As is our tradition, May begins our first predictive look at the year’s Oscar hopefuls. A lot of factors will play into how well our guesses hold up. Expect many of them to fall by the wayside as the year progresses and new contenders to rise into their places.

With Telluride, Toronto, and Venice in the rear view mirror, Oscar season has shifted to its final stretch before the critics awards. In this timeframe, we should learn more about the films no one has seen yet (The Irishman, Little Women, and 1917 specifically). Those three films could upend some of the conversation that’s come out of the festival circuit, namely the emergence of films like Waves, Jojo Rabbit, The Two Popes, Just Mercy, Marriage Story, and more. While our predictions have are now sitting on a better foundation of critical response, our selections have widened, with Supporting Actor and Supporting Actress becoming far more polarized than they had been previously. We have added one new category to the list: Cinematography

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As is our tradition, May begins our first predictive look at the year’s Oscar hopefuls. A lot of factors will play into how well our guesses hold up. Expect many of them to fall by the wayside as the year progresses and new contenders to rise into their places.

Most categories are starting to coalesce, but we won’t know much for certain until after the late summer festivals of Telluride, Toronto, and Venice where most of this year’s Oscar contenders will either fly or falter. Matter of fact, these will be our final predictions before that trifecta of events. Venice is Aug. 28 through Sep. 7, Telluride is Aug. 30 through Sep. 2, and Toronto is Sep. 5 through 15. The three festivals overlap, but by the time our deadline arrives for September predictions, all three will be done and the true shape of this year’s Oscar competition will be known.

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We’re back for our mid-year look at the state of the Oscar race. While a lot of things are still rather fluid, a few titles continue to show up each month on our predictions list. This month we’re adding Best Visual Effects with two films, Avengers: Endgame and Star Wars: Rise of Skywalker both debuting with unified predictions. Little has changed this month, though Woman in the Window has been pushed to 2020, which removed it from a number of our predictions. Otherwise, it’s just a lot of hemming and hawing from prior months.

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As is our tradition, May begins our first predictive look at the year’s Oscar hopefuls. A lot of factors will play into how well our guesses hold up. Expect many of them to fall by the wayside as the year progresses and new contenders to rise into their places.

For our second month of predictions, we look at how little has changed. With few films having been released to give us a glimpse into the fall, the only notable is that The Irishman may be delayed due to some last-minute de-aging effects. That could completely change our predictions. For now, however, we seem fairly unified on its inclusion, though not much agreement for many other films.

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As is our tradition, May begins our first predictive look at the year’s Oscar hopefuls. A lot of factors will play into how well our guesses hold up. Expect many of them to fall by the wayside as the year progresses and new contenders to rise into their places.

As Spring turns into Summer, thoughts of next year’s Oscars start trickling into our subconscious thoughts. With our first predictions, it’s always interesting to see where everyone stands, where the early consensus is, and then compare later to the end results. Looking at only six categories (Picture, Directing, and the four acting awards), it’s interesting to note that six films make all four of our lists. Another fifteen appear on three. Out of a total of 35 potential nomination slots, that’s a surprisingly strong group of aligned predictions. We’ll see how things change over the months as we hope to have new predictions up every month through the end of the year, adding more categories as we go.

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