Sunday afternoon in London (their evening), the British Academy of Film & Television Arts will reveal the winners of its annual awards. They don’t simulcast their show as they edit the broadcast to fit allotted time, thus we’ll just have to get the winners list from those who are at the ceremony.
BRITISH ACADEMY AWARDS
Best Film
Arrival (RU:Tripp)
I, Daniel Blake (RU:Thomas)
La La Land (Wesley, Peter, Tripp, Thomas)
Manchester by the Sea (RU:Peter)
Moonlight (RU:Wesley)
Wesley Lovell: The likelihood they copy the Oscars is great. La La Land wins and in spite of its lack of Best Director nomination, Moonlight is probably running second.
Peter J. Patrick: The BAFTAs like to predict the Oscars, so a win for anything other than La La Land would be a surprise. If there is an upset, Manchester by the Sea would be my guess as to the winner.
Tripp Burton: Will La La Land be as popular in England as it is here? I think so, but BAFTA has been known to shake things up before.
Thomas LaTourette: La La Land should continue its roll to the Oscars with another win here. If anything were to beat it, which I doubt, it would be the British film I, Daniel Blake.
Best Animated Film
Finding Dory
Kubo and the Two Strings (Peter, Tripp, RU:Wesley, RU:Thomas)
Moana
Zootopia (Wesley, Thomas, RU:Peter, RU:Tripp)
Wesley Lovell: This is the last opportunity for Kubo and the Two Strings to win a precursor before the Oscars, but I suspect they’ll follow the herd on this one.
Peter J. Patrick: The smart money is on presumed Oscar favorite Zootopia, but I have to go with my favorite here, Kubo and the Two Strings.
Tripp Burton: Will Kubo play better than Zootropolis outside of America? I don’t know.
Thomas LaTourette: Zootopia is on a roll after the Annie Awards and should win here as well.
Best Director
Damien Chazelle – La La Land (Wesley, Peter, Tripp, Thomas)
Tom Ford – Nocturnal Animals (RU:Tripp)
Ken Loach – I, Daniel Blake (RU:Thomas)
Kenneth Lonergan – Manchester by the Sea (RU:Peter)
Denis Villeneuve – Arrival (RU:Wesley)
Wesley Lovell: Best Picture and Best Director usually go hand-in-hand and this won’t be a case where they split.
Peter J. Patrick: I’d be quite surprised if anyone other than Chazelle were to win this. Lonergan seems to be the only one who could pull an upset.
Tripp Burton: Even if La La Land isn’t as strong here, Chazelle should win easily.
Thomas LaTourette: After his win at the Directors Guild, nothing should stop Chazelle from winning here.
Best Actor
Casey Affleck – Manchester by the Sea (Wesley, Peter, Tripp, Thomas)
Andrew Garfield – Hacksaw Ridge (RU:Wesley, RU:Peter)
Ryan Gosling – La La Land (RU:Thomas)
Jake Gyllenhaal – Nocturnal Animals (RU:Tripp)
Viggo Mortensen – Captain Fantastic
Wesley Lovell: Casey Affleck doesn’t have to compete with Denzel Washington here, so he’s probably a safe bet. Andrew Garfield’s a possible contender, as are Jake Gyllenhaal, Ryan Gosling and Viggo Mortensen; however, picking one of them was a tough choice.
Peter J. Patrick: Affleck is a shoo-in here. Without Denzel Washington in the race, none of the others has much of a chance to upset him. If there is an upset, I would think British-born Garfield has the best chance.
Tripp Burton: With no Denzel Washington, this should be an easy way for Affleck to remind everyone of his perceived frontrunner status.
Thomas LaTourette: Without the major competition of Denzel Washington in this race, Casey Affleck should easily win.
Best Actress
Amy Adams – Arrival
Emily Blunt – The Girl on the Train (RU:Wesley)
Emma Stone – La La Land (Wesley, Tripp, Thomas, RU:Peter)
Meryl Streep – Florence Foster Jenkins (RU:Tripp)
Natalie Portman – Jackie (Peter, RU:Thomas)
Wesley Lovell: Emma Stone will either continue her roll towards the Oscars or Natalie Portman will stop her; However, it might not be Portman who does the deed. Emily Blunt is a hometown girl, which could give her an advantage over the Americans in the category.
Peter J. Patrick: Without critics favorite Isabelle Huppert in Elle in the running, this one is strictly between Portman and Stone. I’d vote for Portman.
Tripp Burton: I think Emma Stone is going to continue her strong performance at the televised awards, but who knows.
