Every week, we’ll take a look back in 5-year intervals at the box office past to explore how Oscar’s nominees were doing at the box office each weekend historically. All data is collected from Box Office Mojo. The first section under each year is the positioning of all Oscar nominees during that weekend at the box office (as well as a section looking at the inflation-adjusted numbers). The third section is an alphabetical list of those films and the categories in which they were nominated. And to start each week off, we’ll be looking at the films releasing over the weekend that have the best chance of getting Oscar nominations and specifying the categories where we think they have the best shots at this stage of the game. If you have any suggestions for more data you’d like to see, please let us know.

This Year: Potential Oscar Nominees Releasing This Weekend

Spider-Man: Far from Home (Wide)

Oscar Potential: Visual Effects.

5 Years Ago: The Weekend of Jul. 4-6, 2014

Weekend Box Office:

5. How to Train Your Dragon 2 – $8,961,088 ($140,215,452 total) {week 4}
7. Maleficent – $6,159,176 ($213,919,664 total) {week 6}
13. X-Men: Days of Future Past – $1,893,127 ($227,113,129 total) {week 7}
15. Begin Again – $1,256,583 ($1,794,832 total) {week 2}
23. Captain America: The Winter Soldier – $332,370 ($257,842,261 total) {week 14}
25. Ida – $233,333 ($2,865,417 total) {week 10}
36. The Grand Budapest Hotel – $100,089 ($58,722,693 total) {week 18}
40. The Lego Movie – $63,962 ($257,186,165 total) {week 22}
70. Frozen – $7,226 ($400,728,424 total) {week 33}
84. Finding Vivian Maier – $3,167 ($1,466,916 total) {week 15}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

5. How to Train Your Dragon 2 – $10,025,012 ($156,862,819 total)
7. Maleficent – $6,890,437 ($239,317,715 total)
13. X-Men: Days of Future Past – $2,117,892 ($254,077,601 total)
15. Begin Again – $1,405,773 ($2,007,927 total)
23. Captain America: The Winter Soldier – $371,831 ($288,455,112 total)
25. Ida – $261,036 ($3,205,620 total)
36. The Grand Budapest Hotel – $111,972 ($65,694,665 total)
40. The Lego Movie – $71,556 ($287,721,120 total)
70. Frozen – $8,084 ($448,305,728 total)
84. Finding Vivian Maier – $3,543 ($1,641,079 total)

Oscar Details:

• Begin Again: Original Song (“Lost Stars”)
• Captain America: The Winter Soldier: Visual Effects
• Finding Vivian Maier: Documentary Feature
• Frozen: Animated Feature [O], Original Song (“Let It Go”) [O]
• The Grand Budapest Hotel: Picture, Directing, Original Screenplay, Original Score [O], Film Editing, Cinematography, Production Design [O], Costume Design [O], Makeup and Hairstyling [O]
• How to Train Your Dragon 2: Animated Feature
• Ida: Cinematography, Foreign Language Film [O]
• The Lego Movie: Original Song (“Everything Is Awesome”)
• Maleficent: Costume Design
• X-Men: Days of Future Past: Visual Effects

10 Years Ago: The Weekend of Jul. 3-5, 2009

Weekend Box Office:

1. Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen – $42,320,877 ($293,355,885 total) {week 2}
6. Up – $6,521,389 ($264,816,694 total) {week 6}
11. Star Trek – $1,769,967 ($249,838,139 total) {week 9}
24. Food, Inc. – $251,684 ($1,286,693 total) {week 4}
28. The Hurt Locker – $131,202 ($370,123 total) {week 2}
37. Departures – $69,905 ($734,793 total) {week 6}
76. Il Divo – $3,178 ($199,423 total) {week 11}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

1. Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen – $51,575,042 ($357,503,039 total)
6. Up – $7,947,399 ($322,723,278 total)
11. Star Trek – $2,157,000 ($304,469,412 total)
24. Food, Inc. – $306,719 ($1,568,050 total)
28. The Hurt Locker – $159,892 ($451,057 total)
37. Departures – $85,191 ($895,468 total)
76. Il Divo – $3,873 ($243,030 total)

Oscar Details:

• Departures: Foreign Language Film [O]
• Il Divo: Makeup
• Food, Inc.: Documentary Feature
• The Hurt Locker: Picture [O], Director [O], Actor (Jeremy Renner), Original Screenplay [O], Original Score, Editing [O], Cinematography, Sound Mixing [O], Sound Editing [O]
• Star Trek: Makeup [O], Sound Mixing, Sound Editing, Visual Effects
• Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen: Sound Mixing
• Up: Picture, Animated Feature [O], Original Screenplay, Original Score [O], Sound Editing

15 Years Ago: The Weekend of Jul. 2-4, 2004

Weekend Box Office:

