Looking at Film from Every Angle

Prediction Success Rate: General Statistics

“Best of” Records

Best Annual Records

Winners

Nominations

1.
2.
*.
4.
*.

2021
1997
2003
2013
2019

86.96%
83.33%
83.33%
79.17%
79.17%

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.

2016
2017
2020
2018
2004

80.33%
77.05%
76.27%
75.21%
74.23%

Best Category Records

Winners

Nominations

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.

Actor
Actress
Animated Film
Original Screenplay
Comedy Score

88.24%
82.35%
81.82%
76.47%
75.00%

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.

Picture
Supporting Actress
Actor
Actress
Adapted Screenplay

86.39%
83.70%
82.96%
81.48%
80.74%

“Worst of” Records

Worst Annual Records

Winners

Nominations

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
*.

1990
1994
1991
1992
2001
2007

36.36%
39.13%
43.48%
47.83%
50.00%
50.00%

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.

2021
1996
2006
2011
2005

63.33%
63.83%
64.08%
64.71%
66.32%

Worst Category Records

Winners

Nominations

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.

Doc. Short
Live Short
Anim. Short
Dramatic Score
Costume

27.27%
33.33%
36.36%
50.00%
50.00%

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.

Live Short
Anim. Short
Doc. Feature
Doc. Short
Makeup

47.69%
52.63%
53.33%
57.32%
58.43%

Grouped Prediction Statistics

Combined Prediction Success By Group

Winners

Nominations

Group

Correct

Total

Accuracy

Correct

Total

Accuracy

Overall
The Big Six
Writing
Music
Technical
Documentaries
Short Films

512
151
51
46
172
31
23

799
204
68
72
268
66
66

64.08%
74.02%
75.00%
63.89%
64.18%
46.97%
34.85%

2,077
708
211
177
665
97
68

2,923
866
270
277
969
177
135

71.06%
81.76%
78.15%
63.90%
68.63%
54.80%
50.37%

Overall Category Statistics

Combined Prediction Success by Category

Winners

Nominations

Overall Annual Statistics

Combined Prediction Success by Year

Winners

Nominations

Year

Correct

Total

Accuracy

Correct

Total

Accuracy

1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022

11
8
10
11
17
9
17
13
20
14
16
13
12
13
20
16
18
13
12
17
14
17
14
18
19
17
14
16
17
16
19
16
20
15

18
22
23
23
23
23
24
24
24
24
23
23
24
24
24
24
24
24
24
24
24
24
24
24
24
24
24
24
24
24
24
23
23
23

61.11%
36.36%
43.48%
47.83%
73.91%
39.13%
70.83%
54.17%
83.33%
58.33%
69.57%
56.52%
50.00%
54.17%
83.33%
66.67%
75.00%
54.17%
50.00%
70.83%
58.33%
70.83%
58.33%
75.00%
79.17%
70.83%
58.33%
66.67%
70.83%
66.67%
79.17%
69.57%
86.96%
65.22%

60
63
68
63
60
66
69
62
72
63
66
71
73
80
87
77
85
88
91
87
98
94
91
92
90
76
85

94
94
94
90
88
91
93
92
97
95
103
103
101
116
120
119
122
122
121
121
122
122
121
124
118
120
120

63.83%
67.02%
72.34%
70.00%
68.18%
72.53%
74.19%
67.39%
74.23%
66.32%
64.08%
68.93%
72.28%
68.97%
72.50%
64.71%
69.67%
72.13%
75.21%
71.90%
80.33%
77.05%
75.21%
74.19%
76.27%
63.33%
70.83%

Predictions By Category

The Big Six Categories

Winners

Nominations

Year

Correct

Total

Accuracy

Correct

Total

Accuracy

1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022

5
3
3
2
5
2
4
4
5
3
6
4
5
2
6
4
5
4
5
5
6
6
5
5
5
4
4
5
5
5
4
4
6
5

6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6

83.33%
50.00%
50.00%
33.33%
83.33%
33.33%
66.67%
66.67%
83.33%
50.00%
100.00%
66.67%
83.33%
33.33%
100.00%
66.67%
83.33%
66.67%
83.33%
83.33%
100.00%
100.00%
83.33%
83.33%
83.33%
66.67%
66.67%
83.33%
83.33%
83.33%
66.67%
66.67%
100.00%
83.33%

21
25
24
21
26
23
24
23
27
24
25
22
25
30
30
26
26
29
27
28
30
29
27
30
31
27
28

30
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
35
35
34
34
34
33
33
34
34
33
34
33
35
35

70.00%
83.33%
80.00%
70.00%
86.67%
76.67%
80.00%
76.67%
90.00%
80.00%
83.33%
73.33%
83.33%
85.71%
85.71%
76.47%
76.47%
85.29%
81.82%
84.85%
88.24%
85.29%
81.82%
88.24%
93.94%
77.14%
80.00%

Writing Categories

Winners

Nominations

Year

Correct

Total

Accuracy

Correct

Total

Accuracy

1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022

2
1
1
2
2
1
2
1
2
1
2
2
1
0
1
2
2
2
2
2
0
2
2
2
1
1
2
2
1
1
2
1
2
1

2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2

100.00%
50.00%
50.00%
100.00%
100.00%
50.00%
100.00%
50.00%
100.00%
50.00%
100.00%
100.00%
50.00%
0.00%
50.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
0.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
50.00%
50.00%
100.00%
100.00%
50.00%
50.00%
100.00%
50.00%
100.00%
50.00%

