Every week, we’ll take a look back in 5-year intervals at the box office past to explore how Oscar’s nominees were doing at the box office each weekend historically. All data is collected from Box Office Mojo. The first section under each year is the positioning of all Oscar nominees during that weekend at the box office (as well as a section looking at the inflation-adjusted numbers). The third section is an alphabetical list of those films and the categories in which they were nominated. And to start each week off, we’ll be looking at the films releasing over the weekend that have the best chance of getting Oscar nominations and specifying the categories where we think they have the best shots at this stage of the game. If you have any suggestions for more data you’d like to see, please let us know.
This Year: Potential Oscar Nominees Releasing This Weekend
Ad Astra (Wide)
Oscar Potential: Actor (Brad Pitt), Original Screenplay, Original Score, Film Editing, Cinematography, Production Design, Sound Mixing, Sound Editing, Visual Effects.
Downton Abbey (Wide)
Oscar Potential: Production Design, Costume Design.
5 Years Ago: The Weekend of Sep. 19-21, 2014
Weekend Box Office:
- Guardians of the Galaxy – $5,242,286 ($313,731,317 total) {week 8}
- Boyhood – $418,405 ($22,572,321 total) {week 11}
- Maleficent – $270,147 ($240,069,747 total) {week 17}
- Dawn of the Planet of the Apes – $268,694 ($207,265,287 total) {week 11}
- How to Train Your Dragon 2 – $237,801 ($175,576,448 total) {week 15}
- X-Men: Days of Future Past – $44,994 ($233,855,197 total) {week 18}
- Last Days in Vietnam – $22,400 ($94,600 total) {week 3}
- Begin Again – $12,547 ($16,123,533 total) {week 13}
Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):
- Guardians of the Galaxy – $5,864,687 ($350,979,711 total)
- Boyhood – $468,081 ($25,252,266 total)
- Maleficent – $302,221 ($268,572,520 total)
- Dawn of the Planet of the Apes – $300,595 ($231,873,283 total)
- How to Train Your Dragon 2 – $266,034 ($196,422,122 total)
- X-Men: Days of Future Past – $50,336 ($261,620,135 total)
- Last Days in Vietnam – $25,059 ($105,832 total)
- Begin Again – $14,037 ($18,037,833 total)
Oscar Details:
- Begin Again: Original Song (“Lost Stars”)
- Boyhood: Picture, Directing, Supporting Actor (Ethan Hawke), Supporting Actress (Patricia Arquette) [O], Original Screenplay, Film Editing
- Dawn of the Planet of the Apes: Visual Effects
- Guardians of the Galaxy: Makeup and Hairstyling, Visual Effects
- How to Train Your Dragon 2: Animated Feature
- Last Days in Vietnam: Documentary Feature
- Maleficent: Costume Design
- X-Men: Days of Future Past: Visual Effects
10 Years Ago: The Weekend of Sep. 18-20, 2009
Weekend Box Office:
- Inglourious Basterds – $3,818,142 ($110,116,807 total) {week 5}
- Julie & Julia – $1,914,186 ($88,460,267 total) {week 7}
- District 9 – $1,913,150 ($111,685,356 total) {week 6}
- Up – $314,758 ($291,819,165 total) {week 17}
- Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen – $254,295 ($401,485,117 total) {week 13}
- Bright Star – $189,703 ($206,649 total) {week 1}
- Star Trek – $100,316 ($257,604,001 total) {week 20}
- The Hurt Locker – $72,193 ($12,402,612 total) {week 13}
- In the Loop – $54,561 ($2,251,324 total) {week 9}
- The Baader Meinhof Complex – $50,504 ($299,475 total) {week 5}
- Food, Inc. – $22,134 ($4,288,938 total) {week 15}
