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As the precursor awards continue unabated until Oscar night, I’m going to be providing a weekly update highlighting the films that have won and lost momentum through the precursor awards (and in some cases other outside influences).

A bountiful week of precursors this week with even more to come next week. There were a lot of winners this week, but not a lot of losers thanks to how spread out this year’s winners have been.

But, before we get into this week’s winners and losers, let’s take a look at what’s coming up this week:

Week 4

Tue. 12 – Phoenix Film Critics (Nominations) (Official)
Tue. 12 – Chicago Critics (Awards) (Official)
Tue. 12 – Houston Critics (Awards) (Unconfirmed)
Wed. 13 – Screen Actors (Nominations) (Official)
Wed. 13 – Dallas Area Critics (Awards) (Official)
Wed. 13 – Utah Critics (Awards) (Unconfirmed)
Thu. 14 – Austin Critics (Nominations) (Official)
Fri. 15 – Vancouver Critics (Nominations) (Official)
Sun. 17 – Kansas City Critics (Awards) (Official)
Sun. 17 – St. Louis Critics (Awards) (Official)
Mon. 18 – Online Critics (Nominations) (Official)
Mon. 18 – Indiana Film Journalists (Awards) (Official)
Mon. 18 – Las Vegas Critics (Awards) (Official)
Mon. 18 – Satellites (Awards) (Official)
Mon. 18 – Seattle Critics (Awards) (Official)
Mon. 18 – Southeastern Critics (Awards) (Official)
Mon. 18 – Vancouver Critics (Awards) (Official)

Big Winners


The Florida Project had a surprisingly strong week. Critics seem to be praising it far more in their year-end awards than expected for such a small indie film. It’s even managed to take two Best Picture prizes, which is no mean feat. The most stark figure, though, is that Willem Dafoe has been dominating the precursors like no other entity. He’s secured more wins than either Coco in Best Animated Feature or counterpart Laurie Metcalf in Supporting Actress.
Phantom Thread was screened late in the process and may have suffered as a result or it could be that early word that the film is polarizing is being reflected in the early awards. However, with two Best Director awards and one for Best Picture, there is clearly some appreciation for the film and even Lesley Manville could become a factor in the Supporting Actress nominations.
Get Out continues to post strongly in the nomination counts, performing well at all of the precursors. It has even managed two different prizes for Best Picture. Further, Daniel Kaluuya seems to have emerged as a solid Best Actor nominee.
Lady Bird has gotten plenty of attention in Best Actress (Saoirse Ronan) and Best Supporting Actress (Laurie Metcalf), but it has also been frequently recognized for Best Picture and Best Director Greta Gerwig who might become only the fifth woman ever nominated for Best Director.

Big Losers

The Post may have gotten a big boost from its dominance at the National Board of Review, but its popularity with precursor groups has receded quite a bit, securing a handful of citations, but nothing major since.
Darkest Hour was well enough received, but was thought to be a major Oscar player. The precursor haven’t born this out with the film failing even to capture nominations in below-the-line categories. Gary Oldman is still being regularly cited, but has only managed one prize so far from the Washington DC critics.

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