AWARDS |
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7 3 2 – – 1 – – – – – – – |
Slumdog Millionaire The Curious Case of Benjamin Button The Dark Knight Milk WALL-E The Class Doubt The Duchess Man on Wire Presto The Reader Spielzeugland The Witness: From the Balcony of Room 306 |
Predictions are in the order I think they have a chance of winning the award (except the short film categories, which are unranked and each listed as “Toss Up”). I have added notations to each indicating how strong I think they are a contender.
LEGEND:
Winner Prediction (c-Win Pred Date Set) — Chance at Win —
Other Nominees — Chance at Win —
Best Picture
- Slumdog Millionaire – Christian Colson (c-1/25) — Lock —
- Milk – Dan Jinks, Bruce Cohen — Fighting —
- The Curious Case of Benjamin Button – Kathleen Kennedy, Frank Marshall, Ceรกn Chaffin — Fighting —
- The Reader – Anthony Minghella, Sydney Pollack, Scott Rudin — Spoiler —
- Frost/Nixon – Brian Grazer, Ron Howard, Eric Fellner — Doubtful —
Best Animated Feature
- Wall-E – Andrew Stanton (c-7/17) — Lock —
- Kung Fu Panda – John Stevenson, Mark Osborne — Strong —
- Bolt – Chris Williams, Byron Howard — Spoiler —
Best Director
- Slumdog Millionaire – Danny Boyle (c-1/25) — Lock —
- The Curious Case of Benjamin Button – David Fincher — Fighting —
- Milk – Gus Van Sant — Fighting —
- The Reader – Stephen Daldry — Spoiler —
- Frost/Nixon – Ron Howard — Doubtful —
Best Actor
- Milk – Sean Penn (c-12/18) — Strong —
- The Wrestler – Mickey Rourke — Strong —
- Frost/Nixon – Frank Langella — Fighting —
- The Visitor – Richard Jenkins — Doubtful —
- The Curious Case of Benjamin Button – Brad Pitt — Doubtful —
Best Actress
- The Reader – Kate Winslet (c-1/22) — Strong —
- Doubt – Meryl Streep — Fighting —
- Rachel Getting Married – Anne Hathaway — Spoiler —
- Changeling – Angelina Jolie — Doubtful —
- Frozen River – Melissa Leo — Doubtful —
Best Supporting Actor
- The Dark Knight – Heath Ledger (c-12/18) — Lock —
- Tropic Thunder – Robert Downey Jr. — Spoiler —
- Milk – Josh Brolin — Doubtful —
- Doubt – Philip Seymour Hoffman — Doubtful —
- Revolutionary Road – Michael Shannon — Doubtful —
Best Supporting Actress
- Doubt – Viola Davis (c-12/1) — Fighting —
- Vicky Cristina Barcelona – Penelope Cruz — Fighting —
- The Wrestler – Marisa Tomei — Fighting —
- Doubt – Amy Adams — Fighting —
- The Curious Case of Benjamin Button – Taraji P. Henson — Fighting —
Best Original Screenplay
- Milk – Dustin Lance Black (c-12/1) — Strong —
- Wall-E – Andrew Stanton, Jim Reardon, Pete Docter — Fighting —
- In Bruges – Martin McDonagh — Fighting —
- Happy-Go-Lucky – Mike Leigh — Doubtful —
- Frozen River – Courtney Hunt — Doubtful —
Best Adapted Screenplay
- Slumdog Millionaire – Simon Beaufoy (Vikas Swarup) (c-1/22) — Lock —
- The Curious Case of Benjamin Button – Eric Roth, Robin Swicord (F. Scott Fitzgerald) — Fighting —
- The Reader – David Hare — Doubtful —
- Doubt – John Patrick Shanley — Doubtful —
- Frost/Nixon – Peter Morgan (Peter Morgan) — Doubtful —
Best Original Score
- Slumdog Millionaire – A.R. Rahman (c-2/12) — Strong —
- The Curious Case of Benjamin Button – Alexandre Desplat — Strong —
- Wall-E – Thomas Newman — Strong —
- Milk – Danny Elfman — Strong —
- Defiance – James Newton Howard — Doubtful —
Best Original Song
- Slumdog Millionaire – “Jai Ho” (c-12/11) — Strong —
- Wall-E – “Down to Earth” — Fighting —
- Slumdog Millionaire – “O Saya” — Doubtful —
Best Editing
- Slumdog Millionaire – Chris Dickens (c-12/1) — Strong —
- The Dark Knight – Lee Smith — Strong —
- The Curious Case of Benjamin Button – Kirk Baxter, Angus Wall — Fighting —
- Milk – Elliot Graham, Gus Van Sant — Doubtful —
