Although the correlating category at the Oscars, Sound Editing, was eliminated, the tendency of Sound Mixing and Sound Editing to link up was fairly common, so a winner here might tell us some about the Sound category as well.

MOTION PICTURE SOUND EDITORS AWARDS

Best Sound Editing: Feature Effects / Foley

Cherry
Greyhound (RU:Wesley, RU:Peter, RU:Tripp)
The Midnight Sky (Tripp)
News of the World
Sound of Metal (Wesley, Peter, Thomas)
Tenet (RU:Thomas)
Wonder Woman 1984

Wesley Lovell: While the Sound Editing award at the Oscars is gone, the MPSE selections might give us some indication of the direction Oscar voters might go, especially if they link up with the less expansive Cinema Audio Society selections. That’s why I’ve gone with Sound of Metal as the winner here. While the other films all make sense, I cannot imagine this film losing to any but Oscar nominee Greyhound, which is a wartime drama, something sound voters tend to love.
Peter J. Patrick: Sound of Metal over everything else with Greyhound the runner-up.
Tripp Burton: My guess would be one of the bigger action films here, but who knows.
Thomas LaTourette: Sound of Metal seems like the type of film that should win awards like this as it is about sound. In other years Tenet or Greyhound might do well, but I do not see that happening this year.

Best Sound Editing: Feature Dialogue / ADR

Emperor
Greyhound (RU:Tripp, RU:Thomas)
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom (Tripp)
Mank
News of the World
Nomadland (RU:Peter)
Sound of Metal (Peter, Thomas, RU:Wesley)
The Trial of the Chicago 7 (Wesley)

Wesley Lovell: In terms of automated dialogue replacement, I would think the talky The Trial of the Chicago 7 might have the best chance, but I wouldn’t count out any of the others, especially Sound of Metal for its unique approach to deafness.
Peter J. Patrick: This one’s a bit tougher. I’ll stick with Sound of Metal with Noomadland for the runner-up on this one.
Tripp Burton: I have no idea here. This is just a guess.
Thomas LaTourette: I don’t know if Sound of Metal will carry over into this one as well, but I could see it winning here as well. If not, perhaps Greyhound or The Trial of the Chicago 7 might eke out a win.

Best Sound Editing: Feature Animation

The Croods: A New Age
Onward
Over the Moon (RU:Wesley, RU:Thomas)
Soul (Wesley, Peter, Tripp, Thomas)
Wolfwalkers (RU:Peter, RU:Tripp)

Wesley Lovell: For animation, Soul is the obvious prediction, the not-so-obvious runner-up might be the musical Over the Moon.
Peter J. Patrick: Soul, probably, with Wolfwalkers the spoiler.
Tripp Burton: I’ll keep predicting Soul until it starts losing awards.
Thomas LaTourette: Soul totally deserves this award, so hopefully it will get it.

Best Sound Editing: Feature Documentary

Bee Gees: How Can You Mend a Broken Heart (Thomas, RU:Wesley, RU:Peter)
Crip Camp
John Lewis: Good Trouble
My Octopus Teacher (Wesley, Peter, RU:Tripp)
The Reason I Jump
Rebuilding Paradise
The Social Dilemma
Zappa (Tripp, RU:Thomas)

Wesley Lovell: Underwater sound editing might be the most difficult editing, so I give the edge to My Octopus Teacher, but any of the musical documentaries might have a good shot as well.
Peter J. Patrick: That dang Octopus again, with the Bee Gees for runner-up.
Tripp Burton: My Octopus Teacher could sneak in another win here, but I would bet on one of the musical documentaries.
Thomas LaTourette: I could see this going to one of the musical docs, though it could really go to any of them.

Best Sound Editing: Foreign Language Film

Bacurau (Tripp, RU:Wesley)
The Eight Hundred (Wesley, RU:Thomas)
I’m No Longer Here (RU:Peter, RU:Tripp)
Jallikattu (Thomas)
The Life Ahead (Peter)

Wesley Lovell: The Eight Hundred is a war drama, which likely gives it the lead position, but I cannot discount any of the others as I’ve seen none of these.
Peter J. Patrick: A tough call, but I’ll go with the highly publicized The Life Ahead for the win and I’m No Longer Here for the runner-up.
Tripp Burton: The action and violence of Bacurau seems the most likely to win here.
Thomas LaTourette: It could go to any of these.

Best Sound Editing: Feature Underscore

The Invisible Man
The Midnight Sky (Tripp)
News of the World
Sound of Metal (Wesley, Peter, RU:Tripp, RU:Thomas)
Tenet (Thomas, RU:Wesley)
The Trial of the Chicago 7 (RU:Peter)
Wonder Woman 1984

Wesley Lovell: For underscore, the challenge is picking between Sound of Metal and Tenet. The former is about a rock drummer who loses his hearing, which could allow for some interesting sound work with relation to his music. Then again, this is probably the best shot Tenet has of taking an award from this group. I won’t discount any other film’s chances either.
Peter J. Patrick: Sound of Metal once again, with The Trial of the Chicago 7 for runner-up.
Tripp Burton: This is a complete guess, but The Midnight Sky seems like a safe bet.
Thomas LaTourette: Tenet might beat out Sound of Metal here.

Best Sound Editing: Feature Musical

Eurovision Song Contest: The Story of Fire Saga (RU:Wesley, RU:Tripp)
The High Note
I Am Woman
The Forty-Year-Old Verison
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom (Wesley, Peter, Tripp, RU:Thomas)
The Prom (Thomas, RU:Peter)

Wesley Lovell: Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom probably has the edge since it’s so dependent on period sound/music capture on records. This gives it a uniqueness the other films don’t really have.
Peter J. Patrick: I’m guessing either Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom or The Prom for this one.
Tripp Burton: Ma Rainey keeps picking up technical awards and should prevail here, unless voters go with the even more musical Eurovision.
Thomas LaTourette: I am not certain what they are going for, but I could see either The Prom or Ma Rainey winning this.