- Departures – $19,551 ($1,369,856 total) {week 17}
- The Cove – $17,930 ($757,611 total) {week 8}
- Il Divo – $345 ($233,124 total) {week 22}
Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):
- Inglourious Basterds – $4,653,042 ($134,195,682 total)
- Julie & Julia – $2,332,755 ($107,803,579 total)
- District 9 – $2,331,492 ($136,107,221 total)
- Up – $383,585 ($355,630,289 total)
- Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen – $309,901 ($489,276,529 total)
- Bright Star – $231,185 ($251,836 total)
- Star Trek – $122,252 ($313,933,409 total)
- The Hurt Locker – $87,979 ($15,114,650 total)
- In the Loop – $66,492 ($2,743,614 total)
- The Baader Meinhof Complex – $61,548 ($364,960 total)
- Food, Inc. – $26,974 ($5,226,786 total)
- Departures – $23,826 ($1,669,398 total)
- The Cove – $21,851 ($923,275 total)
- Il Divo – $420 ($284,100 total)
Oscar Details:
- The Baader Meinhof Complex: Foreign Language Film
- Bright Star: Costume Design
- The Cove: Documentary Feature
- Departures: Foreign Language Film [O]
- District 9: Picture, Adapted Screenplay, Editing, Visual Effects
- Il Divo: Makeup
- Food, Inc.: Documentary Feature
- The Hurt Locker: Picture [O], Director [O], Actor (Jeremy Renner), Original Screenplay [O], Original Score, Editing [O], Cinematography, Sound Mixing [O], Sound Editing [O]
- In the Loop: Adapted Screenplay
- Inglourious Basterds: Picture, Director, Supporting Actor (Christoph Waltz) [O], Original Screenplay, Editing, Cinematography, Sound Mixing, Sound Editing
- Julie & Julia: Actress (Meryl Streep)
- Star Trek: Makeup [O], Sound Mixing, Sound Editing, Visual Effects
- Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen: Sound Mixing
- Up: Picture, Animated Feature [O], Original Screenplay, Original Score [O], Sound Editing
15 Years Ago: The Weekend of Sep. 17-19, 2004
Weekend Box Office:
- Hero – $2,836,698 ($46,090,351 total) {week 1}
- Collateral – $2,265,532 ($95,970,209 total) {week 7}
- I, Robot – $541,457 ($143,011,482 total) {week 10}
- Spider-Man 2 – $342,622 ($371,168,083 total) {week 12}
- Maria Full of Grace – $281,230 ($5,340,457 total) {week 10}
- The Village – $207,473 ($113,029,508 total) {week 8}
- Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban – $170,088 ($248,854,854 total) {week 16}
- Before Sunset – $119,867 ($5,563,693 total) {week 12}
- Zelary – $29,002 ($29,002 total) {week 1}
- Story of the Weeping Camel – $17,504 ($1,680,036 total) {week 16}
- Super Size Me – $13,773 ($11,487,995 total) {week 20}
- The Twilight Samurai – $2,639 ($523,205 total) {week 22}
Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):
- Hero – $4,175,108 ($67,836,684 total)
- Collateral – $3,334,455 ($141,250,839 total)
- I, Robot – $796,927 ($210,487,109 total)
- Spider-Man 2 – $504,278 ($546,292,476 total)
- Maria Full of Grace – $413,920 ($7,860,190 total)
- The Village – $305,363 ($166,359,050 total)
- Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban – $250,339 ($366,269,463 total)
- Before Sunset – $176,423 ($8,188,753 total)
- Zelary – $42,686 ($42,686 total)
- Story of the Weeping Camel – $25,763 ($2,472,710 total)
- Super Size Me – $20,271 ($16,908,257 total)
- The Twilight Samurai – $3,884 ($770,063 total)
Oscar Details:
- Before Sunset: Adapted Screenplay
- Collateral: Supporting Actor (Jamie Foxx), Editing
- Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban: Original Score, Visual Effects
- Hero: Foreign Language Film
- I, Robot: Visual Effects
- Maria Full of Grace: Actress (Catalina Sandino Moreno)
- Spider-Man 2: Sound Mixing, Sound Editing, Visual Effects [O]
- Story of the Weeping Camel : Documentary Feature
- Super Size Me : Documentary Feature
- The Twilight Samurai: Foreign Language Film
- The Village : Original Score
- Zelary: Foreign Language Film
20 Years Ago: The Weekend of Sep. 17-19, 1999
Weekend Box Office:
- The Sixth Sense – $11,207,422 ($213,275,834 total) {week 7}
- American Beauty – $861,531 ($1,021,385 total) {week 1}
- Star Wars: Episode I – The Phantom Menace – $799,369 ($423,299,088 total) {week 18}
- Tarzan – $384,901 ($169,067,188 total) {week 14}
- Buena Vista Social Club – $148,234 ($4,927,855 total) {week 16}
- The Red Violin – $135,903 ($9,291,544 total) {week 36}
- South Park: Bigger, Longer & Uncut – $56,778 ($51,932,314 total) {week 12}
- The Matrix – $42,761 ($171,383,253 total) {week 25}
Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):
- The Sixth Sense – $20,164,535 ($383,728,567 total)
- American Beauty – $1,550,077 ($1,837,689 total)
- Star Wars: Episode I – The Phantom Menace – $1,438,235 ($761,605,052 total)
- Tarzan – $692,519 ($304,187,815 total)
- Buena Vista Social Club – $266,704 ($8,866,259 total)
- The Red Violin – $244,518 ($16,717,463 total)
- South Park: Bigger, Longer & Uncut – $102,156 ($93,437,274 total)
- The Matrix – $76,936 ($308,354,908 total)
Oscar Details:
- American Beauty: Picture [O], Director [O], Actor (Kevin Spacey) [O], Actress (Annette Bening), Original Screenplay, Original Score, Editing, Cinematography
- Buena Vista Social Club: Documentary Feature
- The Matrix : Editing [O], Sound [O], Sound Effects [O], Visual Effects [O]
- The Red Violin : Original Score [O]
- The Sixth Sense : Picture, Director, Supporting Actor (Haley Joel Osment), Supporting Actress (Toni Collette), Original Screenplay, Editing
- South Park: Bigger, Longer & Uncut: Original Song (“Blame Canada”)
- Star Wars: Episode I – The Phantom Menace: Sound, Sound Effects, Visual Effects
- Tarzan: Original Song (“You’ll Be In My Heart”)
25 Years Ago: The Weekend of Sep. 23-25, 1994
Weekend Box Office:
- Forrest Gump – $5,457,584 ($263,646,568 total) {week 12}
- Quiz Show – $2,925,602 ($4,098,362 total) {week 2}
- Clear and Present Danger – $2,755,767 ($112,879,094 total) {week 8}
- The Mask – $1,571,237 ($108,557,722 total) {week 9}
- True Lies – $1,465,254 ($139,358,691 total) {week 11}
- Jurassic Park – $448,800 ($355,658,400 total) {week 68}
- The Shawshank Redemption – $727,327 ($727,327 total) {week 1}
Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):
- Forrest Gump – $11,933,569 ($576,490,342 total)
- Quiz Show – $6,397,130 ($8,961,490 total)
- Clear and Present Danger – $6,025,768 ($246,821,751 total)
- The Mask – $3,435,671 ($237,372,627 total)
- True Lies – $3,203,929 ($304,722,114 total)
- Jurassic Park – $981,347 ($777,683,678 total)
- The Shawshank Redemption – $1,590,375 ($1,590,375 total)
Oscar Details:
- Clear and Present Danger: Sound, Sound Effects
- Forrest Gump: Picture [O], Director [O], Actor (Tom Hanks) [O], Supporting Actor (Gary Sinise), Adapted Screenplay [O], Original Score, Editing [O], Cinematography, Art Direction, Makeup, Sound, Sound Effects, Visual Effects [O]
