Looking at Film from Every Angle

95th Academy Awards (2022): The Hopefuls

FINAL: JANUARY 21, 2023

It’s all come down to this. All but two guilds have announced nominations, most of the critics organizations have made their picks and now, it’s up to us to divine the tea leaves. I think this year’s crop is filled with potential for upset and my predictions are hopefully reflective of that. That said, this is a difficult year and it’s more about what the fourth or fifth slot will be filled with out of a half-dozen contenders rather than any firmness of conviction. As these are my (tentative) final predictions, I’ve added a chance notification (list just below) of the nomination coming to fruition. I’ve also tried to arrange them in the order I think the most likely to come to pass, but anything with the Borderline tag is apt to change.

Lock: It would be a major shock if these selections weren’t nominated. The buzz would be deafening.
Near Lock: These are selections that I think are pretty certain, but I cannot quite declare them as guarantees.
Good: There isn’t much of a chance that this nominee will be left off the list, but stranger things have happened.
Borderline: These are the achievements that I think are fighting for the slots not taken up by the locks, near locks and goods above. None of these selections are safe and could be bumped off by any other title with the “borderline” description.
Doubtful: These are outside contenders that have been in the conversation, but whose prospects have dimmed over time. They remain on the list because sometimes the Academy does some strange stuff.

Everything from Best Picture down through Best Documentary Feature have been placed in the order from most to least likely to be nominated.

UPDATED: DECEMBER 21, 2022

The shortlists have been announced and the lists and predictions herein have been updated as well. That is all except the three short film categories. I need more time to research those before making formal predictions.

UPDATED: DECEMBER 16, 2022

The fall festivals are over, most of the films have been seen, and the critics are giving out prizes. Things are finally solidifying. Now all we need are the guilds to weigh in and we’ll see a fairly clear picture.

UPDATED: OCTOBER 3, 2022

With the three major fall festivals now in the books, the landscape has changed a lot. Some films fell out of favor, others entered. Quite a few changes from my last update.

UPDATED: August 23, 2022

The summer didn’t bring much in the way of clarification for this year’s Oscar race, but the upcoming film festivals hold some promise. I’ve updated the list to exclude most films that may have been pushed out and some that have been scheduled. It’s still a bit too early to tell how things will go, but things should start coalescing soon.

NEW: April 24, 2022

Now that the Oscars have been over for a month, it’s time to get to work predicting next year’s Oscars. Please keep in mind that many of these films have tentative release dates and may not ultimately release. There are also likely other films that haven’t even shown up on the radar just yet, but we’ll keep an ear open to make more predictions as soon as we have more information.

NOMINATIONS		AWARDS
10 9 8 – 7 5 4 – – 3 – – –	All Quiet on the Western Front Everything Everywhere All at Once The Banshees of Inisherin Elvis Top Gun: Maverick The Whale Avatar: The Way of Water Babylon Tár The Batman Black Panther: Wakanda Forever The Fabelmans Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio	4 3 2 – – 1 – – – – – – – – –	Everything Everywhere All at Once Top Gun: Maverick All Quiet on the Western Front Babylon The Banshees of Inisherin All the Beauty and the Bloodshed Avatar: The Way of Water Black Panther: Wakanda Forever The Boy, the Mole, the Fox and the Horse Decision to Leave Elvis Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio How Do You Measure a Year? Nakam The Whale

