Category: Looking at the Weekend

Looking at the Weekend: Sep. 23-25, 2022

There’s one new wide release, one expanding feature, and one re-release headed to the box office this weekend and while the re-release of Avatar is likely to top the charts, Don’t Worry, Darling being the only new wide release is likely to come in above Moonage Daydream, a documentary about David Bowie.

Our Highest Rated Films: Don’t Worry, Darling, Carmen
Our Best Awards Ratings: No consensus.

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Moonage Daydream (Expands Wide)
Blank (Limited)
Buried: The 1982 Alpine Meadows Avalanche (Limited)
Control (Limited)
Cuando Sea Joven (Limited)
Give Me Five (Limited)
The Infernal Machine (Limited)
Invisible Demons (Limited)
On the Come Up (Limited)
Petrov’s Flu (Limited)
The Railway Children (Limited)
Section 8 (Limited)
Young Plato (Limited)

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Looking at the Weekend: Sep. 16-18, 2022

A whole herd of new releases stamped this weekend’s box office. Currently, there are four new wide releases and one expansion headed for cineplexes. While it’s possible a couple of those might end up with more limited releases, of the ones we know for certain will stay wide (Clerks III, which is expanding; See How They Run and The Woman King), Viola Davis’ film has the strongest hand to play. That said, if Pearl goes wide, it could be a surprise hit since inventive horror sometimes does quite well.

Our Highest Rated Films: The Woman King
Our Best Awards Ratings: The Woman King (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Running The Bases (Wide)
The African Desperate (Limited)
The American Dream and Other Fairy Tales (Limited)
Boblo Boats: A Detroit Ferry Tale (Limited)
Dos Estaciones (Limited)
Goodbye, Don Glees! (Limited)
Gratitude Revealed (Limited)
The Modern Way (Limited)
Moonage Daydream (Limited)
The Retaliators (Limited)
Riotsville, U.S.A. (Limited)
Taming the Garden (Limited)

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Looking at the Weekend: Sep. 9-11, 2022

The prospects for this weekend’s box office are not particularly great. Three new wide releases hope to break through the morass of old releases in hopes of finding an audience. Horror, Bollywood, and period dramas are on top and none of them look terribly promising. Barbarian likely has the best chance, an average horror film that piques an interest that often does moderately well with audiences. Bollywood hasn’t had as much success, so Brahmastra isn’t likely to come out on top. Then there’s Medieval. Without a major name to pull audiences to the theater, don’t expect it to do terribly well.

Our Highest Rated Films: Hold Me Tight, House of Darkness
Our Best Awards Ratings: None

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

After Ever Happy (Limited)
Bad Candy (Limited)
Hockeyland (Limited)
The Story of Film: A New Generation (Limited)
True Things (Limited)

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Looking at the Weekend: Sep. 2-4, 2022

There’s only one new wide release this weekend and after the anemia of the prior frame, Honk for Jesus. Save Your Soul. has a clear path towards victory. That is if it can overcome the re-release of Jaws and Spider-Man: No Way Home. It’s Labor Day weekend, so the likelihood of any film doing really well is low.

Our Highest Rated Films: Gigi & Nate
Our Best Awards Ratings: None

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Blind Ambition (Limited)
Clerks III (Limited)
The Harbinger (Limited)
Peter von Kant (Limited)
Wire Room (Limited)

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Looking at the Weekend: Aug. 26-28, 2022

With two new wide releases, neither with the best prospects at huge openings, Three Thousand Years of Longing seems the better bet to win out over The Invitation and that could also mean the top spot at the weekend box office.

Our Highest Rated Films: Three Thousand Years of Longing
Our Best Awards Ratings: Three Thousand Years of Longing (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Alienoid (Limited)
Free Puppies! (Virtual)
Highway One (Limited)
Jane (Limited)
Last Journey of Paul W.R. (Limited)
Private Desert (Limited)
York Witches’ Society (Limited)
The Youth Governor (Limited)

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Looking at the Weekend: Aug. 19-21, 2022

There aren’t a lot of options this weekend for huge openings, so between Beast and Dragon Ball Super: Super Hero, Beast seems the more likely to top the other, but neither are compelling box office contenders.

