Every month until Oscar season and then regularly after that, we’ll be posting our predictions for the 84th Oscars. Our last update was back in May, so there have been a few changes. Of course, this is still August, so take the predictions with a grain of salt. No one knows what’s going to happen between now and Nominations morning, so let’s just get ready to have some fun in the meantime.

Since our last set of predictions, the Academy changed their nominations procedures for both Best Animated Feature and Best Picture. This created a bit of a quandary for us as the only way we could adequately share our predictions while giving the possibility of fewer than 10 (Picture) or 5 (Animated Feature) nominees. Now, the rules are different for each category. Animated Feature could have anywhere from 0 to 5 nominations depending on the quantity of animated features in release.

The rules for Best Picture are a bit more complex, To get a nomination for Best Picture, you must have at least 5% of the total vote. This isn’t necessarily just first place votes as the preferential balloting method the Academy uses, which is unnecessarily complex, can put votes into a film’s column even if they are second- or third-place votes. How this will all play out is a mystery to us. All we do know is that Best Picture could have anywhere from 5 to 10 nominations. There could be 5 or 7 or 8 or 10…we won’t know until the nominations are announced. Each of our contributors selected ten films for Best Picture and ranked them in the order they think the film is most likely to get an Oscar nomination. We then totaled the results and ranked the final list by our totals. 10 points for a first place vote, 9 for a second and so forth. In addition, we still color-code each predictions so you know how many of us put that contender on our lists. Below are the results of our labor.

KEY:

BEST PICTURE

• (29) War Horse (9)(M) (10)(M) (10)(M)
• (23) Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close (5)(M) (New)(9)(A) (9)(M)
• (23) The Ides of March (10)(M) (6)(M) (New)(7)(A)
• (21) The Tree of Life (2)(M) (1)(M) (8)(M) (10)(M)
• (16) Carnage (7)(M) (New)(2)(A) (7)(M)
• (14) J. Edgar (8)(M) (New)(5)(A) (1)(M)
• (13) A Dangerous Method (5)(M) (8)(M)
• (13) The Descendants (6)(M) (7)(M)
• (12) Midnight in Paris (New)(1)(A) (New)(2)(A) (New)(9)(A)
• (12) Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy (4)(M) (4)(M) (New)(4)(A)
• (11) The Artist (New)(8)(A) (3)(M)
• (8) Moneyball (6)(M) (New)(2)(A)
• (6) The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn (New)(3)(A) (3)(M)
• (6) The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo (New)(6)(A)
• (5) The Iron Lady (5)(M)
• (4) Young Adult (4)(M)
• (3) The Help (New)(3)(A)
• (1) Hugo (1)(M)

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

• (13) Rango (3)(M) (1)(A) (4)(M) (5)(M)
• (10) Kung Fu Panda 2 (5)(M) (2)(M) (3)(M)
• (6) Cars 2 (5)(M) (1)(M)
• (5) Happy Feet 2 (1)(M) (New)(4)(A)
• (4) Arthur Christmas (New)(4)(A)
• (4) Rio (1)(A) (1)(M) (2)(M)
• (4) Winnie the Pooh (1)(A) (3)(M)
• (2) Puss in Boots (2)(M)

BEST DIRECTOR

• Tomas Alfredson – Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy (M)
• Woody Allen – Midnight in Paris (New)(A)
• George Clooney – The Ides of March (M)
• David Cronenberg – A Dangerous Method (M) (M)
• Stephen Daldry – Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close (New)(A) (M)
• Clint Eastwood – J. Edgar (M) (New)(A)
• David Fincher – The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo (New)(A)
• Michael Haznavicius – The Arist (New)(A)
• Terrence Malick – The Tree of Life (New)(A) (M)
• Alexander Payne – The Descendants (M)
• Roman Polanski – Carnage (M) (M)
• Jason Reitman – Young Adult (M)
• Steven Spielberg – War Horse (M) (M) (M)

BEST ACTOR

• George Clooney – The Descendants (M) (M) (M)
• Matt Damon – We Bought a Zoo (M)
• Leonardo DiCaprio – J. Edgar (M) (New)(A) (M)
• Jean Dujardin – The Artist (New)(A)
• Joseph Gordon-Levitt – 50/50 (M)
• Ryan Gosling – The Ides of March (M)
• Tom Hanks – Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close (M)
• Jeremy Irvine – War Horse (New)(A)
• Viggo Mortensen – A Dangerous Method (M) (M)
• Gary Oldman – Tinker, Tailor, Soldier Spy (M) (New)(A) (New)(A)
• Brad Pitt – The Tree of Life (M)
• Christoph Waltz – Carnage (M) (M)

BEST ACTRESS

• Glenn Close – Albert Nobbs (New)(A) (M) (New)(A) (M)
• Kirsten Dunst – Melancholia (New)(A)
• Jodie Foster – Carnage (M) (New)(A)
• Elizabeth Olsen – Martha Marcy May Marlene (M) (M)
• Meryl Streep – The Iron Lady (M) (M) (M) (M)
• Tilda Swinton – We Need to Talk About Kevin (New)(A) (M) (M)
• Michelle Williams – My Week with Marilyn (M) (M)
• Kate Winslet – Carnage (New)(A) (M)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

• Kenneth Branagh – My Life With Marilyn (M)
• Jim Broadbent – The Iron Lady (New)(A) (M) (M)
• Albert Brooks – Drive (New)(A)
• George Clooney – The Ides of March (M)
• Benedict Cumberbatch – War Horse (M)
• Michael Fassbender – A Dangerous Method (M)
• John Goodman – Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close (M)
• Ryan Gosling – Crazy, Stupid, Love. (M)
• Armie Hammer – J. Edgar (M)
• Tom Hanks – Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close (M)
• Jonah Hill – Moneyball (New)(A)
• Philip Seymour Hoffman – The Ides of March (New)(A)
• Sean Penn – The Tree of Life (M)
• Christopher Plummer – Beginners (M) (M) (M) (New)(A)
• John C. Reilly – Carnage (M)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

• Sandra Bullock – Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close (New)(A)
• Jessica Chastain – The Tree of Life (M) (M)
• Viola Davis – Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close (M)
• Viola Davis – The Help (New)(A) (New)(A)
• Judi Dench – J. Edgar (M) (M)
• Judi Dench – My Week with Marilyn (M)
• Jodie Foster – Carnage (M)
• Keira Knightley – A Dangerous Method (M)
• Janet McTeer – Albert Nobbs (M)
• Vanessa Redgrave – Coriolanus (New)(A) (New)(A)
• Maggie Smith – The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel (M)
• Octavia Spencer – The Help (New)(A)
• Marisa Tomei – The Ides of March (M)
• Kate Winslet – Carnage (M)
• Evan Rachel Wood – The Ides of March (M) (M)

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

• The Artist (New)(A) (New)(A)
• The Iron Lady (M)
• J. Edgar (M) (New)(A) (M)
• Martha Marcy May Marlene (New)(A)
• Midnight in Paris (M) (New)(A) (M) (New)(A)
• The Skin That I Inhabit (M)
• Source Code (M)
• The Tree of Life (New)(A) (M) (M)
• We Need to Talk About Kevin (M)
• Win Win (M)
• Young Adult (M) (M)

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

• The Adventures of Tintin (M)
• Carnage (M) (M)
• A Dangerous Method (M) (M)
• The Descendents (M) (New)(A)
• Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close (M) (New)(A) (M)
• The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo (New)(A)
• The Ides of March (M) (New)(A) (New)(A)
• Moneyball (M) (M)
• Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy (New)(A)
• War Horse (M) (New)(A) (M)