We’ve finally reached the end of the Oscar road. On Sunday, we’ll find out if our predictions hold water in one of the longest Oscar seasons I can remember. After more than 4 months, we’ll learn who the best of the year are, at least in the eyes of the Academy’s voters, who can often be wrong. Just sit back and look at our final predictions with an introductory paragraph and individual comments throughout.

KEY:

Appears on Four Lists Appears on Three Lists Appears on Two Lists Wesley Lovell Peter Patrick Tripp Burton Thomas LaTourrette

[New] = New Prediction [Return] = Prior Prediction Returning (O) = Original Prediction (R) = Rundown Series (F) = Final Winner Predictions

Introductions

Wesley Lovell: I’m both confident and lacking in confidence. This awards season has taken a toll on all of us and we don’t know whether our initial instincts were correct or if the protracted awards season may have utterly altered the calculus. We’ll soon find out. Also today, I will be posting my final thoughts on this year’s Oscar race. The extensive article should be posting shortly after this one goes live (by about 30 minutes) and it will go into significantly more detail than the below regarding my thoughts for this year’s potential winners.
Peter J. Patrick: We’ve come to the end of the longest Oscar season since 1932-33. Remarkably, little has changed since late December when the critics started making their year-end choices, but there is still room for an upset or two or three.
Tripp Burton: This has literally been the longest Oscar season of my life, and it has made things a little confusing. There has been too much time to second guess ourselves, but I’m sticking with my early gut on many of these categories. Too often we want things to change and they end up being just what we expected!
Thomas LaTourette: It is hard to believe, but the big night is finally coming. It has felt like quite the slog to get there, but we finally have made it to the Oscars. With the exception of three of the foreign language films, I have managed to see all the nominees. I was not sure what their quality would be, with the pandemic raging and movie theaters closed for two long stretches of the year in Denver, but it turned out to be a good year for movies after all. I did get to see a number in the theaters, which is good as I like that much better. Though I saw more on streaming services than ever before. Perhaps that will be the future of film, but I can hope not. Nomadland and Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom look to be the top winners of the night, though neither are in my top five of the year. Luckily, the Academy looks to be spreading the love around with at least six of the best picture nominees likely to take home at least one award, and perhaps seven of them will. Sadly, The Father looks to be the one best picture nominee that will go home with nothing, though it was a film I found fascinating. Best actress, film editing, and perhaps song are all categories that we will be unsure of until the envelope is opened, so it is nice to have some suspense for the evening. There is often a surprise or two as well, so it will be interesting to see what happens. Oscar parties will be smaller than usual, if not non-existent, but I hope you find somewhere to enjoy watching the awards. Enjoy and we will be back next year, with probably a much shorter Oscar season.

Best Picture

Winner Predictions

• The Father
• Judas and the Black Messiah
• Mank
• Minari
• Nomadland (WL O) (PP R) (TB O) (TL O)
• Promising Young Woman
• Sound of Metal
• The Trial of the Chicago 7

Runner-Up Predictions

• Minari (PP R)
• The Trial of the Chicago 7 (WL R) (TB R) (TL R)

Wesley Lovell: For Best Picture, I’m fairly certain this is the way it will go. Upsets are possible, though not likely. Nomadland is on its way to becoming the pandemic Oscar champion.
Peter J. Patrick: I think Nomadland will come through as expected, but I would love to see Minari or long-shot Sound of Metal pull off a surprise win. Stranger things have happened at the Oscars.
Tripp Burton: Nomadland has been our front-runner since January and nothing has really slowed it down. I would be shocked if it didn’t win the big prize.
Thomas LaTourette: Nomadland looks likely to take the top award of the night. It is a different film than normally has won, but it seems to have the award sewn up. The Academy could go for the more personal Minari or with the big name director and cast of The Trial of the Chicago 7, but neither of those feels likely to win.

Best Animated Feature

Winner Predictions

• Onward
• Over the Moon
• A Shaun the Sheep Movie: Farmageddon
• Soul (WL O) (PP O) (TB O) (TL O)
• Wolfwalkers

Runner-Up Predictions

• Wolfwalkers (WL O) (PP O) (TB O) (TL O)

Wesley Lovell: For Best Animated Feature, the calculus hasn’t changed much all season. Pixar is likely to come out on top.
Peter J. Patrick: No surprise here – Soul will be an easy winner.
Tripp Burton: Pixar will, yet again, walk away with an Oscar here.
Thomas LaTourette: Soul has been dominant in the precursors and this heartfelt film should easily win this award. Wolfwalkers was interesting but I just do not see it winning. This will deservedly go to Soul.

