The American Society of Cinematographers may align with the Academy’s Best Cinematography Oscar, but they also have a relatively poor track record thanks to their Boys Club-ish mentality that has resulted in some cinematographers winning numerous times and then losing at the Oscars.

AMERICAN SOCIETY OF CINEMATOGRAPHERS AWARDS

Best Cinematography

1917 (Wesley, Peter, Tripp, Thomas)
Ford v Ferrari (RU:Peter)
The Irishman (RU:Tripp, RU:Thomas)
Joker (RU:Wesley)
Once Upon a Time… in Hollywood

Wesley Lovell: What it took to make 1917 look like a seamless single-shot film is what will ultimately win it this award.
Peter J. Patrick: Looks like an easy win for Roger Deakins for 1917 with Phedon Papamichael a distant second for Ford v Ferrari.
Tripp Burton: Roger Deakins is always popular with this branch, and the one-take nature of his work on 1917 won’t be overlooked here.
Thomas LaTourette: The work of 1917 is something everyone talked about, so it should easily win. Making a film look like it was done in a long single shot is not easy, and Roger Deakins will be rewarded for his work on it.

Spotlight Award

Honey Boy (RU:Wesley, RU:Peter, RU:Tripp)
The Lighthouse (Wesley, Peter, Tripp, Thomas)
Monos (RU:Thomas)

Wesley Lovell: The Lighthouse is the only Oscar nominee on this list and it’s also the only film that even stands a chance.
Peter J. Patrick: This should go to Jarin Blschke for The Lighthouse unless they want to go with female nominee Natasha Braier for Honey Boy.
Tripp Burton: Oscar nominee The Lighthouse should easily win this one.
Thomas LaTourette: The Lighthouse was deemed good enough to merit an Oscar nomination, so it will probably win this award as well.

Documentary

Anthropocene: The Human Epoch (RU:Wesley, RU:Tripp)
Honeyland (Wesley, Peter, Tripp, RU:Thomas)
Obscuro Barroco (Thomas, RU:Peter)

Wesley Lovell: It’s hard to say, but considering Honeyland‘s double nomination, it would seem that the entire film impressed a lot of people and I wouldn’t be surprised to see it win, though I am not guaranteeing anything.
Peter J. Patrick: I expect Fejmi Daut and Samir Ljuma to take this for their extraordinary work on Honeyland.
Tripp Burton: Oscar nominee Honeyland is one of the prettiest films of the year and shouldn’t lose here.
Thomas LaTourette: Obscuro sounds like it will have the most intriguing cinematography, so I will predict it to win.