Category: Academy Awards

Oscar in Box Office History (Week 3, 2020)

Every week, we’ll take a look back in 5-year intervals at the box office past to explore how Oscar’s nominees were doing at the box office each weekend historically. The first section under each year is the positioning of all Oscar nominees during that weekend at the box office (as well as a section looking at the inflation-adjusted numbers). The third section is an alphabetical list of those films and the categories in which they were nominated. And to start each week off, we’ll be looking at the films releasing over the weekend that have the best chance of getting Oscar nominations and specifying the categories where we think they have the best shots at this stage of the game. If you have any suggestions for more data you’d like to see, please let us know.

This Year: Potential Oscar Nominees Releasing This Weekend

My Little Sister (Limited)

Oscar Potential: Foreign Language Film.

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This Day in Oscar History: January 15 (2021)

Here’s what happened today in Oscar History.

Born

Died

Released

Oscar Nominations

Our Site Milestones

2012: Polls: Best Of… (9)

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Oscar Profile #531: Sophia Loren Revisited

Born September 20, 1934 in Rome, Italy, Sophia Scicolone and her younger sister, Maria, were raised by their maternal grandmother in the slums of Pozzuoli, their construction engineer father having refused to divorce his wife and marry the girls’ piano teacher mother.

Encouraged to enter a beauty contest at 14, the young would-be actress was discovered by producer Carlo Ponti who became her mentor and started putting her in films in small roles at the age of 16 where she was alternately billed as Sophia Lazzaro and Scicolone. In 1953, Ponti changed her name to Sophia Loren to broaden her appeal. Loren and Ponti were married by proxy in Mexico in 1957 with lawyers standing in for them as Ponti was not legally divorced from his first wife. The marriage was annulled in 1962 to avoid bigamy charges in Italy. They were remarried in France in 1966 after Ponti obtained a divorce there. They had two sons, Carlo Jr., born in 1968, and Edoardo, born in 1973.

International stardom came for Loren in 1957 with the release of three Hollywood films, Boy on a Dolphin opposite Alan Ladd and Clifton Webb, The Pride and the Passion opposite Cary Grant and Frank Sinatra, and Legend of the Lost opposite John Wayne and Rossano Brazzi. In 1958, she starred opposite Anthony Perkins and Burl Ives in Desire Under the Elms, William Holden and Trevor Howard in The Key, Cary Grant in Houseboat and Anthony Quinn in The Black Orchid, the latter released in 1959.

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This Day in Oscar History: January 14 (2021)

Here’s what happened today in Oscar History.

Born

Died

Released

Oscar Nominations

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This Day in Oscar History: January 13 (2021)

Here’s what happened today in Oscar History.

Born

Died

Released

Oscar Nominations

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Precursor: 41st London Critics Nominations (2020)

The first thing to remember about the London Critics is that they have separate awards for British & Irish actors and productions. This inevitably sways the tallies towards those kinds of films. The second is that their eligibility period is slightly wider, as any film that releases in the UK prior to the end of February are usually eligible and since studios release films internationally differently than in the US, some of these films (Les Misérables and Clemency for example were eligible for the 92nd Oscars and Rocks hasn’t even been released in the US at all) wouldn’t be eligible for the Oscars. The other thing to note is that because of the British Irish categories and the home turf advantage, some figures show up in the mainline nominations even though their Oscar chances are almost nil. This is true of About Endlessness, Rocks, and Saint Maud. What’s worse is that the blur between television and films were excepted by this group to recognize Steve McQueen’s Small Axe films even though the film specifically aired in the UK on the BBC.

Award Tallies

(8) Saint Maud
(6) Rocks
(5) Nomadland
(4) Lovers Rock, Mank, Promising Young Woman
(3) Collective, The Father, I’m Thinking of Ending Things, Mangrove, The Mauritanian, Pieces of a Woman, Sound of Metal, The Trial of the Chicago 7

The Awards

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This Day in Oscar History: January 12 (2021)

Here’s what happened today in Oscar History.

Born

Died

Released

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Precursor: 30th Gotham Awards (2020)

Other than Nomadland in Best Feature, Riz Ahmed in Best Actor, and Time in Best Documentary (tied with A Thousand Cuts), none of these choices are really following any common path. This might be the farthest outside of the norm they’ve ever been.

