Based on our nominations predictions, here’s how we did.

Let’s start out with this year’s winner, Thomas La Tourrette, who managed 91 correct predictions out of 120. That’s six more than the next closest competitor. Meanwhile, the numbers were much closer between Tripp Burton, Wesley Lovell, and Peter J. Patrick. Wesley got 85 points, Tripp received 84, and Peter got 82 right.

While there were fewer films this year that we agreed on that didn’t make the cut, there were several unpredictable nominations that we couldn’t foresee. Here they are:

Animated Feature – The Sea Beast
Actress – Andrea Riseborough – To Leslie
Adapted Screenplay – Top Gun: Maverick
Original Song – “This Is a Life” – Everything Everywhere All at Once
Original Score – Everything Everywhere All at Once
Editing – Tár
Cinematography – Tár
Costume Design – Everything Everywhere All at Once
Documentary Feature – A House Made of Splinters
Documentary Short – The Martha Mitchell Effect
Live Action Short – Ivalu

Now for the ones all four of us declared would be nominated, but weren’t:

Actress – Danielle Deadwyler
Adapted Screenplay – The Whale
Original Song – “Ciao Papa” – Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio
Original score – Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio
Cinematography – Top Gun: Maverick
Documentary Short – The Flagmakers

Now for the plaudits for extra foresight. Peter was the sole predictor of Triangle of Sadness in Best Picture and Directing. Wesley was the only one who predicted Brian Tyree Henry in Best Supporting Actor, Elvis in Best Cinematography, The Quiet Girl in Best International Feature, and An Ostritch Told Me… in Best Animated Short Film. Thomas’ sole predictions were “Applause” in Best Original Song and The Red Suitcase in Best Live Action Short Film. Finally, Tripp was the only one to foresee Bardo in Best Cinematography, Haulout in Best Documentary Short Subject, and Ice Merchants in Best Animated Short Film.

And our final round of congratulations go to the following for correctly prediction every nominee in various categories. In a rarity (or perhaps a firs), all five of us agreed on all five nominees in Best Original Screenplay and all of us were correct. Now for the others. The only category where three of our prognosticators predicted the full slate was Best Actor. Wesley, Peter, and Thomas were the three. Three categories were fully predicted by two individuals. Wesley and Thomas got Best Supporting Actress right, Peter and Thomas got Best Makeup & Hairstyling correct, and Wesley and Tripp accurately predicted Best Sound. Finally, the extra specially citations, categories where only one person fully guessed correctly. Peter did so in Best Picture and Best Directing while Thomas did so in Best Visual Effects.

And there we have this year’s nominations predictions successes and failures. Now, it’s all downhill from here to the Oscars in March. Enjoy the rush, but watch out for that tree, George.