Category: Predictions

2021 Oscar Nominations Predictions: First Predictions

Every year, in March, we start predicting the subsequent year’s Oscars. However, a pandemic got in the way and pushed the Oscars into April and forced us to reposition our first predictions (as Hollywood repositioned all of its Oscar contenders). As such, three months late, we’re finally giving you our initial predictions and, based on our first picks, there’s hardly any consensus.

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93rd Oscars: Oscar Guy’s Final Thoughts

There’s not much time left. Sunday, we will find out just how much we did and did not know about this Oscar season. While I’ve contributed quick thoughts to our Rundown articles, I always like to do more with my final prediction post of the year. This will include how I think the races will finish out and what has the best chances of surprising. Because of streaming access and other factors, I have fallen behind in my Oscar watching this year and while I’m saddened that I haven’t seen nearly enough, I’m sure I’ll catch up over time, especially since if Nomadland wins, it will be the only Best Picture nominee I haven’t seen. I’ll have to rectify that so I can rank it. Either way, my personal thoughts are not included this year mostly because I haven’t seen enough and partly because I can’t bring myself to be as through in my comments as I would want. As such, for this year, I’ve removed them. There are three exceptions to this, the short film categories. I’ve seen all fifteen nominees, so I have no problem opining on those.

The categories below are sorted in order from least competitive to most competitive. Best Picture, whether competitive or not, will always be last. While these are currently my final predictions, I reserve the right to change my mind at the last-minute. That said, doing that has often been a bad thing, so it will likely stay the same. Keep an eye out on the sidebar where it says “updated” under the predictions listing. When it says FINAL, you know I’m settled. I really just want to take one last look through my Hopefuls/Predictions and the chances rankings to see if I feel they still need to be adjusted. I hope to have this done by the end of day on Thursday or Friday.

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2020 Oscar Winner Predictions: FINAL

We’ve finally reached the end of the Oscar road. On Sunday, we’ll find out if our predictions hold water in one of the longest Oscar seasons I can remember. After more than 4 months, we’ll learn who the best of the year are, at least in the eyes of the Academy’s voters, who can often be wrong. Just sit back and look at our final predictions with an introductory paragraph and individual comments throughout.
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The Rundown 2020: Picture

For our twenty-first Rundown article, we look at the final category. After the jump, you’ll find our winner and runner-up predictions for Best Picture as well as general commentary about the race.
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2020 Precursor Predictions: Spirit Awards

The last precursor of the year has moved its awards up from Friday to Thursday, so we’re posting a day earlier than expected. As such, we’re looking at the Spirit Awards, which has, in recent years, become a hotbed for Oscar contenders to show their strength. Several categories have three nominees at the Oscars on their slate, so it should be rather interesting.
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The Rundown 2020: Editing & Cinematography

For our twentieth Rundown article, we look at cinematography and editing. After the jump, you’ll find our winner and runner-up predictions for Best Film Editing and Best Cinematography as well as general commentary about the race. Thursday, we’ll cover the big one.
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The Rundown 2020: Sound

For our nineteenth Rundown article, we rundown Sound. After the jump, you’ll find our winner and runner-up predictions for Best Sound as well as general commentary about the race. Wednesday, we’ll cover cinematography and editing.
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The Rundown 2020: Animation

For our eighteenth Rundown article, we look at two animation categories, feature and short. After the jump, you’ll find our winner and runner-up predictions for Best Animated Feature and Best Animated Short Film as well as general commentary about the race. Tuesday, we’ll cover the unified Sound category.
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2020 Precursor Predictions: American Cinema Editors

While Oscar pools might not hinge on a correct prediction in this category, it will be interesting to see how many go for traditional, for history, or for off-kilter.
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2020 Precursor Predictions: Motion Picture Sound Editors

Although the correlating category at the Oscars, Sound Editing, was eliminated, the tendency of Sound Mixing and Sound Editing to link up was fairly common, so a winner here might tell us some about the Sound category as well.
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2020 Precursor Predictions: Cinema Audio Society

The best linked category to the Best Sound award at the Oscars will either be the start of a new conversation or the end of it. Will Sound of Metal win or will there be a surprise. We shall see.
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2020 Precursor Predictions: American Society of Cinematographers

The definitive group of cinematographers has a tendency to reject orthodoxy and pick winners that don’t link up with the Oscars. Will the same happen this year or are we destined for a connection? We’ll see.
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The Rundown 2020: Directing

For our seventeenth Rundown article, we review the directing category. After the jump, you’ll find our winner and runner-up predictions for Best Directing as well as general commentary about the race. Next week, we’ll start off on Monday with Best Animated Feature.
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2020 Precursor Predictions: Annie Awards

And now it’s time for the best broadcast awards show that you probably aren’t watching. The Annie Awards honor the best in animation every year and being on Friday evening makes it easier for me to watch, which is good. Hopefully, they stream once again this year. (Editor’s Note: Tripp submitted a mostly complete list of predictions and commentary after posting. The below has been updated.)
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The Rundown 2020: Costume Design

For our sixteenth Rundown article, we review the costume design. After the jump, you’ll find our winner and runner-up predictions for Best Costume Design as well as general commentary about the race. Friday, we’ll cover Best Directing. (Editor’s Note: Tripp submitted his commentary and predictions after posting. The below has been updated to reflect the changes.
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