The Awards

Best Feature

Nomadland

Best Actor

Riz Ahmed – Sound of Metal

Best Actress

Nicole Beharie – Miss Juneteenth

Best Screenplay

TIE:
The Forty-Year-Old Version
Fourteen

Best Documentary

TIE:
A Thousand Cuts
Time

Best International Feature

Identifying Features

Breakthrough Director Award

Andrew Patterson – The Vast of Night

Breakthrough Actor Award

Kingsley Ben-Adir – One Night in Miami

Gotham Award Data

Year Founded: 1979
First Awards: 1991 (30)

Oscar Preview: Weekend of Jan. 8-10, 2021

We had one film release this past weekend with the potential for Oscar nominations.

One Night in Miami

To have two stage-to-screen adaptations release in one year is a rare feat, especially two that are getting some incredibly strong reviews. It’s entirely possible that both One Night in Miami and Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom both compete at the Oscars and I don’t doubt that both films will come away with more than a half-dozen nominations. The question is which film will dominate.

For Best Picture, both films are competing in a stripped-down year with few competitors, but most of them strong. It’s entirely possible that both films land coveted Best Picture berths, but One Night in Miami director Regina King has a slight edge over Ma Rainey’s George C. Wolfe for a directing citation, though both will probably be left off.

In terms of acting, Ma Rainey is almost guaranteed to pick up two with a third seemingly likely at this juncture. Chadwick Boseman and Viola Davis getting lead acting nominations seem assured while Glynn Turman is quietly amassing acclaim that could land him a supporting spot. One Night in Miami has only four actors with any real screen time to merit consideration. Kingsley Ben-Adir and Eli Goree are going lead while Leslie Odom Jr. and Aldis Hodge are going support. I could definitely see Ben-Adir and Odom Jr. landing Oscar nominations, though the other two are going to be out of luck and even Ben-Adir might struggle with such a bountiful slate of leading actor contenders in the offering.

Both are in the race for Adapted Screenplay citations and both seem likely to score them. Meanwhile, neither has much of a chance at an Original Score nomination, though either Branford Marsalis (Ma Rainey) and Terence Blanchard (One Night) could see themselves nominated with Blanchard having the edge. Both have original songs in contention and both could see their songs nominated. That said, I honestly think “Speak Now” is the only one likely to score a nod.

As for tech categories, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom should be a competitor in Production Design, Costume Design, Makeup & Hairstyling, and Sound while One Night in Miami competes for Film Editing, Production Design, and Sound. Ultimately, Ma Rainey will pick up two for sure (costumes & makeup), with a third (production design) highly possible. One Night in Miami, however, is unlikely to pick up any of those potential nods.

In the end, Ma Rainey will probably pick up awards for Boseman in lead, Costume Design, and Makeup & Hairstyling while One Night in Miami is likely to pull of a win for Supporting Actor (Odom Jr.) and nothing else.

This Day in Oscar History: January 11 (2021)

Here’s what happened today in Oscar History.

Born

Died

Released

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This Day in Oscar History: January 10 (2021)

Here’s what happened today in Oscar History.

Born

Died

Released

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Precursor: 55th National Society of Film Critics Awards (2020)

Nomadland has swept the incredibly small and cliquish National Society of Film Critics. Several films got love, but Promising Young Woman, among others, was completely left out even in the screenplay category. With so few members, I would expect a fairly narrow set of films and they have certainly delivered that.

Award Tallies

(4) Nomadland

The Awards

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This Day in Oscar History: January 9 (2021)

Here’s what happened today in Oscar History.

Born

Died

Released

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Precursor: 25th San Diego Critics Nominations (2020)

For the first time in a very long while, individual critics groups are starting to show a bit of inventiveness in their selections. Perhaps inventiveness isn’t the right word as most of what’s here has been mentioned elsewhere, but certain films seem to be doing better with some groups more than others. For instance, Sound of Metal and The Trial of the Chicago 7 have their best showing so far with the San Diego critics.

Nominations Tallies

(8) Sound of Metal
(7) The Trial of the Chicago 7
(5) First Cow, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom, Nomadland
(4) Borat Subsequent Moviefilm, Mank, Tenet
(3) Black Bear, Minari, On the Rocks, Palm Springs, Pieces of a Woman, Promising Young Woman, The Father

The Nominations

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Oscar in Box Office History (Week 2, 2021)

Every week, we’ll take a look back in 5-year intervals at the box office past to explore how Oscar’s nominees were doing at the box office each weekend historically. The first section under each year is the positioning of all Oscar nominees during that weekend at the box office (as well as a section looking at the inflation-adjusted numbers). The third section is an alphabetical list of those films and the categories in which they were nominated. And to start each week off, we’ll be looking at the films releasing over the weekend that have the best chance of getting Oscar nominations and specifying the categories where we think they have the best shots at this stage of the game. If you have any suggestions for more data you’d like to see, please let us know.

This Year: Potential Oscar Nominees Releasing This Weekend

None

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