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Every week, we’ll take a look back in 5-year intervals at the box office past to explore how Oscar’s nominees were doing at the box office each weekend historically. All data is collected from Box Office Mojo. The first section under each year is the positioning of all Oscar nominees during that weekend at the box office (as well as a section looking at the inflation-adjusted numbers). The third section is an alphabetical list of those films and the categories in which they were nominated. And to start each week off, we’ll be looking at the films releasing over the weekend that have the best chance of getting Oscar nominations and specifying the categories where we think they have the best shots at this stage of the game. If you have any suggestions for more data you’d like to see, please let us know.

This Year: Potential Oscar Nominees Releasing This Weekend

Spider-Man: Homecoming (Wide)

Oscar Potential: Sound Mixing, Sound Editing, Visual Effects.

A Ghost Story (Limited)

Oscar Potential: Actress (Rooney Mara), Supporting Actor (Casey Affleck), Original Screenplay.

None

5 Years Ago: The Weekend of Jul. 6-8, 2012

Weekend Box Office:

  1. Ted – $32,202,395 ($119,849,740 total) {week 2}
  2. Brave – $19,612,370 ($173,969,341 total) {week 3}
  3. Moonrise Kingdom – $4,519,195 ($26,780,989 total) {week 7}
  4. Marvel’s The Avengers – $2,168,124 ($611,127,884 total) {week 10}
  5. Prometheus – $1,815,500 ($122,390,274 total) {week 5}
  6. Snow White and the Huntsman – $1,768,355 ($149,756,565 total) {week 6}
  7. Beasts of the Southern Wild – $374,057 ($743,846 total) {week 2}
  8. The Pirates! Band of Misfits – $246,692 ($30,105,916 total) {week 11}
  9. Mirror Mirror – $63,830 ($64,655,310 total) {week 15}
  10. Monsieur Lazhar – $15,746 ($1,894,713 total) {week 13}
  11. A Cat in Paris – $14,702 ($183,713 total) {week 6}
  12. The Invisible War – $2,251 ($39,801 total) {week 3}
  13. Footnote – $581 ($2,007,451 total) {week 18}
  14. 5 Broken Cameras – $114 ($49,818 total) {week 6}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

  1. Ted – $33,051,956 ($123,011,605 total)
  2. Brave – $20,129,782 ($178,558,984 total)
  3. Moonrise Kingdom – $4,638,420 ($27,487,523 total)
  4. Marvel’s The Avengers – $2,225,323 ($627,250,605 total)
  5. Prometheus – $1,863,396 ($125,619,163 total)
  6. Snow White and the Huntsman – $1,815,008 ($153,707,429 total)
  7. Beasts of the Southern Wild – $383,925 ($763,470 total)
  8. The Pirates! Band of Misfits – $253,200 ($30,900,168 total)
  9. Mirror Mirror – $65,514 ($66,361,041 total)
  10. Monsieur Lazhar – $16,161 ($1,944,699 total)
  11. A Cat in Paris – $15,090 ($188,560 total)
  12. The Invisible War – $2,310 ($40,851 total)
  13. Footnote – $596 ($2,060,411 total)
  14. 5 Broken Cameras – $117 ($51,132 total)

Oscar Details:

  • 5 Broken Cameras: Documentary Feature
  • Beasts of the Southern Wild: Picture, Directing, Actress (Quvenzhane Wallis), Adapted Screenplay
  • Brave: Animated Feature [O]
  • A Cat in Paris: Animated Feature
  • Footnote: Foreign Language Film
  • The Invisible War: Documentary Feature
  • Marvel’s The Avengers: Visual Effects
  • Mirror Mirror: Costume Design
  • Monsieur Lazhar: Foreign Language Film
  • Moonrise Kingdom: Original Screenplay
  • The Pirates! Band of Misfits: Animated Feature
  • Prometheus: Visual Effects
  • Snow White and the Huntsman: Costume Design
  • Ted: Original Song (“Everybody Needs a Best Friend”)

10 Years Ago: The Weekend of Jul. 6-8, 2007

Weekend Box Office:

  1. Transformers – $70,502,384 ($155,405,412 total) {week 1}
  2. Ratatouille – $29,014,293 ($109,531,598 total) {week 2}
  3. Sicko – $3,600,179 ($11,452,560 total) {week 3}
  4. Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End – $3,008,962 ($301,725,691 total) {week 7}
  5. Surf’s Up – $991,175 ($56,042,318 total) {week 5}
  6. La Vie en Rose – $608,884 ($6,030,711 total) {week 6}
  7. Once – $439,648 ($4,563,755 total) {week 8}
  8. The Lives of Others – $33,172 ($10,814,343 total) {week 22}
  9. Away from Her – $23,576 ($4,501,383 total) {week 10}
  10. After the Wedding – $11,485 ($1,526,359 total) {week 15}
  11. Iraq in Fragments – $738 ($202,721 total) {week 34}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