- Jurassic Park: Sound [O], Sound Effects [O], Visual Effects [O]
- The Mask : Visual Effects
- Quiz Show: Picture, Director, Supporting Actor (Paul Scofield), Adapted Screenplay
- The Shawshank Redemption : Picture, Actor (Morgan Freeman), Adapted Screenplay, Original Score, Editing, Cinematography, Sound
- True Lies: Visual Effects
30 Years Ago: The Weekend of Sep. 22-24, 1989
Weekend Box Office:
- Black Rain – $9,677,102 ($9,677,102 total) {week 1}
- Parenthood – $3,007,850 ($78,393,013 total) {week 8}
- When Harry Met Sallyโฆ – $2,042,900 ($78,144,204 total) {week 11}
- sex, lies and videotape – $1,801,816 ($15,701,978 total) {week 8}
- Lethal Weapon 2 – $1,608,068 ($140,144,384 total) {week 12}
- The Abyss – $1,512,309 ($49,710,458 total) {week 7}
- Batman – $1,101,767 ($244,670,914 total) {week 14}
- Dry White Season, A – $202,507 ($219,777 total) {week 1}
Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):
- Black Rain – $22,279,273 ($22,279,273 total)
- Parenthood – $6,924,874 ($180,481,647 total)
- When Harry Met Sallyโฆ – $4,703,301 ($179,908,822 total)
- sex, lies and videotape – $4,148,262 ($36,150,146 total)
- Lethal Weapon 2 – $3,702,202 ($322,649,791 total)
- The Abyss – $3,481,739 ($114,446,747 total)
- Batman – $2,536,562 ($563,297,772 total)
- Dry White Season, A – $466,225 ($505,985 total)
Oscar Details:
- The Abyss : Cinematography, Art Direction, Sound, Visual Effects [O]
- Batman: Art Direction [O]
- Black Rain: Sound, Sound Effects
- Dry White Season, A:
- Lethal Weapon 2: Sound Effects
- Parenthood: Supporting Actress (Dianne Wiest), Original Song (“I Love To See You Smile”)
- sex, lies and videotape: Original Screenplay
- When Harry Met Sallyโฆ: Original Screenplay
35 Years Ago: The Weekend of Sep. 21-23, 1984
Weekend Box Office:
- Ghostbusters – $2,850,809 ($201,036,554 total) {week 16}
- Purple Rain – $2,157,231 ($55,547,623 total) {week 9}
- The Karate Kid – $1,871,102 ($78,148,511 total) {week 14}
- The Woman in Red – $1,508,284 ($21,752,769 total) {week 6}
- Amadeus – $505,276 ($505,276 total) {week 1}
- Places in the Heart – $274,279 ($274,279 total) {week 1}
- A Soldier’s Story – $166,401 ($417,655 total) {week 2}
Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):
- Ghostbusters – $7,754,879 ($546,867,293 total)
- Purple Rain – $5,868,182 ($151,102,760 total)
- The Karate Kid – $5,089,843 ($212,582,557 total)
- The Woman in Red – $4,102,892 ($59,172,711 total)
- Amadeus – $1,374,471 ($1,374,471 total)
- Places in the Heart – $746,104 ($746,104 total)
- A Soldier’s Story – $452,650 ($1,136,121 total)
Oscar Details:
- Amadeus: Picture [O], Director [O], Actor (F. Murray Abraham [O], Tom Hulce), Adapted Screenplay [O], Editing, Cinematography, Art Direction [O], Costume Design [O], Makeup [O], Sound [O]
- Ghostbusters: Original Song (“Ghostbusters”), Visual Effects
- The Karate Kid : Supporting Actor (Noriyuki ‘Pat’ Morita)
- Places in the Heart: Picture, Director, Actress (Sally Field) [O], Supporting Actor (John Malkovich), Supporting Actress (Linsday Crouse), Original Screenplay [O], Costume Design
- Purple Rain: Original Song Score [O]
- A Soldier’s Story: Picture, Supporting Actor (Adolph Caesar), Adapted Screenplay
- The Woman in Red : Original Song (“I Just Called to Say I Love You”) [O]
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