Best Picture

Everything Everywhere All at Once – A24 (c-12/5, n-12/5, o-1/20) — Lock —
The Banshees of Inisherin – Searchlight (c-4/24, n-8/21) — Lock —
Top Gun: Maverick – Paramount (c-4/24, n-10/3) — Lock —
Tár – Focus (c-4/24, n-12/16) — Near Lock —
Elvis – Warner Bros. (c-4/24, n-12/16) — Good —
All Quiet on the Western Front – Netflix (c-1/20, n-1/20) — Borderline —
The Fabelmans – Universal (c-4/24, n-8/21) — Borderline —
Avatar: The Way of Water – 20th Century (c-4/24, n-12/16) — Borderline —
The Whale – A24 (c-1/22, n-1/22) — Borderline —
She Said – Universal (c-4/24, n-1/20) — Borderline —
Women Talking – Orion (c-4/24) — Borderline —
The Woman King – TriStar (c-4/24) — Borderline —
Till – United Artists (c-4/24) — Borderline —
Babylon – Paramount (c-4/24) — Borderline —
Aftersun – A24 (c-12/16) — Borderline —
Decision to Leave – MUBI (c-12/16) — Borderline —
Triangle of Sadness – Neon (c-1/20) — Borderline —
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery – Netflix (c-12/16) — Borderline —
RRR – Multiple (c-8/21) — Borderline —
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever – Disney (c-12/16) — Doubtful —
Nope – Universal (c-4/24) — Doubtful —

Best Animated Film

Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio – Netflix (c-4/24, n-10/3, o-12/16) — Lock —
Marcel the Shell with Shoes On – A24 (c-12/6, n-12/16) — Near Lock —
Turning Red – Pixar (c-4/24, n-4/24) — Near Lock —
Puss in Boots: The Last Wish – Universal (c-4/24, n-12/16) — Near Lock —
Wendell & Wild – Netflix (c-8/21, n-8/21) — Borderline —
The Bad Guys – Universal (c-4/24) — Borderline —
Inu-Oh – GKIDS (c-12/6) — Borderline —
Mad God – IFC Midnight (c-12/6) — Borderline —
Apollo 10 1/2: A Space Age Childhood – Netflix (c-4/24) — Borderline —
Charlotte – Good Deed Entertainment (c-8/21) — Borderline —
DC League of Super-Pets – Warner Bros. (c-4/24) — Borderline —
The Sea Beast – Netflix (c-12/6) — Borderline —
New Gods: Yang Jian – GKIDS (c-12/6) — Borderline —
My Father’s Dragon – Netflix (c-12/6) — Borderline —
Little Nicholas, Happy as Can Be – Buffalo 8 (c-12/6) — Borderline —
Strange World – Disney (c-4/24) — Borderline —
Minions: The Rise of Gru – Universal (c-4/24) — Borderline —
The Bob’s Burgers Movie – Disney (c-4/24) — Borderline —
Drifting Home – Netflix (c-12/6) — Doubtful —
Eternal Spring – TBD (c-12/6) — Doubtful —
Fortune Favors Lady Nikuko – GKIDS (c-4/24) — Doubtful —
Goodbye, Don Glees! – GKIDS (c-12/6) — Doubtful —
Lamya’s Poem – Freestyle (c-12/6) — Doubtful —
Lightyear – Pixar (c-4/24) — Doubtful —
Luck – Apple TV+ (c-12/6) — Doubtful —
Oink – Synergetic (c-12/6) — Doubtful —
Paws of Fury: The Legend of Hank – Paramount Animation (c-4/24) — Doubtful —
Run, Tiger Run! – TBD (c-12/6) — Doubtful —

All of the Animated Films listed here are Official Selections of the Academy and the final five nominees will come only from these selected contenders. The eleven films separated at the bottom are not organized in order of likelihood as they are unlikely to get nominated anyway.