Best Directing

Winner Predictions

• Another Round – Thomas Vinterberg
• Mank – David Fincher
• Minari – Lee Isaac Chung
• Nomadland – Chloé Zhao (WL O) (PP O) (TB O) (TL O)
• Promising Young Woman – Emerald Fennell

Runner-Up Predictions

• Minari – Lee Isaac Chung (PP O)
• Promising Young Woman – Emerald Fennell (WL O) (TB R) (TL O)

Wesley Lovell: For Best Directing, one of this year’s surest things is our first Asian female Best Directing Oscar winner and our second woman overall to win.
Peter J. Patrick: Zhao losing would be the shock of the evening.
Tripp Burton: I feel more confident about Zhao winning, and becoming our second female winner in this category, than most any other category.
Thomas LaTourette: Chloé Zhao has dominated the precursors and will win the Oscar too. No one else stands a chance of winning.

Best Actor

Winner Predictions

• Riz Ahmed – Sound of Metal
• Chadwick Boseman – Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom (WL O) (PP O) (TB O) (TL O)
• Anthony Hopkins – The Father
• Gary Oldman – Mank
• Steven Yeun – Minari

Runner-Up Predictions

• Anthony Hopkins – The Father (WL O) (PP F) [New] (TB O) (TL O)

Wesley Lovell: For Best Actor, the season-long frontrunner, Chadwick Boseman, should finally advance from Oscar nominee to Oscar winner, one of few posthumous winners in Oscar history.
Peter J. Patrick: Boseman will almost certainly become the second posthumous winner in this category, but a win for Riz Ahmed or Anthony Hopkins would be just as welcome.
Tripp Burton: I know that post-BAFTA many people are expecting a Hopkins win here, but I’m sticking with the sentimentality of Boseman repeating his SAG victory.
Thomas LaTourette: That Chadwick Boseman will win is an absolute certainty. If he had not died, it would have been a very different race with Riz Ahmed and Anthony Hopkins also giving fine performances. But no one stands a chance against Boseman this year.

Best Actress

Winner Predictions

• Viola Davis – Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom (TB F) [New]
• Andra Day – The United States vs. Billie Holiday
• Vanessa Kirby – Pieces of a Woman
• Frances McDormand – Nomadland
• Carey Mulligan – Promising Young Woman (WL O) (PP O) (TL O)

Runner-Up Predictions

• Viola Davis – Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom (WL R) (PP R) (TL F) [New]
• Carey Mulligan – Promising Young Woman (TB F) [New]

Wesley Lovell: For Best Actress, the frontrunner has faded, but I think Carey Mulligan can still eke out a victory. I’ll be disappointed if she loses, but not surprised.
Peter J. Patrick: Mulligan has had some shocking losses over the last month, but the Oscar is still hers to lose.
Tripp Burton: This is the most up-in-the-air category we’ve had in a while, and at this point nothing would surprise me here. I’m leaning towards the SAG winner here, but I wouldn’t bet big money on it.
Thomas LaTourette: With the SAG, Golden Globe, Critics Choice Award, and BAFTA all going to different actresses, there is absolutely no frontrunner in this category. While I dearly hope it goes to Carey Mulligan for her amazing performance in Promising Young Woman, I could easily see it going to almost any of the other actresses in one of the strongest slates of nominees in years.

