Every week, we’ll take a look back in 5-year intervals at the box office past to explore how Oscar’s nominees were doing at the box office each weekend historically. All data is collected from Box Office Mojo. The first section under each year is the positioning of all Oscar nominees during that weekend at the box office (as well as a section looking at the inflation-adjusted numbers). The third section is an alphabetical list of those films and the categories in which they were nominated. And to start each week off, we’ll be looking at the films releasing over the weekend that have the best chance of getting Oscar nominations and specifying the categories where we think they have the best shots at this stage of the game. If you have any suggestions for more data you’d like to see, please let us know.

This Year: Potential Oscar Nominees Releasing This Weekend

Blade Runner 2049 (Wide)

Oscar Potential: Picture, Director, Actor (Ryan Gosling), Supporting Actor (Harrison Ford), Adapted Screenplay, Original Score, Film Editing, Cinematography, Production Design, Costume Design, Makeup & Hairstyling, Sound Mixing, Sound Editing, Visual Effects.

The Florida Project (Limited)

Oscar Potential: Supporting Actor (Willem Dafoe).

5 Years Ago: The Weekend of Oct. 5-7, 2012

Weekend Box Office:

5. Frankenweenie – $11,412,213 ($11,412,213 total) {week 1}
9. The Master – $1,861,703 ($12,337,032 total) {week 4}
23. ParaNorman – $235,671 ($54,354,286 total) {week 8}
31. Brave – $160,074 ($233,928,698 total) {week 16}
32. Ted – $146,795 ($218,344,095 total) {week 15}
40. Searching for Sugar Man – $86,563 ($1,435,234 total) {week 11}
46. Moonrise Kingdom – $54,896 ($45,382,157 total) {week 20}
49. Beasts of the Southern Wild – $41,115 ($11,101,498 total) {week 15}
67. How to Survive a Plague – $12,019 ($77,578 total) {week 3}
93. Monsieur Lazhar – $1,966 ($2,009,041 total) {week 26}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

5. Frankenweenie – $11,713,289 ($11,713,289 total)
9. The Master – $1,910,818 ($12,662,506 total)
23. ParaNorman – $241,888 ($55,788,256 total)
31. Brave – $164,297 ($240,100,184 total)
32. Ted – $150,668 ($224,104,429 total)
40. Searching for Sugar Man – $88,847 ($1,473,098 total)
46. Moonrise Kingdom – $56,344 ($46,579,425 total)
49. Beasts of the Southern Wild – $42,200 ($11,394,377 total)
67. How to Survive a Plague – $12,336 ($79,625 total)
93. Monsieur Lazhar – $2,018 ($2,062,043 total)

Oscar Details:

• Beasts of the Southern Wild: Picture, Directing, Actress (Quvenzhane Wallis), Adapted Screenplay
• Brave: Animated Feature [O]
• Frankenweenie: Animated Feature
• How to Survive a Plague: Documentary Feature
• The Master: Actor (Joaquin Phoenix), Supporting Actor (Philip Seymour Hoffman), Supporting Actress (Amy Adams)
• Monsieur Lazhar: Foreign Language Film
• Moonrise Kingdom: Original Screenplay
• ParaNorman: Animated Feature
• Searching for Sugar Man: Documentary Feature [O]
• Ted: Original Song (“Everybody Needs a Best Friend”)

10 Years Ago: The Weekend of Oct. 5-7, 2007

Weekend Box Office:

7. 3:10 to Yuma – $3,215,469 ($48,728,753 total) {week 5}
11. Eastern Promises – $2,079,579 ($14,455,384 total) {week 4}
12. Across the Universe – $1,945,219 ($8,078,951 total) {week 4}
15. In the Valley of Elah – $1,338,190 ($5,354,603 total) {week 4}
16. Into the Wild – $1,279,208 ($2,447,444 total) {week 3}
17. The Bourne Ultimatum – $1,184,685 ($224,476,610 total) {week 10}
18. Transformers – $933,617 ($316,476,438 total) {week 14}
22. Michael Clayton – $719,910 ($719,910 total) {week 1}
26. Ratatouille – $441,337 ($203,855,456 total) {week 15}
27. The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford – $420,331 ($758,529 total) {week 3}
45. Once – $69,906 ($9,199,193 total) {week 21}
62. La Vie en Rose – $18,280 ($10,021,667 total) {week 19}
73. No End in Sight – $10,589 ($1,400,461 total) {week 11}
77. Sicko – $8,936 ($24,510,898 total) {week 16}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