Best Directing

Top Gun: Maverick – Joseph Kosinski (c-12/16, n-1/20, o-1/20) — Good —
The Banshees of Inisherin – Martin McDonagh (c-4/24, n-10/3) — Good —
Everything Everywhere All at Once – Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert (c-12/16, n-12/16) — Borderline —
Tár – Todd Field (c-4/24, n-12/16) — Borderline —
All Quiet on the Western Front – Edward Berger (c-1/20, n-1/20) — Borderline —
The Fabelmans – Steven Spielberg (c-4/24) — Borderline —
Decision to Leave – Park Chan-wook (c-12/16) — Borderline —
Aftersun – Charlotte Wells (c-1/20) — Borderline —
Women Talking – Sarah Polley (c-4/24) — Borderline —
The Woman King – Gina Prince-Bythewood (c-4/24) — Borderline —
Elvis – Baz Luhrmann (c-4/24) — Borderline —
RRR – S.S. Rajamouli (c-12/16) — Borderline —
Avatar: The Way of Water – James Cameron (c-12/16) — Borderline —
Babylon – Damien Chazelle (c-4/24) — Borderline —
The Whale – Darren Aronofsky (c-1/20) — Borderline —
Till – Chinonye Chukwu (c-4/24) — Doubtful —
She Said – Maria Schrader (c-4/24) — Doubtful —
Nope – Jordan Peele (c-4/24) — Doubtful —

Best Actor

Colin Farrell – The Banshees of Inisherin (c-4/24, n-8/21, o-12/16) — Lock —
Brendan Fraser – The Whale (c-4/24, n-8/21) — Lock —
Austin Butler – Elvis (c-4/24, n-10/3) — Near Lock —
Bill Nighy – Living (c-12/16, n-12/16) — Borderline —
Paul Mescal – Aftersun (c-12/16, n-1/20) — Borderline —
Hugh Jackman – The Son (c-4/24) — Borderline —
Ralph Fiennes – The Menu (c-8/21) — Borderline —
Tom Cruise – Top Gun: Maverick (c-12/16) — Borderline —
Tom Hanks – A Man Called Otto (c-4/24) — Borderline —
Jeremy Pope – The Inspection (c-12/16) — Borderline —
Adam Sandler – Hustle (c-12/16) — Borderline —
Gabriel LaBelle – The Fabelmans (c-1/20) — Doubtful —
Diego Calva – Babylon (c-12/16) — Doubtful —
Daniel Craig – Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (c-12/16) — Doubtful —

Best Actress

Michelle Yeoh – Everything Everywhere All at Once (c-4/24, n-12/16, o-12/16) — Lock —
Cate Blanchett – Tár (c-4/24, n-10/3) — Lock —
Viola Davis – The Woman King (c-4/24, n-4/24) — Borderline —
Danielle Deadwyler – Till (c-4/24, n-10/3) — Borderline —
Ana de Armas – Blonde (c-10/3, n-1/20) — Borderline —
Michelle Williams – The Fabelmans (c-4/24) — Borderline —
Emma Thompson – Good Luck to You, Leo Grande (c-12/16) — Borderline —
Margot Robbie – Babylon (c-4/24) — Borderline —
Andrea Riseborough – To Leslie (c-1/20) — Borderline —
Olivia Colman – Empire of Light (c-4/24) — Borderline —
Vicky Krieps – Corsage (c-12/16) — Doubtful —
Jessica Chastain – The Good Nurse (c-8/21) — Doubtful —
Zoe Kazan – She Said (c-4/24) — Doubtful —
Mia Goth – Pearl (c-1/20) — Doubtful —
Anya Taylor-Joy – The Menu (c-8/21) — Doubtful —
Decision to Leave (c-1/20) — Doubtful —

Best Supporting Actor

Ke Huy Quan – Everything Everywhere All at Once (c-12/16, n-12/16, o-1/20) — Lock —
Brendan Gleeson – The Banshees of Inisherin (c-4/24, n-8/21) — Lock —
Barry Keoghan – The Banshees of Inisherin (c-12/16, n-1/20) — Borderline —
Eddie Redmayne – The Good Nurse (c-8/21, n-10/3) — Borderline —
Brian Tyree Henry – Causeway (c-12/16, n-12/16) — Borderline —
Paul Dano – The Fabelmans (c-4/24) — Borderline —
Brad Pitt – Babylon (c-4/24) — Borderline —
Mark Rylance – Bones and All (c-12/16) — Borderline —
Ben Whishaw – Women Talking (c-4/24) — Borderline —
Judd Hirsch – The Fabelmans (c-12/16) — Borderline —