Best Supporting Actor

Winner Predictions

• Sacha Baron Cohen – The Trial of the Chicago 7
• Daniel Kaluuya – Judas and the Black Messiah (WL O) (PP O) (TB O) (TL O)
• Leslie Odom Jr. – One Night in Miami
• Paul Raci – Sound of Metal
• LaKeith Stanfield – Judas and the Black Messiah

Runner-Up Predictions

• Sacha Baron Cohen – The Trial of the Chicago 7 (TL R)
• Leslie Odom Jr. – One Night in Miami (WL O) (TB O)
• Paul Raci – Sound of Metal (PP R)

Wesley Lovell: For Best Supporting Actor, the late-breaking frontrunner should speed across the finish line without much trouble. Daniel Kaluuya for the win.
Peter J. Patrick: Will likely be Kaluuya, but veteran actors have won this in an upset before so the previously little known Raci could be the recipient of that kind of sentiment.
Tripp Burton: Kaluuya has been the biggest winner of the acting categories this year, and he should easily win an Oscar.
Thomas LaTourette: Daniel Kaluuya gave a fiery performance in Judas and the Black Messiah and deserves all the accolades he wins, including the Oscar.

Best Supporting Actress

Winner Predictions

• Maria Bakalova – Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
• Glenn Close – Hillbilly Elegy
• Olivia Colman – The Father
• Amanda Seyfried – Mank
• Yuh-jung Youn – Minari (WL R) (PP O) (TB O) (TL R)

Runner-Up Predictions

• Glenn Close – Hillbilly Elegy (WL R) (PP O) (TB O) (TL R)

Wesley Lovell: For Best Supporting Actress, Yuh-jung Youn is about to make history as the first Asian actress to win Best Supporting Actress in more than 50 years and become only the second ever.
Peter J. Patrick: Youn’s wonderfully unconventional grandmother should take this in a walk.
Tripp Burton: I’ve been surprised at how strong Youn yuh-jung has been the last few weeks, with BAFTA and SAG wins, but there is still a chance Glenn Close or Maria Bakalova sneak out a win here.
Thomas LaTourette: In a tight field, Youn Yuh-jung wins for Minari, besting the young ingénues Amanda Seyfried and Maria Bakalova and leaving Glenn Close to likely go home empty-handed for the eighth time.

Best Original Screenplay

Winner Predictions

• Judas and the Black Messiah
• Minari (PP O)
• Promising Young Woman (WL O) (TB O) (TL O)
• Sound of Metal
• The Trial of the Chicago 7

Runner-Up Predictions

• Minari (TL R)
• Sound of Metal (PP O)
• The Trial of the Chicago 7 (WL F) [New] (TB R)

Wesley Lovell: For Best Original Screenplay, I feel that Promising Young Woman still has the advantage and a loss here will likely also mean a loss in Best Actress. Hopefully, it triumphs in both places.
Peter J. Patrick: This is a tough call but I hope it’s either Minari or Sound of Metal, my two favorites films of the year.
Tripp Burton: At one point I thought this would really be a fight to the finish, but this category feels pretty settled for Emerald Fennell and Promising Young Woman.
Thomas LaTourette: The surprising thriller Promising Young Woman should win this fairly easily unless voters opt for either the more personal Minari or the talky The Trial of the Chicago 7. I really do believe Promising Young Woman will win.

Best Adapted Screenplay

Winner Predictions

• Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
• The Father (PP F) [New] (TB O)
• Nomadland (WL O) (TL O)
• One Night in Miami
• The White Tiger

Runner-Up Predictions

• The Father (WL O) (TL O)
• Nomadland (PP F) [New] (TB O)

Wesley Lovell: For Best Adapted Screenplay, the most competitive above-the-line race outside of Best Actress is sure to end in with some expectations subverted. Ultimately, I think Nomadland ekes out a victory here, but some voters won’t want to see The Father go home empty-handed, so I wouldn’t be at all surprised to see it sneak in for the win.
Peter J. Patrick: The strong late release of The Father could give it an edge over early favorite Nomadland.
Tripp Burton: This has become a surprisingly competitive category. I’ve always felt like Nomadland was a weak front-runner here and the creative structure of The Father could lead it to a victory here — especially if it doesn’t win anywhere else.
Thomas LaTourette: Chloé Zhao will first win here and then as best director, and it is hard to imagine anyone else winning either award.