- Frost/Nixon – Daniel P. Hanley, Mike Hill — Doubtful —
Best Cinematography
- The Curious Case of Benjamin Button – Claudio Miranda (c-2/17) — Strong —
- Slumdog Millionaire – Anthony Dod Mantle — Strong —
- The Dark Knight – Wally Pfister — Strong —
- Changeling – Tom Stern — Doubtful —
- The Reader – Chris Menges, Roger Deakins — Doubtful —
Best Art Direction
- The Curious Case of Benjamin Button – Donald Graham Burt, Victor J. Zolfo (c-1/12) — Strong —
- The Duchess – Michael Carlin, Rebecca Alleway — Fighting —
- The Dark Knight – Nathan Crowley, Peter Lando — Spoiler —
- Changeling – James J. Murakami, Gary Fettis — Doubtful —
- Revolutionary Road – Kristi Zea, Debra Schutt — Doubtful —
Best Costume Design
- The Duchess – Michael O’Connor (c-1/22) — Strong —
- The Curious Case of Benjamin Button – Jacqueline West — Strong —
- Australia – Catherine Martin — Doubtful —
- Revolutionary Road – Albert Wolsky — Doubtful —
- Milk – Danny Glicker — Doubtful —
Best Makeup
- The Curious Case of Benjamin Button – Greg Cannom (c-2/12) — Strong —
- The Dark Knight – John Caglione, Jr., Conor O’Sullivan — Strong —
- Hellboy II: The Golden Army – Mike Elizalde, Thom Floutz — Fighting —
Best Sound Mixing
- The Dark Knight – Lora Hirschberg, Gary Rizzo, Ed Novick (c-12/1) — Strong —
- Slumdog Millionaire – Ian Tapp, Richard Pryke, Resul Pookutty — Fighting —
- Wall-E – Tom Myers, Michael Semanick, Ben Burtt — Fighting —
- The Curious Case of Benjamin Button – David Parker, Michael Semanick, Ren Klyce, Mark Weingarten — Spoiler —
- Wanted – Chris Jenkins, Frank A. Montaรฑo, Petr Forejt — Doubtful —
Best Sound Editing
- Wall-E – Ben Burtt, Matthew Wood (c-9/28) — Strong —
- The Dark Knight – Richard King — Strong —
- Iron Man – Frank Eulner, Christopher Boyes — Fighting —
- Slumdog Millionaire – Glenn Freemantle, Tom Sayers — Doubtful —
- Wanted – Wylie Stateman — Doubtful —
Best Visual Effects
- The Curious Case of Benjamin Button – Eric Barba, Steve Preeg, Burt Dalton, Craig Barron (c-12/18) — Strong —
- The Dark Knight – Nick Davis, Chris Corbould, Tim Webber, Paul Franklin — Fighting —
- Iron Man – John Nelson, Ben Snow, Dan Sudick, Shane Mahan — Spoiler —
Best Foreign Film
- The Class – France (c-9/25) — Strong —
- Revanche – Austria — Fighting —
- Waltz with Bashir – Israel — Fighting —
- Baader Meinhof Complex – Germany — Spoiler —
- Departures – Japan — Doubtful —
Best Documentary Feature
- Man on Wire – James Marsh, Simon Chinn (c-1/22) — Strong —
- Trouble the Water – Tia Lessin, Carl Deal — Fighting —
- The Garden – Scott Hamilton Kennedy — Fighting —
- Encounters At the End of the World – Werner Herzog, Henry Kaiser — Fighting —
- The Betrayal – Ellen Kuras, Thavisouk Phrasavath — Fighting —
Best Documentary Short Subject
- The Witness from the Balcony of Room 306 – Adam Pertofsky, Margaret Hyde (c-10/8) — Strong —
- Smile Pinki – Megan Mylan — Fighting —
- The Conscience of Nhem En – Steven Okazaki — Fighting —
- The Final Inch – Irene Taylor Brodsky, Tom Grant — Fighting —
Best Animated Short Film
- Presto – Doug Sweetland (c-1/22) — Strong —
- This Way Up – Alan Smith, Adam Foulkes — Fighting —
- Lavatory – Lovestory – Konstantin Bronzit — Fighting —
- Oktapodi – Emud Mokhberi, Thierry Marchand — Fighting —
- La Maison en Petits Cubes – Kunio Kato — Fighting —
Best Live-Action Short Film
- Spielzeugland (Toyalnd) – Jochen Alexander Freydank (c-1/22) — Strong —
- Auf der Strecke (On the Line) – Reto Caffi — Fighting —
- New Boy – Steph Green, Tamara Anghie — Fighting —
- Manon on the Asphalt – Elizabeth Marre, Olivier Pont — Fighting —
- The Pig – Tivi Magnusson and Dorte Hรธgh — Fighting —
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