As the precursor awards continue unabated until Oscar night, I’m going to be providing a weekly update highlighting the films that have won and lost momentum through the precursor awards (and in some cases other outside influences).

There were a lot of precursors this past week, so there are a lot of potential winners and losers, but these are the ones that feel most deserving.

But, before we get into this week’s winners and losers, let’s take a look at what’s coming up this week:

Week 4 (TUE-MON)

Tuesday, Dec. 20 – Online Female Critics (Awards) (Official)
Wednesday, Dec. 21 – Shortlists Announced (Official)
Thursday, Dec. 22 – Florida Critics (Awards) (Official)
Thursday, Dec. 22 – North Carolina Critics (Nominations) (Official)
Friday, Dec. 23 – Golden Eagle Awards (Nominations) (Unconfirmed)
Monday, Dec. 26 – Huading Awards (China) (Awards) (Unconfirmed)

Big Winners

The Banshees of Inisherin has quietly amassed a large number of citations and appears to be the critical darling that most aligns with the Academy’s tastes, so as long as it keeps performing this way, it should do well enough to be a threat.
Everything Everywhere All at Once is the film Banshees should feel threatened by. This one has critics going gaga and while it’s not quite Moonlight or La La Land gaga, it’s close enough to the performance of Parasite to be seen as a major threat.
Women Talking is even more quietly trending along the Oscar race, nabbing numerous nominations, especially in ten-wide Best Picture slates, so it continues to make a solid case for being one of the final ten.

Big Losers

Emancipation flamed out fast and at this point, it should no longer be a surprise that the film is out of the competition.
She Said seemed likely to follow the Spotlight path towards Best Picture, but apparently critics aren’t in love with it enough to bolster its slowly dwindling chances.
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, apart from Angela Bassett’s supporting performance, seems to be underperforming where we thought it might at this point in Oscar season. It’s certainly not getting the attention that its predecessor did, which is a shame since this one, in essence, is a lot better than that film in a lot of ways.