And now it’s time for our final Oscar predictions. Knowing what we know now and having seen how all of the crucial guilds have worked themselves out, it’s time to reveal to you our thoughts on what will win this year’s Academy Awards.
Introductions
Wesley Lovell: It’s almost over and what seemed to be building to a grand finished seems to be petering out to a mediocre conclusion. It’s 2005 and 2018 all over again where the acclaimed frontrunner goes down to a late-gaining film much to the chagrin of many people involved. There are a few changes here that manifested after the Rundown series began, but I’ve tried to keep them updated in my Hopefuls list, so they shouldn’t come as too much of a shock.
Peter J. Patrick: I’m resigned to the likelihood that there will be no surprises in the acting categories, but I refuse to believe that CODA will overtake The Power of the Dog for Best Picture. Other than that, most of my predictions remain intact from those I came up with after the nominations came out.
Tripp Burton: (Tripp was unable to provide updated final predictions at time of posting. We will update this post as soon as that information comes in)
Thomas LaTourette: The Academy Awards are Sunday, and we are pulling out our hair trying to determine the winners. I have managed to see every film but two of the documentary features and one that is only up for best song. It has been a decent though not exceptional year for movies. Dune looks to be the most honored film at the end of the night. Probably only it, CODA, The Eyes of Tammy Faye, and possibly Encanto will earn more than one Oscar. The Power of the Dog had entered the race with 12 nominations and seemed ready to bring many of those home, though momentum definitely has shifted against it. Jane Campion will assuredly win for directing it, and that might prove to be its only win of the evening. CODA with only three nominations had originally looked like it would win none and now looks poised to take all three, including an unprecedented best picture Oscar. It would be the first film since 1932’s Grand Hotel to take the top award without either a directing or editing nomination. Until a month ago when it won the Screen Actors Guild award for best cast, it was looked at as a likeable film that was lucky to get any nominations at all. Boy things changed in a hurry. Some categories like actor, supporting actress, animated and documentary features, sound, and score have stayed stable, but many others have had quantum shifts only very recently coming to consensus opinions. It will be interesting to see how it plays out. There are still likely to be upsets on Oscar night, but that is part of the fun of this whole process.
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