Every week, we’ll take a look back in 5-year intervals at the box office past to explore how Oscar’s nominees were doing at the box office each weekend historically. All data is collected from Box Office Mojo. The first section under each year is the positioning of all Oscar nominees during that weekend at the box office (as well as a section looking at the inflation-adjusted numbers). The third section is an alphabetical list of those films and the categories in which they were nominated. And to start each week off, we’ll be looking at the films releasing over the weekend that have the best chance of getting Oscar nominations and specifying the categories where we think they have the best shots at this stage of the game. If you have any suggestions for more data you’d like to see, please let us know.

This Year: Potential Oscar Nominees Releasing This Weekend

Toy Story 4 (Wide)

Oscar Potential: Picture, Animated Feature, Adapted Screenplay, Original Score, Sound Mixing, Sound Editing.

5 Years Ago: The Weekend of Jun. 20-22, 2014

Weekend Box Office:

3. How to Train Your Dragon 2 – $24,719,312 ($94,596,047 total) {week 2}
5. Maleficent – $12,910,766 ($185,879,334 total) {week 4}
8. X-Men: Days of Future Past – $6,150,460 ($216,744,710 total) {week 5}
20. Ida – $268,817 ($2,065,330 total) {week 8}
25. Captain America: The Winter Soldier – $196,797 ($256,690,279 total) {week 12}
27. The Lego Movie – $172,592 ($256,696,317 total) {week 20}
29. The Grand Budapest Hotel – $132,861 ($58,347,156 total) {week 16}
34. Alone Yet Not Alone – $80,550 ($830,592 total) {week 3}
67. Frozen – $8,746 ($400,704,377 total) {week 31}
71. Finding Vivian Maier – $7,980 ($1,435,282 total) {week 13}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

3. How to Train Your Dragon 2 – $27,654,163 ($105,827,157 total)
5. Maleficent – $14,443,623 ($207,948,239 total)
8. X-Men: Days of Future Past – $6,880,686 ($242,478,170 total)
20. Ida – $300,733 ($2,310,541 total)
25. Captain America: The Winter Soldier – $220,162 ($287,166,359 total)
27. The Lego Movie – $193,083 ($287,173,114 total)
29. The Grand Budapest Hotel – $148,635 ($65,274,542 total)
34. Alone Yet Not Alone – $90,113 ($929,206 total)
67. Frozen – $9,784 ($448,278,826 total)
71. Finding Vivian Maier – $8,927 ($1,605,689 total)

Oscar Details:

• Alone Yet Not Alone: Original Song (“Alone Yet Not Alone”) (nomination rescinded)
• Captain America: The Winter Soldier: Visual Effects
• Finding Vivian Maier: Documentary Feature
• Frozen: Animated Feature [O], Original Song (“Let It Go”) [O]
• The Grand Budapest Hotel: Picture, Directing, Original Screenplay, Original Score [O], Film Editing, Cinematography, Production Design [O], Costume Design [O], Makeup and Hairstyling [O]
• How to Train Your Dragon 2: Animated Feature
• Ida: Cinematography, Foreign Language Film [O]
• The Lego Movie: Original Song (“Everything Is Awesome”)
• Maleficent: Costume Design
• X-Men: Days of Future Past: Visual Effects

10 Years Ago: The Weekend of Jun. 19-21, 2009

Weekend Box Office:

3. Up – $23,492,677 ($226,268,932 total) {week 4}
7. Star Trek – $5,511,434 ($240,255,340 total) {week 7}
17. Food, Inc. – $288,194 ($385,920 total) {week 2}
29. Departures – $102,822 ($476,108 total) {week 4}
59. Revanche – $12,592 ($177,988 total) {week 8}
68. Coraline – $9,397 ($75,265,446 total) {week 20}
81. Paris 36 – $4,281 ($850,575 total) {week 12}
89. Il Divo – $2,763 ($178,025 total) {week 9}
101. Burma VJ – $1,436 ($33,165 total) {week 5}
123. 12 – $85 ($125,024 total) {week 16}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

3. Up – $28,629,742 ($275,746,405 total)
7. Star Trek – $6,716,601 ($292,791,174 total)
17. Food, Inc. – $351,212 ($470,308 total)
29. Departures – $125,306 ($580,217 total)
59. Revanche – $15,345 ($216,908 total)
68. Coraline – $11,452 ($91,723,490 total)
81. Paris 36 – $5,217 ($1,036,567 total)
89. Il Divo – $3,367 ($216,953 total)
101. Burma VJ – $1,750 ($40,417 total)
123. 12 – $104 ($152,363 total)

Oscar Details:

• 12: Foreign Language Film
• Burma VJ: Documentary Feature
• Coraline: Animated Feature
• Departures: Foreign Language Film [O]
• Il Divo: Makeup
• Food, Inc.: Documentary Feature
• Paris 36: Original Song (“Loin de Paname”)
• Revanche: Foreign Language Film
• Star Trek: Makeup [O], Sound Mixing, Sound Editing, Visual Effects
• Up: Picture, Animated Feature [O], Original Screenplay, Original Score [O], Sound Editing

