Every week, we’ll take a look back in 5-year intervals at the box office past to explore how Oscar’s nominees were doing at the box office each weekend historically. The first section under each year is the positioning of all Oscar nominees during that weekend at the box office (as well as a section looking at the inflation-adjusted numbers). The third section is an alphabetical list of those films and the categories in which they were nominated. And to start each week off, we’ll be looking at the films releasing over the weekend that have the best chance of getting Oscar nominations and specifying the categories where we think they have the best shots at this stage of the game. If you have any suggestions for more data you’d like to see, please let us know.
This Year: Potential Oscar Nominees Releasing This Weekend
TAR (Limited)
Oscar Potential: Actress (Cate Blanchett).
5 Years Ago: The Weekend of Oct. 6-8, 2017
Weekend Box Office:
- Blade Runner 2049 (2017, 90th) – $32,753,122 ($32,753,122 total) {week 1}
- Victoria & Abdul (2017, 90th) – $4,171,870 ($5,987,264 total) {week 3}
- Dunkirk (2017, 90th) – $224,438 ($187,261,727 total) {week 12}
- Loving Vincent (2017, 90th) – $167,647 ($287,969 total) {week 3}
- The Florida Project (2017, 90th) – $156,833 ($156,833 total) {week 1}
- War for the Planet of the Apes (2017, 90th) – $79,975 ($146,580,059 total) {week 13}
- Baby Driver (2017, 90th) – $51,303 ($107,770,367 total) {week 15}
- Faces Places (2017, 90th) – $31,006 ($31,006 total) {week 1}
- The Big Sick (2017, 90th) – $20,940 ($42,824,653 total) {week 16}
- The Boss Baby (2017, 90th) – $100 ($174,999,690 total) {week 28}
Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):
- Blade Runner 2049 (2017, 90th) – $34,943,966 ($34,943,966 total)
- Victoria & Abdul (2017, 90th) – $4,450,925 ($6,387,750 total)
- Dunkirk (2017, 90th) – $239,451 ($199,787,595 total)
- Loving Vincent (2017, 90th) – $178,861 ($307,231 total)
- The Florida Project (2017, 90th) – $167,324 ($167,324 total)
- War for the Planet of the Apes (2017, 90th) – $85,324 ($156,384,745 total)
- Baby Driver (2017, 90th) – $54,735 ($114,979,087 total)
- Faces Places (2017, 90th) – $33,080 ($33,080 total)
- The Big Sick (2017, 90th) – $22,341 ($45,689,178 total)
- The Boss Baby (2017, 90th) – $107 ($186,705,355 total)
Oscar Details:
- Baby Driver (2017, 90th): Film Editing, Sound Mixing, Sound Film Editing
- The Big Sick (2017, 90th): Original Screenplay
- Blade Runner 2049 (2017, 90th): Cinematography [O], Production Design, Sound Mixing, Sound Film Editing, Visual Effects [O]
- The Boss Baby (2017, 90th): Animated Feature
- Dunkirk (2017, 90th): Picture, Directing, Original Score, Film Editing [O], Cinematography, Production Design, Sound Mixing [O], Sound Film Editing [O]
- Faces Places (2017, 90th): Documentary Feature
- The Florida Project (2017, 90th): Supporting Actor (Willem Dafoe)
- Loving Vincent (2017, 90th): Animated Feature
- Victoria & Abdul (2017, 90th): Costume Design, Makeup & Hairstyling
- War for the Planet of the Apes (2017, 90th): Visual Effects
10 Years Ago: The Weekend of Oct. 5-7, 2012
Weekend Box Office:
- Frankenweenie (2012, 85th) – $11,412,213 ($11,412,213 total) {week 1}
- The Master (2012, 85th) – $1,861,703 ($12,337,032 total) {week 4}
- ParaNorman (2012, 85th) – $235,671 ($54,354,286 total) {week 8}
- Brave (2012, 85th) – $160,074 ($233,928,698 total) {week 16}
