The Rundown 2013: Best Actress

For our eleventh Rundown article, we look at the second of the lead acting categories. After the jump, you’ll find our winner and runner-up predictions for Best Actress as well as general commentary about the race. Next week, we’ll start off on Monday with two categories that deal with filmmaking form.

Best Actress

Winner Predictions

  • Amy Adams – American Hustle
  • Cate Blanchett – Blue Jasmine (WL O) (PP O) (TB O)
  • Sandra Bullock – Gravity
  • Judi Dench – Philomena
  • Meryl Streep – August: Osage County

Runner-Up Predictions

  • Amy Adams – American Hustle (WL O) (TB R) [New]
  • Judi Dench – Philomena (PP O)

(color and symbol key at bottom of page)

CateBlanchettWesley Lovell: The ill-timed allegations against Woody Allen by his daughter Dylan Farrow, has generated a lot of press, leading some to suggest that Cate Blanchett’s in trouble. Nothing could be farther from the truth. Blanchett has been dominating the precursors, more so than any other actor. Were she to lose, it would undoubtedly be attributed to the Allen-Farrow flap, but I just don’t see that happening. Who would benefit in such a case? Of her fellow nominees, only Amy Adams hasn’t won before. Sandra Bullock could get swept into a Gravity rush for Best Picture and if she won, you might as well bet her film wins. Yet, I don’t see her winning a second Oscar for this film. Streep just won her third after waiting two decades, so I doubt she’ll get a fourth for a film no one really likes. Dench could easily win a second award and with a role like Philomena, I wouldn’t be surprised, but Amy Adams doesn’t have an Oscar yet and she’s got several nominations under her belt. This could be voters’ chance to give her won.
Peter J. Patrick: Various bloggers would have you believe that if front-runner Blanchett doesn’t win, five time nominee Amy Adams will, but I have a hunch that if there is an upset the recipient will be Dench, Blanchett’s one-time co-star, the other previous supporting actress winner in the race.
Tripp Burton: Cate Blanchett has proved herself to be the lock of the season, and she should easily pick up her first Lead trophy on Oscar night. I don’t think she will be hurt by the Woody Allen controversy, nor will she burn out before ballots are due. She’s the strongest bet we have all night.

KEY:

Appears on Three Lists
Appears on Two Lists

Wesley Lovell Peter Patrick Tripp Burton
(New) = New Prediction
(O) = Original, Post-Nomination Prediction
(R) = Rundown Series Prediction

3 Comments

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  1. Blanchett is one of my favorite actresses ever. My favorite performance is of Galadriel in LOTR, she manages to convey the character so perfectly it gives me goosebumps. She deserves a second oscar for Blue Jasmine , the academy voters have to be crazy to let woody allen infamous accusations mar this fantastic acting job.

  2. CATE BLANCHETT, MERYL STREEP THE BEST.

  3. The Woody Allen controversy will only hurt Woody Allen, but I’m still holding out on Adams winning because she’s the most likely chance Hustle has at winning anything at this point. If it loses Costumes to Gatsby and Editing to Gravity/12 Years/Captain Phillips, then it will pretty much be a shut out. Besides, this could be the chance that Adams has to finally win. Besides, if we’ve learned anything, it’s that this year, the Academy is shaping up to be a surprise year and I see this as just being another surprise to add onto an already nutso year.

    Though, personally, I’d vote for Blanchett. That was just a powerhouse performance.

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