For the next 24 days, we’re going to present to you polls for who and what you think the best of 2019 was based on the Oscar nominations. Every morning at 8am, we’ll post a new poll for each category. Just submit your vote for the best in that category and that’s it. We’ll have one final post the Friday before the Oscars with all the category polls combined.
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The OFTA released a set of nominees that looks like a lot of other lists. It also looks like a list that corrected some notable errors that the Academy made in their nominations last week.
(14) Once Upon a Time… in Hollywood, Parasite
(12) 1917
(11) Little Women
(9) The Irishman
(8) Jojo Rabbit, Marriage Story
(7) Joker
(6) The Farewell, Rocketman
(5) Avengers: Endgame, Ford v Ferrari
(4) A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood, Knives Out
(3) Booksmart, Frozen II, The Last Black Man in San Francisco, Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker, Toy Story 4, Us
With the first of the big three awards going to 1917, the film solidifies its frontrunner status. Although it cannot win the Screen Actors Guild Award because it isn’t nominated, it has the best shot of winning Best Picture of any film this year.
1917 (Wesley, Peter, Tripp, Thomas)
Toy Story 4 (Wesley, Peter, Tripp, Thomas)
Apollo 11 (Tripp, Thomas, RU:Wesley)
Year Founded: 1950 Film; 1957 TV; 1962 Unified
First Awards: 1989 (31)
For the next 24 days, we’re going to present to you polls for who and what you think the best of 2019 was based on the Oscar nominations. Every morning at 8am, we’ll post a new poll for each category. Just submit your vote for the best in that category and that’s it. We’ll have one final post the Friday before the Oscars with all the category polls combined.
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Suggesting that a foreign language film could actually be popular enough to win Best Picture, the American Cinema Editors picked Parasite as the best edited drama with Jojo Rabbit its comedy counterpart.
Parasite (RU:Wesley, RU:Peter)
Jojo Rabbit (Tripp, Thomas, RU:Wesley)
Toy Story 4 (Peter, Tripp, Thomas, RU:Wesley)
Apollo 11 (Wesley, Tripp, RU:Peter)
Year Founded: October 26, 1950
First Awards: 1961 (59)
Every week, we’ll take a look back in 5-year intervals at the box office past to explore how Oscar’s nominees were doing at the box office each weekend historically. The first section under each year is the positioning of all Oscar nominees during that weekend at the box office (as well as a section looking at the inflation-adjusted numbers). The third section is an alphabetical list of those films and the categories in which they were nominated. And to start each week off, we’ll be looking at the films releasing over the weekend that have the best chance of getting Oscar nominations and specifying the categories where we think they have the best shots at this stage of the game. If you have any suggestions for more data you’d like to see, please let us know.
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The last of the Hollywood televised awards is this weekend and everyone will be watching for what the Screen Actors Guild does. Will they cement the frontrunners or will they throw in a wrench. This is the place to test out theories ahead of the Oscars with the last televised film-only awards, BAFTA, the last say in the race.
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Since the creation of the SAG awards in 1995, there is a trend where if a film wins at SAG, PGA, and DGA, the chance of winning the Oscar skyrockets. In those fifteen years where they didn’t align, seven of those years saw the PGA winner also take the Oscar for Best Picture. So, this is the group that can forecast trends such as Green Book last year, The Shape of Water the year before.
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The Motion Picture Sound Editors are a chaotic group. With so many categories, it’s possible that the Oscar winner is already here and the winners of this group’s award will point that out to us. The Sound Editing category at the Oscars is most closely associated with this organization; however, Academy members are more likely to vote the two sound awards in tandem than they are separately. So, if there’s a winner here that matches at the Cinema Audio Society, that’s probably a good bet for the Oscars.
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For our third Rundown article, we look at once-labeled foreign language films. After the jump, you’ll find our winner and runner-up predictions for Best International Film as well as general commentary about the race. Next week, we’ll start off on Monday with a category the documentary categories.
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For the next 24 days, we’re going to present to you polls for who and what you think the best of 2019 was based on the Oscar nominations. Every morning at 8am, we’ll post a new poll for each category. Just submit your vote for the best in that category and that’s it. We’ll have one final post the Friday before the Oscars with all the category polls combined.
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Not only do I have no idea when these were announced, I have no idea who the winners were in two categories. These come courtesy of the IMDB page for this awards body. Neither the group’s Twitter nor Facebook page have been updated since July. I’m posting today, though who knows for sure when they were announced. Nothing really to see here except for a new trend towards 1917.
(2) Joker, Little Women, Marriage Story, 1917