  1. Transformers – $83,721,581 ($184,543,927 total)
  2. Ratatouille – $34,454,473 ($130,068,773 total)
  3. Sicko – $4,275,213 ($13,599,915 total)
  4. Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End – $3,573,142 ($358,299,258 total)
  5. Surf’s Up – $1,177,020 ($66,550,253 total)
  6. La Vie en Rose – $723,050 ($7,161,469 total)
  7. Once – $522,082 ($5,419,459 total)
  8. The Lives of Others – $39,392 ($12,842,032 total)
  9. Away from Her – $27,997 ($5,345,392 total)
  10. After the Wedding – $13,638 ($1,812,551 total)
  11. Iraq in Fragments – $876 ($240,731 total)

Oscar Details:

  • After the Wedding: Foreign Language Film
  • Away from Her: Actress (Julie Christie), Adapted Screenplay
  • Iraq in Fragments: Documentary Feature
  • The Lives of Others: Foreign Language Film
  • Once: Original Song [O]
  • Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End: Makeup, Visual Effects
  • Ratatouille: Animated Feature [O], Original Screenplay, Original Score, Sound Mixing, Sound Editing
  • Sicko: Documentary Feature
  • Surf’s Up: Animated Feature
  • Transformers: Sound Mixing, Sound Editing, Visual Effects
  • La Vie en Rose: Actress (Marion Cotillard) [O], Costume Design, Makeup [O]

15 Years Ago: The Weekend of Jul. 5-7, 2002

Weekend Box Office:

  1. Lilo & Stitch – $12,636,421 ($103,018,879 total) {week 3}
  2. Minority Report – $12,556,624 ($97,119,723 total) {week 3}
  3. My Big Fat Greek Wedding – $2,508,748 ($23,576,174 total) {week 12}
  4. Star Wars: Episode II – Attack of the Clones – $2,450,654 ($291,297,451 total) {week 8}
  5. Spider-Man – $2,204,636 ($400,058,357 total) {week 10}
  6. About a Boy – $579,530 ($40,103,395 total) {week 8}
  7. Spirit: Stallion of the Cimarron – $329,027 ($71,290,429 total) {week 7}
  8. Ice Age – $194,194 ($175,351,002 total) {week 17}
  9. Unfaithful – $158,973 ($52,070,062 total) {week 9}
  10. The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring – $150,369 ($312,549,779 total) {week 29}
  11. Y Tu Mama Tambien – $144,326 ($13,180,920 total) {week 17}
  12. Elling – $24,576 ($100,374 total) {week 6}
  13. Promises – $2,470 ($171,369 total) {week 17}
  14. Son of the Bride – $1,734 ($461,032 total) {week 16}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

  1. Lilo & Stitch – $17,769,287 ($144,864,758 total)
  2. Minority Report – $17,657,077 ($136,569,387 total)
  3. My Big Fat Greek Wedding – $3,527,792 ($33,152,727 total)
  4. Star Wars: Episode II – Attack of the Clones – $3,446,100 ($409,621,373 total)
  5. Spider-Man – $3,100,151 ($562,560,547 total)
  6. About a Boy – $814,933 ($56,393,242 total)
  7. Spirit: Stallion of the Cimarron – $462,677 ($100,248,331 total)
  8. Ice Age – $273,075 ($246,577,915 total)
  9. Unfaithful – $223,547 ($73,220,724 total)
  10. The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring – $211,448 ($439,506,316 total)
  11. Y Tu Mama Tambien – $202,951 ($18,534,960 total)
  12. Elling – $34,559 ($141,146 total)
  13. Promises – $3,473 ($240,978 total)
  14. Son of the Bride – $2,438 ($648,301 total)

Oscar Details:

  • About a Boy: Adapted Screenplay
  • Elling: Foreign Language Film
  • Ice Age: Animated Feature
  • Lilo & Stitch: Animated Feature
  • The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring: Picture, Director, Supporting Actor (Ian McKellen), Adapted Screenplay, Original Score [O], Original Song (“May It Be”), Editing, Cinematography [O], Art Direction, Costume Design, Makeup [O], Sound, Visual Effects [O]
  • Minority Report: Sound Editing
  • My Big Fat Greek Wedding: Original Screenplay
  • Promises: Documentary Feature
  • Son of the Bride: Foreign Language Film
  • Spider-Man: Sound, Visual Effects
  • Spirit: Stallion of the Cimarron: Animated Feature
  • Star Wars: Episode II – Attack of the Clones: Visual Effects
  • Unfaithful: Actress (Diane Lane)
  • Y Tu Mama Tambien: Original Screenplay

20 Years Ago: The Weekend of Jul. 4-6, 1997

Weekend Box Office:

