Every week, we’ll take a look back in 5-year intervals at the box office past to explore how Oscar’s nominees were doing at the box office each weekend historically. All data is collected from Box Office Mojo. The first section under each year is the positioning of all Oscar nominees during that weekend at the box office (as well as a section looking at the inflation-adjusted numbers). The third section is an alphabetical list of those films and the categories in which they were nominated. And to start each week off, we’ll be looking at the films releasing over the weekend that have the best chance of getting Oscar nominations and specifying the categories where we think they have the best shots at this stage of the game. If you have any suggestions for more data you’d like to see, please let us know.

This Year: Potential Oscar Nominees Releasing This Weekend

Marshall (Wide)

Oscar Potential: Actor (Chadwick Boseman).

5 Years Ago: The Weekend of Oct. 12-14, 2012

Weekend Box Office:

2. Argo – $19,458,109 ($19,458,109 total) {week 1}
7. Frankenweenie – $7,054,334 ($22,075,002 total) {week 2}
15. The Master – $813,379 ($13,910,287 total) {week 5}
17. Brave – $469,731 ($234,463,471 total) {week 17}
23. Searching for Sugar Man – $190,822 ($1,685,694 total) {week 12}
30. ParaNorman – $109,865 ($54,530,477 total) {week 9}
34. Ted – $95,655 ($218,511,800 total) {week 16}
50. Moonrise Kingdom – $35,673 ($45,451,321 total) {week 21}
54. Beasts of the Southern Wild – $25,255 ($11,152,266 total) {week 16}
66. How to Survive a Plague – $10,779 ($94,003 total) {week 4}
100. 5 Broken Cameras – $741 ($73,196 total) {week 20}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

2. Argo – $19,971,451 ($19,971,451 total)
7. Frankenweenie – $7,240,441 ($22,657,383 total)
15. The Master – $834,837 ($14,277,267 total)
17. Brave – $482,123 ($240,649,065 total)
23. Searching for Sugar Man – $195,856 ($1,730,166 total)
30. ParaNorman – $112,763 ($55,969,095 total)
34. Ted – $98,179 ($224,276,559 total)
50. Moonrise Kingdom – $36,614 ($46,650,414 total)
54. Beasts of the Southern Wild – $25,921 ($11,446,484 total)
66. How to Survive a Plague – $11,063 ($96,483 total)
100. 5 Broken Cameras – $761 ($75,127 total)

Oscar Details:

• 5 Broken Cameras: Documentary Feature
• Argo: Picture [O], Supporting Actor (Alan Arkin), Adapted Screenlay [O], Original Score, Film Editing [O], Sound Mixing, Sound Editing
• Beasts of the Southern Wild: Picture, Directing, Actress (Quvenzhane Wallis), Adapted Screenplay
• Brave: Animated Feature [O]
• Frankenweenie: Animated Feature
• How to Survive a Plague: Documentary Feature
• The Master: Actor (Joaquin Phoenix), Supporting Actor (Philip Seymour Hoffman), Supporting Actress (Amy Adams)
• Moonrise Kingdom: Original Screenplay
• ParaNorman: Animated Feature
• Searching for Sugar Man: Documentary Feature [O]
• Ted: Original Song (“Everybody Needs a Best Friend”)

10 Years Ago: The Weekend of Oct. 12-14, 2007

Weekend Box Office:

4. Michael Clayton – $10,373,422 ($11,450,629 total) {week 2}
6. Elizabeth: The Golden Age – $6,153,075 ($6,153,075 total) {week 1}
8. Across the Universe – $3,824,988 ($12,734,454 total) {week 5}
12. 3:10 to Yuma – $1,538,167 ($51,535,461 total) {week 6}
16. Into the Wild – $928,678 ($3,959,354 total) {week 4}
17. Eastern Promises – $842,067 ($16,263,330 total) {week 5}
18. Transformers – $735,000 ($317,601,309 total) {week 15}
21. The Bourne Ultimatum – $638,480 ($225,568,340 total) {week 11}
27. The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford – $432,273 ($1,404,225 total) {week 4}
28. In the Valley of Elah – $412,826 ($6,324,571 total) {week 5}
30. Ratatouille – $389,332 ($204,431,330 total) {week 16}
42. Lars and the Real Girl – $90,418 ($90,418 total) {week 1}
53. Once – $46,850 ($9,282,658 total) {week 22}
73. Sicko – $12,801 ($24,530,513 total) {week 17}
83. No End in Sight – $7,154 ($1,414,687 total) {week 12}
85. La Vie en Rose – $6,766 ($10,042,799 total) {week 20}
125. Iraq in Fragments – $1,195 ($204,462 total) {week 39}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