1. Spider-Man 2 – $88,156,227 ($152,411,751 total) {week 1}
7. Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban – $5,938,474 ($223,117,013 total) {week 5}
8. Shrek 2 – $5,838,371 ($408,139,196 total) {week 7}
17. Troy – $371,932 ($131,682,210 total) {week 8}
20. Before Sunset – $219,425 ($219,425 total) {week 1}
21. Super Size Me – $215,884 ($9,961,144 total) {week 9}
31. Story of the Weeping Camel – $86,283 ($491,766 total) {week 5}
56. The Passion of the Christ – $14,206 ($370,197,857 total) {week 19}
67. The Twilight Samurai – $11,526 ($407,231 total) {week 11}
78. The Triplets of Belleville – $4,357 ($6,998,643 total) {week 32}
103. My Architect – $1,509 ($2,736,591 total) {week 34}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

1. Spider-Man 2 – $129,750,067 ($224,322,609 total)
7. Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban – $8,740,363 ($328,388,003 total)
8. Shrek 2 – $8,593,029 ($600,707,287 total)
17. Troy – $547,417 ($193,812,464 total)
20. Before Sunset – $322,954 ($322,954 total)
21. Super Size Me – $317,742 ($14,661,007 total)
31. Story of the Weeping Camel – $126,993 ($723,791 total)
56. The Passion of the Christ – $20,909 ($544,864,479 total)
67. The Twilight Samurai – $16,964 ($599,371 total)
78. The Triplets of Belleville – $6,413 ($10,300,740 total)
103. My Architect – $2,221 ($4,027,768 total)

Oscar Details:

• Before Sunset: Adapted Screenplay
• Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban: Original Score, Visual Effects
• My Architect: Documentary Feature
• The Passion of the Christ : Original Score, Cinematography, Makeup
• Shrek 2: Animated Feature, Original Song (“Accidentally in Love”)
• Spider-Man 2: Sound Mixing, Sound Editing, Visual Effects [O]
• Story of the Weeping Camel : Documentary Feature
• Super Size Me : Documentary Feature
• The Triplets of Belleville: Animated Feature, Original Song (“Belleville Rendez-vous”)
• Troy: Costume Design
• The Twilight Samurai: Foreign Language Film

20 Years Ago: The Weekend of Jul. 2-4, 1999

Weekend Box Office:

3. Tarzan – $13,914,914 ($111,097,897 total) {week 3}
4. South Park: Bigger, Longer & Uncut – $11,335,889 ($19,637,409 total) {week 1}
6. Star Wars: Episode I – The Phantom Menace – $9,540,382 ($369,415,693 total) {week 7}
7. Austin Powers: The Spy Who Shagged Me – $8,956,912 ($172,045,630 total) {week 4}
11. The Mummy – $917,600 ($147,918,655 total) {week 9}
12. The Red Violin – $882,894 ($4,552,900 total) {week 25}
14. Shakespeare in Love – $582,774 ($98,665,820 total) {week 30}
16. The Matrix – $475,602 ($166,652,219 total) {week 14}
20. Buena Vista Social Club – $284,516 ($1,524,432 total) {week 5}
28. Life – $142,115 ($62,840,929 total) {week 12}
34. Election – $89,239 ($14,355,429 total) {week 11}
999. Genghis Blues – $6,524 ($8,155 total) {week 1}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

3. Tarzan – $25,035,889 ($199,888,736 total)
4. South Park: Bigger, Longer & Uncut – $20,395,674 ($35,331,874 total)
6. Star Wars: Episode I – The Phantom Menace – $17,165,175 ($664,657,369 total)
7. Austin Powers: The Spy Who Shagged Me – $16,115,389 ($309,546,665 total)
11. The Mummy – $1,650,957 ($266,137,108 total)
12. The Red Violin – $1,588,514 ($8,191,635 total)
14. Shakespeare in Love – $1,048,534 ($177,520,786 total)
16. The Matrix – $855,709 ($299,842,772 total)
20. Buena Vista Social Club – $511,905 ($2,742,777 total)
28. Life – $255,695 ($113,064,191 total)
34. Election – $160,560 ($25,828,469 total)
999. Genghis Blues – $11,738 ($14,673 total)

Oscar Details:

• Austin Powers: The Spy Who Shagged Me: Makeup
• Buena Vista Social Club: Documentary Feature
• Election: Adapted Screenplay
• Genghis Blues: Documentary Feature
• Life: Makeup
• The Matrix : Editing [O], Sound [O], Sound Effects [O], Visual Effects [O]
• The Mummy : Sound
• The Red Violin : Original Score [O]
• Shakespeare in Love: Picture [O], Director, Actress (Gwyneth Paltrow) [O], Supporting Actor (Geoffrey Rush), Supporting Actress (Judi Dench) [O], Original Screenplay [O], Original Musical or Comedy Score [O], Editing, Cinematography, Art Direction [O], Costume Design [O], Makeup, Sound
• South Park: Bigger, Longer & Uncut: Original Song (“Blame Canada”)
• Star Wars: Episode I – The Phantom Menace: Sound, Sound Effects, Visual Effects
• Tarzan: Original Song (“You’ll Be In My Heart”)