15 Years Ago: The Weekend of Jun. 18-20, 2004

Weekend Box Office:

3. Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban – $18,027,466 ($190,925,253 total) {week 3}
4. Shrek 2 – $13,941,950 ($378,623,263 total) {week 5}
10. Troy – $1,778,352 ($129,031,321 total) {week 6}
13. Super Size Me – $616,670 ($8,674,990 total) {week 7}
28. Story of the Weeping Camel – $113,846 ($210,789 total) {week 3}
38. Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind – $79,725 ($34,126,138 total) {week 14}
44. The Passion of the Christ – $41,913 ($370,111,518 total) {week 17}
54. The Twilight Samurai – $28,856 ($364,368 total) {week 9}
63. My Architect – $17,014 ($2,728,146 total) {week 32}
70. Cold Mountain – $12,847 ($95,617,788 total) {week 26}
108. The Triplets of Belleville – $1,932 ($6,980,090 total) {week 30}
115. City of God – $1,499 ($7,563,397 total) {week 75}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

3. Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban – $26,533,179 ($281,007,538 total)
4. Shrek 2 – $20,520,036 ($557,265,157 total)
10. Troy – $2,617,413 ($189,910,833 total)
13. Super Size Me – $907,627 ($12,768,021 total)
28. Story of the Weeping Camel – $167,561 ($310,243 total)
38. Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind – $117,341 ($50,227,520 total)
44. The Passion of the Christ – $61,688 ($544,737,403 total)
54. The Twilight Samurai – $42,471 ($536,284 total)
63. My Architect – $25,042 ($4,015,339 total)
70. Cold Mountain – $18,908 ($140,732,139 total)
108. The Triplets of Belleville – $2,844 ($10,273,434 total)
115. City of God – $2,206 ($11,131,956 total)

Oscar Details:

• City of God: Director, Adapted Screenplay, Editing, Cinematography
• Cold Mountain: Actor (Jude Law), Supporting Actress (Renee Zellweger) [O], Original Song (“Scarlet Tide”), Original Song (“You Will Be My Ain True Love”), Original Score, Editing, Cinematography
• Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind: Actress (Kate Winslet), Original Screenplay [O]
• Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban: Original Score, Visual Effects
• My Architect: Documentary Feature
• The Passion of the Christ : Original Score, Cinematography, Makeup
• Shrek 2: Animated Feature, Original Song (“Accidentally in Love”)
• Story of the Weeping Camel : Documentary Feature
• Super Size Me : Documentary Feature
• The Triplets of Belleville: Animated Feature, Original Song (“Belleville Rendez-vous”)
• Troy: Costume Design
• The Twilight Samurai: Foreign Language Film

20 Years Ago: The Weekend of Jun. 18-20, 1999

Weekend Box Office:

1. Tarzan – $34,221,968 ($34,361,342 total) {week 1}
2. Austin Powers: The Spy Who Shagged Me – $31,406,630 ($116,148,215 total) {week 2}
4. Star Wars: Episode I – The Phantom Menace – $18,859,021 ($328,072,869 total) {week 5}
7. The Mummy – $3,206,500 ($142,006,580 total) {week 7}
9. The Matrix – $1,315,856 ($163,869,151 total) {week 12}
15. Life – $330,240 ($62,132,854 total) {week 10}
19. Election – $269,075 ($13,806,822 total) {week 9}
26. Buena Vista Social Club – $187,298 ($607,989 total) {week 3}
27. The Red Violin – $181,749 ($2,594,818 total) {week 23}
40. Shakespeare in Love – $103,426 ($97,702,543 total) {week 28}
41. Life Is Beautiful – $85,686 ($57,124,464 total) {week 35}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

1. Tarzan – $61,572,596 ($61,823,359 total)
2. Austin Powers: The Spy Who Shagged Me – $56,507,204 ($208,975,332 total)
4. Star Wars: Episode I – The Phantom Menace – $33,931,388 ($590,272,839 total)
7. The Mummy – $5,769,175 ($255,500,028 total)
9. The Matrix – $2,367,505 ($294,835,441 total)
15. Life – $594,172 ($111,790,214 total)
19. Election – $484,123 ($24,841,408 total)
26. Buena Vista Social Club – $336,989 ($1,093,901 total)
27. The Red Violin – $327,005 ($4,668,629 total)
40. Shakespeare in Love – $186,085 ($175,787,646 total)
41. Life Is Beautiful – $154,167 ($102,779,055 total)

Oscar Details:

• Austin Powers: The Spy Who Shagged Me: Makeup
• Buena Vista Social Club: Documentary Feature
• Election: Adapted Screenplay
• Life: Makeup
• Life Is Beautiful: Picture, Director, Actor (Roberto Benigni) [O], Original Screenplay, Original Dramatic Score [O], Editing, Foreign Language Film [O]
• The Matrix : Editing [O], Sound [O], Sound Effects [O], Visual Effects [O]
• The Mummy : Sound
• The Red Violin : Original Score [O]
• Shakespeare in Love: Picture [O], Director, Actress (Gwyneth Paltrow) [O], Supporting Actor (Geoffrey Rush), Supporting Actress (Judi Dench) [O], Original Screenplay [O], Original Musical or Comedy Score [O], Editing, Cinematography, Art Direction [O], Costume Design [O], Makeup, Sound
• Star Wars: Episode I – The Phantom Menace: Sound, Sound Effects, Visual Effects
• Tarzan: Original Song (“You’ll Be In My Heart”)

25 Years Ago: The Weekend of Jun. 24-26, 1994

Weekend Box Office:

1. The Lion King – $40,888,194 ($44,654,884 total) {week 2}
2. Speed – $12,426,413 ($55,449,180 total) {week 3}
4. Wyatt Earp – $7,543,504 ($7,543,504 total) {week 1}
7. Maverick – $3,635,856 ($80,027,329 total) {week 6}
999. Freedom on My Mind – $4,272 ($6,151 total) {week 1}
999. Schindler’s List – $503,115 ($94,489,783 total) {week 28}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

1. The Lion King – $89,406,242 ($97,642,498 total)
2. Speed – $27,171,630 ($121,245,336 total)
4. Wyatt Earp – $16,494,648 ($16,494,648 total)
7. Maverick – $7,950,173 ($174,987,987 total)
999. Freedom on My Mind – $9,341 ($13,450 total)
999. Schindler’s List – $1,100,113 ($206,611,631 total)

Oscar Details:

• Freedom on My Mind : Documentary Feature
• The Lion King : Original Song (“Can You Feel the Love Tonight” [O], “Circle of Life”, “Hakuna Matata”), Original Score [O]
• Maverick: Costume Design
• Schindler’s List: Picture [O], Director [O], Actor (Liam Neeson), Supporting Actor (Ralph Fiennes), Adapted Screenplay [O], Original Score [O], Editing [O], Cinematography [O], Art Direction [O], Costume Design, Makeup, Sound
• Speed: Editing, Sound [O], Sound Effects [O]
• Wyatt Earp: Cinematography

30 Years Ago: The Weekend of Jun. 23-25, 1989

Weekend Box Office:

1. Batman – $40,489,746 ($42,705,884 total) {week 1}
4. Indiana Jones and the Last Crusade – $8,160,750 ($136,327,473 total) {week 5}
5. Dead Poets Society – $7,344,976 ($35,586,555 total) {week 4}
7. Field of Dreams – $2,124,325 ($47,723,528 total) {week 10}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

1. Batman – $93,218,206 ($98,320,348 total)
4. Indiana Jones and the Last Crusade – $18,788,225 ($313,862,243 total)
5. Dead Poets Society – $16,910,096 ($81,929,751 total)
7. Field of Dreams – $4,890,763 ($109,872,304 total)

Oscar Details:

• Batman: Art Direction [O]
• Dead Poets Society: Picture, Director, Actor (Robin Williams), Original Screenplay [O]
• Field of Dreams: Picture, Adapted Screenplay, Original Score
• Indiana Jones and the Last Crusade: Original Score, Sound, Sound Effects [O]

35 Years Ago: The Weekend of Jun. 22-24, 1984

Weekend Box Office:

1. Ghostbusters – $13,059,428 ($61,481,351 total) {week 3}
3. Indiana Jones and the Temple of Doom – $7,768,527 ($116,222,175 total) {week 5}
5. The Karate Kid – $5,031,753 ($5,031,753 total) {week 1}
8. The Natural – $2,064,956 ($36,732,079 total) {week 7}
9. The Pope of Greenwich Village – $1,544,624 ($1,544,624 total) {week 1}
11. Romancing the Stone – $1,351,076 ($64,493,691 total) {week 13}

Weekend Box Office (Adjusted for Inflation):

1. Ghostbusters – $35,524,754 ($167,243,913 total)
3. Indiana Jones and the Temple of Doom – $21,132,243 ($316,151,988 total)
5. The Karate Kid – $13,687,566 ($13,687,566 total)
8. The Natural – $5,617,172 ($99,920,001 total)
9. The Pope of Greenwich Village – $4,201,745 ($4,201,745 total)
11. Romancing the Stone – $3,675,248 ($175,438,195 total)

Oscar Details:

• Ghostbusters: Original Song (“Ghostbusters”), Visual Effects
• Indiana Jones and the Temple of Doom: Original Score, Visual Effects [O]
• The Karate Kid : Supporting Actor (Noriyuki ‘Pat’ Morita)
• The Natural : Supporting Actress (Glenn Close), Original Score, Cinematography, Art Direction
• The Pope of Greenwich Village : Supporting Actress (Geraldine Page)
• Romancing the Stone: Editing