  1. Men in Black – $51,068,455 ($84,133,900 total) {week 1}
  2. Face/Off – $16,067,233 ($51,521,285 total) {week 2}
  3. Hercules – $12,193,152 ($50,030,540 total) {week 4}
  4. My Best Friend’s Wedding – $10,818,090 ($69,281,429 total) {week 3}
  5. Con Air – $3,791,861 ($85,073,453 total) {week 5}
  6. The Lost World: Jurassic Park – $2,604,420 ($218,334,199 total) {week 7}
  7. The Fifth Element – $147,367 ($60,966,673 total) {week 9}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

  1. Men in Black – $90,899,625 ($149,754,676 total)
  2. Face/Off – $28,598,975 ($91,705,642 total)
  3. Hercules – $21,703,279 ($89,052,181 total)
  4. My Best Friend’s Wedding – $19,255,729 ($123,317,925 total)
  5. Con Air – $6,749,347 ($151,427,039 total)
  6. The Lost World: Jurassic Park – $4,635,754 ($388,625,361 total)
  7. The Fifth Element – $262,307 ($108,518,021 total)

Oscar Details:

  • Con Air: Original Song (“How Do I Live”), Sound
  • Face/Off: Sound Effects
  • The Fifth Element: Sound Editing
  • Hercules: Original Song (“Go the Distance”)
  • The Lost World: Jurassic Park: Visual Effects
  • Men in Black: Original Musical or Comedy Score, Art Direction, Makeup [O]
  • My Best Friend’s Wedding: Original Comedy/Musical Score

25 Years Ago: The Weekend of Jul. 3-5, 1992

Weekend Box Office:

  1. Batman Returns – $13,823,658 ($123,051,215 total) {week 11}
  2. Basic Instinct – $562,886 ($109,651,443 total) {week 16}
  3. Howards End – $588,625 ($8,424,679 total) {week 17}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

  1. Batman Returns – $27,214,286 ($242,247,814 total)
  2. Basic Instinct – $1,108,139 ($215,868,022 total)
  3. Howards End – $1,158,811 ($16,585,452 total)

Oscar Details:

  • Basic Instinct: Original Score, Editing
  • Batman Returns: Makeup, Visual Effects
  • Howards End: Picture, Director, Actress (Emma Thompson) [O], Supporting Actress (Vanessa Redgrave), Adapted Screenplay [O], Original Score, Cinematography, Art Direction [O], Costume Design

30 Years Ago: The Weekend of Jul. 3-5, 1987

Weekend Box Office:

  1. Innerspace – $4,739,913 ($4,739,913 total) {week 1}
  2. Beverly Hills Cop II – $4,532,907 ($126,247,105 total) {week 7}
  3. The Witches of Eastwick – $4,255,271 ($41,107,940 total) {week 4}
  4. The Untouchables – $4,042,613 ($51,476,016 total) {week 5}
  5. Predator – $4,000,063 ($41,775,223 total) {week 4}
  6. Full Metal Jacket – $2,002,890 ($5,655,225 total) {week 2}
  7. Harry and the Hendersons – $1,198,355 ($22,852,893 total) {week 5}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

  1. Innerspace – $9,904,115 ($9,904,115 total)
  2. Beverly Hills Cop II – $9,471,573 ($263,795,102 total)
  3. The Witches of Eastwick – $8,891,449 ($85,895,619 total)
  4. The Untouchables – $8,447,097 ($107,559,860 total)
  5. Predator – $8,358,188 ($87,289,916 total)
  6. Full Metal Jacket – $4,185,067 ($11,816,672 total)
  7. Harry and the Hendersons – $2,503,980 ($47,751,441 total)

Oscar Details:

  • Beverly Hills Cop II: Original Song (“Shakedown”)
  • Full Metal Jacket: Adapted Screenplay
  • Harry and the Hendersons: Makeup [O]
  • Innerspace: Visual Effects [O]
  • Predator: Visual Effects
  • The Untouchables: Supporting Actor (Sean Connery) [O], Original Score, Art Direction, Costume Design
  • The Witches of Eastwick: Original Score, Sound

35 Years Ago: The Weekend of Jul. 2-4, 1982

Weekend Box Office:

  1. E.T. The Extra-Terrestrial – $16,706,592 ($86,410,147 total) {week 4}
  2. Rocky III – $5,400,555 ($72,800,555 total) {week 6}
  3. Annie – $4,989,582 ($25,588,401 total) {week 7}
  4. Poltergeist – $4,257,743 ($37,957,743 total) {week 5}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

  1. E.T. The Extra-Terrestrial – $46,426,142 ($240,126,157 total)
  2. Rocky III – $15,007,665 ($202,306,304 total)
  3. Annie – $13,865,607 ($71,107,903 total)
  4. Poltergeist – $11,831,891 ($105,481,211 total)

Oscar Details:

  • Annie: Original Song Score, Art Direction
  • E.T. The Extra-Terrestrial: Picture, Director, Original Screenplay, Original Score [O], Editing, Cinematography, Sound [O], Sound Effects [O], Visual Effects [O]
  • Poltergeist: Original Score, Sound Editing, Visual Effects
  • Rocky III: Original Song (“Eye of the Tiger”)

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