Thomas LaTourette: Emma Stone looks likely to repeat her SAG win here. If she loses to Portman or anyone else, it might show that she is not as firm a frontrunner as supposed.
Best Supporting Actor
Mahershala Ali – Moonlight (Wesley, Peter, Thomas, RU:Tripp)
Jeff Bridges – Hell or High Water
Hugh Grant – Florence Foster Jenkins (Tripp, RU:Thomas)
Dev Patel – Lion (RU:Wesley, RU:Peter)
Aaron Taylor-Johnson – Nocturnal Animals
Wesley Lovell: Mahershala Ali has been dominating the precursors. His victory seems assured. While I have Brit Dev Patel as runner-up because he’s also an Ocar nominee for the film, I could see an outpouring of support for Hugh Grant giving him a chance.
Peter J. Patrick: Ali has to be the favorite here, as he was/is everywhere else. If there is an upset, Britain’s Patel has to be the go-to guy.
Tripp Burton: At this point it isn’t smart to predict against Ali, but the Brits do love Hugh Grant, and this is arguably his best performance.
Thomas LaTourette: Ali should win here, unless they go for hometown favorite Hugh Grant.
Best Supporting Actress
Viola Davis – Fences (Wesley, Peter, Tripp, Thomas)
Naomie Harris – Moonlight (RU:Peter)
Nicole Kidman – Lion (RU:Wesley)
Hayley Squires – I, Daniel Blake
Michelle Williams – Manchester by the Sea (RU:Tripp, RU:Thomas)
Wesley Lovell: Can anyone stop the Viola Davis steamroll? Probably not, but Nicole Kidman could surprise.
Peter J. Patrick: Davis is the clear favorite here as she was/is everywhere else. Britain’s Harris and Australia’s Williams have the closest shots at upsetting her.
Tripp Burton: Is Viola Davis as beloved over in Britain as she is here? It will be interesting to see, but there seems to be nothing stopping her at this point.
Thomas LaTourette: If anyone but Viola Davis wins, it would be a huge shock.
Best Original Screenplay
Hell or High Water
I, Daniel Blake (Thomas)
La La Land
Manchester by the Sea (Wesley, Peter, Tripp)
Moonlight (RU:Wesley, RU:Peter, RU:Tripp, RU:Thomas)
Wesley Lovell: Manchester by the Sea could possibly lose to La La Land at the Oscars, but apart from Moonlight here in a different category and I, Daniel Blake representing the British Empire, I can’t imagine this group rewarding the musical over the stiff drama.
Peter J. Patrick: La La Land could win this one, too, but my cloudy crystal ball sees Manchester by the Sea taking this one, with Moonlight close behind.
Tripp Burton: With Moonlight back in the Original category, this is an interesting and different looking race than the Oscars.
Thomas LaTourette: The locally made I, Daniel Blake might win over either La La Land or Moonlight.
Best Adapted Screenplay
Arrival (Tripp, Thomas, RU:Wesley)
Hacksaw Ridge
Hidden Figures (RU:Peter)
Lion (Wesley, Peter, RU:Thomas)
Nocturnal Animals (RU:Tripp)
Wesley Lovell: With Moonlight out of the picture, Lion seems to have a pretty solid shot at this award, but I wouldn’t be surprised at Arrival or Nocturnal Animals or Hidden Figures taking the prize.
Peter J. Patrick: I see this going to one of two inspirational films, with Lion having a slight edge over Hidden Figures.
Tripp Burton: This is a wide-open race, and could be a place to honor Arrival, Lion or Nocturnal Animals.
Thomas LaTourette: With the frontrunner not in this category, Arrival might just beat out Lion and Hidden Figures.
Best Original Music
Arrival
Jackie (RU:Wesley, RU:Tripp)
La La Land (Wesley, Peter, Tripp, Thomas)
Lion (RU:Peter, RU:Thomas)
Nocturnal Animals
Wesley Lovell: The original musical La La Land is likely to take this award with Jackie or Lion as a possible alternative.
Peter J. Patrick: La La Land, of course, with Lion beating out Jackie for the second most votes.
Tripp Burton: Score is an easy win for the musical in the bunch.
Thomas LaTourette: I think that La La Land should easily take this award.
Best Editing
Arrival (RU:Peter)
Hacksaw Ridge (RU:Wesley, RU:Tripp, RU:Thomas)
La La Land (Wesley, Peter, Tripp, Thomas)
Nocturnal Animals
Manchester by the Sea
Wesley Lovell: La La Land has to show strength at BAFTA or a narrative could develop that costs it votes.
Peter J. Patrick: This one goes to the film with the most or most obvious editing. How can La La Land lose?