Best Supporting Actress

Angela Bassett – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (c-12/16, n-12/16, o-1/20) — Good —
Kerry Condon – The Banshees of Inisherin (c-12/16, n-12/16) — Near Lock —
Jamie Lee Curtis – Everything Everywhere All at Once (c-12/16, n-12/16) — Borderline —
Hong Chau – The Whale (c-12/16, n-1/20) — Borderline —
Stephanie Hsu – Everything Everywhere All at Once (c-12/16, n-1/20) — Borderline —
Dolly de Leon – Triangle of Sadness (c-12/16) — Borderline —
Janelle Monáe – Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (c-12/16) — Borderline —
Carey Mulligan – She Said (c-4/24) — Borderline —
Michelle Williams – The Fabelmans (c-12/16) — Borderline —
Jessie Buckley – Women Talking (c-4/24) — Borderline —
Lashana Lynch – The Woman King (c-1/20) — Borderline —
Nina Hoss – Tár (c-1/20) — Borderline —
Keke Palmer – Nope (c-12/16) — Doubtful —
Jean Smart – Babylon (c-4/24) — Doubtful —

Best Original Screenplay

The Banshees of Inisherin – Martin McDonagh (c-4/24, n-8/21, o-12/16) — Lock —
Everything Everywhere All at Once – Dan Kwan, Daniel Scheinert (c-4/24, n-12/16) — Lock —
Tár – Todd Field (c-4/24, n-12/16) — Lock —
The Fabelmans – Tony Kushner (c-4/24, n-10/3) — Borderline —
Triangle of Sadness – Ruben Ostlund (c-12/16, n-1/20) — Borderline —
Aftersun – Charlotte Wells (c-12/16) — Borderline —
Decision to Leave – Park Chan-wook, Chung Seo-kyung (c-1/20) — Borderline —
The Menu – Seth Reiss, Will Tracy (c-8/21) — Borderline —
Nope – Jordan Peele (c-4/24) — Borderline —
The Woman King – Gina Prince-Bythewood, Dana Stevens (c-4/24) — Borderline —
Till – Keith Beauchamp, Chinonye Chukwu, Michael Reilly (c-4/24) — Borderline —
Elvis – Baz Luhrmann, Sam Bromell, Craig Pearce, Jeremy Doner (c-4/24) — Borderline —

Best Adapted Screenplay

All Quiet on the Western Front – Edward Berger, Lesley Paterson, Ian Stokell (c-12/16, n-1/20, o-1/20) — Borderline —
Living – Kazuo Ishiguro (c-12/16, n-12/16) — Borderline —
She Said – Rebecca Lenkiewicz (c-4/24, n-4/24) — Borderline —
The Whale – Samuel D. Hunter (c-4/24, n-1/20) — Borderline —
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery – Rian Johnson (c-8/21, n-10/3) — Borderline —
Women Talking – Sarah Polley (c-4/24) — Borderline —
Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio – Guillermo del Toro, Patrick McHale, Matthew Robbins (c-12/16) — Borderline —
White Noise – Noah Baumbach (c-4/24) — Borderline —
Top Gun: Maverick – Peter Craig, Justin Marks, Ehren Kruger, Eric Warren Singer, Christopher McQuarrie (c-12/16) — Borderline —
Bones and All – David Kajganich (c-12/16) — Borderline —
After Yang – Kogonada (c-12/16) — Doubtful —
Catherine Called Birdy – Lena Dunham (c-8/21) — Doubtful —
The Good Nurse – Krysty Wilson-Cairns (c-8/21) — Doubtful —