4. Michael Clayton – $12,318,439 ($13,597,622 total)
6. Elizabeth: The Golden Age – $7,306,777 ($7,306,777 total)
8. Across the Universe – $4,542,173 ($15,122,164 total)
12. 3:10 to Yuma – $1,826,573 ($61,198,360 total)
16. Into the Wild – $1,102,805 ($4,701,733 total)
17. Eastern Promises – $999,955 ($19,312,704 total)
18. Transformers – $872,813 ($377,151,554 total)
21. The Bourne Ultimatum – $758,195 ($267,862,404 total)
27. The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford – $513,324 ($1,667,517 total)
28. In the Valley of Elah – $490,231 ($7,510,428 total)
30. Ratatouille – $462,332 ($242,762,204 total)
42. Lars and the Real Girl – $107,371 ($107,371 total)
53. Once – $55,634 ($11,023,156 total)
73. Sicko – $15,201 ($29,129,984 total)
83. No End in Sight – $8,495 ($1,679,941 total)
85. La Vie en Rose – $8,035 ($11,925,824 total)
125. Iraq in Fragments – $1,419 ($242,799 total)

Oscar Details:

• 3:10 to Yuma: Original Score, Sound Mixing
• Across the Universe: Costume Design
• The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford: Supporting Actor (Casey Affleck), Cinematography
• The Bourne Ultimatum: Film Editing [O], Sound Mixing [O], Sound Editing [O]
• Eastern Promises: Actor (Viggo Mortensen)
• Elizabeth: The Golden Age: Actress (Cate Blanchett), Costume Design [O]
• In the Valley of Elah: Actor (Tommy Lee Jones)
• Into the Wild: Supporting Actor (Hal Holbrook), Editing
• Iraq in Fragments: Documentary Feature
• Lars and the Real Girl: Original Screenplay
• Michael Clayton: Picture, Director, Actor (George Clooney), Supporting Actor (Tom Wilkinson), Supporting Actress (Tilda Swinton) [O], Original Screenplay, Original Score
• No End in Sight: Documentary Feature
• Once: Original Song [O]
• Ratatouille: Animated Feature [O], Original Screenplay, Original Score, Sound Mixing, Sound Editing
• Sicko: Documentary Feature
• Transformers: Sound Mixing, Sound Editing, Visual Effects
• La Vie en Rose: Actress (Marion Cotillard) [O], Costume Design, Makeup [O]

15 Years Ago: The Weekend of Oct. 11-13, 2002

Weekend Box Office:

5. My Big Fat Greek Wedding – $8,453,159 ($158,954,054 total) {week 26}
19. Spirited Away – $634,901 ($2,668,591 total) {week 4}
25. Lilo & Stitch – $344,788 ($144,051,446 total) {week 17}
31. Bowling for Columbine – $209,148 ($209,148 total) {week 1}
47. Road to Perdition – $54,057 ($103,855,536 total) {week 14}
50. Minority Report – $47,905 ($131,917,534 total) {week 17}
53. Star Wars: Episode II – Attack of the Clones – $41,817 ($302,105,639 total) {week 22}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

5. My Big Fat Greek Wedding – $11,886,800 ($223,520,589 total)
19. Spirited Away – $892,795 ($3,752,563 total)
25. Lilo & Stitch – $484,840 ($202,564,598 total)
31. Bowling for Columbine – $294,103 ($294,103 total)
47. Road to Perdition – $76,015 ($146,041,261 total)
50. Minority Report – $67,364 ($185,501,937 total)
53. Star Wars: Episode II – Attack of the Clones – $58,803 ($424,819,806 total)

Oscar Details:

• Bowling for Columbine: Documentary Feature [O]
• Lilo & Stitch: Animated Feature
• Minority Report: Sound Editing
• My Big Fat Greek Wedding: Original Screenplay
• Road to Perdition: Supporting Actor (Paul Newman), Original Score, Cinematography [O], Art Direction, Sound, Sound Editing
• Spirited Away: Animated Feature [O]
• Star Wars: Episode II – Attack of the Clones: Visual Effects

20 Years Ago: The Weekend of Oct. 10-12, 1997

Weekend Box Office:

4. In & Out – $5,474,143 ($47,953,963 total) {week 4}
7. L.A. Confidential – $3,665,776 ($22,976,873 total) {week 4}
12. The Full Monty – $1,901,003 ($19,877,999 total) {week 9}
999. Air Force One – $308,185 ($169,517,032 total) {week 12}
999. Boogie Nights – $50,168 ($50,168 total) {week 1}
999. Con Air – $20,006 ($101,111,259 total) {week 19}
999. The Lost World: Jurassic Park – $40,935 ($229,074,524 total) {week 21}
999. Men in Black – $443,442 ($243,629,478 total) {week 15}
999. The Sweet Hereafter – $31,149 ($31,149 total) {week 1}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

4. In & Out – $9,743,736 ($85,355,965 total)
7. L.A. Confidential – $6,524,922 ($40,897,833 total)
12. The Full Monty – $3,383,703 ($35,381,972 total)
999. Air Force One – $548,556 ($301,732,931 total)
999. Boogie Nights – $89,297 ($89,297 total)
999. Con Air – $35,610 ($179,973,635 total)
999. The Lost World: Jurassic Park – $72,863 ($407,742,671 total)
999. Men in Black – $789,307 ($433,649,855 total)
999. The Sweet Hereafter – $55,444 ($55,444 total)