Tripp Burton: I don’t see La La Land losing any of these editing awards.
Thomas LaTourette: La La Land will probably best the war film to win.
Best Cinematography
Arrival
Hell or High Water
La La Land (Wesley, Peter, Thomas, RU:Tripp)
Lion (Tripp, RU:Wesley, RU:Peter, RU:Thomas)
Nocturnal Animals
Wesley Lovell: Another likely La La Land prize.
Peter J. Patrick: This one is another probable win for La La Land, but I wouldn’t be surprised by an upset win for Lion.
Tripp Burton: I’m going with the recent ASC winner over the presumed Oscar winner.
Thomas LaTourette: Even though Lion won the cinematographerโs guild award, I expect La La Land to win.
Best Production Design
Doctor Strange (Peter, RU:Thomas)
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them (Wesley, Tripp, Thomas, RU:Peter)
Hail, Caesar!
La La Land (RU:Wesley)
Nocturnal Animals (RU:Tripp)
Wesley Lovell: Unlike Oscar voters, I suspect BAFTA voters are more likely to recognize the intricate details of homegrown Fantastic Beasts over La La Land.
Peter J. Patrick: This is another category in which La La Land faces stiff competition, this time from two fantasy films with Doctor Strange having the upper hand.
Tripp Burton: The BAFTAs always liked the Harry Potter series more than the Oscars, and that could continue here.
Thomas LaTourette: I could see one of the fantasy films winning here, though if La La Land chocked up another award it would not be too surprising.
Best Costume Design
Allied (RU:Tripp)
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them (Wesley, Tripp, Thomas)
Florence Foster Jenkins (RU:Wesley, RU:Peter, RU:Thomas)
Jackie (Peter)
La La Land
Wesley Lovell: The period designs in Fantastic Beasts will compete with the period designs of Florence Foster Jenkisn with the period designs of Jackie and Allied also possibilities.
Peter J. Patrick: I see Jackie taking this over Florence, but La La Land is a threat here as well.
Tripp Burton: The BAFTAs always liked the Harry Potter series more than the Oscars, and that could continue here.
Thomas LaTourette: This is one place La La Land could falter, allowing a period piece to win. It seems like it may come down to Fantastic Beasts versus Florence Foster Jenkins, though any could win.
Best Makeup & Hair
Florence Foster Jenkins (Wesley, Peter, Thomas, RU:Tripp)
Doctor Strange (RU:Peter)
Hacksaw Ridge (RU:Wesley, RU:Thomas)
Nocturnal Animals (Tripp)
Rogue One
Wesley Lovell: Florence Foster Jenkins was on the Oscar shortlist and may have had the more intricate design work of these nominees. Plus, BAFTA isn’t afraid to go in different directions than the Academy.
Peter J. Patrick: Florence, probably, but not necessarily.
Tripp Burton: None of the Oscar nominees are on this list, so this should be interesting
Thomas LaTourette: The period work of Florence may just beat out the gore of WWII, but it could be the other way.
Best Sound
Arrival (RU:Wesley, RU:Peter, RU:Tripp)
Deepwater Horizon
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
Hacksaw Ridge (RU:Thomas)
La La Land (Wesley, Peter, Tripp, Thomas)
Wesley Lovell: La La Land relies so much on music and sound that it would be surprising if it did not win here.
Peter J. Patrick: Could be anything here, but I’m guessing La La Land.
Tripp Burton: Don’t bet against the musical in this category
Thomas LaTourette: With only one award, not missing and editing like at the Oscars, La La Land will probably beat out the battle scenes of Hacksaw Ridge, but it could go the other way as well.
Best Special Visual Effects
Arrival (Peter)
Doctor Strange (RU:Wesley, RU:Tripp, RU:Thomas)
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
The Jungle Book (Wesley, Tripp, Thomas)
Rogue One (RU:Peter)
Wesley Lovell: Jungle Book should pull a win here, though I could also see these voters going a different direction just because they can.
Peter J. Patrick: Something from outer space will win.
Tripp Burton: I see The Jungle Book as the most dominating in this category.
Thomas LaTourette: With most of the film made up of CGI effects, The Jungle Book looks likely to win over Fantastic Beasts and Doctor Strange.
Best Film Not in the English Language
Dheepan
Julieta
Mustang
Son of Saul (Wesley, Thomas, RU:Peter, RU:Tripp)
Toni Erdmann (Peter, Tripp, RU:Wesley, RU:Thomas)
Wesley Lovell: While my gut instinct was to pick Toni Erdmann, 2015 Oscar nominee Son of Saul would seem to be a more likely alternative with this group.