Best Original Song

Winner Predictions

• Fight for You – Judas and the Black Messiah
• Hear My Voice – The Trial of the Chicago 7
• Husavik – Eurovision Song Contest: The Story of Fire Saga
• Io Si (Seen) – The Life Ahead
• Speak Now – One Night in Miami (WL O) (PP O) (TB O) (TL O)

Runner-Up Predictions

• Fight for You – Judas and the Black Messiah (WL O)
• Husavik – Eurovision Song Contest: The Story of Fire Saga (TL F) [New]
• Io Si (Seen) – The Life Ahead (PP O) (TB R)

Wesley Lovell: For Best Original Song, “Speak Now” is the most timely and also the most likely. The performance of the song at this year’s ceremony will be a highlight, I’m sure, even in the sparsely-attended ceremony.
Peter J. Patrick: They say this is a wide open race, but I think it’s been Leslie Odom, Jr.’s to lose for “Speak Now” since the get-go.
Tripp Burton: This category is being campaigned hard and it is coming down to Leslie Odom, Jr. and Diane Warren. This overdue narrative could pay off for Warren this year, but I think voters will want to give the Hamilton star something on awards night.
Thomas LaTourette: This is looking to be the one place that One Night in Miami will win, even though the song is only sung over the final credits. “Husavik” is its stiffest competition. Not only is it a soaring ballad, but it is integral to the film, even though it was not that good a film. However, “Speak Now” is the likely winner.

Best Original Score

Winner Predictions

• Da 5 Bloods
• Mank
• Minari (PP O)
• News of the World
• Soul (WL O) (TB O) (TL O)

Runner-Up Predictions

• Mank (WL O)
• News of the World (TB O) (TL O)
• Soul (PP O)

Wesley Lovell: For Best Original Score, Soul earns its second and final prize of the night. There isn’t much competition here and it should finish on top.
Peter J. Patrick: Soul is the favorite, but I’m rooting for Minari to pull off an upset.
Tripp Burton: Double nominees Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross will surely win another Oscar for Soul, but James Newton Howard has never won and he could be a surprise upset.
Thomas LaTourette: Soul has won the most precursor awards and should go on to win the Oscar easily. The other nominees are all good, but just will not stand a chance against the jazzy score from Soul.

Best Film Editing

Winner Predictions

• The Father
• Nomadland
• Promising Young Woman
• Sound of Metal (WL O) (PP O)
• The Trial of the Chicago 7 (TB R) (TL R)

Runner-Up Predictions

• Nomadland (PP O)
• Sound of Metal (TB R) (TL R)
• The Trial of the Chicago 7 (WL O)

Wesley Lovell: For Best Film Editing, a tough race is likely to be won by Sound of Metal with The Trial of the Chicago 7 a likely upsetter.
Peter J. Patrick: Zhao can’t win everything – let’s give this one to Sound of Metal.
Tripp Burton: This is another neck-and-neck race, and Sound of Metal could still surprise with a win here, but if this is voters’ best chance to honor Trial of the Chicago 7 then they may give it this award.
Thomas LaTourette: In what may be the closest race of the night, The Trial of the Chicago 7 may just edge out Sound of Metal, though I would not be at all surprised if it goes the other way.

Best Cinematography

Winner Predictions

• Judas and the Black Messiah
• Mank
• News of the World
• Nomadland (WL O) (PP O) (TB O) (TL O)
• The Trial of the Chicago 7

Runner-Up Predictions

• Mank (WL O) (TF F) [New] (TL O)
• The Trial of the Chicago 7 (PP F) [Return]

Wesley Lovell: For Best Cinematography, it is Nomadland‘s to lose and, if it does, Mank is the most obvious finalist.
Peter J. Patrick: An easy win for Nomadland for someone other than Chloe Zhao.
Tripp Burton: The Mank win at the ASC means that Mank is a threat here, but the love of Nomadland in the Academy and the politics of the cinematographers guild means that Mank probably won’t repeat here.
Thomas LaTourette: Even with the guild going for Mank, I think it is inevitable that Nomadland will win this award.

Best Production Design

Winner Predictions

• The Father
• Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
• Mank (WL O) (PP F) [Return] (TB O) (TL O)
• News of the World
• Tenet

Runner-Up Predictions

• The Father (PP O) (TB R)
• Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom (WL O)
• News of the World (TL O)

Wesley Lovell: For Best Production Design, Mank has remained steadily in the lead all season and I doubt there will be any other outcome.
Peter J. Patrick: Mank‘s strongest chance to win something is in this category.
Tripp Burton: Mank has done really well in precursors and this could be the only award it picks up!
Thomas LaTourette: Even though it has the most nominations, this is going to be the only place where Mank wins an Oscar. Luckily it deserves the win for its recreation of 1940s Hollywood.

