Category: Predictions

As is our tradition, May begins our first predictive look at the year’s Oscar hopefuls. A lot of factors will play into how well our guesses hold up. Expect many of them to fall by the wayside as the year progresses and new contenders to rise into their places. Tripp was unable to participate in…

And now it’s time for our final Oscar predictions. Knowing what we know now and having seen how all of the crucial guilds have worked themselves out, it’s time to reveal to you our thoughts on what will win this year’s Academy Awards. Introductions Wesley Lovell: While it might seem like a fairly predictable year…

For our eighteenth Rundown article, we look at the final result. After the jump, you’ll find our winner and runner-up predictions for Best Picture as well as general commentary about the race. Best Picture Winner Predictions All Quiet on the Western Front Avatar: The Way of Water The Banshees of Inisherin (PP R) [New] Elvis…

The worst Oscar seasons are always the ones that have everything compressed into a tiny window. Sure, this year saw a later Oscars telecast date, but all of the guilds decided to wait until March to present their winners, compacting them into the last three weekends before the Oscars, making it impossible to get good…

For our seventeenth Rundown article, captures the look and feel of the pieces while creating tone and depth. After the jump, you’ll find our winner and runner-up predictions for Best Cinematography as well as general commentary about the race. Friday, we’ll cover our final category. Best Cinematography Winner Predictions All Quiet on the Western Front…

For our sixteenth Rundown article, that brings everything together, sets the pace, and determines the impact of the images on the screen. After the jump, you’ll find our winner and runner-up predictions for Best Film Editing as well as general commentary about the race. Thursday, we’ll cover the category responsible for framing, lighting, and the…

For our fifteenth Rundown article, we look at the foundations of all successful films. After the jump, you’ll find our winner and runner-up predictions for Best Original Screenplay & Best Adapted Screenplay as well as general commentary about the race. Wednesday, we’ll cover the final component of all films that brings everything together. Best Original…

For our fourteenth Rundown article, we tackle the aural category that brings music, dialogue, and effects together. After the jump, you’ll find our winner and runner-up predictions for Best Sound as well as general commentary about the race. Tuesday, we’ll cover the literal foundations of a film. Best Sound Winner Predictions All Quiet on the…

For our thirteenth Rundown article, the leading performers. After the jump, you’ll find our winner and runner-up predictions for Best Actor & Best Actress as well as general commentary about the race. Next week, we’ll start off on Monday with an aural category that brings disparate parts together. Best Actor Winner Predictions Austin Butler –…

Paired with the Motion Picture Sound Editors, you have a fairly strong indication of the direction the Oscar vote might go.

The American Society of Cinematographers is not the best predictor of the guilds because they have very specific predilections. There isn’t an exact overlap with the Oscars, but if one of the films in that overlap wins, an Oscar win could be foreshadowed.

With the Oscar nominees spread over multiple categories, it’s hard to say what might win, but these are the awards to try and isolate a victor from their selections.

Often a better predictor than the WGA (because of the guild’s arcane rules), this is the place to look at for a carry-over to the Oscars. Though, the overlap is minimal this year, so if they go off the beaten path, it might be interesting.

The Writers Guild of America is missing several Oscar nominees due to eligibility issues. What wins here might have some impact on the Oscars, but with unknown quantities like The Banshees of Inisherin missing, we won’t know for sure.

The Spirit Awards recognize indie films only, so major features are never nominated. That said, other than a few instances, the Spirit winners also have a solid correlation to the Oscars…at least in the Best Feature category. The others, not so much.