- Ted (2012, 85th) – $146,795 ($218,344,095 total) {week 15}
- Searching for Sugar Man (2012, 85th) – $86,563 ($1,435,234 total) {week 11}
- Moonrise Kingdom (2012, 85th) – $54,896 ($45,382,157 total) {week 20}
- Beasts of the Southern Wild (2012, 85th) – $41,115 ($11,101,498 total) {week 15}
- How to Survive a Plague (2012, 85th) – $12,019 ($77,578 total) {week 3}
- Monsieur Lazhar (2011, 84th) – $1,966 ($2,009,041 total) {week 26}
Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):
- Frankenweenie (2012, 85th) – $13,720,462 ($13,720,462 total)
- The Master (2012, 85th) – $2,238,253 ($14,832,336 total)
- ParaNorman (2012, 85th) – $283,338 ($65,348,055 total)
- Brave (2012, 85th) – $192,451 ($281,243,422 total)
- Ted (2012, 85th) – $176,486 ($262,506,657 total)
- Searching for Sugar Man (2012, 85th) – $104,071 ($1,725,526 total)
- Moonrise Kingdom (2012, 85th) – $65,999 ($54,561,211 total)
- Beasts of the Southern Wild (2012, 85th) – $49,431 ($13,346,901 total)
- How to Survive a Plague (2012, 85th) – $14,450 ($93,269 total)
- Monsieur Lazhar (2011, 84th) – $2,364 ($2,415,392 total)
Oscar Details:
- Beasts of the Southern Wild (2012, 85th): Picture, Directing, Actress (Quvenzhane Wallis), Adapted Screenplay
- Brave (2012, 85th): Animated Feature [O]
- Frankenweenie (2012, 85th): Animated Feature
- How to Survive a Plague (2012, 85th): Documentary Feature
- The Master (2012, 85th): Actor (Joaquin Phoenix), Supporting Actor (Philip Seymour Hoffman), Supporting Actress (Amy Adams)
- Monsieur Lazhar (2011, 84th): Foreign Language Film
- Moonrise Kingdom (2012, 85th): Original Screenplay
- ParaNorman (2012, 85th): Animated Feature
- Searching for Sugar Man (2012, 85th): Documentary Feature [O]
- Ted (2012, 85th): Original Song (“Everybody Needs a Best Friend”)
15 Years Ago: The Weekend of Oct. 5-7, 2007
Weekend Box Office:
- 3:10 to Yuma (2007, 80th) – $3,215,469 ($48,728,753 total) {week 5}
- Eastern Promises (2007, 80th) – $2,079,579 ($14,455,384 total) {week 4}
- Across the Universe (2007, 80th) – $1,945,219 ($8,078,951 total) {week 4}
- In the Valley of Elah (2007, 80th) – $1,338,190 ($5,354,603 total) {week 4}
- Into the Wild (2007, 80th) – $1,279,208 ($2,447,444 total) {week 3}
- The Bourne Ultimatum (2007, 80th) – $1,184,685 ($224,476,610 total) {week 10}
- Transformers (2007, 80th) – $933,617 ($316,476,438 total) {week 14}
- Michael Clayton (2007, 80th) – $719,910 ($719,910 total) {week 1}
- Ratatouille (2007, 80th) – $441,337 ($203,855,456 total) {week 15}
- The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford (2007, 80th) – $420,331 ($758,529 total) {week 3}
- Once (2007, 80th) – $69,906 ($9,199,193 total) {week 21}
- La Vie en Rose (2007, 80th) – $18,280 ($10,021,667 total) {week 19}
- No End in Sight (2007, 80th) – $10,589 ($1,400,461 total) {week 11}
- Sicko (2007, 80th) – $8,936 ($24,510,898 total) {week 16}
Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):
- 3:10 to Yuma (2007, 80th) – $4,472,680 ($67,781,129 total)
- Eastern Promises (2007, 80th) – $2,892,670 ($20,107,271 total)
- Across the Universe (2007, 80th) – $2,705,777 ($11,237,727 total)
- In the Valley of Elah (2007, 80th) – $1,861,407 ($7,448,191 total)
- Into the Wild (2007, 80th) – $1,779,363 ($3,404,366 total)
- The Bourne Ultimatum (2007, 80th) – $1,647,883 ($312,244,354 total)
- Transformers (2007, 80th) – $1,298,650 ($440,215,045 total)
