Based on our nominations predictions, here’s how we did.
Once again, it was an incredibly close competition. 1 correct prediction separated first and second place. This year, Thomas La Tourrette came out on top with 89 correct predictions, just 1 more than Wesley Lovell. Tripp was third with 81 correct predictions and Peter J. Patrick came in fourth with 78 correct predictions.
All four of us had the same ten films listed for Best Picture, but Tripp was the only one who foresaw the weak position of One Night in Miami, which, along with Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom were the two films that failed to make the final list of ten.
With Ma Rainey being the only film that we all missed in its placement in the order, let’s look at other predictions that all four of us had down, but we ultimately missed. They were Mank (Original Screenplay), Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom (Adapted Screenplay), Birds of Prey (Makeup & Hairstyling), and Welcome to Chechnya (Visual Effects). That ultimately makes only five nominations we all agreed on that didn’t make it. Not bad.
Now, there were even more selections that didn’t figure into any of our predictions. Total, there were twelve:
A Shaun the Sheep Movie: Farmageddon (Animated Feature), Thomas Vinterberg – Another Round (Directing), Borat Subsequent Moviefilm (Adapted Screenplay), “Husavik” – Eurovision Song Contest (Original Song), Da 5 Bloods (Original Score), Pinocchio (Makeup & Hairstyling), Love and Monsters (Visual Effects), The Man Who Sold His Skin (International Feature), The Mole Agent (Documentary Feature), Genius Loci (Animated Short Film), Yes-People (Animated Short Film), and The Human Voice (Live Action Short Film).
And finally, it’s always fun to look at the nominations that only one of our predictors bravely suggested and managed to get it right. There were plenty of left-field choices we got wrong, but here are the ones we did right. The best of us at making those tough calls is Tripp who selected five of the ten out-on-a-limb predictions that were made. Those were: Judas and the Black Messiah (Original Screenplay), The White Tiger (Adapted Screenplay), Judas and the Black Messiah (Cinematography), Greyhound (Sound), and The One and Only Ivan (Visual Effects). Peter and Thomas each pegged two. Thomas went with The Father (Film Editing) and Emma. (Makeup & Hairstyling) while Peter picked The Father (Production Design) and Better Days (International Feature). And finally, Wesley only managed one correct solo guess and that was Feeling Through (Live Action Short Film).
And there we have this year’s nominations predictions successes and failures. Now, it’s all downhill from here to the Oscars in April.
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