25 Years Ago: The Weekend of Jul. 8-10, 1994

Weekend Box Office:

1. Forrest Gump – $24,450,602 ($24,450,602 total) {week 1}
2. The Lion King – $24,425,513 ($143,426,906 total) {week 4}
3. Speed – $7,658,679 ($84,576,403 total) {week 5}
9. Wyatt Earp – $2,815,516 ($19,653,310 total) {week 3}
12. Maverick – $1,753,894 ($87,404,789 total) {week 8}
999. Schindler’s List – $219,555 ($95,494,598 total) {week 30}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

1. Forrest Gump – $53,463,757 ($53,463,757 total)
2. The Lion King – $53,408,897 ($313,617,684 total)
3. Speed – $16,746,489 ($184,935,006 total)
9. Wyatt Earp – $6,156,415 ($42,973,984 total)
12. Maverick – $3,835,070 ($191,119,563 total)
999. Schindler’s List – $480,080 ($208,808,762 total)

Oscar Details:

• Forrest Gump: Picture [O], Director [O], Actor (Tom Hanks) [O], Supporting Actor (Gary Sinise), Adapted Screenplay [O], Original Score, Editing [O], Cinematography, Art Direction, Makeup, Sound, Sound Effects, Visual Effects [O]
• The Lion King : Original Song (“Can You Feel the Love Tonight” [O], “Circle of Life”, “Hakuna Matata”), Original Score [O]
• Maverick: Costume Design
• Schindler’s List: Picture [O], Director [O], Actor (Liam Neeson), Supporting Actor (Ralph Fiennes), Adapted Screenplay [O], Original Score [O], Editing [O], Cinematography [O], Art Direction [O], Costume Design, Makeup, Sound
• Speed: Editing, Sound [O], Sound Effects [O]
• Wyatt Earp: Cinematography

30 Years Ago: The Weekend of Jul. 7-9, 1989

Weekend Box Office:

1. Lethal Weapon 2 – $20,388,800 ($20,388,800 total) {week 1}
2. Batman – $19,248,329 ($141,659,121 total) {week 3}
5. Indiana Jones and the Last Crusade – $5,205,338 ($158,469,476 total) {week 7}
6. Dead Poets Society – $5,186,264 ($56,765,388 total) {week 6}
9. Do the Right Thing – $2,916,960 ($8,848,045 total) {week 2}
12. Field of Dreams – $1,304,875 ($53,388,955 total) {week 12}
999. The Music Teacher – $18,486 ($18,486 total) {week 1}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

1. Lethal Weapon 2 – $46,940,461 ($46,940,461 total)
2. Batman – $44,314,793 ($326,137,120 total)
5. Indiana Jones and the Last Crusade – $11,984,078 ($364,839,046 total)
6. Dead Poets Society – $11,940,164 ($130,689,080 total)
9. Do the Right Thing – $6,715,621 ($20,370,562 total)
12. Field of Dreams – $3,004,171 ($122,915,629 total)
999. The Music Teacher – $42,560 ($42,560 total)

Oscar Details:

• Batman: Art Direction [O]
• Dead Poets Society: Picture, Director, Actor (Robin Williams), Original Screenplay [O]
• Do the Right Thing: Supporting Actor (Danny Aiello), Original Screenplay
• Field of Dreams: Picture, Adapted Screenplay, Original Score
• Indiana Jones and the Last Crusade: Original Score, Sound, Sound Effects [O]
• Lethal Weapon 2: Sound Effects
• The Music Teacher: Foreign Language Film

35 Years Ago: The Weekend of Jul. 6-8, 1984

Weekend Box Office:

1. Ghostbusters – $11,136,134 ($99,651,245 total) {week 5}
4. The Karate Kid – $5,294,234 ($21,197,972 total) {week 3}
6. Indiana Jones and the Temple of Doom – $5,106,489 ($134,941,133 total) {week 7}
11. The Natural – $1,576,403 ($41,135,310 total) {week 9}
12. Romancing the Stone – $1,113,711 ($68,566,697 total) {week 15}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

1. Ghostbusters – $30,292,936 ($271,075,113 total)
4. The Karate Kid – $14,401,577 ($57,663,531 total)
6. Indiana Jones and the Temple of Doom – $13,890,866 ($367,072,011 total)
11. The Natural – $4,288,191 ($111,897,837 total)
12. Romancing the Stone – $3,029,559 ($186,517,741 total)

Oscar Details:

• Ghostbusters: Original Song (“Ghostbusters”), Visual Effects
• Indiana Jones and the Temple of Doom: Original Score, Visual Effects [O]
• The Karate Kid : Supporting Actor (Noriyuki ‘Pat’ Morita)
• The Natural : Supporting Actress (Glenn Close), Original Score, Cinematography, Art Direction
• Romancing the Stone: Editing