15. Mulholland Drive (2001, 74th) – $1,554,543 ($3,009,113 total)
20. Shrek (2001, 74th) – $439,987 ($431,517,694 total)
34. Ghost World (2001, 74th) – $180,695 ($9,374,192 total)
35. Pearl Harbor (2001, 74th) – $172,718 ($320,836,252 total)
999. Moulin Rouge! (2001, 74th) – $24,290 ($91,745,246 total)

Oscar Details:

• Ghost World (2001, 74th): Adapted Screenplay
• Moulin Rouge! (2001, 74th): Picture, Actress (Nicole Kidman), Film Editing, Cinematography, Art Direction [O], Costume Design [O], Makeup, Sound
• Mulholland Drive (2001, 74th): Director
• Pearl Harbor (2001, 74th): Original Song (“There You’ll Be”), Sound, Sound Film Editing [O], Visual Effects
• Shrek (2001, 74th): Animated Feature [O], Adapted Screenplay
• Training Day (2001, 74th): Actor (Denzel Washington [O]), Supporting Actor (Ethan Hawke)

25 Years Ago: The Weekend of Oct. 18-20, 1996

Weekend Box Office:

1. Sleepers (1996, 69th) – $12,305,745 ($12,305,745 total) {week 1}
2. The Ghost and the Darkness (1996, 69th) – $7,507,928 ($20,241,321 total) {week 2}
3. First Wives Club (1996, 69th) – $6,737,593 ($82,155,146 total) {week 5}
5. That Thing You Do! (1996, 69th) – $3,866,648 ($17,754,851 total) {week 3}
10. Fly Away Home (1996, 69th) – $1,407,425 ($19,758,779 total) {week 6}
11. Independence Day (1996, 69th) – $1,344,607 ($299,213,307 total) {week 16}
999. Michael Collins (1996, 69th) – $187,692 ($460,992 total) {week 2}
999. The Rock (1996, 69th) – $133,536 ($133,768,962 total) {week 20}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

1. Sleepers (1996, 69th) – $25,502,404 ($25,502,404 total)
2. The Ghost and the Darkness (1996, 69th) – $15,559,416 ($41,948,077 total)
3. First Wives Club (1996, 69th) – $13,962,976 ($170,258,176 total)
5. That Thing You Do! (1996, 69th) – $8,013,234 ($36,795,121 total)
10. Fly Away Home (1996, 69th) – $2,916,745 ($40,948,058 total)
11. Independence Day (1996, 69th) – $2,786,561 ($620,089,116 total)
999. Michael Collins (1996, 69th) – $388,973 ($955,359 total)
999. The Rock (1996, 69th) – $276,740 ($277,222,555 total)

Oscar Details:

• First Wives Club (1996, 69th): Original Comedy or Musical Score
• Fly Away Home (1996, 69th): Cinematography
• The Ghost and the Darkness (1996, 69th): Sound Effects [O]
• Independence Day (1996, 69th): Sound, Visual Effects [O]
• Michael Collins (1996, 69th): Original Score, Cinematography
• The Rock (1996, 69th): Sound
• Sleepers (1996, 69th): Original Dramatic Score
• That Thing You Do! (1996, 69th): Original Song (“That Thing You Do”)

30 Years Ago: The Weekend of Oct. 18-20, 1991

Weekend Box Office:

3. The Fisher King (1991, 64th) – $3,381,180 ($27,372,072 total) {week 5}
12. Robin Hood: Prince of Thieves (1991, 64th) – $964,175 ($163,012,523 total) {week 19}
999. Terminator 2: Judgment Day (1991, 64th) – $566,489 ($198,849,143 total) {week 16}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

3. The Fisher King (1991, 64th) – $7,356,677 ($59,555,387 total)
12. Robin Hood: Prince of Thieves (1991, 64th) – $2,097,825 ($354,678,079 total)
999. Terminator 2: Judgment Day (1991, 64th) – $1,232,551 ($432,650,392 total)

Oscar Details:

• The Fisher King (1991, 64th): Actor (Robin Williams), Supporting Actress (Mercedes Ruehl) [O], Original Screenplay, Original Score, Art Direction
• Robin Hood: Prince of Thieves (1991, 64th): Original Song (“(Everything I Do) I Do It for You”)
• Terminator 2: Judgment Day (1991, 64th): Film Editing, Cinematography, Makeup [O], Sound [O], Sound Effects [O], Visual Effects [O]

