Category: Predictions

  • 2022 Precursor Predictions: Directors Guild of America

    For years, the overlap between the DGA winner and the Oscar winner was near exact. That’s not so much true anymore, but if something odd wins, it’s usually signs of impending changes. This will tell us if the status quo is maintained or altered. DIRECTORS GUILD OF AMERICA AWARDS Best Director Todd Field – Tár…

  • 2022 Precursor Predictions: Art Directors Guild

    The Art Directors Guild links up best to the Production Design category, but they also have three chances to get it right usually, though this year, two of the biggest contenders are in the period category together, so it might tell us how things are going. ART DIRECTORS GUILD AWARDS Best Period Art Direction All…

  • The Rundown 2022: Original Song

    For our second Rundown article, we review the melodies nominated in the other music category. After the jump, you’ll find our winner and runner-up predictions for Best Original Song as well as general commentary about the race. Friday, we’ll cover one of the short film categories. Best Original Song Winner Predictions Applause – Tell It…

  • The Rundown 2022: Original Score

    For our first Rundown article, we contemplate to the selections for the first of two music categories. After the jump, you’ll find our winner and runner-up predictions for Best Original Score as well as general commentary about the race. Thursday, we’ll cover this category’s companion, Best Original Song. Best Original Score Winner Predictions All Quiet…

  • 2022 Precursor Predictions: Visual Effects Society

    They should probably rename these awards to the Avatar Takes Everything Awards. The VES is the first place we’ll see a surprise before the Oscar envelope opens, so we watch for that reason. VISUAL EFFECTS SOCIETY AWARDS Best Visual Effects in a Photoreal Feature Avatar: The Way of Water (Wesley, Peter, Thomas) The Batman Fantastic…

  • 2022 Precursor Predictions: Make-Up Artists & Hair Stylists Guild

    The leading guild for makeup artists and hairstylists is a poor indication of the Oscar competition, but interesting to look at nonetheless.

  • 2022 Oscar Winner Predictions: Post-Nominations

    With the Oscar nominations announced, Oscar season shifts into phase 2, a period that will be filled with several guild awards and a lot of jockeying for position. Here are our initial predictions. KEY: Appears on Four Lists Appears on Three Lists Appears on Two Lists Wesley Lovell Peter Patrick Tripp Burton Thomas LaTourrette [New]…

  • 2022 Oscar Nominations Predictions: Our Statistics

    Based on our nominations predictions, here’s how we did. Let’s start out with this year’s winner, Thomas La Tourrette, who managed 91 correct predictions out of 120. That’s six more than the next closest competitor. Meanwhile, the numbers were much closer between Tripp Burton, Wesley Lovell, and Peter J. Patrick. Wesley got 85 points, Tripp…

  • Oscar Morning: The Article (2022)

    Every year, I try to decide if I want to stick to my tradition or go in a new direction. At over 6,000 words last year, and with very little time left this year, I’ve had to consider what’s best for me and for you. That many words is hard to read and I suspect…

  • 2022 Oscar Nominations Predictions: FINAL

    As is our tradition, May begins our first predictive look at the year’s Oscar hopefuls. A lot of factors will play into how well our guesses hold up. Expect many of them to fall by the wayside as the year progresses and new contenders to rise into their places. And here we are. The end…

  • 2022 Oscar Nominations Predictions: December

    These were supposed to post two weeks ago, but things got in the way. Now, we’re looking at a few weeks of precursors informing our opinions, but getting ahead of the guilds.

  • 2022 Oscar Nominations Predictions: August

    Heading into the festival triple threat that is Telluride/Toronto/Venice, Oscar season will soon be kicking into high gear. We take one last look at our predictions before the sense of inevitability that these festivals will stamp onto some of the races.

  • 2022 Oscar Nominations Predictions: The Beginning

    As is our tradition, May begins our first predictive look at the year’s Oscar hopefuls. A lot of factors will play into how well our guesses hold up. Expect many of them to fall by the wayside as the year progresses and new contenders to rise into their places. There’s very little overlap with our…

  • 2021 Oscar Winner Predictions: FINAL

    And now it’s time for our final Oscar predictions. Knowing what we know now and having seen how all of the crucial guilds have worked themselves out, it’s time to reveal to you our thoughts on what will win this year’s Academy Awards. Introductions Wesley Lovell: It’s almost over and what seemed to be building…

  • 94th Oscars: Oscar Guy’s Final Thoughts

    Another Oscar season comes to an end. While the Pandemic Year seemed long, this one has seemed even longer. Perhaps that’s because my favorite film of last year, Promising Young Woman, wasn’t a Best Picture contender. This year, The Power of the Dog could well win, becoming the first film to top my personal list…

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