7. 3:10 to Yuma – $3,818,369 ($57,865,394 total)
11. Eastern Promises – $2,469,500 ($17,165,769 total)
12. Across the Universe – $2,309,948 ($9,593,754 total)
15. In the Valley of Elah – $1,589,101 ($6,358,591 total)
16. Into the Wild – $1,519,060 ($2,906,340 total)
17. The Bourne Ultimatum – $1,406,813 ($266,565,974 total)
18. Transformers – $1,108,670 ($375,815,770 total)
22. Michael Clayton – $854,893 ($854,893 total)
26. Ratatouille – $524,088 ($242,078,354 total)
27. The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford – $499,143 ($900,753 total)
45. Once – $83,013 ($10,924,042 total)
62. La Vie en Rose – $21,708 ($11,900,730 total)
73. No End in Sight – $12,574 ($1,663,047 total)
77. Sicko – $10,612 ($29,106,691 total)

Oscar Details:

• 3:10 to Yuma: Original Score, Sound Mixing
• Across the Universe: Costume Design
• The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford: Supporting Actor (Casey Affleck), Cinematography
• The Bourne Ultimatum: Film Editing [O], Sound Mixing [O], Sound Editing [O]
• Eastern Promises: Actor (Viggo Mortensen)
• In the Valley of Elah: Actor (Tommy Lee Jones)
• Into the Wild: Supporting Actor (Hal Holbrook), Editing
• Michael Clayton: Picture, Director, Actor (George Clooney), Supporting Actor (Tom Wilkinson), Supporting Actress (Tilda Swinton) [O], Original Screenplay, Original Score
• No End in Sight: Documentary Feature
• Once: Original Song [O]
• Ratatouille: Animated Feature [O], Original Screenplay, Original Score, Sound Mixing, Sound Editing
• Sicko: Documentary Feature
• Transformers: Sound Mixing, Sound Editing, Visual Effects
• La Vie en Rose: Actress (Marion Cotillard) [O], Costume Design, Makeup [O]

15 Years Ago: The Weekend of Oct. 4-6, 2002

Weekend Box Office:

4. My Big Fat Greek Wedding – $8,223,801 ($147,717,828 total) {week 25}
15. Spirited Away – $611,047 ($1,855,297 total) {week 3}
31. Road to Perdition – $133,675 ($103,749,475 total) {week 13}
32. Lilo & Stitch – $126,055 ($143,666,977 total) {week 16}
38. Star Wars: Episode II – Attack of the Clones – $83,733 ($302,036,290 total) {week 21}
40. Minority Report – $76,032 ($131,839,950 total) {week 16}
116. Elling – $2,726 ($313,436 total) {week 19}
125. Son of the Bride – $1,870 ($624,153 total) {week 29}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

4. My Big Fat Greek Wedding – $11,564,278 ($207,720,250 total)
15. Spirited Away – $859,252 ($2,608,912 total)
31. Road to Perdition – $187,973 ($145,892,119 total)
32. Lilo & Stitch – $177,258 ($202,023,959 total)
38. Star Wars: Episode II – Attack of the Clones – $117,745 ($424,722,287 total)
40. Minority Report – $106,916 ($185,392,838 total)
116. Elling – $3,833 ($440,753 total)
125. Son of the Bride – $2,630 ($877,682 total)

Oscar Details:

• Elling: Foreign Language Film
• Lilo & Stitch: Animated Feature
• Minority Report: Sound Editing
• My Big Fat Greek Wedding: Original Screenplay
• Road to Perdition: Supporting Actor (Paul Newman), Original Score, Cinematography [O], Art Direction, Sound, Sound Editing
• Son of the Bride: Foreign Language Film
• Spirited Away: Animated Feature [O]
• Star Wars: Episode II – Attack of the Clones: Visual Effects

20 Years Ago: The Weekend of Oct. 3-5, 1997

Weekend Box Office:

4. In & Out – $7,722,423 ($40,822,853 total) {week 3}
6. L.A. Confidential – $4,707,651 ($17,842,710 total) {week 3}
9. The Full Monty – $2,253,430 ($17,229,424 total) {week 8}
12. Contact – $795,612 ($99,040,239 total) {week 13}
13. Air Force One – $756,150 ($169,003,294 total) {week 11}
14. Men in Black – $687,721 ($243,017,806 total) {week 14}
999. Con Air – $32,729 ($101,087,161 total) {week 18}
999. The Lost World: Jurassic Park – $90,450 ($229,013,699 total) {week 20}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

4. In & Out – $13,745,576 ($72,662,900 total)
6. L.A. Confidential – $8,379,414 ($31,759,246 total)
9. The Full Monty – $4,011,007 ($30,667,624 total)
12. Contact – $1,416,155 ($176,287,310 total)
13. Air Force One – $1,345,914 ($300,818,499 total)
14. Men in Black – $1,224,113 ($432,561,106 total)
999. Con Air – $58,256 ($179,930,742 total)
999. The Lost World: Jurassic Park – $160,997 ($407,634,405 total)