Best Original Song

Hold My Hand – Top Gun: Maverick (c-4/24, n-12/16, o-12/16) — Near Lock —
Naatu Naatu – RRR (c-12/16, n-1/20) — Good —
Lift Me Up – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (c-12/16, n-12/16) — Good —
Ciao Papa – Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio (c-12/16, n-12/16) — Good —
Carolina – Where the Crawdads Sing (c-12/16, n-12/16) — Borderline —
New Body Rhumba – White Noise (c-12/16) — Borderline —
Stand Up – Till (c-12/16) — Borderline —
Applause – Tell It Like a Woman (c-12/16) — Borderline —
This Is a Life – Everything Everywhere All at Once (c-12/16) — Borderline —
Time – Amsterdam (c-12/16) — Borderline —
Dust & Ash – The Voice of Dush and Ash (c-12/16) — Borderline —
Til You’re Home – A Man Called Otto (c-12/16) — Borderline —
Nothing Is Lost (You Give Me Strength) – Avatar: The Way of Water (c-12/21) — Borderline —
Good Afternoon – Spirited (c-12/21) — Borderline —
My Mind and Me – Selena Gomez: My Mind & Me (c-12/16) — Doubtful —

All of the Songs listed here are Official Selections of the Academy’s Music branch and the final five nominees will come only from these selected contenders.

Best Original Score

Babylon – Justin Hurwitz (c-4/24, n-12/21, o-1/20) — Lock —
Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio – Alexandre Desplat (c-12/16, n-12/16) — Near Lock —
The Fabelmans – John Williams (c-4/24, n-4/24) — Good —
Women Talking – Hildur Guðnadóttir (c-4/24, n-1/20) — Borderline —
All Quiet on the Western Front – Volker Bertelmann (c-12/21, n-1/20) — Borderline —
Everything Everywhere All at Once – Son Lux (c-12/21) — Borderline —
The Woman King – Terence Blanchard (c-12/16) — Borderline —
The Banshees of Inisherin – Carter Burwell (c-12/16) — Borderline —
Avatar: The Way of Water – Simon Franglen (c-4/24) — Borderline —
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever – Ludwig Göransson (c-12/21) — Borderline —
Nope – Michael Abels (c-12/21) — Doubtful —
She Said – Nicholas Britell (c-12/16) — Doubtful —
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery – Nathan Johnson (c-12/21) — Doubtful —
Don’t Worry Darling – John Powell (c-12/21) — Doubtful —
Devotion – Chanda Dancy (c-12/21) — Doubtful —

All of the Scores listed here are Official Selections of the Academy’s Music branch and the final five nominees will come only from these selected contenders.

Best Editing

Everything Everywhere All at Once – Paul Rogers (c-4/24, n-12/16, o-12/16) — Lock —
Top Gun: Maverick – Eddie Hamilton (c-12/16, n-12/16) — Lock —
All Quiet on the Western Front – Sven Budelmann (c-1/20, n-1/20) — Good —
The Banshees of Inisherin – Mikkel E.G. Nielsen (c-4/24, n-12/16) — Borderline —
Elvis – Jonathan Redmond, Matt Villa (c-4/24, n-1/20) — Borderline —
Babylon – Tom Cross (c-4/24) — Borderline —
The Fabelmans – Sarah Broshar, Michael Kahn (c-4/24) — Borderline —
Avatar: The Way of Water – David Brenner, James Cameron, John Refoua, Stephen E. Rivkin, Ian Silverstein (c-4/24) — Borderline —
The Woman King – Terilyn A. Shropshire (c-4/24) — Borderline —
Tár – Monika Willi (c-12/16) — Borderline —
RRR – A. Sreekar Prasad (c-8/21) — Borderline —
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery – Bob Ducsay (c-12/16) — Borderline —
Decision to Leave – Kim Sang-beom (c-12/16) — Borderline —
Aftersun – Blair McClendon (c-12/16) — Borderline —
Nope – Nicholas Monsour (c-4/24) — Borderline —
Till – Ron Patane (c-4/24) — Doubtful —
She Said – Hansjörg Weißbrich (c-4/24) — Doubtful —
Women Talking – Christopher Donaldson, Roslyn Kalloo (c-4/24) — Doubtful —

