Oscar Preview: Precursor Winners & Losers, Week 10

As the precursor awards continue unabated until Oscar night, I’m going to be providing a weekly update highlighting the films that have won and lost momentum through the precursor awards (and in some cases other outside influences).

The last of the guilds and other major nominating groups were announced this last week with a smattering of good news for everyone. This week’s Big Losers were more Minor Losers because they lost ground, but not in everything.

But, before we get into this week’s winners and losers, let’s take a look at what’s coming up this week:

Week 11

Tuesday, Jan. 22 – Academy Awards Nominations (Official)
Sunday, Jan. 27 – Chicago Independent Critics (Nominations) (Official)
Sunday, Jan. 27 – Screen Actors (Awards) (Official)

Big Winners

Green Book pulled off the coup of the year by winning the Producers Guild of America award for Best Picture. Decried almost immediately by everyone’s frustration over the film’s White Savior/Feel Good Movie About Racism screenplay and execution. That win, however, catapults it towards hefty Oscar consideration.
Roma continued to lay ground work for surprise nominations at the Oscars, including nominations from the Motion Picture Sound Editors. That puts the film into competition in several of the guilds for categories that wouldn’t typically have been thought possible for the black-and-white feature.
A Quiet Place picked up numerous citations and wins this past week, failing to falter in any measurable way. Although it’s still not a major Best Picture contender, its chanes at three categories have improved.

Big Losers

A Star Is Born may have picked up twelve nominations from the Online Film & Television Association, but it’s failure to win the PGA award suggests the film is going to struggle to win. That it also didn’t get a needed USC Scripter nomination, likely because it’s based on a screenplay and not a novel, didn’t help matters any.
BlacKkKlansman Also did well with the OFTA, but it hasn’t managed to assert itself with any sort of command this week and, as such, its loss at the PGA suggests that it isn’t a super strong contender and isn’t likely to surprise with a win.
Black Panther was the top nominee at the OFTA, but its loss of the PGA, the one award that would have catapulted its Best Picture bid, did some damage. Though, it did have good news from the USC Scripters, picking up the first nomination of a comic book adaptation with the group, notoriously leery of such things.

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