Every week, we’ll take a look back in 5-year intervals at the box office past to explore how Oscar’s nominees were doing at the box office each weekend historically. All data is collected from Box Office Mojo. The first section under each year is the positioning of all Oscar nominees during that weekend at the box office (as well as a section looking at the inflation-adjusted numbers). The third section is an alphabetical list of those films and the categories in which they were nominated. And to start each week off, we’ll be looking at the films releasing over the weekend that have the best chance of getting Oscar nominations and specifying the categories where we think they have the best shots at this stage of the game. If you have any suggestions for more data you’d like to see, please let us know.

This Year: Potential Oscar Nominees Releasing This Weekend

Yesterday (Wide)

Oscar Potential: Actor, Original Screenplay.

5 Years Ago: The Weekend of Jun. 27-29, 2014

Weekend Box Office:

3. How to Train Your Dragon 2 – $13,237,697 ($121,952,229 total) {week 3}
5. Maleficent – $8,376,674 ($202,010,064 total) {week 5}
9. X-Men: Days of Future Past – $3,321,427 ($223,414,899 total) {week 6}
18. Captain America: The Winter Soldier – $403,920 ($257,225,897 total) {week 13}
21. Ida – $264,794 ($2,488,657 total) {week 9}
28. The Lego Movie – $146,534 ($257,000,260 total) {week 21}
31. Begin Again – $134,064 ($134,064 total) {week 1}
32. The Grand Budapest Hotel – $119,673 ($58,550,014 total) {week 17}
67. Alone Yet Not Alone – $14,016 ($883,598 total) {week 4}
79. Finding Vivian Maier – $7,346 ($1,455,762 total) {week 14}
85. Frozen – $5,181 ($400,716,698 total) {week 32}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

3. How to Train Your Dragon 2 – $14,809,370 ($136,431,257 total)
5. Maleficent – $9,371,212 ($225,994,123 total)
9. X-Men: Days of Future Past – $3,715,770 ($249,940,291 total)
18. Captain America: The Winter Soldier – $451,876 ($287,765,569 total)
21. Ida – $296,232 ($2,784,128 total)
28. The Lego Movie – $163,932 ($287,513,143 total)
31. Begin Again – $149,981 ($149,981 total)
32. The Grand Budapest Hotel – $133,881 ($65,501,484 total)
67. Alone Yet Not Alone – $15,680 ($988,505 total)
79. Finding Vivian Maier – $8,218 ($1,628,600 total)
85. Frozen – $5,796 ($448,292,610 total)

Oscar Details:

• Alone Yet Not Alone: Original Song (“Alone Yet Not Alone”) (nomination rescinded)
• Begin Again: Original Song (“Lost Stars”)
• Captain America: The Winter Soldier: Visual Effects
• Finding Vivian Maier: Documentary Feature
• Frozen: Animated Feature [O], Original Song (“Let It Go”) [O]
• The Grand Budapest Hotel: Picture, Directing, Original Screenplay, Original Score [O], Film Editing, Cinematography, Production Design [O], Costume Design [O], Makeup and Hairstyling [O]
• How to Train Your Dragon 2: Animated Feature
• Ida: Cinematography, Foreign Language Film [O]
• The Lego Movie: Original Song (“Everything Is Awesome”)
• Maleficent: Costume Design
• X-Men: Days of Future Past: Visual Effects

10 Years Ago: The Weekend of Jun. 26-28, 2009

Weekend Box Office:

1. Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen – $108,966,307 ($200,077,255 total) {week 1}
4. Up – $13,061,737 ($250,234,554 total) {week 5}
8. Star Trek – $3,711,968 ($246,331,182 total) {week 8}
21. Food, Inc. – $291,444 ($834,848 total) {week 3}
27. The Hurt Locker – $145,352 ($145,352 total) {week 1}
34. Departures – $82,333 ($612,518 total) {week 5}
58. Il Divo – $12,344 ($192,882 total) {week 10}
70. Revanche – $7,528 ($192,451 total) {week 9}
71. Coraline – $7,521 ($75,280,058 total) {week 21}
94. Burma VJ – $1,639 ($35,828 total) {week 6}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

1. Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen – $132,793,606 ($243,827,481 total)
4. Up – $15,917,903 ($304,952,510 total)
8. Star Trek – $4,523,652 ($300,195,600 total)
21. Food, Inc. – $355,173 ($1,017,401 total)
27. The Hurt Locker – $177,136 ($177,136 total)
34. Departures – $100,336 ($746,455 total)
58. Il Divo – $15,043 ($235,059 total)
70. Revanche – $9,174 ($234,534 total)
71. Coraline – $9,166 ($91,741,297 total)
94. Burma VJ – $1,997 ($43,662 total)

Oscar Details:

• Burma VJ: Documentary Feature
• Coraline: Animated Feature
• Departures: Foreign Language Film [O]
• Il Divo: Makeup
• Food, Inc.: Documentary Feature
• The Hurt Locker: Picture [O], Director [O], Actor (Jeremy Renner), Original Screenplay [O], Original Score, Editing [O], Cinematography, Sound Mixing [O], Sound Editing [O]
• Revanche: Foreign Language Film
• Star Trek: Makeup [O], Sound Mixing, Sound Editing, Visual Effects
• Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen: Sound Mixing
• Up: Picture, Animated Feature [O], Original Screenplay, Original Score [O], Sound Editing

15 Years Ago: The Weekend of Jun. 25-27, 2004

Weekend Box Office:

6. Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban – $11,247,412 ($211,537,548 total) {week 4}
7. Shrek 2 – $10,216,452 ($396,782,535 total) {week 6}
14. Troy – $957,313 ($130,906,716 total) {week 7}
18. Super Size Me – $383,178 ($9,512,152 total) {week 8}
35. Story of the Weeping Camel – $85,515 ($358,489 total) {week 4}
52. Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind – $38,080 ($34,217,011 total) {week 15}
58. The Passion of the Christ – $23,567 ($370,167,453 total) {week 18}
75. The Twilight Samurai – $11,244 ($388,857 total) {week 10}
78. The Triplets of Belleville – $8,789 ($6,989,996 total) {week 31}
88. Cold Mountain – $6,204 ($95,632,614 total) {week 27}
101. My Architect – $2,953 ($2,733,662 total) {week 33}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

6. Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban – $16,554,162 ($311,345,119 total)
7. Shrek 2 – $15,036,775 ($583,992,330 total)
14. Troy – $1,408,992 ($192,671,076 total)
18. Super Size Me – $563,969 ($14,000,172 total)
35. Story of the Weeping Camel – $125,863 ($527,631 total)
52. Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind – $56,047 ($50,361,269 total)
58. The Passion of the Christ – $34,686 ($544,819,730 total)
75. The Twilight Samurai – $16,549 ($572,327 total)
78. The Triplets of Belleville – $12,936 ($10,288,013 total)
88. Cold Mountain – $9,131 ($140,753,960 total)
101. My Architect – $4,346 ($4,023,457 total)

Oscar Details:

• Cold Mountain: Actor (Jude Law), Supporting Actress (Renee Zellweger) [O], Original Song (“Scarlet Tide”), Original Song (“You Will Be My Ain True Love”), Original Score, Editing, Cinematography
• Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind: Actress (Kate Winslet), Original Screenplay [O]
• Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban: Original Score, Visual Effects
• My Architect: Documentary Feature
• The Passion of the Christ : Original Score, Cinematography, Makeup
• Shrek 2: Animated Feature, Original Song (“Accidentally in Love”)
• Story of the Weeping Camel : Documentary Feature
• Super Size Me : Documentary Feature
• The Triplets of Belleville: Animated Feature, Original Song (“Belleville Rendez-vous”)
• Troy: Costume Design
• The Twilight Samurai: Foreign Language Film

20 Years Ago: The Weekend of Jun. 25-27, 1999

Weekend Box Office:

2. Tarzan – $24,055,796 ($77,575,147 total) {week 2}
3. Austin Powers: The Spy Who Shagged Me – $18,338,740 ($150,646,048 total) {week 3}
5. Star Wars: Episode I – The Phantom Menace – $14,111,919 ($351,669,681 total) {week 6}
7. The Mummy – $2,172,945 ($146,033,465 total) {week 8}
10. The Matrix – $1,011,566 ($165,688,406 total) {week 13}
12. The Red Violin – $732,707 ($3,291,024 total) {week 24}
18. Life – $256,520 ($62,545,534 total) {week 11}
21. Buena Vista Social Club – $234,308 ($963,476 total) {week 4}
27. Election – $178,894 ($14,145,859 total) {week 10}
46. Shakespeare in Love – $74,703 ($97,834,665 total) {week 29}
60. Life Is Beautiful – $35,977 ($57,216,351 total) {week 36}
999. Regret to Inform – $6,294 ($6,294 total) {week 1}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

2. Tarzan – $43,281,491 ($139,574,182 total)
3. Austin Powers: The Spy Who Shagged Me – $32,995,292 ($271,044,267 total)
5. Star Wars: Episode I – The Phantom Menace – $25,390,342 ($632,728,521 total)
7. The Mummy – $3,909,590 ($262,745,250 total)
10. The Matrix – $1,820,022 ($298,108,667 total)
12. The Red Violin – $1,318,296 ($5,921,252 total)
18. Life – $461,534 ($112,532,713 total)
21. Buena Vista Social Club – $421,570 ($1,733,498 total)
27. Election – $321,868 ($25,451,408 total)
46. Shakespeare in Love – $134,407 ($176,025,362 total)
60. Life Is Beautiful – $64,730 ($102,944,380 total)
999. Regret to Inform – $11,324 ($11,324 total)

Oscar Details:

• Austin Powers: The Spy Who Shagged Me: Makeup
• Buena Vista Social Club: Documentary Feature
• Election: Adapted Screenplay
• Life: Makeup
• Life Is Beautiful: Picture, Director, Actor (Roberto Benigni) [O], Original Screenplay, Original Dramatic Score [O], Editing, Foreign Language Film [O]
• The Matrix : Editing [O], Sound [O], Sound Effects [O], Visual Effects [O]
• The Mummy : Sound
• The Red Violin : Original Score [O]
• Regret to Inform: Documentary Feature
• Shakespeare in Love: Picture [O], Director, Actress (Gwyneth Paltrow) [O], Supporting Actor (Geoffrey Rush), Supporting Actress (Judi Dench) [O], Original Screenplay [O], Original Musical or Comedy Score [O], Editing, Cinematography, Art Direction [O], Costume Design [O], Makeup, Sound
• Star Wars: Episode I – The Phantom Menace: Sound, Sound Effects, Visual Effects
• Tarzan: Original Song (“You’ll Be In My Heart”)

25 Years Ago: The Weekend of Jul. 1-3, 1994

Weekend Box Office:

1. The Lion King – $34,208,876 ($104,519,258 total) {week 3}
3. Speed – $11,237,264 ($73,209,544 total) {week 4}
7. Wyatt Earp – $5,295,223 ($15,631,516 total) {week 2}
11. Maverick – $3,056,516 ($84,770,644 total) {week 7}
999. Schindler’s List – $259,230 ($95,085,458 total) {week 29}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

1. The Lion King – $74,801,226 ($228,542,110 total)
3. Speed – $24,571,434 ($160,080,199 total)
7. Wyatt Earp – $11,578,550 ($34,179,918 total)
11. Maverick – $6,683,387 ($185,359,734 total)
999. Schindler’s List – $566,833 ($207,914,135 total)

Oscar Details:

• The Lion King : Original Song (“Can You Feel the Love Tonight” [O], “Circle of Life”, “Hakuna Matata”), Original Score [O]
• Maverick: Costume Design
• Schindler’s List: Picture [O], Director [O], Actor (Liam Neeson), Supporting Actor (Ralph Fiennes), Adapted Screenplay [O], Original Score [O], Editing [O], Cinematography [O], Art Direction [O], Costume Design, Makeup, Sound
• Speed: Editing, Sound [O], Sound Effects [O]
• Wyatt Earp: Cinematography

30 Years Ago: The Weekend of Jun. 30-Jul. 2, 1989

Weekend Box Office:

1. Batman – $30,075,189 ($100,219,669 total) {week 2}
5. Indiana Jones and the Last Crusade – $7,088,465 ($147,327,102 total) {week 6}
6. Dead Poets Society – $6,708,768 ($46,347,382 total) {week 5}
8. Do the Right Thing – $3,563,535 ($3,563,535 total) {week 1}
10. Field of Dreams – $1,804,800 ($50,617,860 total) {week 11}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

1. Batman – $69,241,115 ($230,732,437 total)
5. Indiana Jones and the Last Crusade – $16,319,539 ($339,186,326 total)
6. Dead Poets Society – $15,445,375 ($106,704,048 total)
8. Do the Right Thing – $8,204,209 ($8,204,209 total)
10. Field of Dreams – $4,155,131 ($116,535,829 total)

Oscar Details:

• Batman: Art Direction [O]
• Dead Poets Society: Picture, Director, Actor (Robin Williams), Original Screenplay [O]
• Do the Right Thing: Supporting Actor (Danny Aiello), Original Screenplay
• Field of Dreams: Picture, Adapted Screenplay, Original Score
• Indiana Jones and the Last Crusade: Original Score, Sound, Sound Effects [O]

35 Years Ago: The Weekend of Jun. 29-Jul. 1, 1984

Weekend Box Office:

1. Ghostbusters – $11,148,617 ($80,636,536 total) {week 4}
5. Indiana Jones and the Temple of Doom – $5,741,844 ($125,963,710 total) {week 6}
7. The Karate Kid – $4,500,861 ($12,415,160 total) {week 2}
11. The Natural – $1,492,203 ($38,954,488 total) {week 8}
12. The Pope of Greenwich Village – $1,181,274 ($3,572,882 total) {week 2}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

1. Ghostbusters – $30,326,893 ($219,350,577 total)
5. Indiana Jones and the Temple of Doom – $15,619,183 ($342,651,283 total)
7. The Karate Kid – $12,243,414 ($33,772,191 total)
11. The Natural – $4,059,147 ($105,965,482 total)
12. The Pope of Greenwich Village – $3,213,347 ($9,719,090 total)

Oscar Details:

• Ghostbusters: Original Song (“Ghostbusters”), Visual Effects
• Indiana Jones and the Temple of Doom: Original Score, Visual Effects [O]
• The Karate Kid : Supporting Actor (Noriyuki ‘Pat’ Morita)
• The Natural : Supporting Actress (Glenn Close), Original Score, Cinematography, Art Direction
• The Pope of Greenwich Village : Supporting Actress (Geraldine Page)