This week, the A24 four-film package arrived, as did a title from 20th Century Fox.

20th Century Women

Oscar Chances: Decent: This is one of those films that is likely to do well in only two categories and then not compete anywhere else. Best Actress is the most likely while Best Supporting Actress is a solid possibility as well. The screenplay might compete, but the Original Screenplay category is overflowing with potential nominees, so likely not.
Campaign-Proposed Categories:

• Best Picture (Mean Ellison, Anne Carey, Youree Henley)
• Best Director (Mike Mills)
• Best Original Screenplay (Mike Mills)
• Best Actress (Annette Bening)
• Best Supporting Actor (Billy Crudup, Lucas Jade Zumann)
• Best Supporting Actress (Elle Fanning, Greta Gerwig)
• Best Cinematography (Sean Porter)
• Best Production Design (Chris Jones)
• Best Film Editing (Leslie Jones)
• Best Costume Design (Jennifer Johnson)
• Best Original Score (Roger Neill)
• Best Sound Mixing (Rich Ash, Amanda Beggs, Frank Gaeta)
• Best Sound Editing (Frank Gaeta)
• Best Makeup and Hairstyling (Jorjee Douglass, Shandra Page-Edwards)
• Best Visual Effects (Patrick Murphy)

Hidden Figures

Oscar Chances: Unknown: The film has a very serious The Help vibe and has received a fair amount of attention from the precursors. It’s the kind of feel-good, socio-political film that the Academy used to love to recognize and might again.
Campaign-Proposed Categories:

• Best Picture (Donna Gigliotti, Peter Chernin, Jenno Topping, Pharrell Williams, Theodore Melfi)
• Best Director (Theodore Melfi)
• Best Adapted Screenplay (Allison Schroeder, Theodore Melfi, Margo Lee Shetterly)
• Best Actress (Taraji P. Henson)
• Best Supporting Actress (Octavia Spencer, Janelle Monae, Kirsten Dunst)
• Best Supporting Actor (Kevin Costner, Jim Parsons, Mahershala Ali, Aldis Hodge, Glen Powell)
• Best Cinematography (Mandy Walker)
• Best Production Design (Wynn Thomas, Missy Parker)
• Best Film Editing (Peter Teschner)
• Best Costume Design (Renee Ehrlich Kalfus)
• Best Makeup and Hairstyling (Beverly Jo Pryor, Melissa “Missy” Forney)
• Best Original Score (Hans Zimmer, Pharrell Williams, Benjamin Wallfisch)
• Best Original Song (“I See a Victory” – Pharrell Williams, Kirk Franklin, Kim Burrell)
• Best Original Song (“Runnin” – Pharrell Williams)
• Best Sound Mixing (Matthew Nicolay, Andy Nelson, Derek Vanderhorst)
• Best Sound Editing (Derek Vanderhorst, Wayne Lemmer)
• Best Visual Effects (Chris Ledoux, Mark Ledoux)

The Lobster

Oscar Chances: Good: It seems like the film is fairly certain to be nominated for Best Original Screenplay and that’s about it.
Campaign-Proposed Categories:

• Best Picture (Ed Guiney, Lee Magiday, Ceci Dempsey, Yorgos Lanthimos)
• Best Director (Yorgos Lanthimos)
• Best Original Screenplay (Yorgos Lanthimos, Efthimis Flippou)
• Best Actor (Colin Farrell)
• Best Supporting Actor (John C. Reilly, Ben Whishaw)
• Best Supporting Actress (Olivia Colman, Lea Seydoux, Rachel Weisz)
• Best Cinematography (Thimios Bakatakis)
• Best Production Design (Jacqueline Abrahams)
• Best Film Editing (Yorgos Mavropsaridis)
• Best Cosume Design (Sarah Blenkinsop)
• Best Sound Mixing (Danny Van Spreuwel, Johnnie Burn, Mervyn Moore)
• Best Sound Editing (Johnnie Burn, Simon Carroll)
• Best Makeup and Hairstyling (Sharon Doyle, Eileen Buggy)
• Best Visual Effects (Olivier Cauwet)

Moonlight

Oscar Chances: Excellent: Not only has the film emerged as a strong nomination contender in many categories, but it’s also favored to win a few.
Campaign-Proposed Categories:

• Best Picture (Adele Romanski, Dede Gardner, Jeremy Kleiner)
• Best Director (Barry Jenkins)
• Best Original Screenplay (Barry Jenkins, Tarell Alvin McCraney)
• Best Supporting Actor (Mahershala Ali, Andre Holland, Trevante Rhodes, Ashton Sanders)
• Best Supporting Actress (Naomie Harris, Janelle Monae)
• Best Cinematography (James Laxton)
• Best Production Design (Hannah Beachler)
• Best Film Editing (Nat Sanders, Joi McMillon)
• Best Costume Design (Caroline Eselin-Schaefer)
• Best Original Score (Nicholas Britell)
• Best Sound Mixing (Christopher Giles), Chris David)
• Best Sound Editing (Joshua Adeniji)

The Witch

Oscar Chances: None: The film just isn’t something the Academy tends to recognize.
Campaign-Proposed Categories:

• Best Picture (Jay Van Hoy, Lars Knudsen Jodi Redmond, Daniel Bekerman, Rodrigo Teixeira)
• Best Director (Robert Eggers)
• Best Original Screenplay (Robert Eggers)
• Best Actress (Anya Taylor-Joy)
• Best Supporting Actor (Ralph Ineson)
• Best Supporting Actress (Kate Dickie)
• Best Cinematography (Jarin Blaschke)
• Best Production Design (Craig Lathrop)
• Best Film Editing (Louise Ford)
• Best Costume Design (Linda Muir)
• Best Original Score (Mark Korven)
• Best Sound Mixing (Rob Turi, Orest Sushko, Chris Guglick)
• Best Sound Editing (Adam Stein, Mark Gingras)
• Best Makeup and Hairstyling (Traci Loader, Lydia Pensa)
• Best Visual Effects (Geoff D.E. Scott)