Best Cinematography

Top Gun: Maverick – Claudio Miranda (c-12/16, n-12/16, o-1/20) — Lock —
Empire of Light – Roger Deakins (c-4/24, n-4/24) — Borderline —
Elvis – Mandy Walker (c-4/24, n-1/20) — Borderline —
The Batman – Greig Fraser (c-12/16, n-1/20) — Borderline —
All Quiet on the Western Front – James Friend (c-1/20, n-1/20) — Borderline —
The Fabelmans – Janusz Kaminski (c-4/24) — Borderline —
Avatar: The Way of Water – Russell Carpenter (c-4/24) — Borderline —
Babylon – Linus Sandgren (c-4/24) — Borderline —
The Banshees of Inisherin – Ben Davis (c-1/20) — Borderline —
Everything Everywhere All at Once – Larkin Seiple (c-12/16) — Borderline —
Tár – Florian Hoffmeister (c-12/16) — Borderline —
Nope – Hoyte Van Hoytema (c-12/16) — Borderline —
Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths – Darius Khondji (c-1/20) — Borderline —
Emancipation – Robert Richardson (c-10/3) — Doubtful —
The Northman – Jarin Blaschke (c-4/24) — Doubtful —
EO – Michal Dymek (c-12/16) — Doubtful —
Decision to Leave – Kim Ji-yong (c-12/16) — Doubtful —

Best Production Design

Babylon – Florencia Martin, Anthony Carlino (c-4/24, n-4/24, o-1/20) — Lock —
All Quiet on the Western Front – Christian M. Goldbeck, Ernestine Hipper (c-1/20, n-1/20) — Good —
Avatar: The Way of Water – Dylan Cole, Ben Procter, Vanessa Cole (c-4/24, n-4/24) — Borderline —
Everything Everywhere All at Once – Jason Kisvarday, Kelsi Ephraim (c-12/16, n-12/16) — Borderline —
Elvis – Catherine Martin, Karen Murphy, Shaun Barry, Beverley Dunn, Daniel Reader (c-4/24, n-4/24) — Borderline —
The Banshees of Inisherin – Mark Tildesley, Michael Standish (c-1/20) — Borderline —
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever – Hannah Beachler (c-4/24) — Borderline —
The Fabelmans – Rick Carter, Karen O’Hara (c-10/3) — Borderline —
The Northman – Craig Lathrop, Niamh Coulter (c-4/24) — Borderline —
The Batman – James Chinlund, Laura Ng, Lee Sandales (c-1/20) — Borderline —
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery – Rick Heinrichs, Elli Griff (c-12/16) — Borderline —
RRR – Sabu Cyril (c-8/21) — Borderline —
White Noise – Jess Gonchor, Claire Kaufman (c-1/20) — Doubtful —
The Woman King – Akin McKenzie, Birrie le Roux, Di Sole (c-4/24) — Doubtful —

Best Costume Design

Elvis – Catherine Martin (c-4/24, n-4/24, o-4/24) — Lock —
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever – Ruth E. Carter (c-4/24, n-12/16) — Good —
Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris – Jenny Beavan (c-4/24, n-1/20) — Good —
Babylon – Mary Zophres (c-4/24, n-4/24) — Borderline —
The Woman King – Gersha Phillips (c-4/24, n-10/3) — Borderline —
Amsterdam – J.R. Hawbaker, Albert Wolsky (c-1/20) — Borderline —
Corsage – Monika Buttinger (c-8/21) — Borderline —
Everything Everywhere All at Once – Shirley Kurata (c-12/16) — Borderline —
Fantastic Beasts: The Secrets of Dumbledore – Colleen Atwood (c-4/24) — Borderline —
RRR – Rama Rajamouli (c-8/21) — Borderline —
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery – Jenny Eagan (c-12/16) — Borderline —
Women Talking – Quita Alfred (c-1/20) — Borderline —
Empire of Light – Alexandra Byrne (c-1/20) — Borderline —
The Fabelmans – Mark Bridges (c-10/3) — Borderline —
All Quiet on the Western Front – Lisy Christl (c-1/20) — Borderline —
The Northman – Linda Muir (c-4/24) — Borderline —
Avatar: The Way of Water – Bob Buck, Deborah Lynn Scott (c-4/24) — Borderline —