Peter J. Patrick: Most likely to be Toni Erdmann unless they go with last year’s Oscar winner, Son of Saul.
Tripp Burton: Last year’s Oscar winner up against this year’s critical darling should make an interesting race. I’m assuming they go with the more recent phenomenon.
Thomas LaTourette: Last yearโs Oscar winner will likely triumph over this yearโs nominee. Mustang could be a spoiler.
Best Documentary
13th (Peter, Thomas)
The Beatles: Eight Days a Week – The Touring Years (Wesley, RU:Peter, RU:Thomas)
The Eagle Huntress (RU:Wesley)
Notes on Blindness
Weiner
Wesley Lovell: The big Oscar contender, O.J.: Made in America wasn’t eligible, so it’s nowhere to be seen. 13th is the only Oscar nominee of the bunch, so that could help, but The Beatles are a British export and the documentary has received enough praise that I wouldn’t be surprised if it’s the ultimate winner.
Peter J. Patrick: Unless they go ga-ga for The Beatles, this should go to the critically acclaimed 13th.
Tripp Burton: Commentary and predictions not provided.
Thomas LaTourette: The topical 13th is probably going to win over the Beatles, but they might want to support their local band.
Best British Short Animation
The Alan Dimension (Wesley, Thomas, RU:Peter, RU:Tripp)
The Love Story (Peter, Tripp, RU:Wesley)
Tough (RU:Thomas)
Wesley Lovell: I know nothing about these nominees, so I made my selections based solely on titles.
Peter J. Patrick: No idea, this is pure guesswork.
Tripp Burton: This is a lucky guess.
Thomas LaTourette: I have no clue in this category.
Best British Short Film
Consumed (Wesley)
Home
Mouth of Hell (Thomas, RU:Tripp)
The Party (Peter, Tripp, RU:Thomas)
Standby (RU:Wesley, RU:Peter)
Wesley Lovell: Another case of knowing nothing of the contenders and picking based on names.
Peter J. Patrick: Again, no idea, just guessing.
Tripp Burton: This is a lucky guess.
Thomas LaTourette: I have no clue in this category.
Best British Film
American Honey (RU:Peter, RU:Tripp)
Denial (RU:Wesley, RU:Thomas)
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
I, Daniel Blake (Wesley, Peter, Tripp, Thomas)
Notes on Blindness
Under the Shadow
Wesley Lovell: I, Daniel Blake is the only title also on the Best Picture slate. A loss would be shocking.
Peter J. Patrick: I, Daniel Blake should take this in a walk.
Tripp Burton: The Cannes winner should do well here.
Thomas LaTourette: The serious films seem more likely to win here, with I, Daniel Blake being the most likely candidate.
Rising Star Award
Anya Taylor-Joy (Tripp)
Laia Costa
Lucas Hedges
Tom Holland (Wesley, RU:Peter, RU:Tripp, RU:Thomas)
Ruth Negga (Peter, Thomas, RU:Wesley)
Wesley Lovell: This award is voted on by the public. As such, it rarely goes to someone who isn’t in some huge blockbuster (like Kristen Stewart previously). Tom Holland’s appearance in the megahit Captain America: Civil War is slightly more likely to win than Ruth Negga, who only appeared briefly in the Marvel series Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D..
Peter J. Patrick: Loving‘s Ruth Negga should take this, with new Spider-Man Tom Holland a distant second.
Tripp Burton: These are all good choices. I don’t know which way it will go.
Thomas LaTourette: Even though she is older than the other nominees, Ruth Negga might win this award.
Outstanding Debut
George Amponsah (Writer/Director/Producer), Dionne Walker (Writer/Producer) – The Hard Stop
Babak Anvari (Writer/Director), Emily Leo, Oliver Roskill, Lucan Toh (Producers) – Under the Shadow (Tripp, RU:Wesley)
Mike Carey (Writer), Camille Gatin (Producer) – The Girl with All the Gifts (Peter, Thomas)
John Donnelly (Writer), Ben Williams (Director) – The Pass (RU:Tripp)
Pete Middleton (Writer/Director/Producer), James Spinney (Writer/Director), Jo-Jo Ellison (Producer) – Notes on Blindness (Wesley, RU:Peter, RU:Thomas)
Wesley Lovell: Based on the nomination performances of the films with the rest of the BAFTA, Notes on Blindness is a solid possibility, but so too is Under the Shadow, which also has a Best British Film nomination.
Peter J. Patrick: This is another one I’m just guessing.
Tripp Burton: Under the Shadow is the biggest title on this list, so it should prevail.
Thomas LaTourette: I really have no idea on this category.
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