As the precursor awards continue unabated until Oscar night, I’m going to be providing a weekly update highlighting the films that have won and lost momentum through the precursor awards (and in some cases other outside influences).

Tomorrow’s the nominations announcement and we’ll see how the precursors did in forecasting the year’s nominations. The major precursors in the past week included the Visual Effects Society, Annie Awards, USC Scripter awards, and the British Academy of Film & Television Arts nominations. While the three guilds might have some impact, the BAFTA nominations are where our winners and losers are most solidified.

But, before we get into this week’s winners and losers, let’s take a look at what’s coming up this week:

Week 9 (TUE-MON)

Tuesday, Jan. 24 – Academy Awards Nominations (Official)
Wednesday, Jan. 25 – Rotterdam Film Festival (Festival) (Official)
Wednesday, Jan. 25 – Writers Guild (Nominations) (Official)
Thursday, Jan. 26 – Cesar Awards (Nominations) (Unconfirmed)
Friday, Jan. 27 – Golden Eagle Awards (Awards) (Unconfirmed)

Big Winners

All Quiet on the Western Front proved to be the big winner with 14 nominations, four more than its next highest competitors. This proved to be a far more impactful selection than anyone ever thought it would because a tally like that means broad support, which means the Academy is sure to see some action with the film as well.
She Said might not have earned a Best Picture citation, but it wasn’t as dead as everyone believed. Carey Mulligan pulled off a supporting nomination, but that could be attributed to her failure to earn a nomination for Promising Young Woman. That said, the film was also nominated for Adapted Screenplay, a mention that wasn’t expected either suggesting the film has a lot more support than initially imagined.
The Banshees of Inisherin did quite well being a product of the British Isles. Its ten nominations affirm it’s a big player this year.
Everything Everywhere All at Once also benefits from its ten nominations, but without the added benefit of the British categories.

Big Losers

The Fabelmans earned a single nomination for Original Screenplay. BAFTA has shown a general disdain for Spielberg in general, so this isn’t entirely unexpected, but it has to make the film’s Oscar chances seem bleaker.
Women Talking doesn’t have the anti-Spielberg bias working against it, but the film was entirely shut out of the nominations, not even earning a nod in the Adapted Screenplay category, its strongest potential recognition. That’s not a good sign going into the Oscar nominations.
Top Gun: Maverick earned four nominations and while that might seem like a lot for a tech-heavy production, the film was thought to be a major Oscar player this year and that might have hurt the film’s chances. That is if it weren’t for the very American feel of the film, something the Brits have often snubbed. It’s sure to do much better at tomorrow’s Oscar nominations.