- Michael Clayton (2007, 80th) – $1,001,386 ($1,001,386 total)
- Ratatouille (2007, 80th) – $613,895 ($283,560,569 total)
- The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford (2007, 80th) – $584,676 ($1,055,105 total)
- Once (2007, 80th) – $97,238 ($12,795,970 total)
- La Vie en Rose (2007, 80th) – $25,427 ($13,940,022 total)
- No End in Sight (2007, 80th) – $14,729 ($1,948,025 total)
- Sicko (2007, 80th) – $12,430 ($34,094,374 total)
Oscar Details:
- 3:10 to Yuma (2007, 80th): Original Score, Sound Mixing
- Across the Universe (2007, 80th): Costume Design
- The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford (2007, 80th): Supporting Actor (Casey Affleck), Cinematography
- The Bourne Ultimatum (2007, 80th): Film Editing [O], Sound Mixing [O], Sound Film Editing [O]
- Eastern Promises (2007, 80th): Actor (Viggo Mortensen)
- In the Valley of Elah (2007, 80th): Actor (Tommy Lee Jones)
- Into the Wild (2007, 80th): Supporting Actor (Hal Holbrook), Film Editing
- Michael Clayton (2007, 80th): Picture, Director, Actor (George Clooney), Supporting Actor (Tom Wilkinson), Supporting Actress (Tilda Swinton) [O], Original Screenplay, Original Score
- No End in Sight (2007, 80th): Documentary Feature
- Once (2007, 80th): Original Song [O]
- Ratatouille (2007, 80th): Animated Feature [O], Original Screenplay, Original Score, Sound Mixing, Sound Film Editing
- Sicko (2007, 80th): Documentary Feature
- Transformers (2007, 80th): Sound Mixing, Sound Film Editing, Visual Effects
- La Vie en Rose (2007, 80th): Actress (Marion Cotillard) [O], Costume Design, Makeup [O]
20 Years Ago: The Weekend of Oct. 4-6, 2002
Weekend Box Office:
- My Big Fat Greek Wedding (2002, 75th) – $8,223,801 ($147,717,828 total) {week 25}
- Spirited Away (2002, 75th) – $611,047 ($1,855,297 total) {week 3}
- Road to Perdition (2002, 75th) – $133,675 ($103,749,475 total) {week 13}
- Lilo & Stitch (2002, 75th) – $126,055 ($143,666,977 total) {week 16}
- Star Wars: Episode II – Attack of the Clones (2002, 75th) – $83,733 ($302,036,290 total) {week 21}
- Minority Report (2002, 75th) – $76,032 ($131,839,950 total) {week 16}
- Elling (2001, 74th) – $2,726 ($313,436 total) {week 19}
- Son of the Bride (2001, 74th) – $1,870 ($624,153 total) {week 29}
Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):
- My Big Fat Greek Wedding (2002, 75th) – $13,545,917 ($243,314,908 total)
- Spirited Away (2002, 75th) – $1,006,492 ($3,055,971 total)
- Road to Perdition (2002, 75th) – $220,184 ($170,891,992 total)
- Lilo & Stitch (2002, 75th) – $207,633 ($236,642,508 total)
- Star Wars: Episode II – Attack of the Clones (2002, 75th) – $137,922 ($497,502,116 total)
- Minority Report (2002, 75th) – $125,237 ($217,161,501 total)
- Elling (2001, 74th) – $4,490 ($516,279 total)
- Son of the Bride (2001, 74th) – $3,080 ($1,028,080 total)
Oscar Details:
- Elling (2001, 74th): Foreign Language Film
- Lilo & Stitch (2002, 75th): Animated Feature
- Minority Report (2002, 75th): Sound Film Editing
- My Big Fat Greek Wedding (2002, 75th): Original Screenplay
- Road to Perdition (2002, 75th): Supporting Actor (Paul Newman), Original Score, Cinematography [O], Art Direction, Sound, Sound Film Editing
- Son of the Bride (2001, 74th): Foreign Language Film
- Spirited Away (2002, 75th): Animated Feature [O]
- Star Wars: Episode II – Attack of the Clones (2002, 75th): Visual Effects