Our Highest Rated Films: Beast
Our Best Awards Ratings: None

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Bullet Proof (Limited)
Dinner Party (Limited)
The Runner (Limited)
The Territory (Limited)
Three Minutes – A Lengthening (Limited)

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Looking at the Weekend: Aug. 12-14, 2022

This weekend will have a few questions associated with it. 1) Can Bullet Train avoid a huge second weekend plunge and will that be enough to overcome a weak set of new releases? 2) Will Diane Keaton still be able to open a geriatric comedy at the top of the box office in spite of such a hackneyed premise? 3) Will the wide expansion of horror film Bodies Bodies Bodies be able to ride solid reviews to a number one finish? It’s hard to say what answers we’ll get as it’s just as possible that the opposite answers are true, but I suspect the answers are 1) Bullet Train will get a solid second-week hold, but it won’t be enough to top the box office. 2) Keaton is not going to have a good weekend as her film fails to appeal to the youth demographic, but it will still have modest support from Keaton fans and seniors. 3) The originality of the Bodies Bodies Bodies idea should be enough to boost it to the number one finish in a tight competition with Bullet Train.

Our Highest Rated Films: Summering
Our Best Awards Ratings: None

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Bodies Bodies Bodies (Expands Wide) (Covered Previous, Click Here)
Bloom Up: A Swinger Couple Story (Limited)
Emergency Declaration (Limited)
Free Chol Soo Lee (Limited)
Free Puppies! (Limited)
Girl Picture (Limited)
El Gran Movimiento (Limited)
Inu-Oh (Limited)
Laal Singh Chaddha (Limited)
No Way Out (Limited)
Rogue Agent (Limited)

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Looking at the Weekend: Aug. 5-7, 2022

With the soft debut of DC League of Super Pets, the opportunity for Bullet Train to top the charts this weekend is high. It doesn’t need much. It’s nearest competition is Easter Sunday, which isn’t likely to do boffo business at the box office.

Our Highest Rated Films: Bullet Train
Our Best Awards Ratings: None

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Cave Rescue (Limited)
Collide (Limited)
Givers of Death (Limited)
Tin Can (Limited)

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Looking at the Weekend: Jul. 29-31, 2022

In spite of its clear inferiority, the DCEU films continue to do quite well at the box office. Whether this film is going to tie into the live-action films is currently unknown, but it’s sure to play at least decently well among audiences with young children and DC completists.

Our Highest Rated Films: Hypochondriac
Our Best Awards Ratings: No consensus.

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Alex’s War (Limited)
Hansan: Rising Dragon (Limited)
It Snows all the Time (Limited)
Paradise Highway (Limited)
The Reef: Stalked (Limited)
Sharp Stick (Limited)

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Looking at the Weekend: Jul. 22-24, 2022

Only one new wide release and it’s Jordan Peele’s third feature film, Nope. The trailers give away the gimmick behind the film, which doesn’t make it as appealing as it should be, but Peele’s films have a certain appeal and that will mean it can do well at the box office? Can it beat the third weekend of Thor: Love and Thunder? It’s probable, especially since the film had a steep second-week drop of 68%. Jordan Peele’s two prior films, Get Out and Us opened to $33 million and $71 million respectively. Both of those numbers would likely win out the weekend. Both films topped out at $175 million, so this film will need to perform appreciably closer to that to be considered a hit.