Best Costume Design

Winner Predictions

• Emma.
• Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom (WL O) (TB R) (TL R)
• Mank
• Mulan
• Pinocchio (PP F) [New]

Runner-Up Predictions

• Emma. (TL R)
• Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom (PP F) [Return]
• Mulan (WL F) [Return] (TB R)

Wesley Lovell: For Best Costume Design, legendary costume designer Ann Roth seems likely of victory for Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom.
Peter J. Patrick: Ma Rainey is probably the favorite here, but I’m predicting a dark horse win for Pinocchio.
Tripp Burton: The beaten-down glamour of Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom has won the big precursors here and should repeat again.
Thomas LaTourette: Emma, Mank, and Mulan all had larger casts and more interesting costumes, but Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom will be winning this award.

Best Makeup & Hairstyling

Winner Predictions

• Emma.
• Hillbilly Elegy
• Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom (WL O) (TB O) (TL O)
• Mank
• Pinocchio (PP F) [Return]

Runner-Up Predictions

• Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom (PP F) [New]
• Pinocchio (WL O) (PP R) (TL R)

Wesley Lovell: For Best Makeup & Hairstyling, I’m making a predictable selection (Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom), but simultaneously predicting this to be the category most likely to see an upset with the award going to Pinocchio.
Peter J. Patrick: I personally don’t see how they can give this is anything other than Pinocchio.
Tripp Burton: Ma Rainey has picked up a lot of big precursors, and those teeth alone should be enough to win here.
Thomas LaTourette: Although Pinocchio won the biggest award from the guild, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom has a lock on this award for turning Viola Davis into the formidable Ma Rainey.

Best Sound

Winner Predictions

• Greyhound
• Mank
• News of the World
• Soul
• Sound of Metal (WL O) (PP O) (TB O) (TL O)

Runner-Up Predictions

• Greyhound (WL F) (PP R) (TB R) (TL R)

Wesley Lovell: For Best Sound, we finally see whether the unification of sound categories goes as expected or unexpectedly. Either way, Sound of Metal still seems the most likely.
Peter J. Patrick: Sound of Metal should be an easy winner here. Surprisingly, Greyhound is coming on strong as a possible upset winner.
Tripp Burton: Sound of Metal has rightly become the behemoth in this category, and the necessity of the sound in that film should bring it a Whiplash-esque dark horse win here.
Thomas LaTourette: Sound was such an integral part of the movie Sound of Metal that it should easily win this award, and deservedly so.

Best Visual Effects

Winner Predictions

• Love and Monsters
• The Midnight Sky
• Mulan
• The One and Only Ivan
• Tenet (WL O) (PP O) (TB R) (TL O)

Runner-Up Predictions

• The Midnight Sky (WL O) (PP F) [Return] (TB R) (TL O)

Wesley Lovell: For Best Visual Effects, Tenet won the BAFTA, which is the closest we’re going to get to a preview of the Oscars. The Midnight Sky, or another film, could surprise.
Peter J. Patrick: Not much to choose from here, should be Tenet in a walk.
Tripp Burton: I really feel like this is a category where anything could happen, and I’m expecting an Ex Machina/Golden Compass-like upset here. Tenet is probably the frontrunner, but Netflix’s The Midnight Sky could be a real dark horse.
Thomas LaTourette: With very few blockbuster-style films released during the pandemic year, this really has become a two-film race between the sci-fi The Midnight Sky and a world of people moving both forwards and backwards in time in Tenet. I think Tenet easily wins.

Best International Feature

Winner Predictions

• Another Round (WL O) (PP O) (TB O) (TL O)
• Better Days
• Collective
• The Man Who Sold His Skin
• Quo Vadis, Aida?