Best Makeup & Hairstyling

The Whale (c-12/16, n-12/16, o-1/20) — Near Lock —
The Batman (c-12/16, n-12/16) — Good —
Elvis (c-4/24, n-4/24) — Borderline —
Babylon (c-4/24, n-4/24) — Borderline —
All Quiet on the Western Front (c-12/21, n-1/20) — Borderline —
Crimes of the Future (c-12/21) — Borderline —
Amsterdam (c-12/21) — Borderline —
Emancipation (c-10/3) — Borderline —
Blonde (c-12/21) — Borderline —
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (c-4/24) — Borderline —

All of the Films listed here are Official Selections of the Academy’s Makeup branch and the final three nominees will come only from these selected contenders.

Best Sound

All Quiet on the Western Front (c-12/21, n-12/21, o-1/20) — Near Lock —
Top Gun: Maverick (c-4/24, n-4/24) — Lock —
Elvis (c-4/24, n-4/24) — Good —
Avatar: The Way of Water (c-4/24, n-4/24) — Good —
The Batman (c-4/24, n-4/24) — Borderline —
Everything Everywhere All at Once (c-12/21) — Borderline —
Babylon (c-4/24) — Borderline —
Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio (c-12/21) — Borderline —
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (c-4/24) — Borderline —
Moonage Daydream (c-12/21) — Borderline —

All of the Films listed here are Official Selections of the Academy’s Sound branch and the final five nominees will come only from these selected contenders.

Best Visual Effects

Avatar: The Way of Water (c-4/24, n-4/24, o-4/24) — Lock —
Top Gun: Maverick (c-4/24, n-4/24) — Lock —
Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness (c-4/24, n-4/24) — Borderline —
Nope (c-12/16, n-12/21) — Borderline —
Fantastic Beasts: The Secrets of Dumbledore (c-4/24, n-12/21) — Borderline —
All Quiet on the Western Front (c-12/21) — Borderline —
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (c-4/24) — Borderline —
Jurassic World: Dominion (c-4/24) — Borderline —
Thirteen Lives (c-12/21) — Borderline —
The Batman (c-4/24) — Borderline —

All of the Films listed here are Official Selections of the Academy’s Visual Effects branch and the final five nominees will come only from these selected contenders.

Best International Feature Film

Decision to Leave – South Korea (c-12/6, n-12/6, o-12/6) — Lock —
All Quiet on the Western Front – Germany (c-12/6, n-12/6) — Lock —
Argentina, 1985 – Argentina (c-12/6, n-1/20) — Good —
EO – Poland (c-12/6, n-12/6) — Borderline —
The Quiet Girl – Ireland (c-12/6, n-1/20) — Borderline —
Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths – Mexico (c-12/6) — Borderline —
The Blue Caftan – Morocco (c-12/6) — Borderline —
Cairo Conspiracy – Sweden (c-12/6) — Borderline —
Close – Belgium (c-12/6) — Borderline —
Corsage – Austria (c-12/6) — Borderline —
Holy Spider – Denmark (c-12/6) — Borderline —
Joyland – Pakistan (c-12/6) — Borderline —
Last Film Show – India (c-12/6) — Borderline —
Return to Seoul – Cambodia (c-12/6) — Borderline —
Saint Omer – France (c-12/6) — Borderline —

All of the Films listed here are Official Selections of the Academy’s Foreign Language Film branch and the final five nominees will come only from these selected contenders.