25 Years Ago: The Weekend of Oct. 3-5, 1997
Weekend Box Office:
- In & Out (1997, 70th) – $7,722,423 ($40,822,853 total) {week 3}
- L.A. Confidential (1997, 70th) – $4,707,651 ($17,842,710 total) {week 3}
- The Full Monty (1997, 70th) – $2,253,430 ($17,229,424 total) {week 8}
- Contact (1997, 70th) – $795,612 ($99,040,239 total) {week 13}
- Air Force One (1997, 70th) – $756,150 ($169,003,294 total) {week 11}
- Men in Black (1997, 70th) – $687,721 ($243,017,806 total) {week 14}
- Con Air (1997, 70th) – $32,729 ($101,087,161 total) {week 18}
- The Lost World: Jurassic Park (1997, 70th) – $90,450 ($229,013,699 total) {week 20}
Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):
- In & Out (1997, 70th) – $16,101,000 ($85,114,314 total)
- L.A. Confidential (1997, 70th) – $9,815,298 ($37,201,467 total)
- The Full Monty (1997, 70th) – $4,698,328 ($35,922,786 total)
- Contact (1997, 70th) – $1,658,825 ($206,495,662 total)
- Air Force One (1997, 70th) – $1,576,548 ($352,366,345 total)
- Men in Black (1997, 70th) – $1,433,876 ($506,684,184 total)
- Con Air (1997, 70th) – $68,239 ($210,763,427 total)
- The Lost World: Jurassic Park (1997, 70th) – $188,585 ($477,486,078 total)
Oscar Details:
- Air Force One (1997, 70th): Film Editing, Sound
- Con Air (1997, 70th): Original Song (“How Do I Live”), Sound
- Contact (1997, 70th): Sound
- The Full Monty (1997, 70th): Picture, Director, Original Screenplay, Original Musical or Comedy Score [O]
- In & Out (1997, 70th): Supporting Actress (Joan Cusack)
- L.A. Confidential (1997, 70th): Picture, Director, Supporting Actress (Kim Basinger) [O], Adapted Screenplay [O], Original Dramatic Score, Film Editing, Cinematography, Art Direction, Sound
- The Lost World: Jurassic Park (1997, 70th): Visual Effects
- Men in Black (1997, 70th): Original Musical or Comedy Score, Art Direction, Makeup [O]
30 Years Ago: The Weekend of Oct. 2-4, 1992
Weekend Box Office:
- The Last of the Mohicans (1992, 65th) – $9,653,376 ($24,349,209 total) {week 2}
- Mr. Saturday Night (1992, 65th) – $2,603,488 ($8,621,435 total) {week 2}
- Glengarry Glen Ross (1992, 65th) – $2,104,402 ($2,104,402 total) {week 1}
- Batman Returns (1992, 65th) – $324,251 ($161,989,566 total) {week 16}
- Unforgiven (1992, 65th) – $548,223 ($73,146,825 total) {week 9}
Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):
- The Last of the Mohicans (1992, 65th) – $22,260,918 ($56,149,863 total)
- Mr. Saturday Night (1992, 65th) – $6,003,706 ($19,881,237 total)
- Glengarry Glen Ross (1992, 65th) – $4,852,802 ($4,852,802 total)
- Batman Returns (1992, 65th) – $747,731 ($373,551,843 total)
- Unforgiven (1992, 65th) – $1,264,215 ($168,678,341 total)
Oscar Details:
- Batman Returns (1992, 65th): Makeup, Visual Effects
- Glengarry Glen Ross (1992, 65th): Supporting Actor (Al Pacino)
- The Last of the Mohicans (1992, 65th): Sound [O]
- Mr. Saturday Night (1992, 65th): Supporting Actor (David Paymer)
- Unforgiven (1992, 65th): Picture [O], Director [O], Actor (Clint Eastwood), Supporting Actor (Gene Hackman) [O], Original Screenplay, Film Editing [O], Cinematography, Art Direction, Sound
35 Years Ago: The Weekend of Oct. 2-4, 1987
Weekend Box Office:
- Fatal Attraction (1987, 60th) – $9,347,602 ($31,229,365 total) {week 3}
- Dirty Dancing (1987, 60th) – $1,878,207 ($30,011,849 total) {week 7}
- The Princess Bride (1987, 60th) – $204,198 ($500,847 total) {week 2}
Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):
- Fatal Attraction (1987, 60th) – $22,878,913 ($76,436,067 total)
- Dirty Dancing (1987, 60th) – $4,597,044 ($73,456,111 total)
- The Princess Bride (1987, 60th) – $499,789 ($1,225,858 total)
Oscar Details:
- Dirty Dancing (1987, 60th): Original Song (“(I’ve Had) The Time of My Life”) [O]
- Fatal Attraction (1987, 60th): Picture, Director, Actress (Glenn Close), Supporting Actress (Anne Archer), Adapted Screenplay, Film Editing
- The Princess Bride (1987, 60th): Original Song (“Storybook Love”)
40 Years Ago: The Weekend of Oct. 1-3, 1982
Weekend Box Office:
- E.T. The Extra-Terrestrial (1982, 55th) – $3,742,140 ($261,086,886 total) {week 17}
- An Officer and a Gentleman (1982, 55th) – $3,376,880 ($65,997,548 total) {week 10}
- The Best Little Whorehouse in Texas (1982, 55th) – $885,578 ($67,834,702 total) {week 11}
- On Golden Pond (1981, 54th) – $896,294 ($117,500,892 total) {week 44}
- Rocky III (1982, 55th) – $611,375 ($115,870,775 total) {week 19}
- The World According to Garp (1982, 55th) – $575,506 ($27,608,648 total) {week 11}
- Yes, Giorgio (1982, 55th) – $518,786 ($2,279,543 total) {week 2}
- Poltergeist (1982, 55th) – $414,721 ($69,572,921 total) {week 18}
- Annie (1982, 55th) – $381,870 ($55,781,644 total) {week 20}
Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):
- E.T. The Extra-Terrestrial (1982, 55th) – $12,181,048 ($849,864,455 total)
- An Officer and a Gentleman (1982, 55th) – $10,992,089 ($214,828,753 total)
- The Best Little Whorehouse in Texas (1982, 55th) – $2,882,647 ($220,808,877 total)
- On Golden Pond (1981, 54th) – $2,917,528 ($382,477,393 total)
- Rocky III (1982, 55th) – $1,990,088 ($377,171,196 total)
- The World According to Garp (1982, 55th) – $1,873,331 ($89,868,966 total)
- Yes, Giorgio (1982, 55th) – $1,688,701 ($7,420,145 total)
- Poltergeist (1982, 55th) – $1,349,959 ($226,466,957 total)
- Annie (1982, 55th) – $1,243,026 ($181,574,943 total)
Oscar Details:
- Annie (1982, 55th): Original Song Score, Art Direction
- The Best Little Whorehouse in Texas (1982, 55th): Supporting Actor (Charles Durning)
- E.T. The Extra-Terrestrial (1982, 55th): Picture, Director, Original Screenplay, Original Score [O], Film Editing, Cinematography, Sound [O], Sound Effects [O], Visual Effects [O]
- An Officer and a Gentleman (1982, 55th): Actress (Debra Winger), Supporting Actor (Louis Gossett Jr.) [O], Original Screenplay, Original Song (“Up Where We Belong”) [O], Original Score, Film Editing
- On Golden Pond (1981, 54th): Picture, Director, Actor (Henry Fonda) [O], Actress (Katharine Hepburn) [O], Supporting Actress (Jane Fonda), Adapted Screenplay [O], Original Score, Film Editing, Cinematography, Sound
- Poltergeist (1982, 55th): Original Score, Sound Effects Film Editing, Visual Effects
- Rocky III (1982, 55th): Original Song (“Eye of the Tiger”)
- The World According to Garp (1982, 55th): Supporting Actor (John Lithgow), Supporting Actress (Glenn Close)
- Yes, Giorgio (1982, 55th): Original Song (“If We Were in Love”)
45 Years Ago: The Weekend of Oct. 7-9, 1977
Weekend Box Office:
- Oh, God! (1977, 50th) – $1,900,000 ($1,900,000 total) {week 1}
Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):
- Oh, God! (1977, 50th) – $8,153,812 ($8,153,812 total)
Oscar Details:
- Oh, God! (1977, 50th): Adapted Screenplay
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