4
6
9
8
8
8
8
7
9
8
6
8
8
7
9
6
9
9
8
8
9
8
9
9
7
8
8

10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10

40.00%
60.00%
90.00%
80.00%
80.00%
80.00%
80.00%
70.00%
90.00%
80.00%
60.00%
80.00%
80.00%
70.00%
90.00%
60.00%
90.00%
90.00%
80.00%
80.00%
90.00%
80.00%
90.00%
90.00%
70.00%
80.00%
80.00%

Music Categories

Winners

Nominations

Year

Correct

Total

Accuracy

Correct

Total

Accuracy

1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022

1
1
2
1
1
1
2
2
3
1
0
1
1
0
2
1
1
0
1
2
2
0
2
2
2
2
1
2
2
1
2
1
2
1

2
2
2
2
2
2
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2

50.00%
50.00%
100.00%
50.00%
50.00%
50.00%
66.67%
66.67%
100.00%
33.33%
0.00%
50.00%
50.00%
0.00%
100.00%
50.00%
50.00%
0.00%
50.00%
100.00%
100.00%
0.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
50.00%
100.00%
100.00%
50.00%
100.00%
50.00%
100.00%
50.00%

10
11
10
8
5
7
8
4
5
5
4
5
5
5
6
3
7
5
8
7
8
7
7
8
8
5
6

15
15
15
10
10
10
10
10
10
8
10
10
8
10
9
7
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10

66.67%
73.33%
66.67%
80.00%
50.00%
70.00%
80.00%
40.00%
50.00%
62.50%
40.00%
50.00%
62.50%
50.00%
66.67%
42.86%
70.00%
50.00%
80.00%
70.00%
80.00%
70.00%
70.00%
80.00%
80.00%
50.00%
60.00%

Technical Categories

Winners

Nominations

Year

Correct

Total

Accuracy

Correct

Total

Accuracy

1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022

3
2
3
4
7
4
5
4
8
7
5
4
3
7
7
7
6
5
3
5
4
6
2
7
6
5
4
3
7
5
7
6
7
4

8
7
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
7
7
7

37.50%
28.57%
37.50%
50.00%
87.50%
50.00%
62.50%
50.00%
100.00%
87.50%
62.50%
50.00%
37.50%
87.50%
87.50%
87.50%
75.00%
62.50%
37.50%
62.50%
50.00%
75.00%
25.00%
87.50%
75.00%
62.50%
50.00%
37.50%
87.50%
62.50%
87.50%
85.71%
100.00%
57.14%

22
20
23
24
19
24
22
24
24
19
19
27
27
24
26
25
23
27
29
28
28
31
27
28
24
25
26

34
34
34
35
33
33
33
34
34
34
36
36
36
36
38
38
38
38
38
38
38
38
38
40
35
35
35

64.71%
58.82%
67.65%
68.57%
57.58%
72.73%
66.67%
70.59%
70.59%
55.88%
52.78%
75.00%
75.00%
66.67%
68.42%
65.79%
60.53%
71.05%
76.32%
73.68%
73.68%
81.58%
71.05%
70.00%
68.57%
71.43%
74.29%

Documentary Categories

Winners

Nominations

Year

Correct

Total

Accuracy

Correct

Total

Accuracy

1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022

1
1
0
1
0
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
1
2
0
1
2
1
1
1

2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2

50.00%
50.00%
0.00%
50.00%
0.00%
100.00%
50.00%
0.00%
50.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
100.00%
50.00%
50.00%
50.00%
50.00%
0.00%
50.00%
50.00%
50.00%
50.00%
50.00%
100.00%
100.00%
50.00%
100.00%
0.00%
50.00%
100.00%
50.00%
50.00%
50.00%

2
4
5
4
4
5
5
6
7
6
6
6
8
6
4
5
7
3
4

5
5
9
9
9
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10

40.00%
80.00%
55.56%
44.44%
44.44%
50.00%
50.00%
60.00%
70.00%
60.00%
60.00%
60.00%
80.00%
60.00%
40.00%
50.00%
70.00%
30.00%
40.00%

Short Film Categories

Winners

Nominations

Year

Correct

Total

Accuracy

Correct

Total

Accuracy

1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022

0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
1

2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2

0.00%
0.00%
50.00%
50.00%
50.00%
50.00%
50.00%
50.00%
0.00%
100.00%
50.00%
50.00%
0.00%
50.00%
0.00%
50.00%
50.00%
0.00%
50.00%
0.00%
0.00%
50.00%
0.00%
50.00%
100.00%
0.00%
50.00%
0.00%
50.00%
50.00%
50.00%
0.00%
50.00%

2
5
5
5
4
5
5
6
7
7
5
6
1
5

5
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10

40.00%
50.00%
50.00%
50.00%
40.00%
50.00%
50.00%
60.00%
70.00%
70.00%
50.00%
60.00%
10.00%
50.00%

Posted

March 8, 2016

in

by

Wesley Lovell

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Posts by Topic

Prediction Success Rate: General Statistics

Section Links:

“Best of” Records

“Worst of” Records

Grouped Prediction Statistics

Overall Category Statistics

Overall Annual Statistics

Predictions By Category

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Prediction Success Rate: General Statistics

Section Links:

“Best of” Records

“Worst of” Records

Grouped Prediction Statistics

Overall Category Statistics

Overall Annual Statistics

Predictions By Category

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