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Below is a wrap-up of the predictions I made several months ago, an exploration of what succeeded and what failed, and how I observe things to have gone.

March 4, 2022

The Batman

Oscar Prospects: What I said: “None.”
Oscar Results: Still None
Box Office Prospects: $200 M
Box Office Expectations: What I Said: “Good. It’s hard to say how Warner Bros. will do now that they’ve stopped forcing day-and-date on their features. This should be an interesting test, though it’s fascianting how few wide release are coming out in the typically more lively March.”
Box Office Results: $369.5 M
Thoughts: [Major Success] The DC character that is most likely to win at the box office is Batman even though Superman also does well. It’s no surprise the film was a success, but this is a huge tally for a March release.

March 25, 2022

The Lost City

Oscar Prospects: What I said: “None.”
Oscar Results: Still None
Box Office Prospects: $100 M
Box Office Expectations: What I Said: “Good. Give audiences a good action-adventure romance film and they’ll show up. The question is will this be good enough to summon people to the box office.”
Box Office Results: $105.3 M
Thoughts: [Minor Success] A more expected tally for a March release, the $105 million box office pull for an original comedy is solid even if it’s just barely so.

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