Our Highest Rated Films: Nope
Our Best Awards Ratings: None

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Blackwood (Limited)
Cosplay Universe (Limited)
How to Please a Woman (Limited)
My Old School (Limited)
Shamshera (Limited)

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Looking at the Weekend: Jul. 15-17, 2022

When there’s a guaranteed blockbuster on release, there’s generally no competition. When there’s no defined box office leader, there are usually several release. There are three coming out wide this weekend, Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris, Paws of Fury: The Legend of Hank, and Where the Crawdads Sing. Mrs. Harris doesn’t seem like the kind of film that can be the weekend’s top new release, which puts the competition between the other two releases. Paws of Fury looks incredibly bad, but animated films are often box office strongmen even when bad, so it could top out. I’m going to go out on a limb and suggest Where the Crawdads Sing could surprise. That said, I’m only about 39% confident of that, so take it with a grain of salt. Thor: Love and Thunder will undoubtedly have a second week at the top.

Our Highest Rated Films: Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris
Our Best Awards Ratings: No consensus.

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

American Carnage (Limited)
Anonymous Club (Limited)
The Deer King (Limited)
Earwig (Limited)
From Where They Stood (Limited)
Gabby Giffords Won’t Back Down (Limited)
The Killer (Limited)
Marx Can Wait (Limited)
My Name is Sara (Limited)

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Looking at the Weekend: Jul. 8-10, 2022

Thor: Love and Thunder is set to take the summer by storm. It’s poised to claim this weekend’s top spot, but will it do so enough to be the year’s biggest debut? It’s possible, though unlikely. I could even see it claiming less than $100 million.

Our Highest Rated Films: Thor: Love and Thunder
Our Best Awards Ratings: No consensus.

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Big Wave Guardians (Limited)
Dreaming Walls: Inside the Chelsea Hotel (Limited)
Fire of Love (Limited)
The Sea Beast (Limited)
Moon, 66 Questions (Limited)
Take the Night (Limited)

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Looking at the Weekend: Jul. 1-3, 2022

While there are two features releasing this weekend, only one of them has box office potential and that’s the sequel Minions: The Rise of Gru. The Despicable Me franchise has proven very popular, especially thanks to its pint-sized yellow hench-creatures. None of the top four entries this weekend hitting $31 million, Minions is very likely to top the charge and could do so approaching a $100 million tally, which is what the first Minions film did even if it’s well above the highwater mark for the Despicable Me films.

Our Highest Rated Films: Clara Sola
Our Best Awards Ratings: No consensus.

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Accepted (Limited)
Attack on Finland (Limited)
Code Name Banshee (Limited)
Hallelujah: Leonard Cohen, A Journey, A Song (Limited)
Last The Night (Limited)
Sniper: The White Raven (Limited)

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Looking at the Weekend: Jun. 24-26, 2022

After a disappointing opening for Lightyear, both of this week’s new releases have a shot at topping the charts with Elvis having a slight edge over The Black Phone. The former tackles the life story of a beloved musical icon. The latter is a horror film. In a sea of disappointing box office returns for horror films, it’s possible it could falter out of the gate. Then again, it looks to be more inventive than a lot of recent disappointments, so it could do well.

Our Highest Rated Films: The Black Phone, Elvis
Our Best Awards Ratings: Elvis (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Apples (Limited)
Beba (Limited)
Fireangels 2: A Drifter’s Nightmare (Limited)
The Human Trial (Limited)
Press Play (Limited)

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Looking at the Weekend: Jun. 17-19, 2022

There will be no stopping Lightyear being the weekend’s top release even Jurassic World: Dominion in its second week will struggle to keep up.

Our Highest Rated Films: Lightyear, Good Luck to You, Leo Grande
Our Best Awards Ratings: Lightyear (Oscars)

OTHER LIMITED RELEASES

Bitterbrush (Limited)
Blowback (Limited)
The Book Keepers (Limited)
Civil: Ben Crump (Limited)
The Lost Girls (Limited)
A Man of Integrity (Limited)
Mid-Century (Limited)
Stay Prayed Up (Limited)
The Witch 2: The Other One (Limited)

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