Best Documentary Feature

All the Beauty and the Bloodshed (c-12/6, n-12/6, o-12/21) — Borderline —
Descendant (c-12/6, n-12/6) — Borderline —
Fire of Love (c-12/6, n-12/6) — Borderline —
The Janes (c-12/6, n-1/20) — Borderline —
Moonage Daydream (c-12/6, n-12/6) — Borderline —
All That Breathes (c-12/6) — Borderline —
Bad Axe (c-12/6) — Borderline —
Children of the Mist (c-12/6) — Borderline —
Hallelujah: Leonard Cohen, a Journey, a Song (c-12/6) — Borderline —
Hidden Letters (c-12/6) — Borderline —
A House Made of Splinters (c-12/6) — Borderline —
Last Flight Home (c-12/6) — Borderline —
Navalny (c-12/6) — Borderline —
Retrograde (c-12/6) — Borderline —
The Territory (c-12/6) — Borderline —

All of the Documentary Features listed here are Official Selections of the Academy and the final five nominees will come only from these selected contenders.

Best Documentary Short Subject

How Do You Measure a Year? (c-12/21, n-1/20, o-1/20) — Borderline —
American Justice on Trial: People v. Newton (c-12/21, n-1/20) — Borderline —
As Far as They Can Run (c-12/21, n-1/20) — Borderline —
The Flagmakers (c-12/21, n-1/20) — Borderline —
Stranger at the Gate (c-12/21, n-1/20) — Borderline —
38 at the Garden (c-12/21) — Borderline —
Anastasia (c-12/21) — Borderline —
Angola Do You Hear Us? Voices from a Plantation Prison (c-12/21) — Borderline —
The Elephant Whisperers (c-12/21) — Borderline —
Happiness Is £4 Million (c-12/21) — Borderline —
Haulout (c-12/21) — Borderline —
Holding Moses (c-12/21) — Borderline —
The Martha Mitchell Effect (c-12/21) — Borderline —
Nuisance Bear (c-12/21) — Borderline —
Shut Up and Paint (c-12/21) — Borderline —

All of the Short Subjects listed here are Official Selections of the Academy and the final three to five nominees will come only from these selected contenders.

Best Animated Short Film

The Boy, the Mole, the Fox and the Horse (c-12/21, n-1/20, o-1/20) — Borderline —
The Flying Sailor (c-12/21, n-1/20) — Borderline —
It’s Nice in Here (c-12/21, n-1/20) — Borderline —
An Ostrich Told Me the World Is Fake and I Think I Believe It (c-12/21, n-1/20) — Borderline —
Save Ralph (c-12/21, n-1/20) — Borderline —
Black Slide (c-12/21) — Borderline —
The Debutante (c-12/21) — Borderline —
The Garbage Man (c-12/21) — Borderline —
Ice Merchants (c-12/21) — Borderline —
More than I Want to Remember (c-12/21) — Borderline —
My Year of Dicks (c-12/21) — Borderline —
New Moon (c-12/21) — Borderline —
Passenger (c-12/21) — Borderline —
Sierra (c-12/21) — Borderline —
Steakhouse (c-12/21) — Borderline —

All of the Animated Short Films listed here are Official Selections of the Academy and the final three to five nominees will come only from these selected contenders.

Best Live Action Short Film

Nakam (c-12/21, n-1/20, o-1/20) — Borderline —
Almost Home (c-12/21, n-1/20) — Borderline —
An Irish Goodbye (c-12/21, n-1/20) — Borderline —
Night Ride (c-12/21, n-1/20) — Borderline —
Tula (c-12/21, n-1/20) — Borderline —
All in Favor (c-12/21) — Borderline —
Ivalu (c-12/21) — Borderline —
The Lone Wolf (c-12/21) — Borderline —
Plastic Killer (c-12/21) — Borderline —
Le Pupille (c-12/21) — Borderline —
The Red Suitcase (c-12/21) — Borderline —
The Right Words (c-12/21) — Borderline —
Sideral (c-12/21) — Borderline —
The Treatment (c-12/21) — Borderline —
Warsha (c-12/21) — Borderline —

All of the Live Action Short Films listed here are Official Selections of the Academy and the final three to five nominees will come only from these selected contenders.