Oscar Details:

• Air Force One: Editing, Sound
• Boogie Nights: Supporting Actor (Burt Reynolds), Supporting Actress (Julianne Moore), Original Screenplay
• Con Air: Original Song (“How Do I Live”), Sound
• The Full Monty: Picture, Director, Original Screenplay, Original Musical or Comedy Score [O]
• In & Out: Supporting Actress (Joan Cusack)
• L.A. Confidential: Picture, Director, Supporting Actress (Kim Basinger) [O], Adapted Screenplay [O], Original Dramatic Score, Editing, Cinematography, Art Direction, Sound
• The Lost World: Jurassic Park: Visual Effects
• Men in Black: Original Musical or Comedy Score, Art Direction, Makeup [O]
• The Sweet Hereafter: Director, Adapted Screenplay

25 Years Ago: The Weekend of Oct. 9-11, 1992

Weekend Box Office:

1. Under Siege – $15,760,003 ($15,760,003 total) {week 1}
2. The Last of the Mohicans – $8,793,116 ($36,290,402 total) {week 3}
8. Mr. Saturday Night – $1,739,159 ($10,994,522 total) {week 3}
10. Glengarry Glen Ross – $1,615,165 ($4,446,320 total) {week 2}
999. Batman Returns – $280,513 ($162,400,533 total) {week 17}
999. A River Runs Through It – $298,277 ($298,277 total) {week 1}
999. Unforgiven – $384,306 ($73,799,714 total) {week 10}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

1. Under Siege – $31,026,319 ($31,026,319 total)
2. The Last of the Mohicans – $17,310,785 ($71,443,996 total)
8. Mr. Saturday Night – $3,423,838 ($21,644,637 total)
10. Glengarry Glen Ross – $3,179,734 ($8,753,358 total)
999. Batman Returns – $552,239 ($319,713,820 total)
999. A River Runs Through It – $587,210 ($587,210 total)
999. Unforgiven – $756,573 ($145,287,630 total)

Oscar Details:

• Batman Returns: Makeup, Visual Effects
• Glengarry Glen Ross: Supporting Actor (Al Pacino)
• The Last of the Mohicans: Sound [O]
• Mr. Saturday Night: Supporting Actor (David Paymer)
• A River Runs Through It: Adapted Screenplay, Original Score, Cinematography [O]
• Under Siege: Sound, Sound Effects
• Unforgiven: Picture [O], Director [O], Actor (Clint Eastwood), Supporting Actor (Gene Hackman) [O], Original Screenplay, Editing [O], Cinematography, Art Direction, Sound

30 Years Ago: The Weekend of Oct. 9-11, 1987

Weekend Box Office:

1. Fatal Attraction – $10,554,336 ($45,422,863 total) {week 4}
3. The Princess Bride – $4,480,140 ($5,065,954 total) {week 3}
6. Dirty Dancing – $2,021,673 ($32,631,532 total) {week 8}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

1. Fatal Attraction – $22,053,434 ($94,911,711 total)
3. The Princess Bride – $9,361,316 ($10,585,382 total)
6. Dirty Dancing – $4,224,314 ($68,184,045 total)

Oscar Details:

• Dirty Dancing: Original Song (“(I’ve Had) The Time of My Life”) [O]
• Fatal Attraction: Picture, Director, Actress (Glenn Close), Supporting Actress (Anne Archer), Adapted Screenplay, Editing
• The Princess Bride: Original Song (“Storybook Love”)

35 Years Ago: The Weekend of Oct. 8-10, 1982

Weekend Box Office:

1. An Officer and a Gentleman – $4,509,267 ($71,461,729 total) {week 11}
2. E.T. The Extra-Terrestrial – $3,761,768 ($265,973,075 total) {week 18}
3. My Favorite Year – $2,400,696 ($2,783,008 total) {week 1}
7. The Best Little Whorehouse in Texas – $809,889 ($69,508,404 total) {week 12}
8. Rocky III – $686,371 ($116,806,871 total) {week 20}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

1. An Officer and a Gentleman – $12,530,854 ($198,585,825 total)
2. E.T. The Extra-Terrestrial – $10,453,621 ($739,115,654 total)
3. My Favorite Year – $6,671,322 ($7,733,733 total)
7. The Best Little Whorehouse in Texas – $2,250,610 ($193,157,708 total)
8. Rocky III – $1,907,364 ($324,595,965 total)

Oscar Details:

• The Best Little Whorehouse in Texas: Supporting Actor (Charles Durning)
• E.T. The Extra-Terrestrial: Picture, Director, Original Screenplay, Original Score [O], Editing, Cinematography, Sound [O], Sound Effects [O], Visual Effects [O]
• My Favorite Year: Actor (Peter O’Toole)
• An Officer and a Gentleman: Actress (Debra Winger), Supporting Actor (Louis Gossett Jr.) [O], Original Screenplay, Original Song (“Up Where We Belong”) [O], Original Score, Film Editing
• Rocky III: Original Song (“Eye of the Tiger”)