Oscar Details:

• Air Force One: Editing, Sound
• Con Air: Original Song (“How Do I Live”), Sound
• Contact: Sound
• The Full Monty: Picture, Director, Original Screenplay, Original Musical or Comedy Score [O]
• In & Out: Supporting Actress (Joan Cusack)
• L.A. Confidential: Picture, Director, Supporting Actress (Kim Basinger) [O], Adapted Screenplay [O], Original Dramatic Score, Editing, Cinematography, Art Direction, Sound
• The Lost World: Jurassic Park: Visual Effects
• Men in Black: Original Musical or Comedy Score, Art Direction, Makeup [O]

25 Years Ago: The Weekend of Oct. 2-4, 1992

Weekend Box Office:

1. The Last of the Mohicans – $9,653,376 ($24,349,209 total) {week 2}
6. Mr. Saturday Night – $2,603,488 ($8,621,435 total) {week 2}
8. Glengarry Glen Ross – $2,104,402 ($2,104,402 total) {week 1}
999. Batman Returns – $324,251 ($161,989,566 total) {week 16}
999. Unforgiven – $548,223 ($73,146,825 total) {week 9}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

1. The Last of the Mohicans – $19,004,357 ($47,935,672 total)
6. Mr. Saturday Night – $5,125,421 ($16,972,801 total)
8. Glengarry Glen Ross – $4,142,883 ($4,142,883 total)
999. Batman Returns – $638,345 ($318,904,760 total)
999. Unforgiven – $1,079,273 ($144,002,304 total)

Oscar Details:

• Batman Returns: Makeup, Visual Effects
• Glengarry Glen Ross: Supporting Actor (Al Pacino)
• The Last of the Mohicans: Sound [O]
• Mr. Saturday Night: Supporting Actor (David Paymer)
• Unforgiven: Picture [O], Director [O], Actor (Clint Eastwood), Supporting Actor (Gene Hackman) [O], Original Screenplay, Editing [O], Cinematography, Art Direction, Sound

30 Years Ago: The Weekend of Oct. 2-4, 1987

Weekend Box Office:

1. Fatal Attraction – $9,347,602 ($31,229,365 total) {week 3}
5. Dirty Dancing – $1,878,207 ($30,011,849 total) {week 7}
999. The Princess Bride – $204,198 ($500,847 total) {week 2}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

1. Fatal Attraction – $19,531,946 ($65,254,197 total)
5. Dirty Dancing – $3,924,540 ($62,710,181 total)
999. The Princess Bride – $426,675 ($1,046,527 total)

Oscar Details:

• Dirty Dancing: Original Song (“(I’ve Had) The Time of My Life”) [O]
• Fatal Attraction: Picture, Director, Actress (Glenn Close), Supporting Actress (Anne Archer), Adapted Screenplay, Editing
• The Princess Bride: Original Song (“Storybook Love”)

35 Years Ago: The Weekend of Oct. 1-3, 1982

Weekend Box Office:

1. E.T. The Extra-Terrestrial – $3,742,140 ($261,086,886 total) {week 17}
2. An Officer and a Gentleman – $3,376,880 ($65,997,548 total) {week 10}
7. The Best Little Whorehouse in Texas – $885,578 ($67,834,702 total) {week 11}
9. Rocky III – $611,375 ($115,870,775 total) {week 19}
10. The World According to Garp – $575,506 ($27,608,648 total) {week 11}
11. Yes, Giorgio – $518,786 ($2,279,543 total) {week 2}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

1. E.T. The Extra-Terrestrial – $10,399,076 ($725,537,367 total)
2. An Officer and a Gentleman – $9,384,051 ($183,401,349 total)
7. The Best Little Whorehouse in Texas – $2,460,943 ($188,506,638 total)
9. Rocky III – $1,698,957 ($321,994,637 total)
10. The World According to Garp – $1,599,280 ($76,721,991 total)
11. Yes, Giorgio – $1,441,660 ($6,334,648 total)

Oscar Details:

• The Best Little Whorehouse in Texas: Supporting Actor (Charles Durning)
• E.T. The Extra-Terrestrial: Picture, Director, Original Screenplay, Original Score [O], Editing, Cinematography, Sound [O], Sound Effects [O], Visual Effects [O]
• An Officer and a Gentleman: Actress (Debra Winger), Supporting Actor (Louis Gossett Jr.) [O], Original Screenplay, Original Song (“Up Where We Belong”) [O], Original Score, Film Editing
• Rocky III: Original Song (“Eye of the Tiger”)
• The World According to Garp: Supporting Actor (John Lithgow), Supporting Actress (Glenn Close)
• Yes, Giorgio: Original Song (“If We Were in Love”)