Runner-Up Predictions

• Quo Vadis, Aida? (WL O) (PP F) [New] (TB O) (TL O)

Wesley Lovell: For Best International Feature, Another Round has the most historical elements going for it, but Quo Vadis, Aida? is slowly sneaking up on it. Will it be enough? I’m just not sure.
Peter J. Patrick: Another Round is the front-runner, but Quo Vadis, Aida? is coming on strong as a possible upset winner.
Tripp Burton: That Best Directing nomination seems to solidify Another Round‘s win here, but I keep hearing a lot of people rave about Quo Vadis, Aida? and it could surprise us here.
Thomas LaTourette: The buzz is all on Another Round, and with it getting a directing nomination too, it is almost assured of winning. I have not seen Quo Vadis, Aida?, but that searing film is its only major competition.

Best Documentary Feature

Winner Predictions

• Collective
• Crip Camp
• The Mole Agent
• My Octopus Teacher (WL O) (PP F) [New] (TB F) [New] (TL O)
• Time

Runner-Up Predictions

• Collective (WL F) [New] (PP F) [New]
• Crip Camp (TB F) [New]
• Time (TL O)

Wesley Lovell: For Best Documentary Feature, the most unexpected frontrunner has developed and My Octopus Teacher looks likely to finish off first.
Peter J. Patrick: My Octopus Teacher has captured popular attention making it the front-runner. Double Oscar nominee Collective could be an upset choice.
Tripp Burton: I have no idea how My Octopus Teacher became the runaway hit of the awards season, but Time and Crip Camp could be sleepers in this category and upset.
Thomas LaTourette: The beautiful underwater camerawork should help propel My Octopus Teacher to this award. Though both the timely Time and the unnerving Collective will get a number of votes too.

Best Documentary Short Subject

Winner Predictions

• Colette
• A Concerto Is a Conversation (TL O)
• Do Not Split
• Hunger Ward (WL F) [New] (TB O)
• A Love Song for Latasha (PP F) [New]

Runner-Up Predictions

• Colette (WL O) (PP O) (TB O)
• A Love Song for Latasha (TL F) [New]

Wesley Lovell: For Best Documentary Short Subject, Hunger Ward has solid potential as a winner, but then so do most of the other titles.
Peter J. Patrick: Some strong stuff here with A Love Song for Latasha and Colette leading the pack.
Tripp Burton: The emotional wallop that is Hunger Ward is getting a lot of attention and should win easily here.
Thomas LaTourette: The uplifting A Concerto Is a Conversation feels like a winner, partially because it was the easiest to watch but also dealt with race relations over generations. A Love Song for Latasha might pull the upset, as it tugs at the heart, though I found some of the techniques the filmmakers used to be off-putting.

Best Animated Short Film

Winner Predictions

• Burrow
• Genius Loci
• If Anything Happens I Love You (WL O) (PP R) (TB R) (TL O)
• Opera
• Yes-People

Runner-Up Predictions

• Burrow (TL F) [New]
• Opera (WL R) (PP F) [New] (TB R)

Wesley Lovell: For Best Animated Short Film, If Anything Happens I Love You seems the most likely.
Peter J. Patrick: The haunting If Anything Happens I Love You should take this.
Tripp Burton: If Anything Happens I Love You has Hollywood pedigree, emotional resonance, and a lot of timeliness. It is a very strong front-runner here.
Thomas LaTourette: If Anything Happens I Love You has the emotional impact to win and that should clinch the Oscar for the film.

Best Live Action Short Film

Winner Predictions

• Feeling Through (WL O) (PP O)
• The Letter Room
• The Present
• Two Distant Strangers (TB F) [New] (TL O)
• White Eye

Runner-Up Predictions

• Feeling Through (TB F) [New]
• The Letter Room (PP F) [New] (TL O)
• Two Distant Strangers (WL O)

Wesley Lovell: For Best Live Action Short Film, it’s a competitive race, but Feeling Through has a lot going for it, but so too does Two Distant Strangers.
Peter J. Patrick: More strong choices here with Feeling Through and The Letter Room out in front.
Tripp Burton: I really feel like anything could happen in this category, but I’m leaning towards one of the two films centering on a young Black youth in New York City: either the police shooter drama Two Distant Strangers or the Marlee Matlin-produced deaf-awareness drama Feeling Through.
Thomas LaTourette: Two Distant Strangers most captured my attention of the nominees with its mix of Black Lives Matter and Groundhog Day, a strange combination that worked surprisingly well. The Letter Room with an actual star, Oscar Isaac, in it, might win, but I am hoping that it goes to Two Distant Strangers.