35 Years Ago: The Weekend of Oct. 17-19, 1986

Weekend Box Office:

1. Crocodile Dundee (1986, 59th) – $7,434,202 ($42,667,910 total) {week 4}
2. The Color of Money (1986, 59th) – $6,357,877 ($6,357,877 total) {week 1}
4. Peggy Sue Got Married (1986, 59th) – $4,209,201 ($12,309,278 total) {week 2}
6. Children of a Lesser God (1986, 59th) – $203,890 ($6,991,691 total) {week 3}
7. Top Gun (1986, 59th) – $1,874,879 ($156,548,833 total) {week 23}
9. Stand By Me (1986, 59th) – $1,392,995 ($35,359,341 total) {week 11}
10. That’s Life (1986, 59th) – $703,982 ($2,955,920 total) {week 4}
11. The Karate Kid Part II (1986, 59th) – $65,408 ($111,476,372 total) {week 18}
999. Blue Velvet (1986, 59th) – $386,542 ($3,986,512 total) {week 5}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

1. Crocodile Dundee (1986, 59th) – $18,355,065 ($105,347,185 total)
2. The Color of Money (1986, 59th) – $15,697,615 ($15,697,615 total)
4. Peggy Sue Got Married (1986, 59th) – $10,392,529 ($30,391,641 total)
6. Children of a Lesser God (1986, 59th) – $503,405 ($17,262,504 total)
7. Top Gun (1986, 59th) – $4,629,081 ($386,519,491 total)
9. Stand By Me (1986, 59th) – $3,439,308 ($87,302,308 total)
10. That’s Life (1986, 59th) – $1,738,133 ($7,298,174 total)
11. The Karate Kid Part II (1986, 59th) – $161,493 ($275,235,463 total)
999. Blue Velvet (1986, 59th) – $954,373 ($9,842,709 total)

Oscar Details:

• Blue Velvet (1986, 59th): Director
• Children of a Lesser God (1986, 59th): Picture, Actor (William Hurt), Actress (Marlee Matlin [O]), Supporting Actress (Piper Laurie), Adapted Screenplay
• The Color of Money (1986, 59th): Actor (Paul Newman [O]), Supporting Actress (Mary Elizabeth Mastrantonio), Adapted Screenplay, Art Direction
• Crocodile Dundee (1986, 59th): Original Screenplay
• The Karate Kid Part II (1986, 59th): Original Song (“Glory of Love”)
• Peggy Sue Got Married (1986, 59th): Actress (Kathleen Turner), Cinematography, Costume Design
• Stand By Me (1986, 59th): Adapted Screenplay
• That’s Life (1986, 59th): Original Song (“Life in a Looking Glass”)
• Top Gun (1986, 59th): Original Song (“Take My Breath Away” [O]), Film Editing, Sound, Sound Effects

40 Years Ago: The Weekend of Oct. 16-18, 1981

Weekend Box Office:

3. Arthur (1981, 54th) – $2,136,948 ($59,956,546 total) {week 14}
5. The French Lieutenant’s Woman (1981, 54th) – $1,700,000 ($4,150,000 total) {week 5}
7. Raiders of the Lost Ark (1981, 54th) – $1,533,105 ($141,812,813 total) {week 19}
19. Chariots of Fire (1981, 54th) – $119,695 ($764,983 total) {week 4}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

3. Arthur (1981, 54th) – $7,041,167 ($197,554,662 total)
5. The French Lieutenant’s Woman (1981, 54th) – $5,601,439 ($13,674,101 total)
7. Raiders of the Lost Ark (1981, 54th) – $5,051,526 ($467,268,118 total)
19. Chariots of Fire (1981, 54th) – $394,391 ($2,520,591 total)

Oscar Details:

• Arthur (1981, 54th): Actor (Dudley Moore), Supporting Actor (John Gielgud) [O], Original Screenplay, Original Song (“Arthur’s Theme (Best That You Can Do)”) [O]
• Chariots of Fire (1981, 54th): Picture [O], Director, Supporting Actor (Ian Holm), Original Screenplay [O], Original Score [O], Film Editing, Costume Design [O]
• The French Lieutenant’s Woman (1981, 54th): Actress (Meryl Streep), Adapted Screenplay, Film Editing, Art Direction, Costume Design
• Raiders of the Lost Ark (1981, 54th): Picture, Director, Original Score, Film Editing [O], Cinematography, Art Direction [O], Sound [O], Visual Effects [O], Special Achievement Award (Sound Effects Film Editing) [O]